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WHO IS WATCHING GOLD???

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Yesterday’s US CPI came in hotter than expected and caused a big move across the markets, especially Gold. What to watch today:

GOLD — Gold dropped heavily yesterday following the inflation data and is now trying to recover. The main battle is between buyers looking for a technical rebound and continued pressure from stronger USD / higher Fed rate expectations. DXY — Dollar strength remains important. If the dollar continues higher, expect pressure on Gold, EUR/USD and GBP/USD. EUR/USD — ECB President Lagarde speaks at 1:45pm Dubai time. Watch for comments around inflation and future interest rates. GBP/USD — No major UK data today, so Cable will likely take direction from USD strength and overall market sentiment. USD/JPY — Continue watching the dollar and rate expectations. A stronger USD environment could keep the pair supported.

Important: Today is Veterans Day in the US and the bond market is closed, so liquidity may be thinner than normal and price action could become choppy. For Gold today I’d avoid forcing trades. Yesterday was a major volatility day — let price establish its direction and wait for clean confirmations around key levels.

MORNING TEAM 🫡️️️️️️

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EUR/GBP ON THE MOVE! LET'S GOOOOOO

Main News: 5:30pm Dubai — US CPI + Core CPI What to watch:

Gold — Expect volatility around CPI. Hot inflation could strengthen USD/yields and pressure Gold. Softer inflation could send Gold higher. DXY — Dollar direction after CPI will be key for Gold and all major USD pairs. EUR/USD & GBP/USD — Watch for sharp moves around 5:30pm. USD/JPY — Very sensitive to US yields and rate expectations. AUD/USD — Also keep an eye on risk sentiment following strong Chinese trade data.

Big news day — don’t get caught oversized before CPI. Let the initial move happen and wait for confirmation.