متاح الآن! بحث تيليغرام 2025 — أهم رؤى العام 
Hidden Multibagger Stocks by Devendra (RA: INH000026488)
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Disclaimer: I am a SEBI Registered Research Analyst (RA: INH000026488). All stocks, market updates, and investment-related information shared in this channel are strictly for educational and informational purposes only.
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Message from one of our member...All our bear market predictions have come true from October–December 2024 till now because our approach to understanding the market is completely different. The psychology of FIIs and retail investors plays a very important role during a bear market.💥
Over the next two months, we are likely to pass through the anger, depression, and disbelief stages, during which many retail investors may exit the market. During this phase, you will mostly see negative news all around you, and there will appear to be no hope of recovery. This is a normal phase that occurs toward the end of every bear market. After the completion of all these phases, the next bull run begins. However, going through this phase is not easy—it is often painful and emotionally challenging.
New investors should learn and understand this cycle so that they can handle future bear markets more carefully. If you truly understand this cycle, you will also understand how bull and bear markets work. When "euphoria" appears and retail investors start buying any stock at any price due to FOMO, it usually signals the end of a bull run.Therefore, be cautious.
The stock market always moves in cycles. Investors who fail to recognize these cycles and ignore market warnings often end up incurring heavy losses.
As I said, today’s pullback is driven mainly by DIIs, so there is no real strength in the market. Be prepared for a slow and steady correction until a proper correction takes place. FIIs are likely to continue selling until the market reaches attractive valuation levels, and this process may take a minimum of two months. During this period, you will see intermittent recoveries whenever the market reaches oversold zones.
Do not deploy all your capital thinking that the market has already formed a bottom. I have said many times—keep at least 30% of your capital in reserve until the bull market actually begins. Bottom formation is a slow and gradual process, which I have explained in my recent YouTube video, and it can take at least two months.
Only on our channel will you get timely and accurate information about when the bull phase can start.
We are currently in the final stage of the bear phase. This stage is always painful, and many retail investors exit the market out of frustration. However, those who are able to endure this last phase will definitely generate significant profits. The biggest profits in the stock market are made during the first year of a bull phase. After that, returns tend to moderate as market valuations become expensive again.
In the stock market, you cannot make profits every month, even if you have completed advanced technical analysis courses. Most profits are made during the first year of a bull market. Once the bull phase ends, the struggle begins. This is why many traders make money during bull phases but lose it all during bear markets.
That is why it is essential to understand how to deal with both phases. Bull and bear markets are completely different, and you cannot use the same strategy in both. If you do, your capital can be wiped out.
Today, you may see a pullback because the market has reached an oversold zone, which is normal. However, as long as FIIs continue to sell, do not expect a sharp recovery. This is only a temporary pullback. DIIs will use their financial strength to support the market when it reaches oversold levels. Today, I expect DII buying to be quite strong, but since FIIs still have a negative view on the market, every pullback is likely to remain temporary.
Our market needs time for a slow and steady correction. If a healthy correction takes place over the next two months, we can then expect a strong comeback led by FIIs.
This is why you need to understand a bear market differently. The same old tools cannot provide accurate insights in such phases. The psychology of FIIs and retail investors plays a very important role throughout the entire bear market phase.
The Union Budget is a very important event. Based on the budget outcome, we can identify the sectors where the government is likely to invest more capital. Over the next two months, I expect the market to remain volatile.
💥Nithin Kamath has raised an important warning about the Indian stock market regarding margin trading. Margin trading is one of the key factors behind the current panic selling by retail investors.💥
A large number of investors are now buying shares using borrowed money. Margin trading has increased sharply and has reached around ₹1.1 lakh crore. Many investors are even pledging their existing shares to borrow more money and buy additional stocks. This creates multiple layers of leverage and risk.
This strategy works well only during a bull market. However, in a bear market—especially in midcap and smallcap stocks—problems begin. When stock prices fall, brokers demand additional margin. Investors who are unable to provide extra funds are forced to sell their shares. Since liquidity in these stocks is low, forced selling leads to even sharper price declines.
The biggest concern is that current risk control systems are not strong enough. The entire system is effectively relying on the market not falling. If a sharp correction occurs, losses can escalate very quickly, and many retail investors may not be financially or mentally prepared to handle it.
