Octa Analytics

📊 Euro awaits Trump's tariff deadline The euro (EUR) held steady on Friday as U.S. President Donald Trump's tax-cut bill passed through the Senate and focus turned to countries working to secure trade agreements. 👉 Possible effects for traders

Last week, the euro rose to its highest level in over three years, supported by rising tariff risks, mounting fiscal concerns, and expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) might deliver more rate cuts. These factors fuelled investor uncertainty and drove demand for alternative currencies. Trump confirmed that reciprocal tariffs will take effect on 1 August. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced that tariffs would remain at 2 April levels for countries that haven't reached a trade agreement with the U.S., granting additional time to renegotiate terms. So far, only China, U.K., and Vietnam have secured partial deals, leaving other countries under pressure to finalise agreements. Stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs data helped ease some concerns over the state of the U.S. economy. The data showed 147,000 jobs were added in June, surpassing forecasts and slightly improving from May's figures. The data eased recession fears and reduced immediate pressure on the Fed to lower rates further. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank (ECB) is unlikely to strongly resist further euro appreciation, even as policymakers note concerns that the currency could surpass 1.2000, allowing currency markets to remain active in the near term. EURUSD fell during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, the main focus is on the eurozone's Retail Sales report at 9:00 a.m. UTC. Also, traders should consider any new developments and events regarding U.S. trade tariff plans. Market volatility will likely remain elevated as political events, both domestic and international, create uncertainty.

📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

📊 Tariff negotiations weigh down on gold Gold (XAU) rose slightly on Friday as markets adjusted amid evolving trade headlines. However, it pulled back during the day as traders monitored negotiations with key U.S. trade partners, many aiming to finalise deals or secure more time ahead of approaching deadlines. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent signalled that talks could extend beyond 9 July by as much as three weeks. 👉 Possible effects for traders

Progress on multiple trade deals and the possibility of extended tariff deadlines reduced gold's safe-haven demand. Reduced urgency to hedge against trade-related volatility and optimism about resolving trade tensions are weighing on bullish gold positions. However, downward momentum remained limited amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainties. U.S. President Donald Trump reiterated that nations failing to reach agreements by the deadline would face higher tariffs. He confirmed that reciprocal measures would commence on 1 August, which supports gold's resilience. Investors awaited further clarity on U.S. fiscal policy as last week's robust labour market data reduced expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut in July, complicating the near-term outlook for gold. Gold edged lower during the Asian and early European trading sessions, though lingering concerns over U.S. policy direction likely capped losses. As the Wednesday deadline for the 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs approaches, President Trump said on Sunday that a dozen or more tariff-related letters could be issued this week. Thus, developments in trade tensions remain in focus and limit bearish pressure on the metal. Key levels to watch are support at $3,300 and resistance at $3,360.

📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

#webinars_schedule #education 💫 Webinars are now right within the Octa Trading App on your Android device. Download the latest update and master your trading even more conveniently. 🔎 Apply filters to find videos for your learning needs. Set notifications for upcoming webinars to catch the moment when a live stream starts. 👋 Join and learn more about trading: 🇬🇧08/07, 9 p.m. MYT – [ENGLISH] – Live trading session on OctaTrader with Kar Yong Ang 🇮🇩08/07, 7 p.m. WIB – [INDONESIAN] – Live trading session with Vito Henjoto 🇬🇧10/07, 6 p.m. WAT – ENGLISH – Live trading session with Ambrose Ebuka 🇬🇧10/07, 12 p.m. UTC – ENGLISH – Webinar 'News trading. Theory and practice' with Vito Henjoto 🇲🇾10/07, 9 p.m. MYT – [MALAY] – Live trading session with Cikgu Danie

🌴 Your summer just got hotter Use promocode OCTASJULY to unlock a 100% deposit bonus—perfect for heating up your trades all July long. ⚡Act fast—this hot deal won't last past July. 👉 Hit the link to claim your bonus

📊 Bitcoin resumes growth amid ETF inflows and Trump's support Over the past two days, Bitcoin (BTC) has shown a steady recovery, climbing above $110,000. Several factors have contributed to BTCUSD's rise: institutional inflows into cryptocurrency exchange-traded funds (ETFs), positive statements from U.S. President Donald Trump, and easing regulatory pressure. 👉 Possible effects for traders One of the key drivers of this rise was a sharp increase in investor interest in Bitcoin ETFs. Inflows in recent weeks have reached around $11 billion, with total investments approaching $50 billion. This has supported BTC as an asset class comparable to digital gold. The additional bullish impetus came from the political arena. In his statements, Donald Trump confirmed his support for the cryptocurrency market. His statements had a positive impact on not only BTC price but also on shares of companies related to the crypto industry, such as MicroStrategy and Coinbase. Despite the uptrend, data from the futures markets show an increase in the volume of short positions, with open interest rising from $32 billion towards $35 billion. This may indicate possible volatility and the risk of correction, especially if BTCUSD breaks below key resistance levels. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

