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📊 Gold may get a bullish momentum Given the Thanksgiving holiday in the U.S., gold (XAU) moved within a narrow range yesterday. XAUUSD rose only by 0.06%. 👉 Possible effects for traders Geopolitical risks and fears of a trade war continue to support the price of gold as a safe haven asset. Russian President Vladimir Putin said that Russia might use its new hypersonic missile to attack decision-making centres in Ukraine in response to the launch of Western missiles on its territory. Also, U.S. President-elect Donald Trump promised earlier this week that tariffs would be imposed on all goods from Canada, Mexico, and China, which could provoke trade wars. Investors appear convinced that Trump's policies will lead to higher inflation. Meanwhile, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) has been decreasing throughout the week in anticipation of prospects for further Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts, which is another factor supporting gold price growth. However, the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index figures indicated a slowing in disinflation, suggesting that the Fed may slow its rate-cutting cycle. XAUUSD broke above the resistance level of $2,650 and began to grow during the Asian session. Now, the pair may rise towards the next resistance at $2,700. However, it may test $2,650 again before continuing to grow further. ➡️Sign Up Now ➡️ https://tlt.ink/octa Partner Code ➡️ 3788810

📊 Euro struggles to gain momentum despite hawkish ECB comments The euro (EUR) lost 0.1% against the U.S. dollar (USD) during a rather quiet trading session on Thursday. 👉 Possible effects for traders The EURUSD exchange rate didn't change significantly yesterday, given the reduced trading volume on U.S. markets due to a Thanksgiving holiday. Overall, the fundamental outlook for the pair is rather mixed. A lot of bearish factors have already been priced in, but investors still continue to lack strong reasons to invest in the euro. German annual inflation remained unchanged in November, contrary to forecasts of a second consecutive uptick. Political uncertainty in Germany, with federal elections scheduled for February 2025, and Franch, with a coalition government struggling to pass a budget, are putting more downward pressure on EURUSD. Conversely, the recent hawkish commentary from Isabel Schnabel, a member of the Executive Board of the European Central Bank (ECB), advocating for a gradual reduction in interest rates, has induced investors to temper their expectations of more aggressive rate cuts. Money markets now see only a 13% chance of a larger 50-basis-point (bps) rate cut by the ECB in December, whereas a 25-bps move is fully priced in. EURUSD was rising during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, traders should focus on the eurozone Consumer Price Index (CPI) report due at 10:00 a.m. UTC. It could offer hints on the ECB's next steps. ‘Today's macro data releases in the eurozone should encourage the ECB hawks to object to a 50bp rate cut in December’, said Carsten Brzeski, global head of macro at ING. If CPI figures are higher than expected, EURUSD may break above the 1.06100 level. However, lower-than-expected results may push the pair below 1.05000. ➡️Sign Up Now ➡️ https://tlt.ink/octa Partner Code ➡️ 3788810

📊 BTCUSD trades sideways Bitcoin (BTC) has been trading sideways in a range of $92,000–100,000 throughout the entire week, gaining 4% on Wednesday. 👉 Possible effects for traders The Japanese investment company Metaplanet, also known as ‘Japanese Microstrategy’, plans to raise $62 million to purchase more Bitcoins. The company plans to raise funds through the issuance of debt securities. According to a statement from the company, this latest round of investment will increase their holdings to 1,794 coins. In November, the company already announced its intention to invest $11.3 million in Bitcoin purchases. The TON Foundation has announced the launch of tokenised Bitcoin, tgBTC. This token will introduce Bitcoin's liquidity to the TON blockchain. The details of the project are outlined in the white paper for the TON Teleport BTC initiative. TON Teleport BTC acts as a cross-chain bridge, allowing users to send Bitcoin directly to the TON network and vice versa. This provides access to exchanges, lending platforms, and decentralised applications for users. TgBTC will enhance liquidity and facilitate crypto transactions. Owners can earn income from decentralised finance (DeFi) platforms and benefit from reduced transaction fees. The project aims to enhance security and transparency by integrating Bitcoin into the TON ecosystem. BTCUSD has been trading sideways during Asian and early European trading hours. No important news that can influence the price dynamics is expected today. The analysts project the price to continue moving within the established range. ➡️Sign Up Now ➡️ https://tlt.ink/octa Partner Code ➡️ 3788810

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Beginners' guide! Here are five tips for safe trading. Share them with a friend who starts on their trading path. Learn the market basics. Start by understanding the fundamentals of the markets. Know what drives asset prices and how market events affect your trading assets. Practice on a demo account. This gives you a chance to familiarise yourself with the platform, learn the ropes, and refine your strategies without financial risk. Limit exposure to 5% of your deposit. Never risk more than 5% of your total deposit on any trade. This way, even if a trade goes wrong, you won't lose your entire account. Diversify your portfolio. This reduces risk and makes your portfolio more resilient. Commit to continuous learning. The financial markets are always changing. Stay up-to-date with market news, attend webinars, and continuously study new strategies to stay ahead. #TipsForBeginners #TradingEducation #StartTrading #ForexForBeginners #Forex101

