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🚨 Trading on March 6: Risk aversion
The market opened mixed:
- Global stock indices are down (-1-2%)
- Oil and gold are showing strong growth (+2-7%)
- Bitcoin is holding above $67,000, not following stocks
Why isn't BTC falling?
The previous four months have already yielded -50%, and the weak hands have left.
Whales have gained positions in the $58-63,000 zone (ETF inflows on February 24-25)
Now is the phase of holding back and spoofing, not actual selling.
The $65,000 zone is the mainstay. If we hold, we'll wait for news; if we lose, we'll fly to $60,000.
BTC is holding up well. Instead of falling along with stocks, BTC is simply standing aside and waiting for a driver. As long as we hold $65k, we're alive.
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🇮🇷 Iran warns ships that no vessel is allowed to pass through the Strait of Hormuz, blocking access to oil routes.
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Gold 5400. Grandma's service is now luxury 😁🏆
Silver is for the poor, gold is for the cunning. And stables... well, they're just candy wrappers, grandson😁
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📌Thinking out loud: a retail investor (the crowd) always looks at what's already visible (price), while a large player (a whale) looks at what will happen next (positions and liquidity).
Don't look for an answer to the question "Where will the price go?", look for an answer to the question "Who is moving the market now and why?"
The current movement is not chaos, but a planned game. Large capital sets limit orders in advance (massive selling above the market and demand below), luring retail into traps. Retailers react to news and FOMO, while professionals take positions.
2. Macroeconomics is now more important than individual coin charts.
Stocks are rising, although the debt market (bonds) is signaling problems (inversions or falling yields are a classic sign of recession fears).
* The dollar is strengthening towards 100. For the crypto market, a strong dollar = liquidity outflow = pressure on risky assets.
Oil and metals are rising due to geopolitics, which is adding to inflation and making the Fed's policy more stringent.
Ethereum isn't just "another coin," but the future foundation of the system.
The transition to Proof-of-Stake has changed the rules of the game:
Staking creates artificial scarcity (coins are taken out of circulation).
This makes Ethereum not just a payment network, but an infrastructure asset (similar to digital oil or a "bank server") on which the future financial system will be built.
"Stop reading tea leaves about whether tomorrow will be +5% or -5%. Look at the whole picture. We're facing a period when macroeconomics (the dollar, rates) will shake up the market, but in this shakeup, major players will buy up high-quality assets (like ETH), preparing them for a surge in the next 3-5 years." What now looks like a fall or a sideways movement is in fact a shift of pieces before the endgame.
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🔥 WHALES ARE NOT SELLING, THEY ARE INTIMIDATING: ANALYSIS OF THE CURRENT BITCOIN SITUATION
Analysis of major players' movements after yesterday's pump and today's order book.
What did we see on Tuesday (February 24)?
Whales were clearly pushing the price into the $58,000 - $63,000 range with the intention of buying. They managed to hold there briefly, but judging by the trade feed (volumes of 1+ BTC), only about 200 BTC were bought there.
📌 Important detail: This is not the final purchase. Professional money doesn't buy a block at one point. The range for position accumulation can be 30-50% of the entire price move downwards, to ensure the average is as broad as possible.
How are whales putting pressure on the price now?
They are not spending coins. A tried-and-true method is being used – spoofing.
Take a look at the Binance Futures order book:
At $67,250, there's a sell wall – 1,202 BTC.
A retail trader sees this, gets scared, and starts dumping coins into bids or shorting. The price is moving downwards on its own, without any real selling from the whale.
✅ Whales are in the process of actively accumulating a large block.
✅ They're not selling – they're creating the illusion of pressure.
✅ Bitcoin's bottom is likely already near, even if the bearish trend lasts all of 2026.
📌P.S. They only buy on declines. They scare on rises. A classic example.
📌Current levels are interesting for the medium-term view. Retail fear is whales' opportunity.
