Choice Commodity Research
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Global Market Update
* Ongoing tensions in the Middle East have increased uncertainty regarding potential interest rate cuts this year.
* Oil prices have risen, with Brent futures surpassing $110 per barrel, following missile strikes by Iran on a Qatari facility housing the largest LNG export plant.
* The strikes signify a significant escalation and raise concerns over prolonged disruptions in oil and LNG traffic through the Strait of Hormuz, which is critical for global oil supply.
* Trump asserted that there will be no further Israeli strikes on the South Pars Field unless provoked by Iran, while also stating the U.S. was unaware of the Israeli attack.
* The U.S. central bank maintained its policy rate but indicated potential inflationary pressures due to the Iran conflict.
* Despite indications of inflation concerns, the Fed projects one rate cut this year when inflation subsides.
* U.S. producer prices increased more than anticipated in February.
* The dollar strengthened in response to the Fed's hawkish outlook, staying above the 100 level.
* To address supply chain issues, the U.S. will issue a 60-day waiver of the Jones Act and release 172 million barrels from strategic reserves.
* The UN Maritime Body has called for emergency talks regarding shipping risks in the Gulf.
* The U.K. government announced a 60% reduction in tariff-free steel imports, raising tariffs on excess imports to 50%, aligning with U.S. and EU trade measures amid rising global trade tensions.
-Choice Broking
*US Federal Funds Rate*
Actual : 3.75%
Forecast: 3.75%
Prev.: 3.75%
Impact : Neutral for Bullion
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk : Update on Book Part Profit : Exit at cost in ALUMINIUM|31MAR26
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk : Update on Book Part Profit : Exit at cost in NATURALGAS|24MAR26 CE 290.00
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk : Book Part Profit @ 10.8...Buy in Commodity NATURALGAS|24MAR26 CE 290.00 @ 9.85 SL 8.5 TGT 12.55
US Crude Oil Inventories
Actual : 6.2M
Forecast: -1.5M
Prev.: 3.8M
Impact : Negative for Crude Oil
US Distillate Inventories
Actual : -2.5M
Forecast: -1.5M
Prev.: -1.3M
Impact : Positive for Crude Oil
US Gasoline Inventories
Actual : -5.4M
Forecast: -2.0M
Prev.: -3.7M
Impact : Positive for Crude Oil
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk:Buy NATURALGAS|24MAR26 CE 290.00 in Commodity @ 9.85 SL 8.5 TGT 12.55
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk : Update on Book Part Profit : Exit at cost in ALUMINIUM|31MAR26
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk : Book Part Profit @ 338.75...Sell in Commodity ALUMINIUM|31MAR26 @ 339.6 SL 340.5 TGT 337.80
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk:Sell ALUMINIUM|31MAR26 in Commodity @ 339.6 SL 340.5 TGT 337.80
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk : Target Achieved @ 251000...Sell in Commodity SILVERMIC|30APR26 @ 255800 SL 258200 TGT 251000.00
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk : Book Part Profit @ 253605...Sell in Commodity SILVERMIC|30APR26 @ 255800 SL 258200 TGT 251000.00
Crude Oil prices surged by +6.6& with next hurdle may seen around 9100--9250
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk : Target Achieved @ 13...Buy in Commodity NATURALGAS|24MAR26 CE 280.00 @ 9 SL 7 TGT 13.00
US Core PPI m/m
Actual : 0.5%
Forecast : 0.3%
Prev.: 0.8%
Impact :Negative for Bullion
US PPI m/m
Actual : 0.7%
Forecast : 0.3%
Prev.: 0.5%
Impact : Negative for Bullion
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk:Sell SILVERMIC|30APR26 in Commodity @ 255800 SL 258200 TGT 251000.00
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk : Book Part Profit @ 10.4...Buy in Commodity NATURALGAS|24MAR26 CE 280.00 @ 9 SL 7 TGT 13.00
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk : Target Achieved @ 3093...Buy in Commodity GOLDM|26MAR26 PE 155000.00 @ 2371 SL 2010 TGT 3093.00
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk : Book Part Profit @ 2652...Buy in Commodity GOLDM|26MAR26 PE 155000.00 @ 2371 SL 2010 TGT 3093.00
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