Geopolitics Live

Scott Ritter: Ukrainian capacity to continue resistance will collapse this summer With Russia liberating village after village and Ukraine seemingly unable to secure a defensive line ahead of the onslaught, former UN weapons inspector Scott Ritter predicts that the conflict will end this summer, in line with the timeline established by the Russian Ministry of Defense at the start of this year.

“They say that the Ukrainian capacity to continue cohesive resistance will collapse this summer - that’s the Russian assessment and I agree with it,” Ritter said, noting that Russia’s operations aren’t driven by “calendars” and they have already allocated the resources to continue the conflict until 2027 if necessary.

The decision of what happens to Ukraine now rests solely in the hands of Russia, Ritter argued, noting that they had “very favorable terms on the table” in March and April 2022.

“Nobody has a say in this but Russia, and Russia has made that very clear… this is a decisive defeat of NATO, the EU and the US. It’s as decisive as you can get without them being directly involved and they can’t become directly involved because that is a suicide pill.”

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Russia's electronic warfare created problems for US-made precision weaponry in Ukraine, Business Insider reported. Russian electronic warfare decreases the effectiveness of such weaponry as the HIMARS-fired Guided Multiple Launch Rocket Systems (GMLRS) and air-launched Joint Direct Attack Munitions, it said. Precision systems (Excalibur and GMLRS) see "shockingly decreased accuracy because of jamming," the report said. Russia has been conducting a special military operation in Ukraine since February 24, 2022. President Putin has said the operation aims to "protect people subjected to genocide by the Kiev regime for eight years." According to the president, the ultimate goal of the operation is to liberate Donbas and create conditions that guarantee Russia's security. Russia earlier sent a note to NATO because of arms supplies to Ukraine. Russian FM Sergey Lavrov has said any cargo that contains weapons for Ukraine will become a legitimate target for Russia. Boost us! | Subscribe to @geopolitics_live

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Russian air defenses shot down several targets near the city of Belgorod, eight civilians were injured, regional governor Vyacheslav Gladkov said.

“Our air defense system worked over Belgorod and the Belgorod Region - several air targets approaching the city were shot down. According to preliminary information, eight civilians were injured,” Gladkov wrote on Telegram.

The governor added that three people with fragmentation wounds were taken to the regional clinical hospital, two were hospitalized to city hospital No. 2, and the three remaining injured received medical care on the spot. Gladkov said more than 40 private households were damaged in the Belgorod Region as a result of the Ukrainian attack. Subscribe to @SputnikInt

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Israel's use of US weapon may breach humanitarian law obligations Israel's military forces have potentially violated international humanitarian law in Gaza, however, the US does not possess information that US weapons were used in such instances, according to the Biden Administration’s National Security Memorandum 20 (NSM-20) report.

"Nevertheless, given Israel’s significant reliance on US-made defense articles, it is reasonable to assess that defense articles covered under NSM-20 have been used by Israeli security forces since October 7 in instances inconsistent with its IHL obligations or with established best practices for mitigating civilian harm," the report said.

However, the report noted that it lacked “complete information” on the use of its weapons in these actions.

"Although we have gained insight into Israel’s procedures and rules, we do not have complete information on how these processes are implemented. Israel has not shared complete information to verify whether U.S. defense articles covered under NSM-20 were specifically used in actions that have been alleged as violations of IHL or IHRL in Gaza, or in the West Bank and East Jerusalem during the period of the report," the report added.

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Palestinian leader welcomes new UNGA resolution Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas has welcomed a UN General Assembly resolution expanding the rights of Palestine in the organization and recommending that the Security Council grant it member status, Palestinian news agency WAFA reported. Earlier in the day, the UN General Assembly adopted the resolution recognizing Palestine as qualified to join the world organization in a 143-9 vote with 25 abstentions. Meanwhile, Israeli Foreign Minister Israel Katz, accused the UN General Assembly of encouraging terrorism in response to the resolution on Palestine.

"The political theater called the UN has adopted an artificial decision, detached from reality, which only encourages terrorism. Israel seeks peace, and peace will only be achieved through direct negotiation between the parties," he was quoted as saying by the Israeli Foreign Ministry on X.

Katz also described the vote as "a reward for Hamas terrorists," arguing it harmed Israel's efforts to release the hostages still held by the Palestinian movement and made the ceasefire prospects in the Gaza Strip even more distant. Boost us! | Subscribe to @geopolitics_live

The death toll from the shelling of an oil depot in Rovenki has risen to 3, the health minister of the Lugansk People's Republic said

Ukrainian army had opened fire on the town of Rovenki. The oil depot was destroyed, and houses around it were damaged, the head of the Lugansk People's Republic, Leonid Pasechnik, said. One person was killed and 6 people, who are employees of the oil depot and local residents, with injuries were taken to hospital, according to preliminary data. Firefighters immediately went to the scene.

Now the main task is to prevent the fire from spreading to residential houses, stated Pasechnik.

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🇺🇦🇱🇹 Why Are Diplomats Calling For TERRORIST ATTACKS? Recently, Sergiy Kyslytsya, the Permanent Representative of Ukraine to the United Nations, and Linas Linkevičius, the Lithuanian Ambassador to Sweden and former Minister of Foreign Affairs and Defence, made some irresponsible tweets suggesting attacks on the Crimean Bridge. @Willy_OAM_REAL recently uploaded a video to his YouTube channel in which he asked an international lawyer about the legitimacy of an attack on the bridge. The answer, considering that the SBU stated that Russia DOES NOT use the bridge for military purposes, will not surprise you. 🔊 The audio is from Willy's video. 🔴 Watch the full video on Willy OAM YouTube Channel 🔴 @DDGeopolitics