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إظهار المزيد5 140
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+224 ساعات
+27 أيام
-3630 أيام
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Another day, another dollar!
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⚠️ Today’s NFP live trading will be a Members only session! ⚠️
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The Japanese yen strengthened sharply on Thursday as traders watched for signs of intervention and increased their bets on more aggressive rate hikes by the central bank this year.
Japan also successfully sold a tranche of 30-year government bonds, easing investor fears after a sell-off this week in bond markets.
The country’s markets are being closely watched as concerns grow over plans by Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi to increase public spending.
Another day, another dollar!
Close to 500 pips today.
Around 250 pips yesterday.
Maybe a 1,000 pips tomorrow?
Today ADP nonfarm employment data release.
🔴 LIVE Trading ✅ link will be sent out to this channel!!!
🚨 Today's key driver: Hormuz escalation is repricing the whole board.
Two oil supertankers (Saudi + South Korean owned) were struck in the Strait of Hormuz overnight, and the US followed with fresh strikes on Iranian targets. Oil is reacting hard — WTI back above $88, Brent through $92.50.
That's spilling into everything else:
🔹 Yields surging — 10Y near 4.78%, 30Y closing in on 5.3%. Japan's 10Y just hit 3% for the first time since 1996.
🔹 Fed repricing hawkish — Warsh's Jackson Hole tone + rising oil has Deutsche Bank now calling a September hike the "most likely outcome." Evercore's Guha says inflation and oil now matter more to the Fed than the jobs data this week.
🔹 Equities under pressure — Nasdaq leading losses, tech/chips hit hardest.
Why this matters for gold: normally a geopolitical shock = safe-haven bid. But rising real yields on hawkish Fed repricing are fighting that flow. This is the tension to watch into Friday's NFP — a weak jobs number now competes directly with an oil-driven inflation scare for the Fed's attention.
🎯 Trade fundamentals, ignore the noise.
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📡 Daily setups and breaking macro — follow @thealphafx
📅 NFP week — here's the setup.
Last month's print: -23K vs +80K forecast, with a further -103K in revisions to prior months. That single release flipped the narrative from "cooling labor market" to "cracking labor market" — and it's what broke gold out of its August range, not CPI, not the Fed.
What to watch this week:
🔹 ADP (Wed) — early signal, often noisy, but moves risk sentiment
🔹 Jobless claims (Thu) — the trend matters more than one print
🔹 NFP (Fri, 8:30 ET) — forecast sits at +58K
The setup:
A soft print — anywhere near or below zero again — all but confirms the Fed is boxed in, and gold likely continues the breakout. A hot print near or above forecast is the bigger risk this week: markets aren't positioned for strength, so it could hit harder than usual.
[CHART]
🎯 Trade fundamentals, ignore the noise.
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📡 Daily setups and live NFP coverage Friday — follow @thealphafx
https://www.tradingview.com/x/UN4knB72/
Good morning habibis,
Let’s make some money this week! Watch this channel !
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📡 Trade Details (Gold / XAUUSD)
Symbol: xauusdxx
Ticket: 117693754
Time: 2026.08.13 15:47:46
Type: Buy
Volume: 0.50
Entry Price: 4395.06
Stop Loss (S/L): 4384.68
Take Profit (T/P): 4431.16
Current Price: 4395.42
