Michael De La Broc -Buhanka Watch
Home of the Buhanka watch, following and covering events in Ukraine.
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01 Media files | 525 | 0 | Loading... |
02 Even Westiggers still buy oil from Ziggers. | 507 | 1 | Loading... |
03 Yes, but what is the end profit for the Russian producer when you factor in the sanction running and effort to hide and mask the source of it by going through 3rd/4th parties?
India has a growing and vibrant petrochemical industry, amazing for a country with little to no domestic reserves, but makes sense when you realise the Russians are paying and subsidising it | 504 | 2 | Loading... |
04 Sell resources to the first world
Sell arms to the third world
Economic model they ran for 2+ decades might have worked well for the state budget when there was high demand for Russian hydrocarbons, but it has created a Dutch disease on steroids scenario | 483 | 2 | Loading... |
05 Private sector would have difficulties to start since the sanctions actually block them from west resources and market and only thriving on local market A.K.A. Closed economy Soviet Style.
However I can see the military expenditure would at least stay high after the war since they are preparing for "invasion" of NATO forces | 474 | 2 | Loading... |
06 Well the first step would be building up and sustaining a somewhat thriving domestic market
You'd have thought the vacating of the market of all the western companies would have opened up large opportunities for Russian business, but outside of a few select and high profile examples, most of that market share was willingly taken over and monopolised by mostly Chinese businesses and concerns.
There is very little commercial innovation in the Russian economy/industrial sector, so I don't see, how outside of raw materials and maybe some secondary industrial products, and the arms industry (which is already spiralling out of the global arms market), what Russia aims to export and cultivate new markets with
That's not to mention how they would recapitalise any commercial or industrial concerns to remain competitive in the face of sanctions and remain both competitive, but also profitable with out state subsidy | 480 | 1 | Loading... |
07 surely GDP is a BS number, still, all the rest being equal, look at western GDPs and without even being in a war.
plus. russia has a very low debt.
as for "closed economy" Michael is snorting something poisonous.
russia is trading with everyone except western countries. | 458 | 0 | Loading... |
08 >trading with everybody
>having to sell oil at below market rates to India and China because they know they have a commercial advantage over you and need to shift your stock some how
Tho got to give it to you Gian, apart from your dodgy stance on downloading child porn, you are one of the more articulate Russian shills who remain | 460 | 1 | Loading... |
09 Served them right, they trusted a turkroach | 516 | 4 | Loading... |
10 This is a point a lot of people who keep trumpeting how Russia is experiencing economic growth, despite sanctions.
They ignore that that economic growth is almost entirely down to state actions, the public sector and the war economy.
When the war ends, a lot of that state funding and stimulus will stop, and that is when we will really see how robust the Russian economy is.
They could prolong the state stimulus by shifting from armaments to a reconstruction economy directed at large state modernisation and infrastructural projects and rehabilitation of the newly acquired lands in (former) Ukraine, but with out a vibrant and innovative private sector that isn't oligarch dominated, Russia is just creating the late soviet economy, but with some extra steps.
Cutting small and medium business taxes, grants for entrepreneurs, actual anti corruption policies, would be a good start at encouraging the private sector
Or better yet, offering $75,000 worth in state grants for Russian women to have kids | 604 | 5 | Loading... |
11 🏭 🇷🇺 📈 Russia’s new economy may end up prolonging its war
🔶️ "Russia’s economy grew by 3.6 per cent in 2023 and is projected to expand by over 3 per cent in 2024."
🔶️ Fiscal spending has focused on supporting war-related production. Direct military spending more than tripled to over $100bn (6 per cent of GDP) relative to the pre-2022 invasion of Ukraine. With over a quarter of Russia’s government expenditure hidden from the public, the actual war-related spending is likely to be substantially higher.
🔶️ Russia now boasts 6,000 military-industrial enterprises, a notable increase from the prewar figure of less than 2,000. These establishments collectively employ over 3.5mn individuals who operate round-the-clock, with three shifts and six-day workweeks becoming the norm.
⚡️ Much of this success relies on the expansion of the military-industrial complex.
🔶️ Since Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, the workforce in this sector has expanded significantly, with at least half a million new employees. Additionally, these salaries have surged by 20 per cent to 60 per cent since the onset of the war, and many companies are offering exemptions from the military draft.
🔶️ Industrial output is also on the rise, propelled by sectors such as metal products, machine building and chemical production. This can be at least partially attributed to the military-industrial complex.
🔶️ Should the authorities attempt to halt militarisation, a hard landing could add pressure to the government, which already resorts to oppression to maintain power. Internal conflicts over limited resources may also intensify. Considering these challenges, it may be the more pragmatic choice for the government to continue militarising.
https://archive.ph/SSjYD
📎 Financial Times | 522 | 5 | Loading... |
12 I am a seething, never get excited for anything, ever again | 633 | 1 | Loading... |
13 🗣Щотижневі звіти, по втратам техніки з обох сторін від Naalsio. З початку російського наступу на Авдіївку та початку утримання ЗСУ плацдарму в Кринках.
