CR Learning Library

LIVE TRADE SESSION ⭐️

Date : 5 June 2024 Duration : 60 Minutes

Live Entry/Sharing PIP % CHASER ▶️ Result Live Entry ➡️ 6 setup entries: ➡️GOLD Sell Entry +40pips ✔️ ➡️GOLD Sell Entry +65pips ✔️ ➡️GOLD Sell Entry +92pips ✔️ ➡️GOLD Sell Entry +70pips ✔️ Congratulations and Enjoy your free profits geng. 🔥 Semoga apa yang aku share dalam Live tadi bermanfaat 🙏 See you on the next Live Trade 👑

GOLD Live Entry News capai +92pips ✔️ GOLD Live Entry Post-News entry pun dah hit TP (+70pips) ✔️ Tahniah kepada semua yang mengambil peluang High Risk, High Reward. ⭐️

GOLD dropped +65pips 😍 Sini area TP for sell and retracement for buyers ‼️ Please manage and decide now siapa yang aim for scalp tu ⚠️ News incoming in less than 15MINS ‼️

Aku dah pagar siap-siap 😂 Tapi still kena berhati-hati sebab kita sell without breakouts. Kalau korang tengok mapping ni pun masih lagi structure higher lows. Walaubagaimana pun, kita follow saja FA dengan zone TA yang tepat 💪 Mode FA now is NEUTRAL tapi dalam keadaan menaik. ⚠️ Let's see how far can this go..

FRIENDLY REMINDER: 🔖 ➡️ Fundamental Analysis and Results shared by Capt has No Guarantee of 100% win-rate. ➡️ FA must be applied with proper TA and Money Management strategy. ➡️ Watch Closely: Regular monitoring of key economic releases and market sentiment will be crucial in adjusting trading strategy accordingly. Will update if necessary. 🙏 Goodluck all.

FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS

Interest Rates: The Federal Reserve has left interest rates unchanged recently, but speculation about potential rate cuts remains. These potential cuts are expected later in the year as inflation eases. This scenario typically supports gold prices by reducing the attractiveness of yield-bearing assets relative to gold. Inflation: Inflation pressures have been easing, with recent data showing lower-than-expected figures for key inflation indicators. This trend supports gold prices as lower inflation might prompt the Fed to maintain or cut rates. Currency Movements (USD): The US Dollar has shown some weakness following mixed economic data and expectations of Fed policy adjustments. A weaker dollar generally supports gold prices by making it cheaper for holders of other currencies. Geopolitical Risks: Ongoing geopolitical tensions, including conflicts and trade disputes, continue to provide support for gold as a safe-haven asset. Economic Data and Growth: Recent US economic data, such as the ISM Manufacturing PMI, indicated contraction, supporting gold as a hedge against economic downturns. The ISM Manufacturing Prices Index also showed easing input prices, reducing inflationary pressures. Supply and Demand Dynamics: Central bank purchases from countries like China and Turkey remain robust, sustaining demand and supporting higher gold prices.

SENTIMENT ANALYSIS

Market Expectations: Market sentiment remains mixed, with a slight bearish tilt due to recent price movements. The weakening economic data and dovish Fed stance contribute to this sentiment. Speculative Activity: Sentiment data shows a majority of traders are net-long on gold, which suggests a contrarian view might expect some downside pressure. However, the fundamental backdrop remains supportive in the medium to long term. Geopolitical Events: Geopolitical events are significant drivers of volatility, causing potential spikes in gold prices during times of increased uncertainty. Macroeconomic Announcements: The upcoming Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday will be crucial. Strong employment data could support the USD and weigh on gold, while weak data could further bolster gold prices​.

BIAS ANALYSIS

Short-Term: Bias: Neutral to Bearish Reasoning: Despite recent bullish movements, current sentiment and economic indicators suggest potential downside pressure. Monitor support levels around $2320-$2330 closely. Intermediate-Term: Bias: Neutral Reasoning: Potential consolidation around current levels with key resistance and support zones in play. The NFP report on Friday will be a significant factor. Long-Term: Bias: Neutral to Bullish Reasoning: The fundamental backdrop of easing inflation, dovish Fed signals, and persistent geopolitical risks support a bullish outlook for gold.

Good Morning Chasers! ☄️ GOLD 🔑 Sell TP +320pips ✔️ GOLD 🔑 Sell TP +300pips ✔️ GOLD 🔑 Sell TP +285pips ✔️ GOLD 🔑 Buy SL -45pips ❌ GOLD 🔑 Sell TP +54pips ✔️ GOLD 🔑 Sell TP +150pips ✔️ GOLD 🔑 Sell TP +65pips ✔️ GOLD 🔑 Sell TP +100pips ✔️ Total % Win = 88% 💵📈

➡️ Syukurr FA and TA selari with solid breaks and clear setups. ➡️ Cuma satu je SL sebab testing melawan arah. Itu pun aim for scalp still tak lepas. 🥶 Unlucky trade.

