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A update channel for all things posted by Huginn and Muninn Intelligence
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Indonesia is reportedly reassessing its $8.1 billion deal to acquire 42 Rafale fighter jets following unconfirmed claims that three Indian Rafales were downed by Pakistani J-10Cs on May 7. While no official changes have been made and deliveries are still scheduled for early 2026, the rumors have raised concerns among Indonesian defense officials about the jets’ operational credibility, potentially impacting the strategic modernization of its air force.
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China is developing glide kits with terminal laser guidance for 152mm and 155mm artillery shells. These kits, launched from heavy drones, convert the shells into long-range precision-guided glide bombs.
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Footage has emerged showing a North Korean-supplied 170mm M1978 Koksan self-propelled artillery system being used by Russian forces, likely in the Kursk region, against Ukraine. This is the first close-up visual confirmation of the weapon in action.
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Spain experienced a nationwide mobile network blackout affecting major providers like Movistar, Orange, Vodafone, O2, and Digimobil, leaving millions without signal, internet, or even access to emergency services in cities such as Madrid, Barcelona, and Valencia. This marks the second major infrastructure failure within a month, following widespread power outages. Authorities attributed the disruption to "network upgrade work," but the public reacted with frustration, flooding social media with complaints while anxiously checking for restored service.
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Check out today's intel brief 🤙
https://open.spotify.com/episode/5YHPy9ZvPROHZG2yiFRe3B?si=f98bqrRHRzW9LYDVWSSehQ
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has firmly rejected Russia's demands for Ukraine to withdraw its forces from the territories it controls in the regions of Luhansk, Donetsk, Kherson, and Zaporizhzhia, where approximately 1.3 million Ukrainians currently reside.
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USS Truman has reportedly left the Red Sea and is en route to the United States.
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Iran has firmly rejected U.S. pressure to curb its nuclear activities, with its foreign minister asserting that uranium enrichment will continue regardless of any deal. This defiant stance follows former President Trump's claim that Iran had “sort of” agreed to terms and his vague threat of consequences if talks stall. Iran emphasized that its nuclear program is domestically developed and non-negotiable, signaling its intent to remain close to nuclear weapons capability despite international concerns.
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Russia's planned training and combat launch of the RS-24 Yars intercontinental ballistic missile on the night of May 19 did not take place, as no signs of the launch were recorded, according to Defense Express. The cause of the failure remains unknown.
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Thousands of Iranian truck drivers and transportation workers have initiated a nationwide strike to protest the Islamic regime’s economic mismanagement and incompetence, leading to significant disruptions across parts of the country's transportation system.
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Donald Trump announced that he had a successful two-hour call with Russian President Vladimir Putin, during which they agreed that Russia and Ukraine would begin immediate negotiations toward a ceasefire and an end to the war. Trump highlighted Russia’s interest in engaging in large-scale trade with the U.S. after the conflict ends, expressing optimism about Russia’s economic potential and job creation. He also noted that Ukraine could benefit significantly from trade as it rebuilds.
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Was an early one, focused on the three big elections on Sunday, looks like big wins for the centrist pro-eu parties.
https://open.spotify.com/episode/3JCjTSg3mICL6IEGTSLP83?si=G4iwdvCLRh6FzPKFbRPopg
Neros Technologies' Archer FPV drone, designed for long-range missions with a 2 kg payload and over 20 km range, is the first FPV drone on the US DoD's Blue UAS list. In ultra-slow motion footage, it visibly generates a shockwave.
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Chinese properganda channels have published the following conceptual video of China’s first aerial drone mothership, the Jiutian SS-UAV, will have its first flight in June. It can fly at 15,000 meters, carry over 100 small drones or 1,000 kg of missiles, and has a range of 7,000 km.
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Kursk Oblast, Reports indicate that Ukrainian forces have encircled Tyotkino.
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Ukraine’s military intelligence (HUR) reports that Russia may launch an RS-24 Yars intercontinental ballistic missile (ICBM) tonight, allegedly to intimidate the USA, Europe, and Ukraine. The missile has a range of 11,000 km and an explosive yield of up to 1 million tons of TNT.
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The British Royal Air Force conducted a test called Hornet’s Nest, where they launched an FPV drone directly from a CH-47 Chinook helicopter.
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According to Sky News The Trump administration is reportedly considering launching a reality TV show in which immigrants compete for U.S. citizenship. The proposed show would involve contestants traveling across various states to take part in tasks and challenges, including trivia and tests of civic knowledge, with the ultimate prize being American citizenship.
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Russian military intelligence is reportedly coordinating with Belarusian generals in preparation for a potential invasion of Belarus as early as this year, should Russia fail to achieve its goals in Ukraine. This has sparked panic in Belarus, where President Lukashenko commands a relatively small force of 60,000 soldiers. Additionally, Russia is planning a major military exercise, "West-2025," on Belarusian soil in September 2025, which may serve as a pretext for annexation. If Ukraine’s campaign falters, Putin could move to absorb Belarus before turning his focus westward toward the Baltic states, risking direct confrontation with NATO.
So what
While a direct attack on NATO countries remains highly unlikely due to the automatic invocation of Article 5, the situation warrants close monitoring, particularly the upcoming exercise in Belarus and the scale of Russian troop deployments involved.
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