Observer Research Foundation
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Non-partisan, independent analysis on security, strategy, economy, development, energy & global governance.
إظهار المزيد📈 نظرة تحليلية على قناة تيليجرام Observer Research Foundation
تُعد قناة Observer Research Foundation (@orftg) في القطاع اللغوي الإنكليزية لاعباً نشطاً. يضم المجتمع حالياً 17 425 مشتركاً، محتلاً المرتبة 3 202 في فئة السياسة والمرتبة 2 149 في منطقة الولايات المتحدة.
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- وصول المنشورات: يحصل كل منشور على متوسط 718 مشاهدة. وخلال اليوم الأول يجمع عادةً 384 مشاهدة.
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- الاهتمامات الموضوعية: يركز المحتوى على مواضيع رئيسية مثل iran, policy, governance, hormuz, resilience.
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“Non-partisan, independent analysis on security, strategy, economy, development, energy & global governance.”
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17 425
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+117 أيام
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أرشيف المشاركات
Xi Jinping visited New Delhi after 7 years for the BRICS Summit.
While the core boundary dispute remains unresolved between the two countries, military deployments and infrastructure development continue, and strategic mistrust has not disappeared.
This brief explains that the current thaw should be understood as managed competition rather than reconciliation: https://www.orfonline.org/research/xi-jinping-s-india-visit-a-thaw-not-a-reset
Military power does not always translate into political victory.
The wars in Ukraine and Iran show how weaker adversaries can use asymmetry across technology, terrain, and beyond-the-battlefield measures to impose costs on stronger opponents.
This brief explains that adaptation, flexibility, innovation, and scalability are key to creating bargaining leverage and shaping strategic outcomes: https://www.orfonline.org/research/lessons-of-asymmetry-from-ukraine-and-iran-in-conflict
ORF is hosting a discussion titled ‘BWC@50: Strengthening the Biological Weapons Convention in the Age of Emerging Technologies' as a part of the ‘National Security Dialogue' series.
The session will examine the future of the BWC in the context of arms control, new technologies, biotechnology governance, and national security. The discussion will cover whether existing means are sufficient to manage emerging threats, the potential of new technologies to enhance confidence and transparency, and India’s contribution to building resilience in the biological security system.
🗓️ 23 September | 📍ORF Delhi | Open Event
Register now 🔗 https://or-f.org/40294
Agentic AI systems with growing capabilities have emerged as a major threat to global cybersecurity.
The 2025 average eCrime breakout time (BOT) fell to 29 minutes, a 65% faster attack rate than the previous year. The fastest ever breakout occurred in 27 seconds. During another documented intrusion, data exfiltration commenced four minutes after access. This timeline leaves no room for any defensive human intervention.
This brief argues that as agentic AI drives cyberattacks to machine speed, the multilateral norms built for a slower, human-paced world are struggling to keep pace: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/the-ungoverned-frontier-of-agentic-ai-cyberattacks
BRICS now represents 40% of the world's GDP.
Having positioned itself as a non-Western order, not an anti-Western one.
This brief argues that the success of India's presidency should not be measured by whether BRICS speaks with one voice on every geopolitical issue, but by whether it can maintain consensus on trade, development, and SDG cooperation: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/measuring-success-brics-2026-and-india-s-presidency
Can India shift BRICS from geopolitics to economic resilience?
As India's BRICS presidency comes to an end, the bloc faces an urgency in converting its economic weight into resilient growth.
At the heart of this challenge lies energy: the next phase of the global economy will be shaped not only by who can secure affordable power, but by who controls the minerals, storage, grids, and technologies that power the new energy economy.
This brief argues that India can help BRICS prepare for that future: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/can-india-build-brics-economic-resilience-through-energy-security
India has little interest in turning BRICS into an anti-Western coalition.
Given that BRICS is now 11 members strong, including Russia, China, Iran and newer additions such as the UAE, Saudi Arabia, and Indonesia, New Delhi is leveraging BRICS as a platform for cooperation among emerging economies, while keeping the door open to the West.
This brief argues that the real logic behind India's strategic autonomy is not neutrality, but the ability to engage multiple power centres at once without becoming dependent on any single one: https://www.orfonline.org/research/freedom-of-choice-brics-and-india-s-idea-of-strategic-autonomy
Climate resilience is the core agenda of the BRICS 2026 Summit. The test now is whether the grouping can give it institutional substance.
This brief argues that BRICS should move from exchanging best practices to solving implementation problems.
BRICS does not need another adaptation dialogue between capitals; it needs one between the places where the climate crisis is actually being lived: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/why-brics-cooperation-on-climate-adaptation-must-go-subnational
25 years after 9/11, the attacks continue to shape the world.
The attacks altered the architecture of international security, transformed the priorities of major powers and showed how the response to a terrorist attack could reshape the international order.
The brief explains that the question is not whether 9/11 changed the world. It did. The more important question is whether the world changed in ways that its policymakers intended. The answer is decidedly mixed: https://www.orfonline.org/research/9-11-at-25-the-world-it-remade
Can India shift BRICS from geopolitics to economic resilience?
As India's BRICS presidency comes to an end, the bloc faces an urgency in converting its economic weight into resilient growth.
