The Russia Guy
Russia analysis and Russian media monitoring by Kevin Rothrock. All opinions and good/bad takes are his alone. Contact Kevin directly here: @KevinRothrock
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01 Earlier today, hours before Ukraine instituted nationwide rolling blackouts due to Russian airstrikes & unseasonably cold weather raising heating demands, US Secretary of State Blinken parachuted into Kyiv for an electric performance of Neil Young’s “Rockin’ in the Free World.”
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02 Ukraine’s power grid operator announces nationwide “controlled emergency shutdowns” between 9 p.m. and midnight tonight, due to power deficits caused by Russian shelling and increased consumption due to colder weather. https://t.me/Ukrenergo/2833
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03 Some curious info: Masha Baronova writes that Kononenko spent the last six months of his life in penury when work dried up after he carelessly reposted a joke involving/mocking separatist Vladimir Zhoga’s surname. https://t.me/Baronova/37952Long story short, former Yukos VP (now set for life) Roman Khomenko joked, “In Russia, all important matters are resolved through Zhoga,” with Zhoga’s name taking the place of “zhopa,” which roughly translates to “are resolved ass-backwards.”DPR leader Denis Pushilin posthumously awarded Zhoga the title Hero of the Donetsk People’s Republic, while Putin awarded Zhoga the title of Hero of the Russian Federation. No joking matter, zhogaholes!
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04 to be clear, i don’t know how much of the sock he managed to fill, but this outfit undeniably exudes BDE
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05 you won’t believe it, but that cock-in-a-sock rapper from Nastya Ivleeva’s “Almost Naked” party last year has reportedly left Russia to evade conscription. some reports claim that Vacio (Nikolai Vasiliev) has even reached the US of A. https://www.starhit.ru/exclusive/byla-povestka-na-13-maya-reper-vacio-kotoryi-dolzhen-byl-poiti-v-armiyu-posle-goloi-vecherinki-sbezhal-iz-rf-5662574/
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06 time is a loop
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07 write a catchy song with a subtext that denounces the foundations of modern American life but give it a patriotic-sounding title and refrain, and you can be sure that U.S. politicians on both sides of the aisle will perform it and play it at public events for years to come
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08 I see a woman in the night With a baby in her hand There's an old street light (near a garbage can) Near a garbage can (near a garbage can) And now she put the kid away and she's gone to get a hit She hates her life and what she's done to it There's one more kid that'll never go to school Never get to fall in love, never get to be cool Keep on rockin' in the free world We got a thousand points of light For the homeless man We got a kinder, gentler machine gun hand We got department stores and toilet paper Got Styrofoam boxes for the ozone layer Got a man of the people, says keep hope alive Got fuel to burn, got roads to drive Keep on rockin' in the free world
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09 few songs can get me going like “This Is the Day” by the The
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10 Oh wow, Maxim Kononenko, aka Mr. Parker, has reportedly died. A talented humorist who once wrote a satirical blog all about Putin, he was also a rabidly patriotic, chauvinist z-monster who penned propaganda essays for the last decade and change. https://t.me/rian_ru/245509
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11 There are many qualities Russians and Americans share (some uncomfortable and others benign), but one thing that isn’t shared is Russians’ profound interest in their neighbors. In the U.S., events in Canada and Mexico barely register. (Maybe that’s a good thing, I dunno.)
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12 it’s my dream that, one day, i’ll be hunted down by a CIA psychiatrist because one of my shitposts exposed a government conspiracy, and only julia roberts can save me
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13 This observation about Mishustin is made in the most recent episode of Вид на Кремль: https://meduza.io/episodes/2024/05/13/s-mishustinym-vo-glave-s-belousovym-v-minoborony-i-chetyrmya-gubernatorami-v-roli-ministrov-analiziruem-obnovlennoe-pravitelstvo-voyny-i-rasskazyvaem-chego-ot-nego-zhdat
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14 Unless something unexpected happens on the battlefield, the next year seems like easy street in Putin’s cabinet. With govt spending still in overdrive, it ain’t hard to appear active and capable. After all, Mishustin has been riding COVID and invasion cash since his appointment.
