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Data's Inner Circle πŸ‘‘ (WILL NEVER DM YOU FIRST)

Data's Inner Circle πŸ‘‘ (WILL NEVER DM YOU FIRST)

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https://x.com/TheCryptoData The Inner Circle is where I share my thought process on the overall market, including technical analysis, altcoins, and narrative rotations πŸ’Ž Nothing shared is financial/investment advice and should not be taken as such.

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The age of AI is here. The question becomes, are you going to take advantage of it or ignore it until it’s too late? https://x.com/thecryptodata/status/2027914032766660809

πŸ“Š Market Update πŸ“Š The market has been extremely volatile as the United States and Israel launched joint military strikes on
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πŸ“Š Market Update πŸ“Š The market has been extremely volatile as the United States and Israel launched joint military strikes on Iran earlier this morning (1:15am CST). Trump confirmed the US has begun "major combat operations" in Iran. Netanyahu stated the goal is to "remove the existential threat posed by the terrorist regime in Iran." Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz declared a nationwide 48-hour state of emergency and described the operation as a "preemptive strike." Iran's RG has already launched retaliatory missiles and drones toward Israel and vowed a "crushing" response and declared "all American and Israeli assets in the Middle East are legitimate targets." Multiple countries around the region were also attacked. Peak fear is historically when bottoms are formed but make sure you're managing risk appropriately: Key News Events - US and Israel launch joint strikes on Iran. Trump confirms "major combat operations." Netanyahu says goal is to "remove existential threat" from Iranian regime. Operation expected to last "a few days" per sources briefed on the plan. - Iran retaliates immediately: Revolutionary Guards launched missiles and drones toward Israel. Sirens sounding across northern and central Israel including Jerusalem and Tel Aviv. US Fifth Fleet base in Bahrain reportedly hit by missile. - Israel declares 48-hour state of emergency. Airspace closed to all civilian flights. Schools, workplaces, and gatherings suspended except essential sectors. - Ayatollah Khamenei moved to a "secure location" outside Tehran. Iranian President Pezeshkian reported "safe and sound." - Block laid off 4,000+ employees (nearly half workforce), citing AI replacing human roles. Stock surged 24%. - OpenAI raised $110B, reigniting the AI bubble narrative Upcoming Events - Feb 28th - US/Israel military operations in Iran (expected to last "a few days") - March 1st - White House deadline to advance Clarity Act crypto legislation - March 2nd-6th - IAEA board meeting Vienna (Iran censure vote, now overshadowed by active conflict) - March 19th - Next FOMC meeting (rate cuts now virtually impossible with oil/inflation shock) Summary ✍️ With the recent attack, we now have oil prices rising, which are expected to surge significantly when commodity markets reopen, which will further inflame inflation and completely kill any remaining hopes for Fed rate cuts this year. Remember that the January PPI already came in hot on Friday, and we're now adding a potential oil supply shock on top of that. The silver lining is that historically, these war-related flash crashes in BTC (the June 2025 Iran strikes, the 2024 escalations) have been followed by recoveries within 48 hours once the initial shock subsides. But this operation is far larger in scope than June. Remain cautious with leverage. Wait for clarity on the scale of Iran's retaliation before making any decisions. If you are in positions, make sure your stops are set and your risk is managed. Things will subside, but the next 48-72 hours are going to be extremely volatile. πŸ“Š BTC Analysis πŸ“Š BTC is still holding onto major support of 62.8k but its daily RSI and StochRSI are both crossing to the downside, which could exacerbate this bearish momentum if we get a close below and tensions escalate. I'm being patient here but will go risk-on if we get closer to oversold on either indicator. Major support remains 62.8k, 60k, 55k, and 48k while major resistance remains 66k, 70.8k, 73.6k, 76-78k, 84.5k, 86.7k, and 90k πŸ“Š ETH Analysis πŸ“Š ETH is near major support as well at 1830. Although its RSI is close to crossing below its signal line while it's StochRSI is already crossing. ETH looks slightly better on the RSI but it's still too soon to tell. At the very least, I'd wait for a retest of 1830, but will have range limits from 1720-1760. Major support remains 1830, 1720-1760, and 1540, while major resistance remains 1940, 2000, 2100, 2210, and 2380. Quote of the day ✍️ β€œRegret is interest paid on laziness.” ❌ BEWARE OF SCAMMERS! I WILL NEVER DM YOU FIRST! ❌

Ovozli xabar06:17

πŸ“Š Market Update πŸ“Š The market continues to chop as BTC is now on track for its worst monthly decline since June 2022. The ta
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πŸ“Š Market Update πŸ“Š The market continues to chop as BTC is now on track for its worst monthly decline since June 2022. The tariff situation got even more confusing today. Despite Trump promising 15% tariffs "effective immediately" on Saturday, CBP actually implemented the tariffs at 10% at 12:01am this morning. The White House says there's "no change of heart" on 15% but no formal order has been signed yet. We also had the IEEPA tariff collections officially ceased, and FedEx became the first major corporation to sue for a full tariff refund, and the State of the Union is tonight. I'm remaining extremely cautious here as we navigate the SOTU, NVIDIA earnings tomorrow (after hours), and Iran talks Thursday, but will still take trades that align with our S/R levels and indicators: Key News Events - Section 122 tariff takes effect at 10%, NOT 15% as Trump promised. CBP implemented the lower rate. White House says "no change of heart" on 15% but no formal order signed yet and "no timeline" for increase - Fed Governor Waller calls March rate cut a "coin flip," a notable dovish shift from his January dissent against holding - State of the Union address tonight. Trump expected to defend tariff policy and lay out economic agenda ahead of midterm elections - US-Iran Round 3 nuclear talks confirmed for Thursday Feb 27th in Geneva. Iran says "encouraging signals" but has prepared "for any possible scenario" - DHS shutdown Day 11. First partial paychecks for DHS employees hit bank accounts starting Feb 27th. TSA PreCheck and Global Entry remain suspended Upcoming Events - Feb 24th - State of the Union Address - Feb 25th - NVIDIA Earnings - Feb 27th - US-Iran Round 3 nuclear talks in Geneva (confirmed). - Feb 28th - Secretary of State Rubio meets Netanyahu in Israel. - March 2nd-6th - IAEA board meeting in Vienna (Iran censure vote) - March 7th - Trump's 10-15 day Iran deadline expires - March 19th - FOMC Summary ✍️ The divergence between stocks and crypto today is intriguing and important to understand. Stocks are bouncing because the AI disruption narrative eased (Anthropic's event was less damaging than feared), the tariff rate actually came in at 10% instead of 15%, consumer confidence beat expectations, and AMD/Meta's massive GPU deal reassured investors that AI capex is accelerating. BTC, on the other hand, is still trapped in a liquidation spiral driven by structural outflows. We had miners liquidating treasuries, hedge funds retreating, and the exchange whale ratio at levels not seen since 2015. SOTU tonight (watch for tariff clarity), NVIDIA tomorrow, and Iran Thursday. The tariff confusion is actually a short-term positive since it reduces the immediate economic hit, but the legal uncertainty around refunds, and the EU calling the tariff a likely deal violation all create ongoing headwinds. Size your positions conservatively and keep cash ready to deploy if we get the capitulation flush to 60k or a NVIDIA-driven relief rally. πŸ“Š BTC Analysis πŸ“Š BTC broke down from our descending triangle we talked about earlier. Its RSI and StochRSI are also breaking down as expected. This is why patience pays in this market when there's a lot of uncertainty. Although our 62.8k support held nicely. I'm waiting for more clarity this week and will defer to my S/R lines and indicators for confluence. Major support remains 62.8k, 60k, 55k, and 48k while major resistance remains 66k, 71.5k, 73.6k, 76-78k, 84.5k, 86.7k, and 90k πŸ“Š ETH Analysis πŸ“Š ETH also broke down from its descending triangle as the RSI/StochRSI followed. Our 1830 support held perfectly so I'm watching for a close above that for a potential bounce. Patience is key. Major support remains 1830, 1720-1760, and 1540, while major resistance remains 1940, 2000, 2100, and 2210. Quote of the day ✍️ β€œMove with intention, not emotion.” If you want real-time guidance during volatility (not after), join us: 1-Month Access β€” Data’s Alpha Circle πŸ”— https://whop.com/datas-alpha-circle/gain-access-now/ ❌ BEWARE OF SCAMMERS! I WILL NEVER DM YOU FIRST! ❌

