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Hidden Multibagger Stocks by Devendra (RA: INH000026488)
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Disclaimer: I am a SEBI Registered Research Analyst (RA: INH000026488). All stocks, market updates, and investment-related information shared in this channel are strictly for educational and informational purposes only.
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The bear phase is the most painful period in the stock market. Those who understand its challenges and act wisely before it begins can navigate it successfully. However, for those who don’t understand what a bear phase is and suddenly experience it, the impact can be extremely difficult.
For the past 2 to 3 months, I have consistently warned that all small pullbacks during a bear phase are traps for retail investors. I also advised against taking new positions, as the market takes months to find its bottom. Additionally, we recommended exiting all stocks that surged in 2023-24.
Now, those who followed our advice and exited are in a better position, as all these stocks have declined significantly from their December 2024 highs.
The key question now is how to recover these losses as quickly as possible. To do this, you need additional capital to invest in new stocks that have the potential to outperform in the next rally after the market has bottomed out. Our focus should now be on finding ways to recover losses efficiently.
In a bear phase, a major rally is unlikely, but we can take advantage of small rallies to make quick profits as and when they occur. We will provide updates on our channel regarding the next market rally.
I expect a strong rally in the market once both time and price corrections are complete.
Throughout this month, the market is expected to remain sideways due to continued FII selling. We will inform you if any rally is anticipated.
During a bear phase, the market tends to stay within a specific range for months. The best approach right now is to wait and observe.
The small and midcap indices are still overvalued, and further corrections may be seen in these segments. Meanwhile, the correction in the Nifty large-cap index is almost complete.
Q3 Result on 14th Feb:
Dr Agarwals health
Deepak builders
Ethos ltd
AGS transact
Rategain travel
Antony waste
RVNL
Dilip buildcon
Healthcare global
Genesys International
Ashapura minechem
Pix transmission
Themis medicare
Gufic bio
Camlin fine
Munjal auto
Sudarshan chemical
Bajaj consumer
The Q3 earnings season is almost over, and despite many stocks posting outstanding results, none have outperformed in this bear market. This is the first time I have witnessed such a powerful bearish phase.
Similar to Q2, the overall earnings in Q3 did not meet market expectations, which is the primary reason for the market's underperformance.
Ping me @devendra2006 for any queries..
The market failed to sustain its gains today as well, which is a common phenomenon during a bear phase. Many new retail investors who have never experienced such a market are growing increasingly frustrated.
For the past three months, I have repeatedly emphasized that the market moves within the same range for extended periods to find its bottom, and this is a long and painful process. However, many investors remained in a bull market mindset and ignored my posts and videos, where I consistently issued warnings.
Those who did not sell their profitable stocks, thinking they had a long-term view, are now feeling the frustration as their profits have been wiped out. Remember, only those who can endure this phase will have the opportunity to generate significant wealth in the next bull market—provided they acted on my advice to book profits and protect their capital at the beginning of the bear phase.
If you have substantial capital available, you are in a strong position to deploy funds into multibagger stocks when the right opportunity arises. However, if your money is stuck in the market, you won’t be able to take advantage of those opportunities.
Many believe that it is impossible to identify market tops and bottoms, but we have successfully done so by analyzing FII and DII data, along with the psychology of FIIs. We will definitely inform you when the bull run begins and when to deploy more capital. Since January 25, we have maintained a bearish stance on the market and advised our members not to invest further during this period.
Over the past one year, 26 out of 27 small-cap mutual funds have delivered negative returns on systematic investment plan (SIP) investments. Notably, the Quant Small Cap Fund recorded a negative XIRR of approximately 22.45% during this period.
This loss could have been avoided if investors had exited mutual funds before the start of the bear phase—which we repeatedly warned about—and re-entered when the bull cycle began.
Anyone who starts investing in the stock market at the end of a bull run and the beginning of a bear phase is unlikely to generate significant returns in the following year. To be a successful investor, you must begin investing at the start of a bull run and exit at its peak.
There are stocks that have posted outstanding Q3 results and are available at attractive valuations, with strong potential for long-term returns. However, due to the current bearish market, they may decline further if the market continues to fall.
In this bearish phase, both good and bad stocks are affected by panic selling. No strategy works effectively in such a market; the only option is to wait and watch for FIIs to return and drive a rally.
Once this bear phase ends and the market enters a bull run, our new stocks are expected to outperform.