📊 EURUSD drops sharply after strong NFP data The euro (EUR) fell against the U.S. dollar (USD) on Thursday following the release of June nonfarm payroll (NFP) data. EURUSD fell by around 0.45%, reaching 1.17440. 👉 Possible effects for traders Investors focused on Thursday's NFP report, released during a shortened week ahead of U.S. Independence Day on Friday. The report showed why the Federal Reserve (Fed) isn't hurrying to reduce borrowing costs. The data showed more jobs than expected were added in June, with the unemployment rate falling towards around 4.1%. However, average hourly earnings remained steady. Overall, the data dampened investors' hopes of an imminent rate cut. Despite strong domestic data, a new massive bill proposed by U.S. President Donald Trump exerted pressure on the U.S. dollar. The package is expected to increase the country's budget deficit by over $3 trillion over the next decade. This pushed EURUSD higher, with the pair rebounding by 0.58% after news that the House of Representatives passed Trump's bill. Today, President Trump will begin sending letters to countries indicating the tariff rates they will face when importing into the U.S. High tariffs could further support EURUSD's rise. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

📊 Strong NFP data put downward pressure on gold Yesterday's U.S. nonfarm payroll (NFP) data showed that the labour market remains resilient, putting downward pressure on gold. 👉 Possible effects for traders In June, companies created more jobs than expected, and the unemployment rate unexpectedly dropped towards 4.1%. The overall report was better than expected, reducing expectations of an imminent Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut, which could weigh on gold prices in the short term. Gold began to recover during the Asian session due to concerns about the U.S. budget deficit. On Thursday, the House of Representatives approved U.S. President Donald Trump's massive tax-cut and spending bill, which is expected to add more than $3 trillion to the country's budget deficit over the next decade. Tariff pressure remains: Trump will begin sending letters to countries on Friday outlining the tariff rates they will face when exporting goods to the U.S. These factors increase the appeal of gold as a safe-haven asset. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

📊 Prospect of trade agreement supports Japanese yen The Japanese yen (JPY) rebounded to around 143.700 on Wednesday, recovering as improving trade sentiment and a softer U.S. dollar (USD) underpinned demand for JPY. 👉 Possible effects for traders Market participants expect that positive trade developments could ease uncertainty and provide a firmer backdrop for the yen while investors reassess near-term risks in currency markets. Japanese officials reiterated their commitment to reach a 'win-win' trade agreement with the U.S., although specifics on potential concessions remain unclear. The reassurance comes amid heightened focus on Japan's trade positioning as negotiations with the U.S. continue to evolve. Maintaining constructive dialogue with Washington is critical for Japan, particularly as it navigates the implications of potential protectionist measures. U.S. President Donald Trump, however, intensified pressure on Tokyo by labelling the ongoing negotiations as 'really hard' and floated the prospect of tariffs of up to 35% on Japanese imports. The administration cited dissatisfaction with Japan's limited purchases of rice and automobiles from the U.S., highlighting persistent trade imbalances. These comments caused caution in the market, with participants monitoring for any escalation that could impact Japan's export-dependent economy. USDJPY rose during Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, the market awaits the U.S. nonfarm payroll report at 12:30 p.m. UTC. Weaker-than-expected labour data could strengthen the case for a Federal Reserve rate cut as early as July, supporting the yen through narrowing interest rate differentials. Otherwise, the Japanese yen will likely weaken, and USDJPY will continue rising. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