Tapi apa-apa pun Alhamdulillah 😍 Best of luck for today geng! ⭐️

Anjaiii turun lagi dia heheh 😈 Price hit Take Profit max scalp +100pips ✔️ Alhamdulillah for tonight geng! 🔥 Syukur FA + TA kekal function! 🙌

5 setup entry sell holding and now dah hit Target Price ✔️ Nanti jela kita kira pips 🔥 Yang penting target sampai hehe Target Price dan direction based on FA + TA hari ini sampai mantap 😍💵 Tahniah kepada yang berani dan percaya 🤲 Alhamdulillahh...

+120PIPS AFTER FAKEOUT 😍 Bila target FA bias and TA selari, pasti berbaloi 🔥 Learn something? 📈 Standby untuk next setup Chasers! 🔖

Aim untuk 2 possibilities at this point ⚠️ Since dah masuk New York session ni, kita boleh start expecting atau assuming movement kenaikkan sedikit ini adalah RETRACEMENT 🤔 Resume sell at 2 zone : High Risk (Red) and Low Risk (Grey) Be careful dengan 'LAJAK' oleh GOLD malam ni. ⚠️

GOLD mapping AFTER 🔥 Follow FA with TA confirmation for Neutral to Bearish nampaknya berkesan 😍 Alhamdulillah +250pips so far 👑 Tahniah kepada yang berani mengambil peluang.

GOLD mapping update 🔑 Continue sell selagi both sell zones and trendline tak break ⚠️ Valid for scalping and intraday entries at these areas. 📌 Once price hit 2348.64, grey zone akan automatically jadi HIGH RISK for 2nd entry

Setup subuh sell boleh letak SL max at 2355.72 (Intraday SL) ⚠️ For reentry sell or Lower risk sell zone (biru) boleh letak SL 2361.46 (Intraday/Swing SL) ⚠️

FRIENDLY REMINDER: 🔖 ➡️ Fundamental Analysis and Results shared by Capt has No Guarantee of 100% win-rate. ➡️ FA must be applied with proper TA and Money Management strategy. ➡️ Watch Closely: Regular monitoring of key economic releases and market sentiment will be crucial in adjusting trading strategy accordingly. Will update if necessary. 🙏 Goodluck all.

FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS

Interest Rates: The Federal Reserve recently left interest rates unchanged and announced a slower pace of bond sales, which has supported gold by reducing pressure from higher yields. Fed Chair Powell suggested that rate cuts are possible if inflation continues to decline. Inflation: Recent data shows easing inflation pressures, which generally supports gold prices. The Core PCE Price Index, an important inflation gauge, came in lower than expected, adding to the case for the Fed to maintain or cut rates . Currency Movements (USD): The US Dollar has weakened following disappointing JOLTs data and mixed signals from the Fed. A weaker dollar typically supports gold prices as it makes gold cheaper for holders of other currencies. Geopolitical Risks: Persistent geopolitical tensions continue to underpin gold as a safe-haven asset. This includes ongoing issues such as trade disputes and regional conflicts . Economic Data and Growth: US economic data, including the ISM Manufacturing PMI, indicated contraction, which can support gold as a hedge against economic downturns. The ISM Manufacturing Prices Index also showed easing input prices, reducing inflationary pressures. Supply and Demand Dynamics: Central bank purchases remain robust, with significant buying from countries like China and Turkey. This sustained demand supports higher gold prices.

SENTIMENT ANALYSIS

Market Expectations: Market sentiment remains mixed with a slight bullish tilt for gold. The recent weak economic data and dovish Fed stance have contributed to this sentiment. Speculative Activity: Sentiment data from IG indicates a majority of traders are net-long on gold, which suggests a contrarian view might expect some downside pressure. However, the fundamental backdrop remains supportive of gold in the medium to long term. Geopolitical Events: Continued monitoring of geopolitical events is crucial as they can cause significant volatility and drive gold prices higher. Macroeconomic Announcements: The upcoming Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday will be critical. Strong employment data could support the USD and weigh on gold, while weak data could further support gold prices.

BIAS ANALYSIS

Short-Term: Bias: Neutral to Bearish Reasoning: Despite the recent strong upward movement and weakening USD, potential retracement back to $2336-$2325. Change of Direction will on occur if $2352-$2357 resistance zone is broken. Intermediate-Term: Bias: Neutral Reasoning: Potential consolidation around current levels with key resistance and support zones in play. The NFP report on Friday will be a significant factor. Long-Term: Bias: Neutral to Bullish Reasoning: The fundamental backdrop of easing inflation, dovish Fed signals, and persistent geopolitical risks support a bullish outlook for gold.