At the heart of this challenge lies energy: the next phase of the global economy will be shaped not only by who can secure affordable power, but by who controls the minerals, storage, grids, and technologies that power the new energy economy.
This brief argues that India can help BRICS prepare for that future: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/can-india-build-brics-economic-resilience-through-energy-security
BRICS now represents 40% of the world's GDP.
Having positioned itself as a non-Western order, not an anti-Western one.
This brief argues that the success of India's presidency should not be measured by whether BRICS speaks with one voice on every geopolitical issue, but by whether it can maintain consensus on trade, development, and SDG cooperation: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/measuring-success-brics-2026-and-india-s-presidency
India has little interest in turning BRICS into an anti-Western coalition.
Given that BRICS is now 11 members strong, including Russia, China, Iran and newer additions such as the UAE, Saudi Arabia, and Indonesia, New Delhi is leveraging BRICS as a platform for cooperation among emerging economies, while keeping the door open to the West.
This brief argues that the real logic behind India's strategic autonomy is not neutrality, but the ability to engage multiple power centres at once without becoming dependent on any single one: https://www.orfonline.org/research/freedom-of-choice-brics-and-india-s-idea-of-strategic-autonomy
India's nutrition challenge is changing.
Undernutrition and micronutrient deficiencies continue to affect millions, but children and adolescents are also exposed to overweight, obesity and diet-related non-communicable diseases (NCDs).
This emerging ""double burden"" is shaped not only by what families know or choose to eat, but also by the environments in which food choices are made.
This brief argues that India's goal should be to create healthier food environments, with stronger action across schools, marketing, fiscal policy and labelling: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/beyond-individual-choice-fixing-india-s-food-environment
Agentic AI systems with growing capabilities have emerged as a major threat to global cybersecurity.
The 2025 average eCrime breakout time (BOT) fell to 29 minutes, a 65% faster attack rate than the previous year. The fastest ever breakout occurred in 27 seconds. During another documented intrusion, data exfiltration commenced four minutes after access. This timeline leaves no room for any defensive human intervention.
This brief argues that as agentic AI drives cyberattacks to machine speed, the multilateral norms built for a slower, human-paced world are struggling to keep pace: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/the-ungoverned-frontier-of-agentic-ai-cyberattacks
+5
ORF, in collaboration with UNICEF India presents the report titled ‘Building a Sustainable World for All Children: Ten Priorities for BRICS’.
The report is the culmination of ten priorities as recognised during the BRICS Child Futures Forum convened in Lucknow past month.
The Forum brought together policymakers, BRICS Academic Forum delegates, experts, partners, and youth representatives to advance a shared agenda for children.
Swipe the album to read the 10 Priorities and click on this link to read the full report! 🔗 https://www.orfonline.org/research/building-a-sustainable-world-for-all-children-ten-priorities-for-brics
#ORFBRICS2026 #BRICS2026 #Children #SustainableWorld #UNICEF
The BRICS Summit this week marks the culmination of India's year-long presidency of the grouping.
This brief examines how the priorities of the grouping have evolved during India's presidency and in the context of its expanded membership as we shift from BRICS@15 to BRICS@20.
The summit will provide an important opportunity to assess whether the priorities advanced over the past year can be consolidated into durable areas of cooperation, shaping BRICS' next phase: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/from-brics-15-to-brics-20-india-s-chairmanship-ahead-of-the-summit
As India engages with another season of record electricity demand, the policy instinct is familiar: more generation, stronger grids, larger storage, faster transmission.
However, in an era shaped by climate extremes and geopolitical uncertainty, how well a nation uses energy may matter as much as how much it produces.
This brief explains that energy security is often framed through availability, accessibility, affordability and acceptability. But, efficiency is one of the few interventions capable of strengthening all four at once: https://www.orfonline.org/research/energy-efficiency-india-s-next-strategic-power-resource
India's decision to open the conventional missile sector to private industry marks an important point in the evolution of the country's defence-industrial strategy.
This brief explains that India's strategic autonomy will ultimately depend on whether it can design and manufacture sophisticated missiles in sufficient numbers and sustain their production under wartime conditions: https://www.orfonline.org/research/india-s-missile-industrial-base-from-state-monopoly-to-strategic-competition
Elbridge Colby, the US Under Secretary of War for Policy, has repeatedly underscored the Indo-Pacific's importance to American prosperity and security.
Yet this rhetoric does not match the administration's actions.
This brief argues that India, a strategic partner of the US in the region, would do well to follow the new mantra External Affairs Minister S. Jaishankar recently coined: ""distrust and diversify: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/elbridge-colby-s-three-speeches-the-fault-lines-in-trump-s-indo-pacific-strategy
When the Islamic Emirate returned to power in 2021, it inherited an economy heavily dependent on international aid, imports, and external financial support.
In response, Kabul has increasingly placed industrialisation at the centre of its economic strategy.
This brief argues that while this strategy signifies an effort to replace an externally funded economic model, its long-term viability hinges on overcoming fundamental limitations, especially energy shortages, financial isolation, and limited industrial infrastructure: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/industrialising-afghanistan-the-taliban-s-emerging-economic-strategy