📊 Euro consolidates as traders await NFP report The euro (EUR) remained unchanged against the U.S. dollar (USD) on Wednesday. 👉 Possible effects for traders U.S. private payroll data released by ADP revealed an unexpected decline of 33,000 jobs in June, marking the first contraction in over two years. The report raised concerns about a potential slowdown in the labour market. The data added to worries that employment may be softening, which could have broader implications for consumer spending and economic growth in the coming months. U.S. President Donald Trump announced on Truth Social that the U.S. has reached a trade agreement with Vietnam, which will impose a 20% tariff on imports from the country. The agreement sparked optimism that additional bilateral trade deals may follow, clarifying trade policy while aiming to support domestic industries. Meanwhile, Trump's proposed tax-and-spending package, which is projected to add $3.3 trillion to the national debt, is facing resistance in the House of Representatives. The debate over the plan has highlighted concerns about the U.S. fiscal trajectory, adding to broader uncertainties in the policy landscape as markets assess the potential impact on growth, inflation, and future Federal Reserve policy actions. EURUSD held steady around 1.18000 on Thursday, reaching over a three-year high as markets are focusing on the upcoming U.S. jobs report. U.S. nonfarm payrolls are expected to have increased by 110,000 in June 2025, the smallest in four months. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate is projected to edge up towards 4.3% from 4.2%. The data may affect interest rate expectations and investor sentiment, increasing volatility in the Forex market. Higher-than-expected results will likely push EURUSD down towards 1.17400. Otherwise, the pair could rise towards 1.18400. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

📊 Gold rises amid persistent weakness in U.S. dollar Gold prices (XAU) rose by 0.57% on Wednesday after the ADP report showed that American employers shed 33,000 jobs last month 👉 Possible effects for traders The data showed that private-sector payrolls unexpectedly fell in June for the first time in over two years, raising concerns about the resilience of the U.S. labour market. The report has reinforced market expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may maintain an accommodative monetary policy stance, which usually supports non-yielding assets like gold. Renewed geopolitical tensions also provided modest support for gold, as Iran suspended cooperation with the UN nuclear watchdog. Although recent trade agreements have reduced the immediate need for gold as a safe-haven asset, the combination of a weaker U.S. dollar, soft labour data, and geopolitical risks continues to support the broader upward trend for gold in the medium term. Thus, investors will keep their attention on upcoming macroeconomic data and Fed comments to get more data on gold's possible moves. XAUUSD fell during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Gold retreated towards approximately $3,340, losing some gains from the previous session as improving trade sentiment diminished the metal's safe-haven demand. The pullback followed the announcement of a trade agreement between the U.S. and Vietnam. The deal includes the removal of select tariffs on Vietnamese goods in exchange for enhanced market access for U.S. exports. The agreement has fuelled hopes for further bilateral trade deals, reducing the immediate demand for gold as a hedge. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

#economic_calendar These events may affect the market on 3 July. 🔥 Don't forget to get a 100% deposit bonus!

Trade with OctaTrader’s full potential 🔥 From asset performance to your personalised strategy analysis, powered by our AI—discover the features that help you trade more easily and give you more control. And that many traders overlook 😉 Try these and more features on OctaTrader: link to join

Hey, winners! 🥇 We cannot reach some of you in DM’s directly. Please send a message to our brand account @Octa_Rep to confirm the details of your gift. Nicknames of the winners: 1. K.G. 2. Ash Waiting for your text ⚡️

📊 Weakening U.S. dollar supports AUD The Australian dollar (AUD) reached 0.65900 on Tuesday, following weaker-than-expected domestic data. 👉 Possible effects for traders Retail sales figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics showed a modest 0.2% increase in May, below the expected 0.4% rise, signalling subdued consumer demand despite a slight improvement on April's reading. Building permits also came in below expectations, reinforcing concerns about a slowing economy. These disappointing data have reinforced market expectations that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will cut interest rates by 25 basis points towards 3.6%, with traders pricing in further easing in the second half of the year. Market forecasts suggest the cash rate could fall towards 3.1% or 2.85%, which would be viewed as supportive of economic activity amid a softening domestic environment. Despite the disappointing data, the Australian dollar found near-term support from a weakening US dollar, which remains under pressure near multi-year lows. The greenback's weakness reflects rising market expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts and uncertainty surrounding U.S. President Donald Trump's proposed spending bill. These factors have limited AUD's downside, even as domestic data points to potential headwinds. AUDUSD fell during Asian and early European trading hours. Today, the main focus is on the U.S. ADP Employment report at 12:15 p.m. UTC. A stronger-than-expected figure may pressure AUDUSD, while weaker data could offer support. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

📊 Euro strengthens following dovish Fed signals The euro (EUR) gained 0.16% against the U.S. dollar (USD) on Monday 👉 Possible effects for traders