Good Morning Chasers! ☄️ GOLD 🔑 Sell TP +135pips ✔️ GOLD 🔑 Sell TP +110pips ✔️ GOLD 🔑 Sell CL -35pips ❌ GOLD 🔑 Sell TP +35pips ✔️ GOLD 🔑 Sell TP +55pips ✔️ GOLD 🔑 Sell SL -35pips ❌ GOLD 🔑 Sell TP +102pips ✔️ GOLD 🔑 Sell TP +57pips ✔️ GOLD 🔑 Buy TP +175pips ✔️ GOLD 🔑 Sell TP +70pips ✔️ Total % Win = 80% 💵📈

➡️ Setups semalam banyak melawan arah FA disebabkan ada significant break above certain level/zone. ➡️ Tambah lagi dengan buy zone yang banyak 'tidak sentuh' zone/level.

Tapi apa-apa pun Alhamdulillah dengan Result kekal above 75% 😍 Best of luck for today geng! ⭐️

Alhamdulillah for today ❤️‍🔥🤝 Buy caught +175pips ✔️ Sell pula caught around 70pips ✔️ Boleh decide and manage your trades! ⚠️

Overall TA nampak strongly bullish for today. Banyak clear breakout. Menandakan market agak sukar untuk follow throught dengan ‘Bearish Phase’ as forecasted. 📚 Ingat, apa apa pun TA wajib ada bersama FA. Even if ada breakout semasa pertengahan Trading Day, melawan arah FA. Follow through dengan TA supaya ada ‘systematic approach’. ❗️

Apa-apa pun, tahniah kepada yang profit from today’s trades. Will update more soon and keep improving reports for FA updates 🙌 Mohon bersabar dan stay tuned 💋

FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS

Interest Rates: The Federal Reserve has indicated a potential for future rate cuts if inflation trends downward, but the current high interest rates remain in place, which can exert downward pressure on gold prices by making interest-bearing investments more attractive compared to non-yielding gold. Inflation: Recent data shows persistent inflationary pressures, with the Core PCE data remaining elevated but slightly below expectations at 0.2%. This still supports gold's appeal as an inflation hedge, as investors seek to preserve purchasing power amid rising prices. Currency Movements (USD): The US Dollar has shown mixed movements. Initially, the dollar weakened slightly following the release of the Core PCE data, which came in lower than expected. However, this was not enough to sustain a bullish momentum for gold due to other factors including speculative selling and broader market sentiment shifts​. Geopolitical Risks: Ongoing geopolitical tensions, particularly involving the Middle East and Eastern Europe, continue to provide underlying support for gold prices. However, these factors were overshadowed by other market dynamics over the past trading sessions. Economic Data and Growth: Recent economic indicators present a mixed outlook. US GDP growth has shown signs of slowing, and the Chicago PMI significantly missed expectations, indicating a contraction in manufacturing activity. These factors typically support higher gold prices, but the market reaction was muted, likely due to other overriding market dynamics. Supply and Demand Dynamics: Central bank purchases, particularly from countries like China and Turkey, continue to provide strong support for gold prices. Despite outflows from gold ETFs, central banks and sovereign funds have been significant buyers, adding to the demand for physical gold.

SENTIMENT ANALYSIS

Market Expectations: Current market sentiment remains mixed. Although the Core PCE data and Chicago PMI suggested a weaker USD, speculative activity and overall market sentiment have led to increased volatility and bearish movements in gold prices over the past day. Speculative Activity: Speculative trading has been a significant factor, contributing to the recent volatility in gold prices. Increased selling pressure and profit-taking activities by traders have driven prices lower despite the weaker USD and supportive fundamental data.

BIAS ANALYSIS

Short-Term: Bias: Neutral to Bearish Reasoning: The recent sharp decline and breach of key support levels around $2320 indicate strong bearish momentum. The market sentiment and speculative selling pressure suggest potential further downside in the short term. Intermediate-Term: Bias: Neutral Reasoning: Given the current volatility and mixed economic signals, the price may continue to fluctuate within a broader range. Watch for signs of stabilization or further declines. Long-Term: Bias: Neutral to Bullish Reasoning: Despite the short-term bearish movement, the underlying fundamental factors such as persistent inflation and geopolitical tensions still support a potential bullish outlook in the longer term. If the price finds support and holds, it could resume its upward trend.

Date: June 3, 2024

Good Morning Chasers ⚡️ Another week to test FA application. 🔥

Maaf sangat geng, weekend packed dekat urusan lain, tak sempat aku nak share feedback and performance from Private Group. 🥶🙏 InnShaaAllah, semua selesai during this week. 💪

Seperti biasa, tunggu update daripada economist sampai (FA) 😂 Minggu baru, semangat baru. 💵☄️

Sedikit Recap GOLD trading FA + TA 🔑 Potential Reasons for the Bearish Reversal 👇

➡️ Speculative Activity: Increased speculative selling or profit-taking by traders who anticipated the initial bullish movement might have led to a sharp reversal. ➡️ Market Sentiment: Overall market sentiment might have shifted due to other underlying factors not immediately reflected in the economic data.

Conclusion 👇

Review for 31 May 2024 menunjukkan walaupun dari segi economic data mostly bullish for GOLD, kita wajib mencari confirmation dari segi TA untuk follow FA. 📌

Overall system FA + TA masih lagi baik. Semoga ia berteruskan dan consistent.