πŸ“Š Market Update πŸ“Š The tariff situation is continuing to escalate as Trump raised his new tariff from 10% to 15% yesterday,
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πŸ“Š Market Update πŸ“Š The tariff situation is continuing to escalate as Trump raised his new tariff from 10% to 15% yesterday, maxing out the legal limit. The EU Parliament's trade chief is now proposing to freeze the ratification of the Turnberry trade deal with the US at an emergency meeting Monday, and India has postponed its trade delegation to Washington entirely, citing uncertainty after the SCOTUS ruling. On the Iran front, Axios is reporting this morning that the US has given Iran a 48-hour window to submit a detailed nuclear proposal, with a potential third round of talks in Geneva on Feb 27th. US officials describe this as likely the "last chance" before military strikes. I'm remaining patient through this uncertainty and will be watching closely when markets reopen tomorrow: Key News Events - Trump raises global tariff from 10% to 15% "effective immediately" and set to take effect Feb 24 at 12:01am ET. 150-day limit requires Congressional approval to extend - Armed man (21y/o) shot and killed by Secret Service at Mar-a-Lago at ~1:30am today after breaching perimeter with shotgun and gas can. Trump was not present (at White House). FBI investigating - US gave Iran 48-hour window to submit detailed nuclear proposal. If received, talks resume Feb 27th in Geneva. Officials describe this as likely the "last chance" before military strikes - DHS suspends TSA PreCheck and Global Entry effective 6am today. Upcoming Events - Feb 23rd - Congress returns from recess (DHS shutdown negotiations resume) - Feb 24th - Trump's 15% tariff takes effect at 12:01am ET + State of the Union Address - Feb 25th - NVIDIA Earnings - Feb 27th - Potential US-Iran Round 3 talks in Geneva (if Iran submits proposal within 48 hours) - Feb 28th - Secretary of State Rubio meets Netanyahu in Israel (Iran discussions) - March 2-6th - IAEA board meeting in Vienna (Iran censure vote, potential UN Security Council referral) - March 2-7th - Trump's 10-15 day Iran decision deadline expires - March 19th - FOMC meeting (93% probability of hold) Summary ✍️ What we're witnessing is a global trade architecture coming unglued in real time. The SCOTUS ruling on Friday was a genuine structural shift that removed the legal framework for unilateral emergency tariffs, but Trump's response has been to push every remaining lever to the maximum. On Iran, the 48-hour proposal window this morning is the most concrete deadline we've had. If Iran submits a proposal, we get Geneva talks on Feb 27th and the military timeline likely extends. If they don't, this is described as the "last chance" before a major US-Israeli operation. The enrichment concession (dropping the "zero enrichment" demand) is a significant de-escalation signal, but the military buildup continues with the largest US force concentration since the 2003 Iraq War. The DHS shutdown escalation (suspending PreCheck/Global Entry) is a pressure tactic ahead of Congress returning tomorrow and the State of the Union on Tuesday. Next week is absolutely loaded so size positions conservatively and manage risk. πŸ“Š BTC Analysis πŸ“Š BTC is starting to show signs of exhaustion as the the tariff news ripples around the world. The RSI is still above its signal line but the StochRSI is now overbought. Patience is key here until market open Monday and we have some clarity. A lot of uncertainty surround Iran. Major support remains 65-66k, 62.8k, 60k, 55k, and 48k while major resistance remains 71.5k, 73.6k, 76-78k, 84.5k, 86.7k, 88.2k, and 90k. πŸ“Š ETH Analysis πŸ“Š ETH is still holding its 1940 support. Its RSI remains above its signal line while its StochRSI looks to be crossing back to the upside (bullish). Although if ETH closes below 1930, I would expect 1830 next. Otherwise, I'm looking for a trendline break into resistance of 2000. Major support remains 1940, 1830, 1720-1760, and 1540, while major resistance remains 2000, 2100, 2211, 2377, 2550, 2750-2820. Quote of the day ✍️ β€œProgress prefers consistency.” ❌ BEWARE OF SCAMMERS! I WILL NEVER DM YOU FIRST! ❌

