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📊 Prospects of a ceasefire push euro higher The euro (EUR) rallied by 0.79% against the U.S. dollar (USD) on Tuesday, hitting a fresh five-month high as the prospect of a ceasefire in Ukraine bolstered investors' confidence. 👉 Possible effects for traders Ukraine agreed to accept an immediate 30-day ceasefire during talks with U.S. officials in Saudi Arabia. However, the ceasefire will take effect only if Russia agrees to it. Thus, traders should monitor the upcoming news closely as the agreement will likely directly impact EURUSD. Previously, the euro has been rallying on expectations of increased defence spending in Germany, the continent's largest economy. 'Increased European defence spending and the prospect of a ceasefire in Ukraine are positive for the euro. Adding the ceasefire, even if it's just for a month, and the idea that something concrete can actually happen between Russia and Ukraine is an excellent sign for the euro', said Juan Perez, director of trading at Monex USA. However, the fundamental pressure on EURUSD remains bearish as investors expect the European Central Bank (ECB) to cut interest rates in 2025. Currently, interest rate swaps market data implies a 31% chance of two 25-basis-point rate cuts by the ECB by the end of the year. EURUSD fell during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today's main event is the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report at 12:30 p.m. UTC. The CPI data will give clues on the U.S. interest rate path and affect monetary policy expectations. The market expects a 0.3% monthly rise in core inflation and a 3.2% annual increase. If the CPI report reveals a higher-than-expected inflation, EURUSD may drop sharply. Otherwise, EURUSD will likely rise slightly on weaker data. Key levels to watch are resistance at 1.10170 and support at 1.08284. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH Follow @octa_analytics for more expert information

📊 Canadian dollar awaits interest rate decision and trade tariffs news On Tuesday, the Canadian dollar (CAD) fluctuated within a broad 1.43780–1.45200 range against the U.S. dollar (USD) but finished the day essentially unchanged. 👉 Possible effects for traders USDCAD has been one of the most volatile currency pairs in 2025, primarily due to the escalating trade tensions between the U.S. and Canada. Persistent tariff fears have severely undermined investors' confidence, increasing risk aversion and fluctuations in the pair's exchange rate as markets react to any news. However, the Canadian dollar has been recovering recently. USDCAD failed to close above the critical 1.45200 level ahead of an expected rate cut by the Bank of Canada (BoC) and after U.S. and Canadian officials agreed to meet to discuss trade tariffs. Reality is catching up with Canadian interest rates. The Bank of Canada is going to have to cut a bit more than the market was pricing', said Erik Nelson, a macro strategist at Wells Fargo Securities in London. The market anticipates a 25-basis-point interest rate reduction from the Bank of Canada (BoC) today and at least two additional cuts by the end of 2025. Since June, the BoC has lowered the benchmark rate by two percentage points, bringing the interest rate towards 3% to stimulate economic activity. USDCAD rose slightly during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, the pair will likely experience above-normal volatility due to several key events. Firstly, the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report at 12:30 p.m. UTC will shed light on U.S. interest rate paths. Secondly, the BoC will announce its interest rate decision at 1:45 p.m. UTC and hold a press conference at 2:30 p.m. UTC. Furthermore, more developments regarding trade tariffs will significantly impact market sentiment and the Canadian dollar. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH Follow @octa_analytics for more expert information

AUDUSD, 15-minute timeframe chart 👉Level explanation AUDUSD has been trading in a sideways market for the last couple of hours. Now, the price displays a bearish Hammer pattern. The price is ready to drop. 👉Possible scenario The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 0.62870. Set your stop loss at 0.63040 above the previous high ($1.70 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 0.62700 ($1.70 profit for 0.01 lot). The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1. The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period. @octa_analytics

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BTCUSD, 30-minute timeframe chart 👉General outlook BTCUSD has been under selling pressure within the last couple of hours. The pair dropped to the support level of 79,500.00. Now, the price displays a bullish Morning Star pattern. 👉Possible scenario The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Buy order at 81,000.00. Set your stop loss at 78,800.00 below the previous low ($22.00 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 84,000.00 ($30.00 profit for 0.01 lot). The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.36. The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period. @octa_analytics

EURUSD, 15-minute timeframe chart 👉Level explanation EURUSD has been trading in a bullish trend within the last day. 👉Possible scenario The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 1.09072. Set your stop loss at 1.09407 above the previous high ($3.35 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 1.08738 ($3.35 profit for 0.01 lot). The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1. The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period. @octa_analytics

