متاح الآن! بحث تيليغرام 2025 — أهم رؤى العام 
Observer Research Foundation
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Non-partisan, independent analysis on security, strategy, economy, development, energy & global governance.
إظهار المزيد📈 نظرة تحليلية على قناة تيليجرام Observer Research Foundation
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📊 مؤشرات الجمهور والحراك
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- حالة التحقق: موثّقة (مؤكدة رسمياً من تيليجرام)
- معدل التفاعل (ER): يبلغ متوسط تفاعل الجمهور 3.35%. وخلال أول 24 ساعة من النشر يحصد المحتوى عادةً 2.24% من ردود الفعل نسبةً إلى إجمالي المشتركين.
- وصول المنشورات: يحصل كل منشور على متوسط 587 مشاهدة. وخلال اليوم الأول يجمع عادةً 393 مشاهدة.
- التفاعلات والاستجابة: يتفاعل الجمهور بانتظام؛ متوسط التفاعلات لكل منشور يبلغ 1.
- الاهتمامات الموضوعية: يركز المحتوى على مواضيع رئيسية مثل iran, policy, governance, hormuz, resilience.
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“Non-partisan, independent analysis on security, strategy, economy, development, energy & global governance.”
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17 538
المشتركون
-424 ساعات
-437 أيام
-15230 أيام
أرشيف المشاركات
India has revived FTA negotiations with the EAEU after eight years, seeking market diversification beyond Russia-dominated energy trade. Opportunities span pharmaceuticals, IT services, critical minerals, and defence. Success requires India to engage all five EAEU members strategically, secure favourable terms leveraging Russia's diminished post-sanctions leverage, and protect vulnerable domestic sectors.
This brief discuss the challenge for India is to turn a Russia-heavy trade relationship into a broader strategy for market access, supply-chain resilience, and Eurasian engagement: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/a-deal-at-last-assessing-the-case-for-an-india-eaeu-fta
India's FY26 GDP growth of 7.7% exceeded projections, driven by private consumption and investment. However, the Hormuz disruption, rupee depreciation, and fuel-price transmission now threaten this momentum. With inflation still manageable, the RBI maintains neutrality — but sustaining growth requires trade diversification and energy resilience, not demand-suppressing quick fixes.
This brief discusses the challenge of managing inflation without subduing the growth that keeps investors calm: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/assessing-india-s-monetary-policy-and-growth-amid-external-headwinds
Despite prominent female leaders, Bangladesh's 2026 elections recorded historic lows in women's representation. Structural party barriers, reserved-seat dependency, and elite dynastic dominance systematically exclude working-class women from substantive political participation.
This brief discuss addressing disparities in education and socio-economic inequalities is essential to fostering an inclusive and representative political landscape in Bangladesh: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/power-without-representation-women-s-political-voice-in-bangladesh
#NewRelease
Observer Research Foundation presents ‘The Defence Cable’, a monthly insight on military affairs and defence technology, analysing key developments from around the world.
The first edition of the monitor explores India’s advancing Act East defence ties through BrahMos exports and Korea-Vietnam MoUs, how AI is reshaping the US military strategy, Russia’s nuclear resolve, and Pakistan’s supersonic anti-ship capabilities.
Authors: Tuneer Mukherjee, Archishman Ray Goswami
Read here 🔗 https://or-f.org/39142
Japan's FOIP has evolved from Abe's liberal order-shaping vision into Takaichi's resilience-focused framework for managing disorder. The 2026 update prioritises AI infrastructure, supply-chain security, and economic governance over traditional maritime balancing — reflecting growing anxieties about Chinese economic coercion and uncertainty over American strategic reliability in the Indo-Pacific.
This brief explains the FOIP framework is less about creating a preferred regional order and more about helping partners cope with an increasingly unpredictable one: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/-free-and-open-indo-pacific-at-ten-from-shaping-order-to-managing-disorder
China's expanding Indian Ocean presence — through dual-use vessels, infrastructure investments, and the China-Indian Ocean Forum — poses a mounting security dilemma for India. New Delhi is responding through preferred partnership diplomacy, naval modernisation, and regional cooperation via IORA and its Information Fusion Centre, countering Beijing's influence without replicating its coercive model.
This brief discuss New Delhi’s multifaceted Indian Ocean strategy: https://www.orfonline.org/research/rising-to-the-china-challenge
EU's CBAM imposes ~EUR 5 billion in tariffs on Indian steel exports, disproportionately burdening SMEs and raising sovereignty concerns. Two proposals — a jointly governed Industrial Decarbonisation Fund and an SME standards ladder — could reframe CBAM from trade irritant into a Global North-South climate cooperation template, with India's steel decarbonisation central to any credible global climate pathway.
This brief discusses pathways to transform CBAM into a catalyst for climate collaboration: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/a-practical-agenda-for-eu-india-cooperation-on-cbam
Russia's Taliban recognition reflects pragmatic realism: containing ISKP spillover into Central Asia, securing Eurasian connectivity corridors, and filling the post-US vacuum. While economic engagement advances through trade and infrastructure MoUs, persistent Afghanistan-Pakistan hostilities and the Taliban's limited counterterrorism capacity constrain Moscow's broader regional stabilisation ambitions.