Авдіївка: ru 1072 - ua 173
Кринки: ru 244 - ua 57
____________________
Weekly reports on the loss of equipment on both sides from Naalsio. Since the beginning of the Russian offensive on Avdiivka and the beginning of the Ukrainian Armed Forces' hold on the Krynky bridgehead.
Avdiivka: ru 1072 - ua 173
Krynky: ru 244 - ua 57 | 610 | 1 | Loading... |
14 Rocket arrival in Odessa. | 629 | 0 | Loading... |
15 Ракетный прилет в Одессе. | 611 | 1 | Loading... |
16 Tehran offers asylum to western students arrested in pro Palestinian demonstrations
Lol | 663 | 6 | Loading... |
17 Media files | 673 | 5 | Loading... |
18 Also looks like it has been fitted with ARAT armour package as well | 662 | 2 | Loading... |
19 Abrams with seemingly ERA/kontakt knocked out at the front | 674 | 3 | Loading... |
20 And the correct plural of Abrams, is Abramai* | 797 | 1 | Loading... |
21 Yo Michael, where frontline, bitch?
Where Abramses, Michael? | 796 | 2 | Loading... |
22 Here | 784 | 1 | Loading... |
23 Our fighter shot down a Ukrainian FPV drone using an AK-12. | 769 | 0 | Loading... |
24 🔥🇷🇺🇺🇦 Наш боец при помощи АК-12 сбил украинский FPV-дрон.
Поделиться новостью : @forposte_bot
@vorposte | 742 | 1 | Loading... |
25 Доброе утро 😍 | 760 | 1 | Loading... |
26 Red sky at night, something in Russia is alight | 753 | 0 | Loading... |
27 well, helldivers was fun, time to uninstall it
Thank you to the bro who steam gifted it to me, might stream it tonight for the final time | 825 | 1 | Loading... |
28 https://twitter.com/NickJFuentes | 839 | 1 | Loading... |
29 >average Israeli when they come across a Palestinian child in Gaza | 878 | 6 | Loading... |
30 ''We did it chat! We brought democracy and womans rights to Gaza!'' | 851 | 6 | Loading... |
31 Media files | 859 | 3 | Loading... |
32 Media files | 872 | 4 | Loading... |
Even Westiggers still buy oil from Ziggers.
🌭 3
Yes, but what is the end profit for the Russian producer when you factor in the sanction running and effort to hide and mask the source of it by going through 3rd/4th parties?
India has a growing and vibrant petrochemical industry, amazing for a country with little to no domestic reserves, but makes sense when you realise the Russians are paying and subsidising it
🌭 2
Sell resources to the first world
Sell arms to the third world
Economic model they ran for 2+ decades might have worked well for the state budget when there was high demand for Russian hydrocarbons, but it has created a Dutch disease on steroids scenario
🌭 1
Private sector would have difficulties to start since the sanctions actually block them from west resources and market and only thriving on local market A.K.A. Closed economy Soviet Style.
However I can see the military expenditure would at least stay high after the war since they are preparing for "invasion" of NATO forces
🌭 1
Well the first step would be building up and sustaining a somewhat thriving domestic market
You'd have thought the vacating of the market of all the western companies would have opened up large opportunities for Russian business, but outside of a few select and high profile examples, most of that market share was willingly taken over and monopolised by mostly Chinese businesses and concerns.
There is very little commercial innovation in the Russian economy/industrial sector, so I don't see, how outside of raw materials and maybe some secondary industrial products, and the arms industry (which is already spiralling out of the global arms market), what Russia aims to export and cultivate new markets with
That's not to mention how they would recapitalise any commercial or industrial concerns to remain competitive in the face of sanctions and remain both competitive, but also profitable with out state subsidy
🌭 1
surely GDP is a BS number, still, all the rest being equal, look at western GDPs and without even being in a war.
plus. russia has a very low debt.
as for "closed economy" Michael is snorting something poisonous.
russia is trading with everyone except western countries.
🔥 3🤣 1🎃 1
>trading with everybody
>having to sell oil at below market rates to India and China because they know they have a commercial advantage over you and need to shift your stock some how
Tho got to give it to you Gian, apart from your dodgy stance on downloading child porn, you are one of the more articulate Russian shills who remain
🌭 4⚡ 1🎃 1
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Served them right, they trusted a turkroach
🤣 15
This is a point a lot of people who keep trumpeting how Russia is experiencing economic growth, despite sanctions.
They ignore that that economic growth is almost entirely down to state actions, the public sector and the war economy.
When the war ends, a lot of that state funding and stimulus will stop, and that is when we will really see how robust the Russian economy is.
They could prolong the state stimulus by shifting from armaments to a reconstruction economy directed at large state modernisation and infrastructural projects and rehabilitation of the newly acquired lands in (former) Ukraine, but with out a vibrant and innovative private sector that isn't oligarch dominated, Russia is just creating the late soviet economy, but with some extra steps.
Cutting small and medium business taxes, grants for entrepreneurs, actual anti corruption policies, would be a good start at encouraging the private sector
Or better yet, offering $75,000 worth in state grants for Russian women to have kids
⚡ 13🌭 1