πŸ“Š Market Update πŸ“Š Trump escalated his tariff war by raising his new global tariff from 10% to 15% "effective immediately" w
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πŸ“Š Market Update πŸ“Š Trump escalated his tariff war by raising his new global tariff from 10% to 15% "effective immediately" which maxes out the legal limit under Section 122 just one day after the Supreme Court struck down his IEEPA tariffs 6-3. US officials also accepted Iran's red line on continuing uranium enrichment, with the "zero enrichment" demand dismissed during Geneva talks. Negotiations are now focused on technical parameters like centrifuge location, enrichment levels, and capacity rather than a total shutdown. This is a significant de-escalation signal from the posture even 48 hours ago and should be positive for risk assets if it holds: Key News Events - Trump raises global tariff from 10% to 15% "effective immediately" via Truth Social, maxing out the Section 122 legal limit. These tariffs are temporary (150 days) and require Congressional approval to extend. Timing of official executive order update remains unclear, original 10% was set to take effect Feb 24 - Supreme Court struck down Trump's IEEPA tariffs 6-3 on Friday. Penn-Wharton estimates up to $175B in tariff revenue may need to be refunded. Treasury Secretary Bessent says revenue "virtually unchanged in 2026" using alternative authorities - Bloomberg/ISNA reports US has accepted Iran's red line on uranium enrichment. "Zero enrichment" demand was dropped during Geneva talks. Negotiations now focused on centrifuge location, enrichment level, and capacity. Major de-escalation from the "zero enrichment or strikes" posture Upcoming Events - Feb 23rd - Congress returns from recess (DHS shutdown negotiations resume) - Feb 24th - Trump State of the Union Address - Feb 25th - NVIDIA Earnings (after hours) - Feb 28th - Secretary of State Rubio meets Netanyahu to discuss Iran - Mar 2nd - IAEA board meeting begins (5 days, potential Iran censure vote + UN Security Council referral) Summary ✍️ The tariff situation continues to evolve, with Trump raising it from 10% to 15% overnight, and the 150-day clock on Section 122 means we'll be dealing with tariff uncertainty well into the summer. Although Iran is still a big issue. If the US has genuinely moved off the "zero enrichment" position, the probability of military strikes drops significantly and the geopolitical risk premium in oil, gold, and crypto should begin to unwind. That said, Trump is keeping all options on the table publicly, and the military buildup continues, so this could still go either way. Next week will tell us a lot with Congress Monday, State of the Union Tuesday, NVIDIA Wednesday, and Iran negotiations ongoing. Size positions conservatively and let the dust settle. Our indicators continue to work well in this environment, so trust the process. πŸ“Š BTC Analysis πŸ“Š BTC continues to show resilience despite the added 15% tariff news (bullish). The RSI is bouncing off of its signal line while the StochRSI is reset below 80 and now crossing back above its signal line. The Iran tensions are subsiding, so we could see a further push toward 70k. Major support remains 65-66k, 62.8k, 60k, 55k, and 48k while major resistance remains 71.5k, 73.6k, 76-78k, 84.5k, 86.7k, 88.2k, and 90k. πŸ“Š ETH Analysis πŸ“Š ETH is still holding its 1940 support. Its RSI remains above its signal line while its StochRSI is reset below 80 and close to crossing back above its signal line (bullish). Although if ETH closes below 1930, I would expect 1830 next. Otherwise, I'm looking for continuation past 2000 (which we nearly hit). Major support remains 1940, 1830, 1720-1760, and 1540, while major resistance remains 2000, 2100, 2211, 2377, 2550, 2750-2820. Quote of the day ✍️ β€œThe cure to anxiety is action.” ❌ BEWARE OF SCAMMERS! I WILL NEVER DM YOU FIRST! ❌

πŸ“Š Market Update πŸ“Š The Supreme Court just struck down Trump's tariffs in a 6-3 ruling, with Chief Justice Roberts writing th
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πŸ“Š Market Update πŸ“Š The Supreme Court just struck down Trump's tariffs in a 6-3 ruling, with Chief Justice Roberts writing that the president does not have the authority to impose tariffs using emergency powers without Congressional approval. The market digested this positively but Trump already fired back by announcing a new 10% global tariff under Section 122, and Treasury Secretary Bessent says revenue will be "virtually unchanged in 2026." So while the initial reaction is bullish (reduced uncertainty), the tariff saga is far from over. Meanwhile, Q4 GDP came in lower than expected and core PCE printed hot. That's the worst combo possible for the Fed. You have slowing growth + persistent inflation. I'm remaining cautiously optimistic on the relief rally but watching closely to see if the tariff whiplash dampens it. Still taking trades that align with our S/R levels and indicators: Key News Events - Supreme Court strikes down Trump's IEEPA tariffs 6-3, ruling the president exceeded his authority. Penn-Wharton estimates up to $175B in tariff revenue may need to be refunded - Trump implements a new 10% global tariff under Section 122 and says existing Section 232 and Section 301 tariffs "remain in full force and effect" - Trump's Iran 10-day military strike ultimatum still in play, deadline March 1st - DHS shutdown Day 7 with Congress returning Feb 23, Trump State of the Union Feb 24th Upcoming Events - Feb 23rd - Congress returns from recess (DHS shutdown negotiations resume) - Feb 24th - Trump State of the Union Address - Feb 25th - NVIDIA Earnings (after hours) - Feb 28th - Secretary of State Rubio meets Netanyahu to discuss Iran - March 1st - Trump's 10-day Iran decision deadline expires - March 3rd - Full Moon (Worm Moon) + Total Lunar Eclipse (historically bullish) Summary ✍️ The SCOTUS tariff ruling is the biggest macro development in months since it removes one of the largest sources of uncertainty over the past few months. The relative strength of the market was very telling, but Trump's immediate counter-move with a new 10% global tariff means the tariff overhang isn't fully removed, just restructured under different legal authority. The real concern is the economic data. You have 1.4% GDP + 3.0% sticky core PCE which is a stagflationary signal that puts the Fed in an impossible position. Add in the Iran military strike deadline (~March 1), DHS shutdown Day 7, and NVIDIA earnings next week, and there's still a wall of event risk to navigate. Stay patient, size positions appropriately, and wait for confluence between your indicators and S/R lines. πŸ“Š BTC Analysis πŸ“Š BTC continues to show resilience despite the tariff news (bullish). The RSI is bouncing off of its signal line while the StochRSI is finally reset below 80 and is close to crossing back above its signal line. If the relief rally sustains into the weekend with Iran tensions not escalating, we could see a push toward 69-70k. Major support remains 65-66k, 62.8k, 60k, 55k, and 48k while major resistance remains 71.5k, 73.6k, 76-78k, 84.5k, 86.7k, 88.2k, and 90k. πŸ“Š ETH Analysis πŸ“Š ETH is holding its 1940 support very well. Its RSI is bouncing from its signal line while its StochRSI is reset below 80 (bullish). If ETH closes below 1930, I would expect 1830 next. Otherwise, I'm looking for continuation to 2000. Major support remains 1940, 1830, 1720-1760, and 1540, while major resistance remains 2000, 2100, 2211, 2377, 2550, 2750-2820. Quote of the day ✍️ β€œGrowth begins where excuses expire.” If you want real-time guidance during volatility (not after), join us: 1-Month Access β€” Data’s Alpha Circle πŸ”— https://whop.com/datas-alpha-circle/gain-access-now/ ❌ BEWARE OF SCAMMERS! I WILL NEVER DM YOU FIRST! ❌

