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INDIAN MARKET – THIS IS NOT A BEAR MARKET
Key Points
Sensex hit its latest peak on 26 Sep 2024
By 1 Oct 2026, Sensex had fallen over 16%
Current decline ranks 17th among top 20 Sensex falls
Decline has lasted over 740 days
It is the second-longest decline in the top 20
Longest decline lasted 814 days from 1994–1996
That 1994–96 fall was nearly 41%
Current decline is therefore long but relatively shallow
Market can be described as sideways or stagnant
Author argues this is not a bear market
NIFTY 500 TRI
Last all-time closing high: 24 Sep 2024
Trough reached on 28 Feb 2025
Peak-to-trough fall was nearly 19%
As of 6 Oct 2026, index was ~7.6% below peak
Key Takeaway
Current market weakness has been unusually prolonged
However, the decline remains relatively shallow
The author characterises it as a sideways market
Conclusion: This is not a bear market
🚨 Major Order Wins | October 06, 2026
TRANSRAIL — ₹412 Cr new orders
SHAKTIPUMP — ₹112.18 Cr solar pump order from MSEDCL
MPHASIS — £35.4 Mn deal with Social Security Scotland
RAILTEL — ₹48.39 Cr vocational lab project order
CONCOR — ₹87.15 Cr order for 12 BLSS wagon rakes
ANNU — ₹128 Cr railway fibre optic project
BONDADA — ₹1,153.93 Cr EPC order for solar power project
SOLEX — ₹375.12 Cr solar PV module supply orders
OMPOWER — ₹129.66 Cr substation equipment orders from GETCO
CAPACITE — ₹369 Cr civil construction contract for Chennai Metro
AMEENJI — ₹13.41 Cr order from South Central Railway
INTERARCH — ₹61 Cr domestic order for steel building systems
⚠️ LOW IMPACT
TVSSRICHAK — ₹10.71 Lakh penalty for e-Way bill violation
JKCEMENT — ₹4.46 Lakh penalty for delayed BEN-2 filing
