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📊 Euro plunges on diverging monetary policies' outlooks The euro (EUR) lost 0.52% against the U.S. dollar (USD) and closed at a 26-month low on Friday after a better-than-expected U.S. nonfarm payroll (NFP) report pulled U.S. Treasury yields and the greenback higher. 👉 Possible effects for traders U.S. job growth surged unexpectedly last month, with the unemployment rate dropping towards 4.1%, signalling a robust labour market at year's end. This led traders to reduce further their expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) this year. Furthermore, worries that Donald Trump's proposed import tariffs, tax cuts, and immigration restrictions could fuel inflation additionally reinforce the expectation of a less aggressive easing cycle. Indeed, the market currently prices in an almost 70% chance that the U.S. base will remain unchanged through May 2025, with the probability of a 25-basis-point (bps) rate cut in June just under 50%. Meanwhile, traders have a totally different outlook on the European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy. They expect the ECB to deliver at least two additional 25-bps rate cuts by mid-April 2025. This massive divergence in interest rate expectations exerts downward pressure on EURUSD. However, the pair has already lost some 9% since the end of September 2024, and some traders are starting to believe that EURUSD may be undervalued, at least in the short term. EURUSD continued to fall during Monday's Asian and early European trading sessions. Today's formal macroeconomic calendar doesn't feature any prominent events that could trigger a substantial move in EURUSD. Thus, traders may use this opportunity to take profit and close their short positions. As a result, a technical short-term rebound in EURUSD is possible. The support at 1.01970 and the resistance at 1.02540 are key levels to watch. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

📊 USDJPY declines due to strong U.S. labour data USDJPY declined by 0.25%, while the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) surged on Friday following the nonfarm payroll report (NFP) release. The data indicated a higher-than-anticipated number of jobs added in the previous month, reinforcing expectations of less dovish monetary policy by the Federal Reserve (Fed). 👉 Possible effects for traders The U.S. dollar (USD) value increased after the Department of Labor announced that the U.S. economy added 256,000 new jobs in December, significantly surpassing the forecast of 160,000. Strong employment data indicates there is no need for the Fed to reduce interest rates rapidly. Jane Foley, Chief FX Strategist at Rabobank in London, stated that the Fed will likely reduce interest rates only once this year. However, if President Donald Trump's policies are implemented promptly, the chances for interest rate reductions may be lost entirely. During his presidential campaign, Trump suggested introducing tariffs, lowering taxes, and implementing a deportation of immigrants, which could potentially lead to rising inflation. The University of Michigan's consumer sentiment survey revealed increased inflation expectations, strengthening the U.S. dollar. The report indicated that one-year inflation expectations rose towards 3.3% in January—the highest since May—up from 2.8% in December. Following the release, the market has started to anticipate a pause in the easing cycle at the January meeting. Analysts now expect only a 27-basis-point (bps) reduction in interest rates throughout 2025. They believe the next rate cut will likely occur at the June meeting. Meanwhile, recent events in Japan, such as the potential for continued wage growth and the impact of a weaker Japanese yen (JPY) on imported prices, have drawn the attention of central bank officials to increasing inflationary pressures. These developments have led to speculation that the central bank may adjust its price forecast upward this month. During the Asian and early European trading hours, USDJPY continued its downward correction, which had started on Friday. Today, Respect for the Aged Day is celebrated in Japan, so analysts expect low volatility in JPY-related pairs and the continuation of previously established trends. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

BTCUSD, 30-minute timeframe chart BTCUSD broke the support level of 93,800.00 👉Level explanation BTCUSD has been under selling pressure within the last couple of hours. 👉Possible scenario The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 93,700.00. Set your stop loss at 94,900.00 above the previous high ($12.00 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 92,500.00 ($12.00 profit for 0.01 lot). The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1. The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