πŸ“Š Market Update πŸ“Š The market continues to chop as Trump escalated the Iran situation dramatically, saying he'll decide on m
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πŸ“Š Market Update πŸ“Š The market continues to chop as Trump escalated the Iran situation dramatically, saying he'll decide on military strikes within 10 days and sources reporting the military could be ready as early as this weekend. The DHS shutdown is now on Day 6 with Congress on recess until Feb 23rd and negotiations reportedly hitting a wall. I'm remaining extremely patient here. Tomorrow's PCE inflation data is critical, and a hot print combined with rising oil and hawkish Fed minutes would be a very bearish setup for risk-on assets. We need clarity on Iran, PCE, and the DHS standoff before committing heavy capital, but will continue to take trades that align with our S/R levels and indicators: Key News Events - Trump gives Iran 10 days to make a nuclear deal or face military strikes, US military could be ready as early as this weekend -Trump directs government to release classified files on aliens, extraterrestrial life, and UFOs. - Oil surges to 6-month highs as two carrier strike groups enter the Persian Gulf - Iran and Russia conducted joint naval exercises in the Gulf of Oman as US builds up military presence - Mortgage rates fall to 6.01%, lowest since September 2022 - Eric Trump predicted BTC will hit $1M at World Liberty Financial forum at Mar-a-Lago Upcoming Events - Feb 20th - PCE Inflation Data + Q4 GDP Advance Estimate (critical for rate expectations) - Feb 23rd - Congress returns from recess (DHS shutdown negotiations resume) - Feb 24th - Trump State of the Union Address - Feb 25th - NVIDIA Earnings (after hours) - Feb 28th - Secretary of State Rubio meets Netanyahu to discuss Iran - March 1st - Trump's 10-day Iran decision deadline expires - March 3rd - Full Moon (Worm Moon) + Total Lunar Eclipse Summary ✍️ This is a risk management environment, not a trading environment. The Iran situation just became the single most important variable across all markets. Trump's 10-day ultimatum creates a genuine binary outcome for oil, inflation expectations, and by extension every risk asset including crypto. If strikes happen this weekend as sources suggest is possible, expect oil to spike significantly and add direct inflationary pressure that complicates the entire rate cut narrative. Tomorrow's PCE data is the next major catalyst. Trump's State of the Union on Feb 24th could also shift sentiment. The Fear & Greed at 11 is historically a contrarian buy signal, but timing a bottom in the face of genuine geopolitical risk is a losing game. Stay patient, manage position sizes, and let the dust settle on Iran and PCE before getting aggressive. πŸ“Š BTC Analysis πŸ“Š BTC is showing some resilience by stabilizing above 66k. The RSI is bouncing off of its signal line while the StochRSI is finally reset below 80. I'm watching 65-66k, as if that breaks, we're likely heading to 62k and potentially 60k (the Feb 6th swing low). Although if Iran tensions de-escalate and PCE comes in soft, a violent squeeze back toward 70k+ is on the table given how stretched the fear readings are. Major support remains 65-66k, 62.8k, 60k, 55k, and 48k while major resistance remains 71.5k, 73.6k, 76-78k, 84.5k, 86.7k, 88.2k, 90k. πŸ“Š ETH Analysis πŸ“Š ETH is struggling to hold its 1940 support. Its RSI is very close to crossing to the downside while its StochRSI is reset below 80. If ETH closes below 1930, I would expect 1830 next. Otherwise, I'm watching for a close above 1940 for a potential bounce. Major support remains 1940, 1830, 1720-1760, and 1540, while major resistance remains 2100, 2211, 2377, 2550, 2750-2820. Quote of the day ✍️ β€œYou either design your days or react to them.” ❌ BEWARE OF SCAMMERS! I WILL NEVER DM YOU FIRST! ❌

πŸ“Š Market Update πŸ“Š Stocks are rallying for a third straight day as crypto continues to underperform. The Fed's January meeti
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πŸ“Š Market Update πŸ“Š Stocks are rallying for a third straight day as crypto continues to underperform. The Fed's January meeting minutes dropped at 2pm EST and were mixed. Several officials suggested the Fed may need to raise rates if inflation stays elevated, while other members said cuts are appropriate if inflation continues declining. This ambiguity is keeping a lid on risk appetite, along with ongoing geopolitical escalation after Iran partially closed the Strait of Hormuz for IRGC military drills during US-Iran nuclear talks in Geneva. Oil jumped on the Hormuz closure but pulled back after both sides reported progress on "guiding principles" (though no deal yet): Key News Events - Iran partially closed Strait of Hormuz for IRGC "Smart Control" naval drill, first such closure since US military buildup in region - US-Iran nuclear talks in Geneva: agreed on "guiding principles" but no deal, Eurasia Group puts 65% probability on US military strikes by end of April - Ukraine-Russia peace talks in Geneva collapsed after just 2 hours - DHS shutdown in Day 5, Congress on recess until Feb 23, no deal in sight - Fed January meeting minutes released: mixed signals, "several" officials suggested potential rate hike if inflation persists, others see cuts if inflation declines - Polymarket: 93% chance Fed holds rates in March, with most pricing 2-3 cuts by year end - Fear & Greed Index at 12 (Extreme Fear) Upcoming Events - Feb 19th - US Initial Jobless Claims - Feb 20th - Q4 GDP Data, Feb PMI - Feb 23rd - Congress returns from recess - Feb 24th - Trump State of the Union Address - Feb 28th - PCE Inflation Data (Jan) - March 3rd - Full Moon (Worm Moon) + Total Lunar Eclipse - March FOMC Meeting (93% chance of no change) Summary ✍️ With the DHS shutdown entering day 5, Congress on recess until Feb 23rd, and major data drops ahead (Walmart earnings Thursday, PCE later this month), I'm staying patient and letting the levels do the work. No reason to chase anything right now when crypto is diverging this hard from equities. Although this kind of decoupling historically doesn't last long. Either stocks come back down or crypto catches up. The escalating war tensions isn't good though. The Fed minutes were also the wildcard today. The hawkish language about potential rate hikes was a cause for concern, but the broader message was that the Fed is data-dependent and the door to cuts remains open. The 93% hold probability for March means nothing happens soon anyway, so the next real catalyst is the PCE print on Feb 28th. Trump's State of the Union on Feb 24th could be a sentiment catalyst depending on what he says about crypto, tariffs, and Iran. Patience is paramount. πŸ“Š BTC Analysis πŸ“Š BTC sold off hard today despite stocks rallying. The RSI is close to crossing below its signal line while the StochRSI is overbought and finally crossing down. I'm watching 65-66k, as if that breaks, we're likely heading to 62k and potentially 60k (the Feb 6th swing low). If 65k holds and stocks keep rallying, the bounce toward 70k+ could be violent given how extreme the fear readings are. Major support remains 65-66k, 62.8k, 60k, 55k, and 48k while major resistance remains 71.5k, 73.6k, 76-78k, 84.5k, 86.7k, 88.2k, 90k, and 92k (50D EMA) πŸ“Š ETH Analysis πŸ“Š ETH is now approaching its support of 1946 to maintain a higher low. Its RSI is crossing to the downside but its StochRSI does show some resilience for now (albeit overbought). If ETH closes below 1930, I would expect 1830 next. Otherwise, I'm watching for a close above 1940 for a potential bounce. Major support remains 1940, 1830, 1720-1760, and 1540, while major resistance remains 2100, 2211, 2377, 2550, 2750-2820 Quote of the day ✍️ "Once you overcome your fear, you're on a high. You then start chasing your fears instead of your fear chasing you." ❌ BEWARE OF SCAMMERS! I WILL NEVER DM YOU FIRST! ❌