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15 I'm old enough to remember when not sending NATO troops to Ukraine for direct combat with Russian soldiers was the whole plan instead of "backing down."
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16 In her interview with Meduza, Nuland seems to suggest that she thinks U.S. aid packages to Ukraine aren’t over, she endorses the (now consensus?) view that Putin will roll into NATO if he takes Ukraine, and she expects/wants Europe to get on America’s hardline-China bus. https://meduza.io/en/feature/2024/05/13/former-top-u-s-diplomat-victoria-nuland-talks-to-meduza-about-winning-in-ukraine-by-remaining-tough-on-putin-and-getting-real-about-chinese-neutrality
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17 today’s theory: when LLMs start failing as they begin to learn from their own output, developers will be forced to train them on pre-LLM data, effectively halting progress in human earth science. conclusion: chatgpt is a sophon.
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18 Putin met for the first time with the new composition of his National Security Council, however, both Shoigu and Patrushev participated. Does Patrushev have some new role on the same council? If so, the presidential order for this is still unpublished...
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19 A humble request to those reading today about what the appointment of a new defense minister means for Russia’s military and Russian statecraft as we know it: when everything said now eventually proves to be wrong, just do a friendly shrug and don’t be mean about it. ¯_(ツ)_/¯
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20 At what is essentially his confirmation hearing, Russian Defense Minister nominee Andrey Belousov indicates that one of his first priorities in office will be to improve benefits (esp healthcare) for soldiers fighting in Ukraine and for their dependents. https://www.rbc.ru/politics/13/05/2024/6641dc589a794771214db4de
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21 Favorite podcast app out there, fellow Android users? I've been using AntennaPod and really enjoying it, but I'm always on the lookout for an even better app.
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22 Interesting trivia about Russia’s new defense minister, Andrey Belousov: he was a key figure in Putin's 2012 return to the presidency, he's a devoted Keynesian who also advocates Russia’s "tech sovereignty," he helped convince Putin to endorse American investor Michael Calvey's arrest in 2018, and he's super religious and involved in charities. https://t.me/faridaily24/1368
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23 Russia’s Joint Chiefs (whoever is left of them when Putin’s spring cleaning is done) will now presumably exercise even more control over the war, as a beancounter like Andrey Belousov isn't likely to draw up his own battle plans (I assume).
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24 meanwhile, at Russia’s National Security Council
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25 According to Tatiana Stanovaya, moving Shoigu to the National Security Council proves that the body is now just where Putin puts his old cronies out to pasture (eg Medvedev). She expects something new (perhaps a real shadow govt?) to be created under Patrushev. https://t.me/stanovaya/1783
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26 The recent arrest of Dep Defense Minster Timur Ivanov on bribery charges clearly wasn't a fluke. Shoigu met with him hours before the arrest, too, though it was claimed that he had advance knowledge of the case. Shoigu's replacement, Andrey Belousov, is an economist without any military experience.
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27 Putin’s spokesman says Patrushev's next appointment won't be revealed for a few more days. https://t.me/news_sirena/27950
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28 Wow. Putin is sending Shoigu to take over as secretary of Russia's National Security Council. Nikolai Patrushev is out. https://t.me/tass_agency/248390
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30 This was not expected. According to some rumors, Belousov was going to trade places with State Development Corporation VEB.RF chairman Igor Shuvalov.
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31 ⚡ Sergey Shoigu isn't getting reappointed as defense minster. Putin has nominated former First Deputy Prime Minister Andrey Belousov to take over.
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32 A happy Mother's Day to all you mommas out there! 🎊
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33 Russia’s national TV networks are describing today's deadly blast at a residential building in Belgorod as a "targeted Ukrainian airstrike," though Russia’s Defense Ministry says it was caused by a fragment from an intercepted Ukrainian missile. https://t.me/agentstvonews/6097
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34 At least five bodies have been recovered, so far, from the rubble. https://t.me/ostorozhno_novosti/26112
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35 Rescue work is still underway in Belgorod where a Ukrainian missile apparently hit a 10-story residential building. Russian Defense Ministry says fragments of a Tochka-U hit the building after being intercepted by air defenses. https://t.me/rian_ru/245158
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36 alright alright I get it
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37 Claims on Telegram that this video captures the side of the building opposite to where the missile struck. Missile fragments have reportedly been recovered on the ground. (All unverified so far.) https://t.me/warfakes/22222?single
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38 The moment of the explosion. https://t.me/radarb31/21941
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39 Dangerous rescue work is underway at a collapsing 10-story residential building in Belgorod. Local officials say it was hit in Ukraine's steadily increasing attacks against the city (amid Russia’s renewed offensive toward Kharkiv). Sources in Ukraine blame Russian misfire.