This brief discusses how this engagement carries a degree of urgency for Moscow around integrating Afghanistan into Eurasian supply chains by strengthening regional connectivity: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/the-strategic-logic-driving-russia-s-taliban-engagement
Introducing Sagarmanthan: The Great Oceans Dialogue 2026.
The oceans connect economies, cultures, and communities across the world. They drive trade, sustain livelihoods, and hold the key to future growth.
At Sagarmanthan, policymakers, industry leaders, scholars, and changemakers will come together to explore how maritime cooperation, ocean governance, and the blue economy can shape the decades ahead.
The dialogue is about to begin.
How will we steer the future of our oceans?
Stay tuned.
Maritime trade routes are transforming from passive conduits into active instruments of economic statecraft and ocean governance. Driven by new demand centres, critical mineral flows, climate pressures, and geopolitical realignments, corridors like IMEC and INSTC now integrate trade, security, and sustainability — demanding governance frameworks that balance efficiency, equity, and ecological resilience.
This brief discusses how the present and future of ocean governance are being shaped by the design of ports, corridors, logistics systems, digital platforms, and security partnerships: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/the-blue-corridors-maritime-trade-routes-as-pillars-of-global-ocean-governance
#ORFevents
ORF is hosting a discussion titled ‘Women in the Marketplace: Reimagining Access, Ownership, and Stakeholdership in Indian Cities’ as a part of the Fellows Seminar Series.
The discussion will examine the challenges women face in leveraging their workforce participation and will discuss the recommendations that urge moving beyond mere statistical presence to ensure that such participation leads to genuine recognition as equal stakeholders in governance.
🗓️ 12 June |📍ORF Mumbai | Invite-Only
Know more 🔗 https://or-f.org/39049
India is strategically repositioning from a land-centric to a maritime nation, advancing shipbuilding ambitions, Maritime Domain Awareness, and multimodal connectivity. Through IORA, BIMSTEC, and bilateral partnerships, New Delhi seeks to embed itself within emerging corridors — leveraging geographic advantage to drive regional growth and accumulate strategic currency across the Indo-Pacific.
This brief explains how inclusion of new technologies, striving for climatic balance, and bolstering infrastructure capabilities are sectors that are likely to galvanise New Delhi’s maritime potential: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/the-contours-of-india-s-maritime-resilience
ORF presents the essay series ‘Governing the Oceans: Rethinking Access and Equity’, marking the #WorldOceansDay 2026.
This series explores diverse international perspectives on how ocean governance can drive policy discussions toward more inclusive, coordinated, and responsive approaches to environmental and socio-economic pressures, particularly those affecting the Global South.
Read now: https://or-f.org/38831
#WorldOceanDay #GlobalSouth #OceanGovernance #BlueEconomy
Iran's 2026 Hormuz blockade revealed a new coercive paradigm: geographic control over critical infrastructure can rewrite global connectivity rules, bypass sanctions, and compel enforcers to suspend their own measures. By granting — not restoring — access on its terms, Iran demonstrated a replicable template that existing Western sanctions architecture cannot adequately counter.
This brief discusses how an enforcement architecture designed to penalise evasion has no adequate response to leverage: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/connectivity-as-coercion-how-iran-turned-the-strait-of-hormuz-into-leverage
The emphasis on India's role in the Indian Ocean and its growing logistical and industrial capacities suggests that Washington sees New Delhi as an indispensable contributor to Indo-Pacific stability.
However, the challenge is formidable, and history suggests that managing great-power competition while preserving alliance cohesion has rarely been an easy undertaking.
Read more: https://www.orfonline.org/research/a-new-american-template-for-the-indo-pacific
Latin America's resource wealth risks perpetuating dependency without corresponding skills development. India's digital governance model — UPI, Skill India, Digital India — offers a replicable co-development framework. Through edtech partnerships, joint innovation centres, and interoperable digital infrastructure, India and Latin America can collectively reshape Global South participation in the AI and green economy.
This brief discusses how India’s affordable and adaptable development model can make a collaborative Global South response to the challenges of digital transformation, artificial intelligence, and green industrial transitions: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/closing-the-skills-gap-india-latin-america-in-the-ai-and-green-economy
India's new CDS inherits a complex agenda: stalled tri-service integration, delayed indigenisation programmes, evolving two-front threats, and resource constraints. Balancing conventional capabilities with missiles and drones, accelerating networked warfare infrastructure, and driving accountability across critical defence projects will define whether his tenure achieves meaningful military transformation.
This brief emphasizes that now is the time to cement initiatives, particularly when it is widely acknowledged that a whole-of-government approach to national security is what works in a chaotic global order: https://www.orfonline.org/expert-speak/integration-and-beyond-the-priorities-awaiting-india-s-new-cds
#ORFevents
ORF is hosting a conversation with H.E Marisa Gerards, Ambassador of the Netherlands to India as a part of the Diplomat Diaries.
The discussion will examine the evolving trajectory of India–Netherlands bilateral relations and the growing strategic importance of both partners to each other, particularly in the context of elevating bilateral ties to a strategic level.
🗓️ 12 June |📍ORF Delhi | Open Event
Register now 🔗 https://or-f.org/39092