πŸ“Š Market Update πŸ“Š BTC held relatively well over the weekend, trading around 68.7k after giving back only a small portion of
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πŸ“Š Market Update πŸ“Š BTC held relatively well over the weekend, trading around 68.7k after giving back only a small portion of Friday's CPI-driven rally. This is actually a positive sign considering how brutal weekend liquidity has been during previous selloffs. US markets are closed today for Presidents' Day, so there's no traditional market catalyst until Tuesday. The DHS shutdown is officially in effect after the Senate vote failed 52-47 on Thursday, but the market has largely shrugged it off since ICE and CBP are separately funded through reconciliation. Senators left for recess and won't return unless a deal materializes: Key News Events - Trump dispatches second aircraft carrier group to the Middle East amid escalating tensions with Iran - X to launch crypto and stock trading directly from the timeline within a couple weeks. - DHS shutdown officially in effect since midnight Feb 14th after Senate vote failed 52-47 - Michael Saylor's 'Strategy' says it can "withstand a drawdown in Bitcoin's price to $8K and still have sufficient assets to fully cover its debt." - Binance founder CZ says lack of privacy is the missing link to crypto payment adoption. - Trump's Truth Social files Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF with SEC. Upcoming Events - Feb 16th - Presidents' Day (US markets closed) - Feb 17th - Markets reopen - DHS shutdown in effect, no clear timeline for resolution, senators on recess Summary ✍️ The bigger story over the weekend was the ETH whale activity. Garrett Jin, a well-known trader, deposited over 260k ETH worth $543 million into Binance on Saturday in three separate transactions. This is one of the largest concentrated exchange inflows this month and creates immediate overhead supply pressure. BTC dominance continues to climb as most are taking a risk-off approach. I'm staying patient through the 3-day weekend. The CPI print on Friday gave us the macro clarity we needed, and the fact that BTC is holding above 68k rather than giving it all back is constructive. The DHS shutdown is noise at this point, since ICE/CBP are funded and the market has already priced it in. The real question is whether Tuesday's reopen brings fresh buying or if we get another "sell the news" reaction as the shortened week unfolds. I'm leaning cautiously optimistic based on the CPI data and the fear readings still being at historic extremes, but I want to see how price reacts to major resistance on volume before adding exposure. πŸ“Š BTC Analysis πŸ“Š BTC continues to make higher lows as it approaches its 71.8k resistance. Its RSI is starting to stabilize as its StochRSI becomes overbought and very close to crossing below its signal line. As long as we can maintain higher lows and stay above trendline support, I remain bullish, but keep an eye on the StochRSI as it could be enough to bring us much lower. Major support: 67k, 60k (200W SMA), and 55k (golden pocket) Major resistance: 71.8k, 78k, 84.5k, 86.7k, 88.2k, 90k, 92k (50D EMA), and 94.6k (50W EMA) πŸ“Š ETH Analysis πŸ“Š ETH closed below its 2000 support but is still maintaining higher lowers similar to BTC. Its RSI still looks bullish while its StochRSI is overbought and crossing below its signal line. If ETH closes below 1930, I would expect 1830 next. Otherwise, I'm watching for a close above 2000 for follow-through. Major support: 1830, 1730 (weekly trendline), and 1530 Major resistance: 2000, 2120, 2370, 2560, 2680, 2750, 2820, 2900-2930, 3050, and 3170 (50D EMA) Quote of the day ✍️ "Confidence comes from preparation, not affirmation." If you want real-time guidance during volatility (not after), join us: 1-Month Access β€” Data’s Alpha Circle πŸ”— https://whop.com/datas-alpha-circle/gain-access-now/ ❌ BEWARE OF SCAMMERS! I WILL NEVER DM YOU FIRST! ❌

πŸ“Š Market Update πŸ“Š Yesterday's CPI data came in soft which was bullish for BTC. It printed 2.4% YoY (below the 2.5% consensu
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πŸ“Š Market Update πŸ“Š Yesterday's CPI data came in soft which was bullish for BTC. It printed 2.4% YoY (below the 2.5% consensus) and 0.2% MoM (below the 0.3% expected), marking the lowest inflation reading since May 2025. Rate cut odds for June jumped to 61% after the print. Although we did have the DHS officially shut down as the Senate vote failed 52-47 (needed 60), but ICE and CBP remain funded through reconciliation so the market impact should be minimal. Senators are leaving for recess next week, meaning this shutdown could drag. I'm cautiously optimistic here. The CPI was the catalyst we needed to shift the narrative, and the BTC bounce off of extreme fear territory is encouraging. But we need to reclaim 72k on a daily close to confirm this is an actual reversal. Markets are closed Monday for Presidents' Day, so expect more volatility than usual: Key News Events - Trump dispatching second aircraft carrier group to Middle East in case Iran diplomacy fails - X to launch crypto and stock trading directly from the timeline within a "couple weeks." - Trump's Truth Social files Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF with SEC. - Kevin O'Leary wins $2.8 million defamation lawsuit against crypto influencer Ben Armstrong aka 'Bitboy.' - January CPI comes in below expectations: 2.4% YoY (vs 2.5% expected), 0.2% MoM (vs 0.3% expected), lowest since May 2025 - Core CPI: 2.5% YoY (in line, lowest annual core reading since March 2021), 0.3% MoM (in line) - 2-year Treasury yield drops to 3.52%, lowest level since 2022 - 10-year Treasury yield eases to 4.07%, reinforcing rate cut expectations - June rate cut odds jump to 61% after CPI, most people are now pricing two cuts by year end - DHS shuts down at midnight after Senate vote fails 52-47 (needed 60). TSA, FEMA, Coast Guard, CISA, Secret Service affected but ICE/CBP fully funded through reconciliation - Coinbase reports $667M net loss in Q4 driven by $718M unrealized investment losses Upcoming Events - Feb 17th - Presidents' Day (US markets closed) - DHS shutdown in effect, no clear timeline for resolution, senators on recess next week Summary ✍️ With Monday markets closed, liquidity will be very thin over the next 72+ hours. If we can hold 67k-68k through the weekend and reclaim 72k next week, this could be the start of the relief rally we've been waiting for. Although keep in mind we still have Iran tensions, the Epstein cover-up, and CLARITY Act delays which could cause more uncertainty over the next few weeks. Size conservatively, respect the levels, and let the trend confirm before getting aggressive. πŸ“Š BTC Analysis πŸ“Š BTC continues to make higher lows (bullish) as it approaches its 71.8k resistance. Its RSI maintains higher after bouncing off of its signal line while its StochRSI is starting to approach overbought territory (which could signal a pullback within a few days). Major support remains 67k, 60k, 55k, and 48k while major resistance remains 71.8k, 74.6k, 78k, 84.5k, 86.7k, 88.2k, 90k, 92k (50D EMA), and 94.6k (50W EMA). πŸ“Š ETH Analysis πŸ“Š ETH is also back in its support zone and making higher lows. Its RSI and StochRSI are in similar positions as BTC which could mean one finally push to 2190 before a pullback. A close above 2190 and I would expect much higher. Major support remains 200, 1830, 1730, and 1530, while major resistance remains 2120, 2190, 2370, 2560, 2680, 2750, 2820, 2900-2930, 3050, and 3170 (50D EMA)⁨. Quote of the day ✍️ "Thinking about the effort and hard work required to do a task instead of thinking about the payoff is what keeps you stuck in inaction and laziness." ❌ BEWARE OF SCAMMERS! I WILL NEVER DM YOU FIRST! ❌