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📊 Gold dips ahead of U.S. inflation data The gold (XAU) price declined by 0.73% on Monday as traders began to reposition ahead of tomorrow's U.S. inflation report. 👉 Possible effects for traders There is a slight pause in gold prices due to some mild profit-taking and a weaker stock market. However, we might see some safe-haven bids later', said Jim Wyckoff, senior analyst at Kitco Metals. U.S. stock index futures continued to fall yesterday, with the benchmark S&P 500 hitting a six-month low. The bearish sentiment in equities may have affected the metal market, triggering a minor sell-off. However, strong safe-haven demand fuelled by geopolitical uncertainty kept XAUUSD above the important $2,830 level, as traders continue to worry that rising trade tariffs may adversely affect the global economy. Overall, the confluence of trade war concerns, recessionary fears, and disappointing economic figures creates a favourable environment for gold. XAUUSD might continue rising and establishing new record highs. XAUUSD rose during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, the main focus is on the U.S. JOLTS Job Openings report at 2:00 p.m. UTC. The data may affect investors' interest rate expectations and trigger some volatility in XAUUSD. Higher-than-expected figures may lower the probability of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed), potentially pushing XAUUSD below $2,870. Lower-than-expected numbers will confirm that the U.S. labour market is loosening, increasing the chances of an additional rate cut by the Fed later this year. In this case, XAUUSD may rise above $2,918. 'Signals are a bit mixed for spot gold as it managed to stabilise around support at $2,879 per ounce and started a bounce', said Reuters analyst Wang Tao. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH Follow @octa_analytics for more expert information

📊 Euro struggles to find a direction On Monday, the euro (EUR) remained flat against the U.S. dollar (USD). Investors are struggling to reconcile the conflicting signals of a potential U.S. economic slowdown and stock market sell-off and the Trump administration's unpredictable trade policies regarding the eurozone. 👉 Possible effects for traders Overall, markets have been focused on trade tensions since U.S. President Donald Trump imposed tariffs on top trading partners but later delayed them for a month due to fears of an economic slowdown. Wall Street stocks fell sharply on Monday, with the Nasdaq decreasing by over 4% to a six-month low, driven by a sell-off in technology, consumer discretionary, and communication services stocks. However, the relative stability of EURUSD during this drop suggests the market's anxiety is primarily focused on U.S.-specific risks rather than a broader global risk-off scenario. 'The biggest story, besides the U.S. dollar and a little of profit-taking going on, is the continued slide in the stock market and dropping U.S. interest rates', said Marc Chandler, chief market strategist at Bannockburn Global Forex. In addition, anticipated changes in domestic policies drive EURUSD higher. 'The major move in the euro has been driven by a potential increase in government spending and the likelihood that European Central Bank may be a little more hawkish than they were planning', said Eugene Epstein, head of trading and structured products, North America, at Moneycorp. EURUSD rose during the Asian session but fell during the early European trading hours. Today, the U.S. JOLTS Job Openings report at 2:00 p.m. UTC may trigger some volatility in EURUSD. Higher-than-expected numbers will increase the chances of the Federal Reserve (Fed) keeping the interest rate unchanged for longer, potentially pushing EURUSD below the 1.08000 level. Lower-than-expected results will increase the chances of an additional rate cut by the Fed later this year, pushing EURUSD above 1.08883. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH Follow @octa_analytics for more expert information

📊 GBP remains in a bullish trend The British pound (GBP) lost 0.36% against the U.S. dollar (USD) on Monday as the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) rebounded slightly from a major support level. 👉 Possible effects for traders GBPUSD has been trading in an uptrend for most of 2025 due to a weakening U.S. dollar. The greenback is pressured by persistent tariff risks and disappointing U.S. economic data, leading investors to anticipate a more dovish monetary policy stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed) in the future. Interest rate swaps market data implies a 27% chance of three 25-basis-point rate cuts by the Fed by the end of the year, whereas the probability of a similar move by the Bank of England (BoE) is less than 25%. Still, the balance is fragile, and investors could swiftly and significantly reassess their expectations. The weak U.K. data could break the bullish trend in GBP and cause investors to reposition themselves, shifting their bets towards a more dovish BoE outlook. GBPUSD rose during the Asian session but fell during the early European trading sessions. U.S. JOLTS Job Openings data, due at 2:00 p.m. UTC today, may shift investors' monetary policy expectations and trigger volatility in GBPUSD. Numbers exceeding the forecast may lower the probability of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed), pushing GBPUSD towards 1.28100. Lower-than-expected results will confirm that the U.S. labour market is loosening, pushing GBPUSD above 1.29461. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH Follow @octa_analytics for more expert information

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XAUUSD, 15-minute timeframe chart 👉General outlook XAUUSD has been under selling pressure within the last couple of hours. 👉Possible scenario The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 2,896.00. Set your stop loss at 2,906.00 above the previous high ($10.00 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 2,883.00 ($13.00 profit for 0.01 lot). The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.3. The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period. @octa_analytics

