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Is USDJPY approaching a turning point? 🇯🇵 The BOJ is moving away from ultra-loose policy, the Fed outlook is evolving, and intervention risks are back on the radar. Here's what could drive the yen's next major move👇 https://insights.exness.com/deep-dives/usdjpy-outlook-bank-of-japan-boj/

🔴 Aftermath of NFP The weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs data pushed the probabilities of a rate hike at July’s Fed meeting to 17%. The Dollar recouped some of the losses incurred against the Euro and the pound, but not in full. #NFP #forex #USD #FOMC

🔴 Aftermath of NFP The weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs data pushed the probabilities of a rate hike at July’s Fed meeting to 17%. The Dollar recouped some of the losses incurred against the Euro and the pound, but not in full. #NFP #forex #USD #FOMC

🔴 Reaction for NFP U.S. June NFP came in at 57K vs. 110K expected and unemployment reached 4.2%. A weaker report than expected and the Dollar experienced losses against the two major currencies traded against, the Euro and the British Pound. #NFP #forex #USD #FOMC

VOLATILITY ALERT 🚨The US dollar-yen (USDJPY) hovering near a 40-year high raises the risk of intervention USDJPY hits a 40-year high, raising intervention risk from Japan's Ministry of Finance. A hawkish Fed, fueled by broad-based inflation, and the BoJ's gradual tightening keep widening the US-Japan yield spread, fueling yen carry trades. Tokyo Core CPI's rebound, tied to the end of utility subsidies, points to persistent price pressures. A weaker yen is pushing import prices higher, adding pressure on the BoJ to hike sooner. Yet the BoJ's latest tone stayed cautious, sticking to its slow pace and falling short of market expectations. That's weighing on the yen. Today's NFP print is the next big test. If hiring disappoints, expect some carry trades to unwind and the yen to catch a bid. If it beats expectations, the dollar likely keeps its grip.

Can gold rally if the Fed stays hawkish? 🟡 Higher rates and a stronger dollar are creating headwinds—but inflation, geopolitics, and central bank buying could change the picture. Here's what could shape gold prices in 2026👇 https://insights.exness.com/deep-dives/hawkish-federal-reserve-gold-prices-2026/

🔴Reaction to US PCE index publication The Core PCE held flat at 0.30% MoM in May, ticking just slightly above the long-term 0.26% historical average. The dollar's initial reaction was to gain ground, moving up to test the DXY 105.80 handle. Meanwhile traders are also monitoring the framework deal updates on the Strait of Hormuz. #USD #PCE #forex

Spot ETF inflows and corporate buying limited the downside for bitcoin prices amid shifting risk appetite. BTCUSD retested 65500 before breaking below 64600 and both EMAs. The price is now consolidating with an unclear market structure. Declining below the ascending trendline may target support at 63200.

Progress in peace negotiations eased supply concerns, pushing oil prices lower. USOIL slipped below EMA24 and 75.00 after testing EMA120. The price reinforces bearish momentum with diverging EMAs and lower swings. Falling below 72.00 may target the next support at 70.00.

AI capital expenditure pessimism is pressuring the Nasdaq 100 after a sharp reversal. USTEC retested 30700 before falling below both EMAs. The index structure is unclear, suggesting consolidation within the 30000-30700 range. Falling below 30000 may target the next support at 29600.

Intervention speculation from official discussions is keeping the dollar-yen volatile. The price dipped below 161.15 before rebounding to trade above 161.50. The price remains above bullish EMAs, indicating an uptrend extension. Staying above 161.50 may target immediate resistance at 161.90.

The pound sterling rebounded on hopes for a new, more conservative fiscal policy following the UK PM's resignation. GBPUSD rebounded above EMA24, forming higher swings. The price is now consolidating between converging EMAs, capped by resistance at 1.3275. Remaining below 1.3275 may retest the support at 1.3175.

Persistent inflation concerns weigh on the euro as the ECB struggles to contain price pressures. EURUSD retreated to a recent swing low after forming a lower high. The price remains below bearish EMAs, confirming the current downtrend momentum. Plunging below 1.1410 may target the next support at 1.1380.

Hawkish Fed expectations and elevated real yields are capping upside for silver prices. XAGUSD fell below EMA24 and is trading with broader lower swings. The price remains below bearish EMAs, indicating a potential downtrend extension. Falling below 64.40 may target the subsequent support at 63.00.

Easing inflation hopes from US-Tehran talks supported gold prices, but Fed uncertainty capped gains. XAUUSD bounced from 4125 and is now consolidating around EMA24. The price is trading within a tight 4170-4210 range, signaling a potential breakout. Remaining above 4170 may prompt a retest of resistance at 4210.

Fed concerns over services inflation supported the US dollar index as rate hike odds persist. DXY retested 101.05 before retracing slightly to hover around the level. The index remains above bullish EMAs, suggesting a potential uptrend continuation. Soaring above 101.05 may target 101.20.

A hawkish Fed continues to weigh on bitcoin prices, overshadowing slowing ETF outflows. BTCUSD broke below 63600 and briefly retested the 62200 support level. The price remains under pressure as diverging bearish EMAs signal a potential downtrend extension. Dipping below 62200 may see a plummet toward the next support at 61500.

Oil prices remain pressured by improving supply prospects from a peace agreement, reducing the geopolitical risk premium. USOIL rebounded above 74.00 and EMA24 after an initial breakdown. The price is consolidating between the moving averages, suggesting a period of indecision. Falling below 74.00 may trigger a retreat toward the subsequent support at 72.00.

Improved market sentiment helped strengthen the Nasdaq 100, though a hawkish Fed could limit further gains. USTEC rebounded from a brief dip below EMA24 to close above its previous high. The index remains above bullish EMAs, signaling a potential uptrend. Soaring above EMA24 may target resistance at 30700.

A hawkish Fed outlook extended US dollar-yen gains as Japan May CPI supported a slow BoJ tightening pace. USDJPY retested 161.80 before settling above the key 161.15 level. The price remains above diverging bullish EMAs, signaling a potential uptrend extension. Advancing above 161.50 may target the next resistance at 161.80.