πŸ“Š Market Update πŸ“Š Most of the market sold off yesterday. The Fear & Greed Index remains in single digits, the lowest readin
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πŸ“Š Market Update πŸ“Š Most of the market sold off yesterday. The Fear & Greed Index remains in single digits, the lowest reading since the FTX collapse in 2022. AI stocks haven't helped as most were hammered (Cisco down 12%, Apple down 5%, all Mag 7 red) and that risk-off sentiment bled straight into crypto. The DHS shutdown is now hours away with no deal in sight, and we also have CPI data this morning. That number will set the tone for everything. We also have the Iran tensions which aren't helping either. I'm not forcing anything here. Let the data come, let the dust settle, and then execute: Key News Events - DHS shutdown now hours away, House hearing confirms it has gone "from a distinct possibility to a probability" - Schumer calls White House counterproposal "incomplete and insufficient" - United States signs trade deal with Taiwan, cutting tariffs to 15%. In return, Taiwan will remove "99%" of trade barriers on US and purchase $84 billion worth of American goods. - Coinbase buys $39M worth of Bitcoin in Q4, 2025. - Binance buys another $305M worth of Bitcoin for its 'SAFU' fund. Upcoming Events - Feb 13th - January CPI Report (8:30am EST) - Feb 13th - DHS funding expires at midnight (partial shutdown all but certain, affects TSA, FEMA, CISA, Coast Guard) Summary ✍️ Today was a true "sell everything" day. Stocks, gold, silver, and crypto all dropped together as most de-risked ahead of todays' CPI print and the DHS shutdown deadline. When gold drops 3% alongside risk assets, that tells you this is about positioning and liquidity, not fundamentals. Everyone is raising cash and waiting for clarity. The Fear & Greed Index being in single digits for an extended period of time is hard to overstate. Historically, readings this extreme have marked generational buying opportunities, but timing them requires a catalyst, and we haven't gotten one yet. CPI this morning is that potential catalyst. If it comes in tame, the market can breathe and we get a relief rally across risk assets. If it comes in hot, we're looking at "higher for longer" getting cemented and another leg down is very much on the table. The DHS shutdown will add some noise but not panic since ICE is funded through reconciliation and most immigration enforcement continues regardless. The real risk from the shutdown is headline fatigue and sentiment drag on an already fragile market. I want to be aggressive at these levels, the fear readings are screaming opportunity, but I need to see the CPI number first. Patience over prediction. πŸ“Š BTC Analysis πŸ“Š BTC couldn't hold its major support above 67k as we have the uncertainty from the CPI and DHS headlines. The StochRSI is also nearing overbought territory which will cause more volatility ahead of the weekend, although the RSI remains above the signal line which is technically bullish. This is where patience remains paramount in waiting for confirmation as the market chooses a clear direction. Major support remains 60k, 55k, and 48k while major resistance remains 67k, 71.8k, 74.6k, 78k, 84.5k, 86.7k, 88.2k, 90k, 92k (50D EMA), and 94.6k (50W EMA). πŸ“Š ETH Analysis πŸ“Š ETH remains below major resistance of 2010-2120. Although its RSI and StochRSI still look bullish which could be enough for higher if the daily can close above 2010. Currently I'm remaining patient, but will be watching closely for confirmation. Major support remains 1830, 1730, and 1530, while major resistance remains 2010, 2120, 2190, 2370, 2560, 2680, 2750, 2820, 2900-2930, 3050, and 3170 (50D EMA)⁨. Quote of the day ✍️ β€œHigh performers remove friction. Amateurs create excuses.” If you want real-time guidance during volatility (not after), join us: 1-Month Access β€” Data’s Alpha Circle πŸ”— https://whop.com/datas-alpha-circle/gain-access-now/ ❌ BEWARE OF SCAMMERS! I WILL NEVER DM YOU FIRST! ❌

πŸ“Š Market Update πŸ“Š The market continues to chop sideways as BTC hovers around $67k following today's stronger-than-expected
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πŸ“Š Market Update πŸ“Š The market continues to chop sideways as BTC hovers around $67k following today's stronger-than-expected January NFP report (130k jobs added vs 70k expected, unemployment down to 4.3%). The market remained mostly neutral throughout the day. We did see ASTER outperform which shows liquidity remains within the space. I'm staying patient as Friday's CPI report will be the defining catalyst this week, and the DHS shutdown uncertainty needs to resolve before I feel confident for more upside: Key News Events - January NFP comes in at +130k (well above 70k consensus), unemployment drops to 4.3%, its strongest month since Dec 2024 - 2025 benchmark revisions confirm hiring recession: only 181k total jobs added (15k/month avg), worst outside of recession since 2023 - Average hourly earnings +0.4% MoM / 3.7% YoY, slightly hot, reinforcing "higher for longer" Fed narrative - BlockFills ($60B volume institutional crypto lender) halts all client withdrawals, drawing 2022 Celsius/BlockFi comparisons - Clarity Act stalled in Congress as banks push to ban stablecoin yield - DHS shutdown essentially a certainty as negotiations stalled, and Democrats refuse CR without ICE reforms. The deadline is Feb 13th - 10-Year Treasury yield up 3bps to 4.18%, 2-Year up 6bps to 3.52% which means rate cut expectations are pushed back Upcoming Events - Feb 12th - Senate DHS funding negotiations continue (vote expected today) - Feb 13th - Jan CPI Data - Feb 13th - DHS funding expires at midnight (partial shutdown looking highly probable, affects TSA, FEMA, CISA, Coast Guard, but ICE funded via reconciliation) Summary ✍️ Today's NFP was a mixed bag as the economy remains in its stagflationary period. Gold continues to outperform most as uncertainty rises with the DHS shutdown now less than 36 hours away with zero progress on negotiations, and the Iran situation continuing to simmer with Trump/Netanyahu unable to agree on a strategy. Friday's CPI report is the make-or-break catalyst imo. A soft reading would reignite rate cut hopes and likely spark a relief rally across risk assets whereas a hot reading would cement the "higher for longer" narrative and could send us retesting lows. The BlockFills withdrawal halt is also a red flag worth monitoring. While there's no evidence of insolvency, institutional crypto lending firms halting withdrawals in a bear market is exactly how 2022 started. With that said, I'm sizing positions conservatively and keeping dry powder ready. The Fear & Greed Index maintaining single-digit territory is historically a generational buying zone, but timing the turn requires confirmation. I would let the CPI data and DHS resolution provide that confirmation before sizing up. πŸ“Š BTC Analysis πŸ“Š BTC is struggling to hold its 67k level as uncertainty continues in the geopolitical landscape. Its daily RSI is still above its signal line and its StochRSI is maintaining an uptrend which could mean a rally higher in the near future if 67k holds. Major support remains 67k, 60k, and 55k, while major resistance remains 71.8k, 74.6k, 78k, 84.5k, 86.7k, 88.2k, 90k, 92k (50D EMA), and 94.6k (50W EMA). πŸ“Š ETH Analysis πŸ“Š ETH is now below major resistance of 2010-2120. Although its RSI and StochRSI do look bullish which could be enough for higher if the daily can close above 2010. Currently I'm remaining patient, but will be watching closely for confirmation. Major support remains 1830, 1730, and 1530, while major resistance remains 2010, 2120, 2190, 2370, 2560, 2680, 2750, 2820, 2900-2930, 3050, and 3170 (50D EMA)⁨. Quote of the day ✍️ β€œClarity creates confidence. Confidence improves execution.” ❌ BEWARE OF SCAMMERS! I WILL NEVER DM YOU FIRST! ❌