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📊 Safe-haven demand pushes gold higher The gold (XAU) price remained relatively unchanged on Friday but had a weekly gain primarily due to safe-haven inflows amid rising geopolitical uncertainty. 👉 Possible effects for traders Friday's U.S. nonfarm payroll (NFP) report revealed lower-than-expected job growth in February, suggesting that the Federal Reserve (Fed) is on track to cut interest rates this year. The report provided additional support to XAUUSD. However, Jerome Powell, the Fed Chair, said that the central bank would take a cautious approach to monetary policy easing, adding that the economy currently 'continues to be in a good place'. Still, the market continues to price in more than a 50% chance that the Fed will cut the rates by 25 basis points (bps) in June. Lower interest rates increase gold's appeal to investors, reducing the opportunity cost of holding a non-yielding asset. Strong structural demand also supports the gold price. On Friday, the People's Bank of China (PBoC) reported that its gold reserves rose towards 73.61 million fine troy ounces at the end of February, as the central bank kept buying the precious metal for a fourth straight month. 'The PBoC's purchases are an important factor underpinning gold, so a continuation of its buying in February could help to build further strength behind the gold price', said Frank Watson, market analyst at Kinesis Money. XAUUSD was relatively unchanged during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today's economic calendar is rather uneventful, so the probability of large moves is relatively low. Thus, volatility may remain subdued, keeping XAUUSD in a narrow range. 'Spot gold looks neutral in a range of $2,894 to $2,927 per ounce, and an escape could suggest a direction', said Reuters analyst Wang Tao. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH Follow @octa_analytics for more expert information

📊 Euro rises on weaker-than-expected NFP data The euro (EUR) gained 0.45% against the U.S. dollar (USD) on Friday after a weaker-than-expected nonfarm payroll (NFP) report damaged the greenback. 👉 Possible effects for traders Last Friday, the U.S. Labor Department report revealed that the U.S. economy added 151,000 jobs in February, lower than the expected 160,000. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate stood at 4.1% compared with the forecasted 4%. The report suggested that the U.S. labour market was cooling, so the Federal Reserve (Fed) may be more willing to cut interest rates in the months ahead. Investors now price in a 53.8% chance that The U.S. central bank will reduce borrowing costs by 25 basis points (bps) in June. At the same time, the chances of a similar cut by the European Central Bank (ECB) currently stand at 52%. The divergence in monetary policy expectations between the ECB and the Fed has narrowed substantially, probably explaining the 5% rally in EURUSD over the past week. EURUSD was rising during the Asian trading session but started to fall during the European trading hours. There are no important events today. Thus, volatility may remain subdued, with EURUSD moving in a narrow range. Still, German Industrial Production and Trade Balance data at 7:00 a.m. UTC may trigger some volatility in the pair. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH Follow @octa_analytics for more expert information

📊 AUD is under bearish pressure The Australian dollar (AUD) lost 0.41% against the U.S. dollar (USD) on Friday despite a weaker-than-expected U.S. nonfarm payroll (NFP) report. 👉 Possible effects for traders AUD is a very risk-sensitive currency, and its performance is often used as a proxy for investors' sentiments. Currently, escalating concerns regarding potential global recession due to rising trade tariffs highly influence investors' risk appetite. On Sunday, U.S. President Donald Trump refused to predict whether his tariffs on Canada, Mexico, and China, which led to a 1% decline in Nasdaq futures on Monday, would result in a U.S. recession. In addition, China's consumer price index in February was below the forecast. The indicator fell at the sharpest pace in 13 months as seasonal demand faded and households remained cautious about spending amid job and income worries. China is Australia's biggest trading partner, so a slowdown in the Chinese economy would likely weigh heavily on Australian exports. It could further dampen economic growth and exacerbate the depreciation of the AUD, exerting significant downward pressure on AUDUSD. AUDUSD was rising during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today's macroeconomic calendar is rather uneventful, so volatility will likely remain low, and AUDUSD will continue moving in a narrow range. Still, the Westpac Consumer Sentiment report at 11:30 p.m. UTC will likely trigger some volatility. Only a rise above 0.63900 will invalidate the underlying bearish trend in AUDUSD. 📲 More trading opportunities in our app If the link doesn’t work, try a special one for your country: 🇮🇩ID 🇮🇳IN 🇵🇰PK 🇹🇭TH Follow @octa_analytics for more expert information

GBPUSD, 30-minute timeframe chart 👉Level explanation GBPUSD has been trading in a sideways market for the last couple of hours 👉Possible scenario The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 1.28880. Set your stop loss at 1.29551 above the previous high ($6.71 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 1.28209 ($6.71 profit for 0.01 lot). The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1. The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period. @octa_analytics

GBPJPY, 15-minute timeframe chart 👉Level explanation GBPJPY has been trading in a sideways market for the last couple of hours. 👉Possible scenario The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 190.400. Set your stop loss at 190.850 above the previous high ($3.05 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 189.950 ($3.05 profit for 0.01 lot). The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1. The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period. @octa_analytics