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40 A Russian court has fined this 63-year-old woman of inciting “hatred” and “separatism” because she published audio messages on Telegram last October where she urged families to teach their kids the Tatar language and wished “freedom” for Tatarstan. https://www.idelreal.org/a/prizyv-k-izucheniyu-tatarskogo-yazyka-v-seme-i-pozhelanie-svobody-tatarstanu-za-chto-oshtrafovali-63-letnyuyu-zhitelnitsu-sela/32936702.html
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Earlier today, hours before Ukraine instituted nationwide rolling blackouts due to Russian airstrikes & unseasonably cold weather raising heating demands, US Secretary of State Blinken parachuted into Kyiv for an electric performance of Neil Young’s “Rockin’ in the Free World.”
УВАГА! Сьогодні, 14 травня, з 21:00 до 24:00 Укренерго вимушене запровадити контрольовані аварійні відключення для промислових та побутових споживачів в усіх регіонах України. Енергоживлення об'єктів критичної інфраструктури не обмежується. Причина – значний дефіцит електроенергії в системі внаслідок російських обстрілів та зростання споживання через похолодання. Завтра, 15 травня, для промислових споживачів графіки обмеження потужності будуть діяти протягом всієї доби – з 00:00 до 24:00.
Расскажу историю, пожалуй. Есть у нас такой всеобщий френд уровня ультра-токс на максималах Роман Хоменко. Когда-то был большим начальником ЮКОСа. Ныне — человек, который может себе позволить жить свободно и благополучно. Классический человек из 90х, в общем. Но сумевший найти себя и жить для себя. Завидовать будем. И вот, где-то в конце декабря Наш Светлейший выдвинулся на Правление Россиюшкой Нашей Любимой следующим образом: К нему подошел Артем Владимирович Жога, отец героя России и ДНР Владимира Артемовича Жоги, соответственно. И спросил, когда Темнейший будет выдвигаться. Сам Артём Жога погиб 5 марта 2022 года, во время попыток помочь мирным жителям Волновахи, заблокированным неонацистской террористической группировкой «Азов», выйти из Волновахи. Оба Жоги воевали за Донбасс 10 лет. Оба самые что ни на есть местные жители. В общем, ни о чем об этом Максим Витальевич не знал, потому что никто не обязан знать всё. Как и не знал саму новость. Проснулся, зашел в фейсбук, а там Рома Хоменко своим привычным…
Рэпер Николай Васильев, более известный как Vacio, получил сомнительную славу, явившись на голую вечеринку Насти Ивлеевой, надев носок на причинное место. На артиста обрушился шквал критики....
Attached: 1 image time is a loop
write a catchy song with a subtext that denounces the foundations of modern American life but give it a patriotic-sounding title and refrain, and you can be sure that U.S. politicians on both sides of the aisle will perform it and play it at public events for years to come
Attached: 1 image I see a woman in the night With a baby in her hand There's an old street light (near a garbage can) Near a garbage can (near a garbage can) And now she put the kid away and she's gone to get a hit She hates her life and what she's done to it There's one more kid that'll never go to school Never get to fall in love, never get to be cool Keep on rockin' in the free world We got a thousand points of light For the homeless man We got a kinder, gentler machine gun hand We got department stores and toilet paper Got Styrofoam boxes for the ozone layer Got a man of the people, says keep hope alive Got fuel to burn, got roads to drive Keep on rockin' in the free world
few songs can get me going like “This Is the Day” by the The
Журналист Максим Кононенко умер на 54-м году жизни, сообщает RT