πŸ“Š Market Update πŸ“Š The market continues to chop during this week of uncertainty as we have delayed Jan NFP dropping Wednesda
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πŸ“Š Market Update πŸ“Š The market continues to chop during this week of uncertainty as we have delayed Jan NFP dropping Wednesday + US-Israel nuclear talks for Iran, and CPI + DHS funding deadline both hit on Feb 13th. I'm staying patient here as the macro catalysts this week will dictate direction, and will only trade high probability extremes at major support/resistance levels: Key News Events - Trump says the US economy can grow at 15% if Kevin Warsh does his job right as Fed Chair - House Democrats seek to overturn Trump's tariffs on Canada - Tom Lee's 'BitMine' buys $82 million worth of ETH - DHS funding extends only through Feb 13th via short-term CR with risk of another partial shutdown if ICE reform negotiations stall - Tether invests $150M in Gold.com (~12% stake), expanding its tokenized gold strategy - BTC mining difficulty drops the most since 2021 as miners capitulate which historically signals bottoming process Upcoming Events - Feb 11th- Trump & Netanyahu meeting in D.C to discuss Iran - Feb 11th - Nonfarm Payrolls Data - Feb 13th - Jan CPI Data - Feb 13th - DHS funding deadline (another potential gov't shutdown) - March 18th - Next FOMC Meeting - May 15th - Powell's term expires, Warsh confirmation process ongoing Summary ✍️ This is a patience market, plain and simple. Despite sentiment being at all-time lows and billions of liquidations happening every week, the thing to understand is nothing is broken. There's no systemic failure, no hidden leverage time bomb, no exchange collapsing. This is a pure liquidity and confidence crisis in an environment where macro uncertainty (tariffs, shutdown risk, rate path) is compressing risk appetite across all assets, not just crypto. Gold is acting as the safe haven while BTC lags. This is the reality of where we are in the BTC maturation cycle. NFP on Wednesday will tell us if the labor market is cracking (bullish for rate cuts) or holding firm (keeps Fed on hold longer). CPI on Friday is the other issue. If both come in soft, it could be the catalyst that shifts the Fed narrative toward earlier cuts and gives risk assets the green light. Until then, I'm respecting the indicators and not forcing trades. We've seen these extreme fear readings resolve with powerful rallies before, but they can also persist longer than you'd expect. Size appropriately, keep stops tight, and let the data guide you this week. πŸ“Š BTC Analysis πŸ“Š Nothing has changed with BTC. It continues to float between its 67-72k support zone. If it continues to hold this range, the probability of a tradeable bounce toward 75-80k increases significantly. But if we lose 67k, then I would look for 55-60k as the next demand zone. Its weekly RSI and StochRSI are both oversold which should as a nice springboard if we can get a bullish daily close (yet to happen). Major support remains 67k, 60k, and 55k, while major resistance remains 71.8k, 74.6k, 78k, 84.5k, 86.7k, 88.2k, 90k, 92k (50D EMA), and 94.6k (50W EMA). πŸ“Š ETH Analysis πŸ“Š ETH is in a similar position as well. It remains in its support zone between 2010-2120. Its weekly RSI is slightly curling while its StochRSI is extremely oversold and potentially forming a bottom. Right now I'm being patient and looking for a weekly close above 2120 for a bullish reversal or waiting to see if 2000 can hold, otherwise I would look to long again near the trendline support if we get there. Major support remains 2010, 1830, 1730, and 1530, while major resistance remains 2120, 2190, 2370, 2560, 2680, 2750, 2820, 2900-2930, 3050, and 3170 (50D EMA)⁨. Quote of the day ✍️ β€œFocus is saying no to good things so you can say yes to great ones.” ❌ BEWARE OF SCAMMERS! I WILL NEVER DM YOU FIRST! ❌

🚨 This Is the Most Important Week for Crypto 🚨 Macro events, key levels, and multiple scenarios are lining up, and how price reacts this week sets the tone going forward. In this video, I break down: β€’ The critical levels I’m watching β€’ The events that actually matter (not the noise) β€’ Clear bullish vs bearish scenarios so you’re prepared either way No predictions. Just structure, data, and a plan. πŸŽ₯ Watch here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=BnW86MGykA4

πŸ“Š Market Update πŸ“Š We're seeing a relief bounce across the board after one of the most brutal weeks in crypto since FTX. Sto
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πŸ“Š Market Update πŸ“Š We're seeing a relief bounce across the board after one of the most brutal weeks in crypto since FTX. Stocks also rebounded Friday with the Dow hitting 50,000 for the first time in history and the S&P climbing back into the green for 2026. The key question now is whether this was capitulation or just a dead cat bounce. A good sign is the F&G index reaching 5 and the weekly RSI being oversold (which likely marks a local bottom), but we still have upcoming US/Iran talks and the DHS funding deadline on Feb 13th, which means we could easily retest lows. I'm remaining patient and defensive here until we see clearer signs of stabilization, but this is exactly the type of environment where our having S/R confluence with indicators is paramount: Key News Events - US-Iran indirect nuclear talks in Oman concluded Feb 6th, described by Trump as "a good start" with more talks planned next week - Jim Cramer says he was told President Trump is buying Bitcoin for the US strategic reserve during the crash this week - "I heard at $60k he's gonna fill the Bitcoin Reserve." - Trump officially signs order allowing US to impose additional 25% tariff on any country doing business with Iran. - Trump predicts the US stock market will double by the end of his term. - Partial government shutdown ended Feb 3rd after Trump signed spending bill. DHS funding only through Feb 13th (second potential shutdown) - January jobs report (NFP) delayed due to government shutdown, no rescheduled date yet Upcoming Events - Feb 10-11th β€” Next round of US-Iran nuclear talks expected (location TBD, likely Oman) - Feb 13th - January CPI Report / DHS Funding Deadline (before another gov't shutdown) - Feb 14th β€” Monthly Deribit BTC/ETH options expiry - Jan NFP report β€” TBD once BLS resumes operations post-shutdown - March 18th - Next FOMC Meeting - May 15th - Powell's term expires, Warsh confirmation process ongoing Summary ✍️ So far the market is holding up relatively well. The F&G index at 5-8 puts us in historically rare territory, only last seen in the 2022 bear market (FTX, Terra, Celsius, 3AC). Sentiment extremes like this are where longer-term bottoms tend to form. The key is patience. Don't try to catch the exact bottom. Wait for confirmation signals on the weekly/monthly and let your indicators guide entries. The DHS deadline on Feb 13th, CPI data next week, and US/Iran talks are the next catalysts to watch. If any of those turn out negative, it could cause us to have another flush. I'm playing everything level by level and still taking profits accordingly. πŸ“Š BTC Analysis πŸ“Š BTC bounced perfectly off of the 200W SMA just above 58k. This also coincided with an oversold weekly RSI and StochRSI + horizontal support, which is exactly the confluence you want to see. Now BTC is holding just above the 200W EMA which could also act as a springboard if we can close above it. Patience remains paramount here, but if we can continue to make higher lows and form bullish structure, I'll start to look for more longs. Major support remains 67k, 60k, and 55k, while major resistance remains 71.5k, 74.6k, 78k, 84.5k, 86.7k, 88.2k, 90k, 92k (50D EMA), and 94.6k (50W EMA). πŸ“Š ETH Analysis πŸ“Š ETH respected our trendline support, bouncing nicely at 1750 before approaching its next resistance area below 2120. Its weekly RSI is not quite oversold yet but is currently at the lows we saw April 2025. Although its StochRSI is oversold and potentially forming a bullish divergence on the weekly which could send us much higher if played out. Right now I'm being patient and looking for a weekly close above 2120 for a bullish reversal, otherwise I would look to long again near the trendline support if we get there. Major support remains 2080, 2010, 1830, 1730, and 1530, while major resistance remains 2120, 2190, 2370, 2560, 2680, 2750, 2820, 2900-2930, 3050, and 3170 (50D EMA)⁨. Quote of the day ✍️ β€œYour habits decide your future long before your intentions do.” ❌ BEWARE OF SCAMMERS! I WILL NEVER DM YOU FIRST! ❌