​​#webinars_schedule #education 📲 Webinars are now always at your fingertips—in the Octa Trading App on your Android smartphone. To access the Webinars section in the app menu, make sure you have installed the latest update. 🔎 Apply filters to find videos for your learning needs. Set notifications for upcoming webinars to catch the moment when a live stream starts. 👋 Join and learn more about trading: 🇵🇰 13/01, 6:30 p.m. PKT – URDU – Live trading session with Mateen Awan 🇮🇩 14/01, 7 p.m. WIB – INDONESIAN – Live trading session with Vito Henjoto 🇬🇧 14/01, 9 p.m. MYT – ENGLISH – Live trading session on OctaTrader with Kar Yong Ang 🇬🇧 15/01, 12 p.m. UTC – ENGLISH – Webinar 'News trading. Inflation' with Vito Henjoto 🇬🇧 16/01, 6 p.m. WAT – ENGLISH – Live trading session on OctaTrader with Ambrose Ebuka 🇲🇾 16/01, 9 p.m. MYT – MALAY – Live trading session on OctaTrader with Cikgu Danie 🇮🇩 17/01, 7:15 p.m. WIB – INDONESIAN – Live trading session with Andre Rizky

#economic_calendar This events may affect the market on 13 January. 🔥 Don't forget to get a 100% deposit bonus!

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Stay ahead of the crypto game and trade in the Octa app. 💡 What's happening? BTCUSD kicked off January strong. But just as quickly, rising U.S. bond yields brought the party to an abrupt halt. Bitcoin dropped below the key $100,000 level, losing 6% over the past month. It's now holding steady at around $92,000. Other cryptocurrencies? They're feeling the heat too. 🔍 Why the drop? Bitcoin doesn't like high interest rates! Here's why: 💸 Higher rates = less liquidity = fewer risk-takers. 📉 Investors prefer safe options like bonds over volatile assets. While the Federal Reserve lowered rates three times in 2022, it has signalled a slower pace for future cuts. Add in some global uncertainty and rising bond yields, and Bitcoin has been stuck in a rough patch. 📊 What's Next for BTCUSD? Right now, Bitcoin's moving in a tight range: $92,000 – $100,000. Analysts expect sideways action unless a major shakeup hits the market. #crypto #BTCupdate #forextrading #cryptonews #marketanalysis

AUDUSD, 15-minute timeframe chart AUDUSD pulled back from the resistance level of 0.61970 👉Level explanation AUDUSD has been under selling pressure within the last couple of hours. The pair moved up to the resistance level of 0.61970. 👉Possible scenario The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 0.61855. Set your stop loss at 0.62037 above the previous high ($1.82 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 0.61673 ($1.82 profit for 0.01 lot). The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1. The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

🚀 Gold rises on economic uncertainty, ahead of the U.S. jobs data Gold (XAU) gained 0.31% and reached a four-week high on Thursday, supported by safe-haven demand amid investors' uncertainty about the economic and inflationary impact of U.S. President-elect Donald Trump's policies. 👉 Possible effects for traders ‘Safe-haven demand is modestly supporting gold, offsetting downside pressure coming from a stronger dollar and higher rates. Market uncertainty is likely to persist with the upcoming inauguration of Donald Trump as the next U.S. president’, UBS analyst Giovanni Staunovo said. Donald Trump will take office on 20 January, and his proposed tariffs, if implemented, could ignite trade wars and exacerbate inflationary trends. This could create a favourable environment for gold, a safe-haven asset which performs well during economic uncertainty and rising prices. At the same time, the Federal Reserve (Fed) is already considering risks from Trump's possible policies and seems poised to take a careful approach to further rate cuts. According to the last meeting minutes, Fed officials noted that ‘the effects of potential changes in trade and immigration policy suggested that the disinflationary process could take longer than previously anticipated’. If the Fed continues to maintain its current base rate within the 4.25 – 4.5% range for an extended period, a rise in XAUUSD may be slow and volatile. XAUUSD was rising during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, the market focuses on the U.S. nonfarm payroll (NFP) report due at 1:30 p.m. UTC. A Reuters survey showed that the U.S. economy likely added 160,000 jobs in December. If the report reveals a smaller figure and shows a slower rise in average hourly earnings, the Fed may be less cautious about easing rates this year. Therefore, XAUUSD will may rally. Conversely, a larger-than-expected increase in NPF figures coupled with strong earning data may push XAUUSD lower, probably below $2,650. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

