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Trading Updates

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Disclaimer - I post my analysis here. What I think of the market. Use this journal to understand trading. Risk Management + Position Sizing = Profits I focus on finding trades where my Win Probability is at least 50% with RR of 1:4 through TA.

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US - Iran peace deal reached. Will avoid short calls for now.

MUTHOOTFIN This is one stock where I will be looking at Bear Call Spreads. The broader trend is weak on daily and weekly time
MUTHOOTFIN This is one stock where I will be looking at Bear Call Spreads. The broader trend is weak on daily and weekly time frames. I will look at some bearish entries on 15/60 minute charts. Problem with bear markets, unless its a covid or 2007 type recession is that they end in a jiffy with a vertical knife driving upwards. So spreads is the only way in small quantities that I will trade.

This right now is NIFTY. See how it is tangled between all its moving averages that are crisscrossing. Doesnt take a genius t
+1
This right now is NIFTY. See how it is tangled between all its moving averages that are crisscrossing. Doesnt take a genius to tell that there is no direction and the period will be marked with gapup and gap downs. The whole thing depends on the trade deal around Iran War. That is why any positional option trading will hurt right now. This is the only 1 trade I did in last 5 days. Or for last so many days.

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Even if at this moment Trump is bluffing that US is in talks with Iran, past suggests that even if he is wrong, things might be moving towards de-escalation. May be it is for reigning in crude prices or whatever. The base formation on Indian Markets may start soon!

POLYCAB

Now that the shuffling of the expiries is settling in, the volatility in the Algorithms is subsiding and things coming back to normal. These are the stats of the 25 Lakh basket for the last 6 month. Not a back test. https://www.rohitkatwal.com/25lakh To subscribe contact at: https://t.me/rohitkatwal

We will be adding 3 clients into the March Copy Trading of Option Trading for March 2026. For more details visit at https://www.rohitkatwal.com/copytrading We can be reached out on Telegram at https://t.me/rohitkatwal

ONGC
ONGC

Remember I told about motherson. Massive 125 CE long buildup into it today.

BANKNIFTY is at dangerous level. Either its poised to a bullish breakout, or towards a hard fall. If you look at the chart, p
+1
BANKNIFTY is at dangerous level. Either its poised to a bullish breakout, or towards a hard fall. If you look at the chart, prices are hanging above the moving averages suggesting buyers and imminent breakout to the upper side. There are massive ITM shorts in SBIN. Given the chart of SBIN, it can be put buyers also as the price is too inflated right now. Too deviated. Remember how the gold prices fell? I will take it as a cautious signal moving ahead.

Have created a bullish position on BPCL Today.

MFSL looks good but it has results today, so avoiding for option trade. Otherwise its ripe for breaking.

Motherson
Motherson

⁨📷⁩ ⁨I had taken a naked position in sail yesterday. There were clear signs of the bullish movement. Today it paid. I want t
⁨📷⁩ ⁨I had taken a naked position in sail yesterday. There were clear signs of the bullish movement. Today it paid. I want to add more but now the security is in ban period.⁩

Indus Tower on the bullish side and HDFC Life on bearish side. Personally the IVs are low so I will not trade these. I have traded AARTIIND, SAIL, ABB

ABB

One stock that is personally catching my eyes is AARTIIND. Best for bottom fishers right now. Great price surge from bottom.
One stock that is personally catching my eyes is AARTIIND. Best for bottom fishers right now. Great price surge from bottom. Near 250 DM makes it a value buy. Increased volumes. And there exists a momentum. SL Somewhere at 397.

Did a small window shopping into HDFCNIFETF and GOLDBEES. Both standing at 250 DMA. Value buy.