Absolute Analytics Channel

*Market Pulse — 9 April 2026* _@AbsoluteAnalytics_ *Major Global Cues (What’s Moving the World)* 1) *Ceasefire Cracking* :Tensions Back • Reports of ceasefire violation / fresh strikes • Iran accusing US of breach • Situation unstable again Market Effect (India): • Risk sentiment turns cautious • Yesterday’s rally loses conviction _Interpretation_: Relief rally is now under threat Market shifts from optimism to uncertainty *2) Crude Oil Rebounds Sharply (~$97)* • After crash, crude bounced back near $97/barrel  • Supply fears returning Impact on Indian Markets: Negative for: • Inflation outlook worsens • RBI flexibility reduces • Aviation, paints lose momentum Mixed: • Oil stocks stabilise _Interpretation:_ Yesterday’s biggest positive is now partially reversing *3) Global Markets at into Profit Booking Mode* • US markets rallied strong yesterday • Today: • Asia mostly red / mixed  • Profit booking kicking in India Impact: • Gap-up unlikely to sustain • Weak / flat opening bias _Interpretation:_ Market moving from risk-on to neutral *4) RBI Policy Outcome (CRITICAL SHIFT)* • Repo rate unchanged  • RBI flagged: • Supply chain risks • Inflation concerns • Growth uncertainty Impact: • No liquidity boost • No aggressive support for equities _Interpretation:_ Market expected easing → got caution This is slightly negative surprise *5) Rupee & RBI Action (BIG UNDERCURRENT)* • RBI imposed temporary FX curbs to control volatility  • Rupee still unstable • Intervention ongoing Impact: • FIIs remain cautious • Currency volatility persists _Interpretation:_ This is not normal, this is defensive central bank mode *6) FII Selling Continues (Critical)* • FIIs sold ~₹44,000+ Cr this month • DIIs supporting market Impact: • Rallies get sold into • Upside limited _Interpretation:_ Smart money still net bearish *Combined Interpretation* Yesterday: Short covering + relief rally Today: Reality check + profit booking *Bullish Factors:* • Crude still below panic highs • No full-scale war escalation *Bearish Factors:* • Ceasefire instability • Crude bouncing back • RBI cautious • FIIs selling • Weak global follow-through

Good morning

Only T1 is done T2 is around 250 It is swing but intraday target is done. Swing will be risky. Personally holding for 6600-6620

Those who dont want to risk it book @ cmp 235

T1 done 230 ✅

Risk: high to moderate Target 230, 250 (6590 and 6620 in spot) SL 206 (approx) nearest swing low. In spot 6535 is support

Bought @215

Added ABB 6500CE April in watchlist

Only observing the market structure.

Adding 23900PE 13th April

Crompton 250CE April in watchlist

At the resistance level there can be sudden fall. If the resistance is broken with valid close, will take new entry.

Booked Nifty at minimal points 270

23980 done ✅

As I have mentioned in the analysis above the resistance levels are near, targets will be close. 23980, 24024 in spot

Bought @255

There is still bullish involvement in Nifty prices. Adding 23900CE 13th April in the watchlist Once ORB is breached and tested we will enter.

Booked Godrenprop @207

*Major Global Cues (What’s Moving the World)* *1) US–Iran Ceasefire (Temporary De-escalation)* • Immediate cooling in geopolitical tension • Risk premium removed from commodities Market Effect (India): • Crude falls → positive for India (import-heavy economy) • OMCs, paints, aviation → tailwind • PSU oil refiners → short-term boost But it's a Temporary ceasefire, not a structural peace Interpretation: Short-term bullish, not long-term conviction *2) Crude Oil Crash (~10–13%)* • One of the biggest recent drops • Driven by easing tensions + demand concerns Impact on Indian Markets: Positive for: • Airlines (Indigo, SpiceJet) • Paints (Asian Paints) • FMCG (cost pressure reduces) • Economy overall (inflation ↓) Negative for: • ONGC, Oil India (realisation drops) Lower crude = inflation relief, directing to RBI flexibility *3) US Markets & Futures Strong* • Risk-on sentiment globally • Nasdaq & S&P showing strength India Impact: • Gap-up openings • IT stocks may get support • Global funds temporarily risk-on But US rally is news-driven (not earnings-driven) which fades fast *4) RBI Policy Day (Domestic Trigger):* MOST IMP:- Market is waiting for: • Rate stance • Liquidity commentary Impact: • Rate cut → strong rally • Hawkish tone → market rejection *5) Rupee Instability (Near 93)* • Weak rupee despite intervention • Strong dollar demand Impact: • FIIs cautious / selling • IT gets support • Import-heavy sectors under pressure This is a silent negative *6) Bond Yields Elevated* • Government borrowing high • Yield rising Impact: • Liquidity tight • ⁠Equity upside capped • ⁠Banks & financials mixed Market Pulse @Absoluteanalytics