The message is clear: excessive leverage is dangerous. In a bear market, borrowed money can turn small losses into massive damage in a very short time.
Zerodha's Kamath warns of risks as margin trading loan book surges | Markets News - Business Standard https://share.google/3DHAmuqyeJSadTer3
💥Valuations, Not Headlines: Our Proven Approach to Market Analysis💥
FII non-stop selling continues as I had predicted, although the selling figures are lower now. This clearly shows that today’s market crash is mainly due to panic selling by retail investors. Now you can understand how to identify a market crash by analysing the psychology of FIIs and retail investors.
This is why our predictions are consistently coming true. Watch my Saturday YouTube video, where I clearly predicted that the market would fall due to panic selling by retail investors. Even in my older videos, I had stated that the market always crashes before the start of a new bull phase.
This is the reason we do not make YouTube videos every day. We provide a market outlook for the next 2–3 months, which has been nearly 90% accurate. Our analysis is correct because our approach to the market is completely different from others.
From the beginning of this bear phase until today, we have focused only on market valuations — only valuations.
We never discussed the Trump issue or any other temporary news. Now everyone should understand that the market, especially small-cap and mid-cap stocks, is falling due to high valuations. The market is adjusting valuations before the next bull phase begins.
If you do not understand why the market is underperforming, then all your predictions will always be wrong.
I clearly said that FIIs are selling continuously not because of Trump, but because Indian market valuations are high. FIIs will return once valuations become reasonable again.
One year ago itself, I predicted that the market would remain in a bear phase throughout 2025 and that the bear market could end between January–February–March 2026. Exactly as expected, we are now witnessing the final correction process starting in January 2026. This process may continue for another two months, provided DIIs do not manipulate the index again.
I had advised exiting all old multibagger stocks between Oct- Dec 2024 — stocks that delivered massive returns during the 2023–24 bull run when prices were at all-time highs. Today, most of those stocks have fallen back to their 2023 price levels. This means that investors who did not sell and continued to hold may have lost almost all their profits.
That is why identifying the end of a bull phase and the beginning of a bear phase is extremely important.
Maximum capital erosion happens during a bear market. You must change your strategy 360 degrees as soon as the market enters a bear phase. If you exit the market at the beginning of a bear phase and hold cash, you can handle the bear market much more effectively.
Please remember: only those stocks that did not deliver multibagger returns in 2023–24 and have strong future growth potential will participate in the next bull run. These stocks can become multibaggers, provided the company maintains high growth every quarter. However, this is possible only when the bull phase starts, because in a bear phase, no stock outperforms due to strong negative sentiment and continuous FII selling.
💥Why the Indian Stock Market Is Correcting – Step by Step Explanation💥
Step 1: Market Reality :
The Indian stock market is going through a sharp correction, especially in midcap and smallcap stocks. This decline has worried many investors.
Step 2: Blame on Geopolitics :
Many people are blaming geopolitical issues for this fall. However, geopolitics is not the real reason behind India’s underperformance.
Step 3: Comparison with Global Markets :
If geopolitics were the main reason, other global markets would also be struggling. But the reality is very different:
Taiwan is up more than 30% in the last one year.
South Korea is up more than 90%.
Brazil is up more than 30%.
China is up more than 25%.
Step 4: The Real Reason – Valuations :
The main reason for India’s underperformance is simple: Indian stocks had become too expensive. Valuations, especially in midcap and smallcap stocks, moved far ahead of fundamentals.
Step 5: Slowing Earnings Growth :
At the same time, earnings growth has slowed down. When high valuations meet weak or slowing earnings, a correction becomes inevitable.
Step 6: SIP Inflows Cannot Defy Valuations :
Even if SIP inflows are ₹30,000 crore or even 50000 crore per month, valuations cannot remain high forever. Money inflows alone cannot justify overpricing.
Step 7: Market Reality Always Wins :
In the end, markets always return to fundamentals. At some point, reality catches up, and that is exactly what we are witnessing now.
💥The Most Dangerous Mistake Retail Investors Make during bear phase : Blind Averaging Down💥
1. The Illusion of Averaging Down :
Retail investors often make their final and most dangerous mistake by blindly averaging down. Without a deep understanding of the business, market cycle, and risk management, averaging down is not investing—it is a slow form of financial suicide.