The euro approached its highest level against the US dollar since September 2021 and its lowest point against the Swiss franc since January 2015. At the European Central Bank's (ECB) annual conference, Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Jerome Powell reiterated a cautious approach to further interest rate cuts, while acknowledging that a reduction could occur this month depending on incoming economic data. This stance has reinforced expectations that the Fed is open to easing policy if growth indicators weaken further. U.S. President Donald Trump's persistent criticism of Powell has raised concerns about the independence of the Fed. Earlier in the week, Trump reportedly sent Powell a list of global central bank interest rates, annotated with handwritten notes suggesting the U.S. rate should be between Japan's 0.5% and Denmark's 1.75%, telling the Fed Chair he was 'as usual, too late'. This tension, combined with a cautious Fed stance and looming fiscal risks, is pressuring the U.S. dollar and supporting the euro in the near term. EURUSD fell slightly during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, traders should pay attention to ECB President Christine Lagarde's speech at 1:30 p.m. UTC. Her remarks, particularly regarding the current economic outlook and potential policy adjustments, might offer clues about the central bank's upcoming decisions. Additionally, the U.S. ADP Employment report is set to release at 12:15 p.m. UTC. Stronger-than-expected figures could provoke a downward correction in EURUSD. Otherwise, the pair may rise towards 1.17500.

📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

📊 Gold rises on persistent safe-haven demand Gold prices (XAU) rose by 1.07% for the second consecutive trading session. 👉 Possible effects for traders

A weaker U.S. dollar helped limit gold’s downside as fiscal concerns and trade uncertainties continued to weigh on the greenback. The Senate’s passage of President Trump’s extensive tax-and-spending bill, projected to add $3.3 trillion to the national debt, has fueled concerns about long-term U.S. fiscal sustainability, supporting demand for commodities priced in dollars. Simultaneously, Trump’s frustration with U.S.-Japan trade negotiations, alongside threats of a 35% tariff on Japanese imports, added another layer of uncertainty, preventing a steeper decline in gold prices. On the monetary policy front, markets remain focused on the Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate trajectory, which could significantly influence gold's near-term direction. Fed Chair Jerome Powell signalled a patient stance on rate cuts but didn't rule out the possibility of a reduction as early as this month. Meanwhile, U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent indicated expectations for rate cuts by September. This monetary policy outlook and persistent fiscal and trade risks continue to create a supportive floor for gold even as geopolitical tensions temporarily ease. Gold remained unchanged during the Asian and early European trading sessions. The consolidation followed comments from President Trump confirming that Israel had agreed to a 60-day ceasefire in Gaza, urging Hamas to accept the terms to prevent further escalation. This alleviated immediate concerns over a broader regional conflict and prompted some profit-taking in the gold market.

📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

#economic_calendar These events may affect the market on 2 July. 🔥 Don't forget to get a 100% deposit bonus!

🎉 Giveaway ended! 🏆 Winners: 1. K.G 2. Kabeer - Uae 3. Ash 🔍 Check results

The last hours of our contest—jump in to win the MacBook, 1000$ or AirPods 🥇 All you need to do is to engage with the content THE MOST. Results will be announced 🔤🔤🔤🔤🔤

📊 U.K.–U.S. trade deal supports British pound The British pound (GBP) remained steady around 1.37100 on Monday, holding near its highest level since October 2021. GBPUSD found support following the implementation of a new U.K.–U.S. trade deal. 👉 Possible effects for traders The agreement has reduced tariffs on British car exports from 27.5% to 10%. The deal also removed duties on aerospace goods, including engines and aircraft parts, offering a modest boost to the U.K.'s export outlook. However, negotiations to remove tariffs on core steel products are still pending, highlighting that trade headwinds are not yet fully resolved. Domestically, the Q1 gross domestic product growth rate was confirmed at 0.7%, underscoring the U.K.'s economic resilience. The data aligned with earlier estimates and reflected steady, albeit modest, momentum. The Bank of England's (BoE) cautious stance on interest rates, unlike other regulators such as the European Central Bank, continues to support the pound as U.K. inflation remains stubbornly high. Core inflation has shown little movement over the past year, complicating the BoE’s ability to consider rate cuts without risking persistent price pressures and keeping markets focused on upcoming inflation and labour market data. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar softened as investor focus shifted towards U.S. President Donald Trump's proposed tax and spending bill, currently under Senate review. The plan, which could add approximately $3.3 trillion to the national debt, has created greater uncertainty around U.S. fiscal policy and potential implications for Federal Reserve independence. This backdrop has weighed on the U.S. dollar, providing additional support for the pound in the near term as markets monitor the evolving U.S. fiscal outlook. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH