💥How We Accurately Predicted Both Crashes in This Bear Market💥
Many people say that nobody can predict when the market will crash. However, during this bear phase, we informed our members that every bear market typically experiences two major crashes.
The first crash occurs at the beginning of the bear phase, when the bull market ends. Between Oct - Dec 2024, we warned our members that we had entered a long and painful bear phase and that a market crash was likely. We advised them to exit old multibagger stocks and keep about 70% of their portfolio in cash. Soon after, from January - March 2025, the market corrected sharply and many investors’ portfolios turned deeply negative.
The second crash usually happens at the end of the bear phase. Over the last 2–3 months, I repeatedly told our members in my YouTube videos that the market must crash before the start of the next bull run. I said the crash could be triggered by any global event. At that time, I did not know a war-like situation would arise, but my prediction came true. In my January 2026 video, I clearly said that within the next 2–3 months the market could crash due to a global event, after which the market would form a bottom. Exactly such a crash occurred in March 2026.
This time, we did not give an exit call despite expecting a crash, because this is not the time to leave the market — it is the time to allocate more funds.
In other words, we anticipated both crashes during this bear phase, and both predictions proved correct. This shows that if you analyze the market differently, it is possible to anticipate major crashes.
Our approach focuses on the root causes rather than day-to-day news. We study FII activity, retail investor psychology, DII behavior, earnings, valuations, US Federal Reserve policies, and the global economy etc .
We do not rely on technical charts, which often fail during bear markets. This is why many experts struggle to interpret market movements in such periods.
The current crash was not caused by war alone. For the past two months, I have been saying that the market needed to crash before the next bull run. FIIs were unhappy with what they perceived as index manipulation at elevated levels by DII and used the war as an opportunity to sell aggressively and bring valuations down to more reasonable levels.
During the previous India-Pakistan conflict, the market did not fall much because a major crash had already occurred from January to March 2025.
This time, however, the correction was overdue after months of elevated market valuations.FIIs had been selling for nearly 10 months, yet the Nifty 50 index did not decline significantly. The geopolitical situation provided an opportunity for heavy selling, allowing valuations to normalize.
If the war had not occurred, the bear phase might have lasted longer.
Our analysis is different from others, which is why our predictions are often accurate. I do not rely on other experts’ opinions. I do my own analysis and base my views on data. I prefer independent research rather than following anyone else.
Because of this approach, we were able to anticipate market movements more effectively.
Currently, FIIs are selling aggressively to bring Nifty 50 valuations to normal levels. After the recent fall, the Nifty 50 P/E ratio has declined to around 20.3. I expect further downside so that the P/E falls below 20. The Nifty 50 level around 22,500–23,000 (±500) could correspond to this valuation zone, which is generally considered reasonable support.
Once the market forms a bottom, I expect strong buying from FIIs. A sharp rally in the small-cap index could follow, especially after Q4 earnings, and it is possible that the rally may begin even earlier.
Watch my January 2026 YouTube video if you haven’t seen it yet, and please share it with your friends so they can understand that only our channel warned about two possible market crash in advance in 2025 as well as 2026.