Altcoin Wolves 🐺
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Bitcoin closed July $62,818
200-week moving average $63k
Realized price $52k (still decreasing)
Monthly RSI 43 (still < 50)
It looks like bitcoin has started the bottoming process. This normally takes 1-3 months and BTC would drop lower during this phase (below realized). DYOR.
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Capitulation is no where to be seen.
Bitcoin holders just started to realized losses on a yearly basis, -136K Bitcoin.
However, previous cycles bottomed at -1.3M and -3.7M Bitcoin of annual realized losses.
Either this is the most benign cycle in terms of realized losses or there's still a lot of room to go.
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$BTC miners are capitulating. It's worse than 2014, 2018 & 2022.
This cycle so far has been the worst in history for miners.
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🔥 BULLISH: Bitcoin’s long-term holders are accumulating at the fastest pace in six years
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Largest opportunity in crypto right now in 2026 since 2016 & 2020
Macro Risk is beginning its Bull Market for the first time since 2016 & 2020 as it exits its Bear Market in 2026
All synchronized and heavily correlated over the past decade
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People beg for lower prices
Then they spend months convincing themselves it will go even lower
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Two interesting conclusions of power law:
the early 2024 high at ~$75k,
the late 2024 high at ~$100k
and the late 2025 high at ~$125k
were all *equal highs*
(a comparable *equal high* now sits at $175k, while a bull market on the scale of 2021 or 2017 sits at $300k-700k)
WHILE
the late 2023 low at ~$16k
and the current low at ~$58k
are *equal lows*
anyone pointing to a $30-40k low is proposing a historic deviation from this model which has held for bitcoin’s entire history.
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Besides Bybit, BingX is the exchange where I keep my funds! Go grab a welcome bonus of up to $5,125!
Here is my referral link to get bonuses: https://bingx.com/partner/AltcoinWolves
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Boring, sideways, chop. Best time now.
The end of this phase is near and a lot of people who are sidelined now will jump on the running train in Q4. Just like in 2023.
"Spring" still has not happened yet. The next leg down will be moderate but will mark the bottom.
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We're in the bottom zone.
But the biggest pain period starts in 2 months and will last until Q1 2027. Then the recovery begins.
Pre-election years are the best performers on the record as they line up with oversold markets bouncing off the lows.
Expecting +216% push in 2027.
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The Bitcoin bottom might not be in yet BUT we are extremely close. This is the range to build positions, not to exit them.
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Besides Bybit, BingX is the exchange where I keep my funds! Go grab a welcome bonus of up to $5,125!
Here is my referral link to get bonuses: https://bingx.com/partner/AltcoinWolves
6 265
Besides Bybit, BingX is the exchange where I keep my funds! Go grab a welcome bonus of up to $5,125!
Here is my referral link to get bonuses: https://bingx.com/partner/AltcoinWolves
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$ETH can surprise everyone in 2026.
Every time the Russell 2000 hits a new all-time high, ETH has followed with a parabolic move in the next 12–18 months.
We are seeing the same setup now. If history repeats, ETH could be gearing up for one of its biggest runs yet.
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