🚀 Less dovish Fed policy puts downward pressure on the euro On Thursday, the euro (EUR) lost 0.19% against the U.S. dollar (USD) as the greenback's value continued to rise on concerns over tariffs under the incoming Donald Trump administration. 👉 Possible effects for traders Yesterday, a number of the Federal Reserve (Fed) officials laid out their vision on U.S. monetary policy. Susan Collins, the President of the Boston Fed, said that significant uncertainty over the outlook calls for the central bank to move forward cautiously with future rate cuts. Meanwhile, Patrick Harker, Philadelphia Fed President, stated that he still expects rate cuts, but any imminent move isn't needed amid uncertainty over the economic outlook. In addition, Jeff Schmid, Kansas City Fed President, commented that rates are near the point where the economy needs ‘neither restriction nor support’. It seems like the Fed is preparing to pursue a much less dovish monetary policy in 2025 compared to 2024. This outlook is exerting an upward pressure on the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), dragging other currencies down. At the same time, the economic situation in the Eurozone continues to deteriorate. Yesterday's data revealed that exports in Germany, the Eurozone's largest economy, fell by 3.5% in November. EURUSD was falling during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, all eyes will be on the U.S. macroeconomic data: the nonfarm payroll (NFP) report at 1:30 p.m. UTC and the preliminary consumer sentiment report at 3:00 p.m. UTC. Stronger-than-expected figures may push EURUSD towards new multi-month lows, below 1.02600. Conversely, weaker-than-expected numbers may offer euro bulls a temporary relief and drive EURUSD above 1.03500. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

🚀 Bitcoin's dynamic weakens due to economic uncertainty Bitcoin (BTC) decreased by 2.62% as yields on U.S. Treasury securities reached their highest levels in a year. This caused a decline in risk assets due to the uncertainty surrounding potential tariffs under the new administration. 👉 Possible effects for traders January began with a strong start as stocks and digital assets grew significantly due to the so-called ‘Trump trades’ due to anticipation of a more favourable climate for digital assets and corporate financial statements. However, this positive sentiment soon faded as U.S. bond yields increased, causing the early New Year's rally to end abruptly and causing digital assets and stocks to lose some gains. Historically, there has been a negative correlation between the price of Bitcoin and U.S. interest rates. According to Eloisa Cadenas, chief innovation officer at Monetae Exchange, markets like Bitcoin thrive on liquidity to fuel their growth. However, increasing interest rates reduces global liquidity and makes traditional instruments such as bonds more attractive to investors. Bitcoin couldn't hold above $100,000 and decreased by approximately 6% in the past 30 days, dropping to a support level of $92,000, while other digital currencies declined even more substantially. While rate cuts encourage investment in higher-risk assets, such as cryptocurrencies, the Federal Reserve's (Fed) cautious approach to the monetary policy has heightened market volatility. Despite three rate reductions in 2024, the Fed indicated that future easing will happen much slower than anticipated. Thus, yields on U.S. government debt have increased significantly. With the upcoming release of the U.S. nonfarm payroll data and the decline in global interest rates, market volatility in digital assets increased. The political climate under the Donald Trump administration could be positive for the cryptocurrency industry. However, concerns about the budget deficit and potential trade disputes could hinder economic growth and lead to uncertainty for risk-averse investors. BTCUSD has been bullish during Asian and early European trading hours, reaching the local resistance level at $94,000. Today, the market awaits the U.S. nonfarm payroll report data at 1:30 p.m. UTC. Analysts forecast that 164,000 jobs were added in December. A higher-than-expected figure may trigger a further bearish correction in Bitcoin, while soft data may push BTCUSD higher. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

USDCAD, 15-minute timeframe chart USDCAD broke the resistance level of 1.44100 👉General outlook USDCAD has been under buying pressure within the last couple of hours. 👉Possible scenario The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Buy order at 1.44116. Set your stop loss at 1.43765 below the previous low ($3.51 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 1.44501 ($3.85 profit for 0.01 lot). The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.1. The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period. Some traders may close their positions on Friday, which can add more pressure to the market. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

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#economic_calendar These events may affect the market on 10 January. 🔥 Don't forget to get a 100% deposit bonus!