2. The “Cheap Stock” Trap:
Many investors convince themselves that a falling stock is “cheap,” without realizing that in a bear market, prices can always fall further—especially when business growth is missing and fundamentals are weak.
3. Destroying Capital Instead of Protecting It:
Instead of protecting capital, investors keep adding money to a losing position just to reduce their average buy price. This approach increases exposure to risk rather than reducing it.
4. When Emotions Replace Discipline :
This behavior creates a psychological trap where emotions replace logic and discipline. Averaging down becomes a way to justify a bad decision rather than accepting and correcting it.
5. The Vicious Cycle of Hope:
As losses grow, investors feel forced to hold for even longer, hoping for a recovery that may never come. What started as an investment slowly turns into a gamble driven by hope.
6. The Real Cause of Destruction:
The real damage is not caused by the market, but by the refusal to accept a mistake. In the end, the market doesn’t destroy such investors—their own denial and lack of understanding do.
"Belrise Industries" , an auto ancillary stock, has started recovery ...🚀
"Interarch Building Solutions" a multibagger stock has started recovery from bottom.🚀🚀
Every bear phase follows the same pattern. Toward the end of a bear market, there is usually a sharp fall.
Many people are scared of the current fall, but I have clearly mentioned in all my recent videos that the market must fall before a new bull phase begins. I have been saying since November 2025 that the next leg of panic selling by retail investors would bring the market down. It is part of the valuation adjustment process.
I explained in my YouTube videos that FIIs started selling in October 2024 because valuations were high. They will return only when valuations become attractive. It is simple mathematics and has nothing to do with Trump. The market is now in its final stage, where valuations are expected to become attractive over the next two months.
At the beginning of the bear phase, I clearly advised investors not to use emergency funds, not to trade, and to maintain a long-term view if they buy stocks near the bottom. Do not expect short-term returns. Invest only if you have patience. Impatient investors should keep their money in fixed deposits—the stock market is not for impatient people.
Everything has been explained clearly from the start of the bear phase until today.
When the market was at all-time highs & when DII were managing the index , i clearly said that index manipulation is dangerous. FIIs do not like such manipulation, and there was a high probability of aggressive selling if the market did not correct naturally. Now it should be clear that the prolonged bear market is mainly due to heavy SIP inflows through which DIIs supported the index. Because of this, the market did not correct in a healthy manner, and eventually, panic selling by retail investors led to a sharp crash.
FIIs continued selling until retail investors became frustrated and started panic selling. If DIIs had not supported and manipulated the index, Nifty 50 would have corrected to around 24,000 and Midcap100 to around 53,000 earlier, and we would not have witnessed such a sudden crash.
Therefore, this market crash is not due to Trump. It is due to excessive SIP inflows that allowed DIIs to keep the index at all-time highs and prevented a normal, natural correction process.
Please understand that the final phase of the bear market correction has begun, and this phase may continue for the next two months. This is a normal and necessary process to adjust market valuations. If a proper correction takes place during this period, the market may form a bottom around March–April 2026, from where we can expect the next bull run to begin.
During these two months, the market may witness temporary recoveries whenever it reaches oversold levels. However, for a healthy bottom formation, DII-should not manipulate index; otherwise, the bottoming process could take longer. A Nifty PE range of 19–20 could act as a valuation bottom for our market.
Q3 earnings of large companies have not met market expectations, so the market is likely to wait for Q4 earnings. Therefore, the next two months are expected to be a correction phase, during which valuations will become more attractive.
If you hold good-quality stocks in your portfolio, they are likely to rebound strongly once the bull phase begins, and your portfolio can recover sharply.
Many investors who entered the stock market during the bear phase expecting quick gains tend to get frustrated. They must understand that no expert in the world can consistently deliver returns during a bear market. Only patience and conviction, along with systematic accumulation of quality stocks, can create significant wealth in the next bull phase.
If you try aggressive strategies or shortcuts for quick gains during this bear phase, you risk losing your entire capital. Therefore, maintain patience and keep a long-term perspective.
Investors who lack patience, proper understanding of the bear market, and a clear plan or strategy are often forced to exit the market during the bear phase—which is exactly what should be avoided..🚀
" Tribhovandas Bhimji Zaveri " Posted good Q3 result..