Beginners' guide! Here are five tips for safe trading. Share them with a friend who starts on their trading path. Learn the market basics. Start by understanding the fundamentals of the markets. Know what drives asset prices and how market events affect your trading assets. Practice on a demo account. This gives you a chance to familiarise yourself with the platform, learn the ropes, and refine your strategies without financial risk. Limit exposure to 5% of your deposit. Never risk more than 5% of your total deposit on any trade. This way, even if a trade goes wrong, you won't lose your entire account. Diversify your portfolio. This reduces risk and makes your portfolio more resilient. Commit to continuous learning. The financial markets are always changing. Stay up-to-date with market news, attend webinars, and continuously study new strategies to stay ahead. #TipsForBeginners #TradingEducation #StartTrading #ForexForBeginners #Forex101

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🔽 Ceasefire and rate cut expectations weigh down on gold Gold (XAU) rose by a mere 0.12% yesterday, reaching near the upper border of the $2,600–2,650 range and falling after testing it. 👉 Possible effects for traders The XAUUSD decline was largely driven by news of a ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah, reducing demand for safe haven assets. However, the overall decline wasn't as deep as it could be because the U.S. dollar retreated from recent highs, and traders still hoped for an interest rate reduction in December. Yesterday, data on the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index data, a preferred Federal Reserve's (Fed) measure of inflation, showed growth exceeding the central bank's 2% annual target, as expected. U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data for Q3 also showed steady growth. The lack of success in returning inflation to the Federal Reserve's 2% target and the potential for higher tariffs on imported goods could limit the scope for interest rate reductions next year. Nevertheless, many still anticipate the Fed will lower interest rates for a third time this year in December. Officials are divided on how much more rate cuts may be needed. ‘We continue to expect the FOMC to cut the Funds rate by 25 basis points at its December meeting’, said economist Kristina Clifton at the Commonwealth Bank of Australia. According to LSEG data, traders price in a 65% chance of a rate cut next month and expect a total reduction of 75 basis points by the end of 2025. During the Asian trading session, XAUUSD continued to decline. Today, the U.S. celebrates Thanksgiving, and exchanges are closed. Thus, volatility in the market is expected to be low, and XAUUSD will likely move in the already established trend. The pair is unlikely to break out of the $2,600–2,650 range. ➡️Sign Up Now ➡️ https://tlt.ink/octa Partner Code ➡️ 3788810

🔽 Euro climbs as market digests U.S. data, but the rise remains limited The euro (EUR) gained 0.74% against the U.S. dollar (USD) on Wednesday despite positive U.S. economic data. 👉 Possible effects for traders After hitting a two-year low on 22 November, EURUSD has been attempting to recover. However, the pair has been unable to break above the critical resistance level of 1.05720–1.06100. Investors now lack strong fundamental reasons to buy the euro. The most recent U.S. macro data— Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, and Pending Home Sales data—underscored U.S. economic resilience, supporting the U.S. dollar (USD). In addition, investors continue to price in the possibility of a tariff war that President-elect Donald Trump may potentially start once he assumes office on 20 January. Meanwhile, the latest eurozone statistics once again painted a bleak picture of the region's economic health. German Gfk Consumer Climate Indicator fell to a seven-month low, suggesting that inflation may continue to fall, allowing the European Central Bank (ECB) to cut the rates further. The market currently prices in more than a 50% chance that the eurozone base rate will drop towards just 2.5% by February 2025. At the same time, there is almost a 60% chance that the Federal Reserve (Fed) would maintain its rates in the range of 4.25–4.5% over the same period. EURUSD was falling during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, Germany will release its preliminary inflation figures. States' data will be released at 9:00 a.m. UTC, with harmonised federal data published at 1:00 p.m. UTC. If the report indicates a continuing slowdown in eurozone inflation, EURUSD may drop towards 1.05000 again. The overall Forex market volatility may be below average due to the U.S. Thanksgiving holiday. ➡️Sign Up Now ➡️ https://tlt.ink/octa Partner Code ➡️ 3788810

🔽 USDCAD declines ahead of key GDP data The Canadian dollar (CAD) gained 0.17% against the U.S. dollar (USD) on Wednesday, defying recent weakness, as investors grew optimistic about avoiding a trade war with the U.S. 👉 Possible effects for traders Investors speculate that there might be a negotiated solution to U.S. trade threats and expect the upcoming Canadian Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data to come out stronger than expected. The optimism allowed CAD to recover from its 4.5-year low against the greenback. On Tuesday, the currency touched its lowest intraday level since April 2020 at 1.4177 after U.S. President-elect Donald Trump said he would impose a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico. ‘Targeting both countries suggests the threat was likely a strategic opening move in renegotiating the existing free trade agreement between the three nations. The price action following Trump's remarks supports this view, with an initial knee-jerk sell-off giving way to a recovery as investors anticipate a negotiated outcome’, said Tony Valente, a senior FX dealer at AscendantFX. Still, the potential imposition of U.S. tariffs on Canadian crude oil imports could force its producers to lower their prices and redirect their supply to Asian markets. Meanwhile, Canada's upcoming Q3 GDP data, scheduled for release on Friday, could provide insights into the Bank of Canada's (BOC) future monetary policy decisions. Economists predict GDP will expand at an annualised rate of 1%, but traders hope to see a higher figure. Coupled with recent inflationary pressures, this could lead to a reassessment of the likelihood of another substantial interest rate cut in the coming month. USDCAD was essentially unchanged during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Traders will likely refrain from initiating big positions in USDCAD ahead of tomorrow's GDP report. Furthermore, volatility in the Forex market can be low due to the Thanksgiving holiday in the U.S. ➡️Sign Up Now ➡️ https://tlt.ink/octa Partner Code ➡️ 3788810

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