XAUUSD, 30-minute timeframe chart XAUUSD broke the resistance level of 2,670.00 👉Level explanation XAUUSD has been under buying pressure within the last couple of hours. 👉Possible scenario The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Buy order at 2,671.00. Set your stop loss at 2,661.00 below the previous low ($10.00 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 2,683.00 ($12.00 profit for 0.01 lot). The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.2. The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

GBPJPY, 15-minute timeframe chart GBPJPY pulled back from the resistance level of 194.480 👉Level explanation GBPJPY has been under buying pressure within the last couple of hours. The pair moved up to the resistance level of 194.480. 👉Possible scenario The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 193.787. Set your stop loss at 195.230 above the previous high ($9.13 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 192.342 ($9.13 profit for 0.01 lot). The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1. The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

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🚀 Weaker U.S. labour data pushes gold higher Gold (XAU) reached a near four-week high during yesterday's trading session following a weaker-than-expected report on U.S. private employment. Also, the yields on U.S. bonds continued to rise following a report that President-elect Donald Trump was considering implementing emergency measures to impose a new tariff program. 👉 Possible effects for traders The ADP National Employment Report revealed that U.S. private payroll growth slowed significantly in the previous month, from 146,000 in November 2024 towards 122,000 in December. The market is now awaiting the release of the U.S. jobs report on Friday for further insights into the Federal Reserve's future monetary policy direction. The minutes from the Fed's previous meeting indicated that policymakers agreed that inflation is likely to continue declining this year. They also acknowledged the rising risk of persistent price pressures, which could be influenced by the potential impact of President Trump's policies. Meanwhile, physical gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have seen their first inflow in four years despite a decline in their holdings by 6.8 metric tons, according to the World Gold Council. XAUUSD was moving primarily in a relatively narrow range of $2,656–$2,662 during Asian and early European trading hours. Today, market participants are waiting for the U.S. Jobless Claims report data, coming out at 1:30 p.m. UTC. A higher-than-expected reading should be taken as bullish for gold, while lower data may trigger bearish momentum in the precious metal. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH

📊 Euro dips on fears of possible tariffs imposed by Trump The euro (EUR) lost 0.2% against the U.S. dollar (USD) on Wednesday as U.S. bond yields continued rising, following a report that President-elect Donald Trump was considering using emergency measures to allow a new tariff program. 👉 Possible effects for traders The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) continued to hover near a multi-month high yesterday, while the U.S. 10-year government bond yield rose to its highest level since April 2024. The rise happened after CNN reported that Trump contemplated declaring a national economic emergency to justify imposing universal tariffs on U.S. allies and adversaries. 'This feeds into this whole theme of a strong U.S. dollar, and even with the disappointing ADP (employment data), the dollar is still firmer on the day', said Marc Chandler, chief market strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex. Indeed, despite yesterday's ADP employment report being weaker than expected, EURUSD continued to decline. Eurozone, a major U.S. trading partner, may face additional tariffs from the U.S. Meanwhile, the German bond market saw a sharp sell-off yesterday, with the 10-year Bund yield reaching a more than five-month high amid accelerating eurozone inflation. Meanwhile, the divergence in monetary policy expectations between the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Federal Reserve (Fed) continues to favour the greenback. Investors currently price in more than a 96% chance of a 25-basis-point rate cut by the ECB on 30 January, but they expect the Fed to provide a similar cut no earlier than June 2025. Earlier today, EURUSD was falling during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Most U.S. markets will be closed on 9 January to honour the passing of Former President Jimmy Carter on National Day of Mourning, so the volatility during the American trading session may subside. Furthermore, the formal macroeconomic calendar is relatively light today, so EURUSD may continue to trade within its narrow 1.02800–1.03700 range. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH