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โ™Š๏ธStrong PMI data pushed EURUSD higher The euro (EUR) gained 0.28% on Friday, supported by the stronger-than-expected preliminary eurozone Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) report for May and profit-taking on the U.S. dollar (USD). Possible effects for traders EURUSD rose as expectations for a rate cut by the European Central Bank (ECB) slightly slipped. The rate cut in June is still priced in with over 80% probability, but the projected easing by the end of the year has decreased towards 55 basis points (bps), down from nearly 70 bps last week. This outlook supports EURUSD. Traders will closely watch eurozone inflation data on Friday for indications of the inflation pace in Europe. A rise in services inflation above 4% could prompt the ECB to skip the rate cut in June, which would be positive for the euro. However, ECB policymaker Piero Cipollone stated on Sunday that recent data supports a June rate cut. ECB President Christine Lagarde also expressed confidence in controlling eurozone inflation and indicated a likely rate cut next month. Stronger U.S. economic data and hawkish comments from Federal Reserve (Fed) officials might spark speculation of a delay in easing U.S. monetary policy this year. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, investors have now priced in a 50% chance of a rate cut in September, down from 64% a week ago. Investors also await the U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for Q1 on Thursday. A stronger reading and other better-than-expected economic data could boost the U.S. dollar in the near term. On Friday, U.S. Durable Goods Orders figures increased by 0.7% month-over-month in April, following a revised 0.8% in March, which was stronger than the expected โˆ’0.8%. EURUSD moved sideways during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, volatility is likely to be relatively low as there are no major news releases, while the U.K. and U.S. banks will be closed due to holidays. EURUSD may continue its downward trend as ECB officials have sounded dovish lately, and the upcoming rate cut in June is widely expected.
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#Brent Crude oil reversed from strong support level 81.00 Likely to rise to resistance level 84.3 Brent Crude oil recently reversed up from the support area located between the strong support level 81.00, which has been reversing the price from February, and the lower daily Bollinger Band. The support level 81.00 was strengthened by the nearby lower daily Bollinger Band and by the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse 1 from December. Given the bullish divergence on the daily Stochastic, Brent Crude oil can be expected to rise further to the next resistance level 84.30. Trade responsibly with us
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