"Interarch Building Products" Diwali Muhurat Multibagger stock, has shown resilience in the recent market crash, This indicates that its downside risk is limited...Slow recovery..🚀
" Tanfac Industries " Strong recovery after sharp correction..🚀🚀
This is just a small pullback after an oversold condition.The U.S. 10-year bond yield surged to 4.6% following higher-than-expected inflation data, leading to increased FII selling. We are currently in a bear phase, and a market recovery is unlikely this month due to continued FII outflows. While there may be occasional pullback rallies, a significant rally is not expected in the near term.
In my December 2024 YouTube video, I predicted a market crash in February 2025 after the Budget and Trump’s return to power, which has now come true.
During this period, the best approach is to wait and observe. A strong market rally will occur once FIIs return. Our market predictions are based on data-driven analysis rather than chart patterns, enabling us to anticipate such trends in advance.
In January, U.S. consumer prices rose more than expected, with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increasing by 0.5%, following a 0.4% rise in December. This brought the year-on-year inflation rate to 3.0%. The surge in inflation has dampened hopes for Federal Reserve rate cuts. As a result, the U.S. 10-year bond yield jumped to 4.6%.
The market is currently in a bear phase and undergoing both price and time corrections. Due to the high U.S. 10-year bond yield, FII selling continues, making a significant recovery unlikely in the near term.
In a bear phase, the best time to exit is before it begins. At this stage, we can only wait and observe. This month, the market is expected to remain range-bound. It is important to keep expectations minimal during this phase; otherwise, high expectations may lead to losses.
Small and midcap valuations are currently high, which is why we are witnessing price and time corrections in these indices. Avoid buying or averaging in this market unless there is a clear uptrend. Recent small pullbacks are likely traps for retail investors.
The main concern now is the redemption of mutual fund investments due to panic among retail investors. Those who have never experienced such a bear phase should be mentally prepared for it.
https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/c2c-advanced-systems-shares-hit-5-lower-circuit-as-independent-inquiry-flags-lapses-in-rhp-12936545.html#:~:text=The%20listing%20of%20the%20SME,before%20taking%20any%20investment%20decisions.
The auditor of C2C Advance System has raised some concerns regarding the balance sheet. However, the company's fundamentals appear strong based on Screener data. Additionally, well-known investors Ashish Kacholia and Mukul Agarwal hold stakes in the company.
If you get an opportunity, consider exiting the stock. Otherwise, hold it for the long term, and we will exit at the appropriate time, as the presence of these prominent investors in the shareholding pattern indicates potential confidence in the company.
Watch this YouTube video on 7th December 24 , where I had predicted a market crash in February 2025 after the budget.
We analyze FII and DII futures data to predict market trends, and our forecasts have always been accurate.👇👇
" Danish power " Transformer sector new multibagger stock strong recovery.🚀
Panic selling in the small and midcap indices is over for now, and we can expect a pullback in the market starting tomorrow.
In a bear phase, time and price corrections will continue, with small pullbacks after every decline.
However, do not assume that a major rally is beginning based on technical charts. In a bear phase, a strong rally is unlikely—only small, short-term recoveries may occur.
The Nifty Midcap 150 PE ratio surged to 45.7 on September 24, coinciding with heavy selling by FIIs. Our Midcap 150 median PE stands at 27.5, and after more than four months of correction, the current PE has come down to 35.5. This indicates that the midcap index was highly overvalued in September 2024, and the ongoing correction is a natural adjustment.
Despite the correction so far, we are still significantly above the median PE of 27.5. In the coming months, we may see further corrections in the midcap index, interspersed with short pullback rallies. This is a typical bear phase, where valuations adjust to more reasonable levels.
New investors in the stock market should understand this fundamental principle—markets do not remain in a bull phase indefinitely. It is essential to grasp the logic behind both bull and bear markets rather than expecting continuous upward movements.
I advised everyone to exit all old stocks from 2023-24 in November-December 2024. However, many people did not exit, as they were planning for long-term investment. Now, I am receiving numerous messages asking whether to exit or not.
Remember, decisions should always be made at the beginning of a bear phase. Once a bear phase starts, your portfolio can suffer significant damage, leaving you with no option but to sell at a loss. I also advised exiting in January-25 also , but many ignored the warning.
Making the right decision at the right time is crucial in the stock market. Now that the "tsunami" has already hit and wiped out everything, there is no point in exiting stocks— the damage has already been done.
I know many people took my bear phase warning lightly. This is why I made a YouTube video to convey my message clearly, rather than just posting in the group.