Since there was such a positive response to my last market update, I’m sharing a recent livestream I just held inside Data's Alpha Circle πŸ’Ž β€’ See how I navigate volatile markets in real time β€’ Learn risk-first insights you can apply immediately β€’ Get a behind-the-scenes look at what group coaching actually looks like This framework has helped traders avoid costly mistakes during market crashes 🧠 πŸŽ₯ Watch here: https://youtu.be/PRPJK5nFAV4?si=5wq9u29SNTFBdmnR

Crypto Market Update - Feb, 5th 2026 Hope you all enjoy 🀝

🧠 Most traders lose money in markets like today, not because price moved, but because they didn’t know what to do. While fea
🧠 Most traders lose money in markets like today, not because price moved, but because they didn’t know what to do. While fear was peaking, our plan was already in place. We executed a BTC short from 96.5K β†’ 72.5K by following structure, not headlines. This is exactly why Data’s Alpha Circle exists: β€’ To provide clarity in chaos β€’ To teach risk-first execution β€’ To help traders stay consistent, not emotional If you want real-time guidance during volatility (not after), join us: 1-Month Access β€” Data’s Alpha Circle πŸ”— https://whop.com/datas-alpha-circle/gain-access-now/ No hype. Just process πŸ“Š

πŸ“Š Market Update πŸ“Š Another brutal day in the markets as BTC crashed to yearly lows of $73K before bouncing back to $76K. Yes
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πŸ“Š Market Update πŸ“Š Another brutal day in the markets as BTC crashed to yearly lows of $73K before bouncing back to $76K. Yesterday's relief rally completely failed as the broader tech selloff dragged us lower. In saying that, the government shutdown is now over after Trump signed the funding bill this afternoon, which is one less uncertainty to worry about, though DHS only received 2 weeks of funding so we'll be back at it by Feb 13th. The big wildcard now is US-Iran tensions after the Navy shot down an Iranian drone approaching the USS Abraham Lincoln, adding geopolitical risk premium across markets. I'm remaining extremely cautious until we see clear confirmation of a reversal, but these extreme fear readings historically mark excellent long-term entry points: Key News Events - Government shutdown ends after House passes funding bill 217-214, Trump signs into law - US Navy F-35 shoots down Iranian Shahed-139 drone approaching USS Abraham Lincoln - IRGC boats harass US tanker in Strait of Hormuz – USS McFaul intervenes - Bitwise CIO declares "full-bore, 2022-like crypto winter" in official note - Crypto Fear & Greed Index reach 14 (Extreme Fear) Upcoming Events - Feb 5th - Strategy (MSTR) earnings - Feb 7th - US-Iran talks will either be held in Oman or Turkey (TBD) / US jobs report (delayed) - Feb 13th - New DHS funding deadline after 2-week extension - March 18th - Next FOMC Meeting - May 15th - Powell's term expires, Warsh confirmation process ongoing Summary ✍️ With sentiment this low, and various high timeframe indicators reaching oversold, we're in capitulation territory. BTC briefly broke below Strategy's $76K cost basis, ETF holders are underwater at $84-88K average, and a major asset manager just called this a crypto winter. However, 3-day negative funding rates, deeply oversold RSI readings, and returning ETF inflows suggest smart money is quietly accumulating. The shutdown resolution removes one overhang, but Iran tensions and delayed economic data keep uncertainty elevated. Precious metals rebounding strongly shows the "hard asset" thesis is intact, and is just experiencing a positioning reset after getting too crowded. Patience remains paramount here, along with only take trades with your indicators + S/R lines are in confluence. πŸ“Š BTC Analysis πŸ“Š Today was a full rejection of Monday's bounce attempt. We rallied to $79k overnight only to get slammed back to $73k during the US session, the lowest level in over a year. Currently we're hovering around $75.5-76k, fighting to stay above Strategy's cost basis of $76,052. The RSI at 27 is deeply oversold (historically a buy zone), and funding rates have been negative for 3 consecutive days, a setup that often precedes relief rallies. However, we need to see $78K reclaimed before getting constructive. I'm watching for confirmation that $76K holds as a higher low before adding risk. If we lose $70k, the 200-week SMA at $58k becomes the next major target. Major support remains 74.6k, 71.6k, 67k, and 60k, while major resistance remains 78k, 84.5k, 86.7k, 88.2k, 90k, 92k (50D EMA), and 94.6k (50W EMA). πŸ“Š ETH Analysis πŸ“Š ETH rejected from 2370 as expected and bounced perfect from our support zone between 2120-2190. The RSI is oversold and starting to form bullish divergence while the StochRSI looks very good as well, crossing from oversold above its signal line. If ETH can close convincingly above 2370, I'll feel strongly that we get a push to 2560. Major support remains 2190, 2010, 1830, 1730, and 1530, while major resistance remains 2370, 2560, 2680, 2750, 2820, 2900-2930, 3050, and 3170 (50D EMA)⁨. πŸ‘‘ If you would like to join my private group, see the pinned message or the link below: Data’s Alpha Circle β€” 1-Month Access Available πŸ”— https://whop.com/datas-alpha-circle/gain-access-now/ Quote of the day ✍️ β€œYou will never fear failure as much as you will fear realizing you never tried.” ❌ BEWARE OF SCAMMERS! I WILL NEVER DM YOU FIRST! ❌