Dimario Invest 🎯

‼️ This channel moved to: https://t.me/volkitochka ‼️

💰 When and why will BTC rise? 🚀 Many may think that the main reason for growth will be BTC spot ETFs. But in essence, this is nothing more than an extended information feed to entice newcomers into the market. And this looks more like a bad joke that dragged on... As soon as this news broke, I immediately wrote to you that there is no need to go shopping on this news, since this is just driving hamsters into the market, but many turned their fingers to their temples. Since that moment, BTC has already fallen by -20% 💁‍♂️ ℹ️ When there is a potential “trillion-dollar influx of money” from the world’s largest funds, which could double or triple the capitalization of the crypto market, shouldn’t these assets win back this positive in advance and push the price significantly higher? In fact, it's completely the opposite. Think about why this is so. 👹 The existence of an ETF for spot BTC is absurd in itself, since BTC is a virtual asset that can be purchased by every person or organization without any restrictions! (The most profitable way to do this is on the Bingx exchange: https://bingx.com/invite/XLQBBK 😉) Or do you think that having a lot of money, the rich are so eager to buy a surrogate product in the form of an ETF (with all its technical and political risks), and not a real asset on the spot, which does not have these risks? In general, there are 2 fundamental events that will have a strong impact on BTC, and in favor of long-term growth 📈 1️⃣ Halving. Which is scheduled for 04/10/2024. I plan to release a large review about this event, where we will analyze how the price behaves in anticipation of and after this event. 2️⃣ Launch of the QE program from central banks. One of the most powerful drivers, thanks to which BTC grew by +1600% in the period 20-21. There is a high probability that the “printing press” will be launched exactly by 2024, which, together with the 1st factor, will send BTC to a historical high and higher. 📝 In fact, don't need much: 1. Breakout and consolidation of the Bitcoin price above the long-term moving averages. 2. Breakout and consolidation of the price above the resistance level of $30,000. 3. Growth in volumes at least on the daily timeframe. 4. Formation of bullish divergences on higher timeframes. That is, the above parameters will fully confirm the transition of the market to the bullish stage. In fact, you can buy Bitcoin now and forget about it for a year or two. In this simple way it is not difficult to increase your capital significantly. But if you want to buy as cheaply as possible, you don’t need to rush and get into the market now. Especially if you are not ready to sit for a couple of months in a noticeable drawdown. As soon as the moment comes when I myself will fully enter the market, I will definitely report on this channel, so pin the channel to the top of your feed and don’t forget to turn on notifications so you don’t miss anything important 😉

Is Bitcoin ready to grow?🤔 Probably many are already tired of my constant pessism about the markets, especially when cryptocurrencies do not fall while all other less risky assets are falling. Therefore, this post will be a fly in the ointment. ❗️If you think that the price of BTC will be $70k, then you can buy at current prices. Yes, mathematically this deal is justified. After all, from the current ones it is +162%. Let's take the most negative of possible forecasts, where BTC falls to $15k (this is -40% from the current ones). ⚖️ The total risk to profit is 4! = positive math. Waiting means you can buy with confidence. But as you understand, I don’t catch small movements in the market and perceive them as market noise. For speculation, I use a trading robot, which makes me passive income and does not burn my nerves and gives me a lot of free time, since I don’t have to sit at the charts for days 🏝️ Therefore, first of all, I always look at the weekly timeframe. Now everything is in favor of a fall, and I provided all the facts in previous posts. I would like to convey to you that when the market reaches the levels I expected, I will be the first to write about the end of the bear market. When at the same time everyone will be seized with fear and no one will take me seriously, which generally happened in August and September regarding the fall scenarios. What to expect in the coming months? 🔮 Now we have terrible fundamental indicators of the economies of all developed countries of the world, which should put pressure on all assets of the planet. If we talk about cryptocurrencies, there is a risk of bankruptcy/scam of some crypto exchanges. For example, the situation with the Huobi exchange and the constant litigation of the Binance exchange, which yesterday completely left the Russian market. In the next post we’ll talk about 2 events that act as a soft cushion and will not allow BTC to fall much in price 🫂

📝 Results of the Fed meeting. What will happen to the market? 🕯 Yesterday the next meeting of the Federal Reserve took place, as a result of which the key rate remained at the same level of 5.5%. There is no positive here at all, the rate is still a record for the last 16 years! ✏️ Key points that Powell voiced: 1️⃣ FED will continue to further reduce the balance as planned. 2️⃣ The full effect of tightening the DCP has yet to be felt. 3️⃣ If the economy turns out stronger than expected, the Fed will have to do more. 4️⃣ A “soft landing” of the economy is not a basic expectation, but it is possible if you act carefully. P.S. Just a month ago, Powell said that the Fed no longer expects a recession 🤡 There were much more theses in the speech of the head of the Fed, they became more “tough” in favor of further tightening. Moreover, the most important are points 3 and 4, where Powell essentially directly says that the market is very overbought and let’s stop buying everything. In general, I heard what I expected, so the forecasts do not change with the fall, but there are nuances. 💰 What will happen to Bitcoin? Now, according to the technique, the price is forming a Bullish Wedge pattern directly below the long-term moving averages, but for complete formation, one wave of decline in the area of ​​$24,700-$25,200 is missing. Next, after the fall, I expect the Wedge pattern to work out in order to capture liquidity above the moving averages, take out short sellers and drive the crowd into the market again. After this, the price will go down to $24,500. In general, everything on the graph is indicated by a green arrow. ✔️ I open all transactions here: https://bingx.com/invite/XLQBBK

Bitcoin surpasses Visa in terms of annual transaction volume 😱 Why is this an important achievement and can it be called a historic day? 🃏 Visa ($V) is a centralized payment system that has existed for several decades and is ideally configured for user transactions, has 3.4 billion users worldwide! 💰 Bitcoin is a decentralized network that was created by an anonymous person in 2009. The number of active wallets is currently only ~1 million. However, BTC is already ahead of Visa in terms of transaction volume. That is, these are 2 fundamentally different systems of calculations and values. 😰 Just think about what will happen to the price of BTC when the number of active wallets grows to 3-5 million, and then to 10 million, etc... It turns out that traditional financial instruments are losing ground and crypto is coming to the fore. Considering the political and economic instability in many countries, we can conclude that the role of stablecoins and Bitcoin will constantly grow. The global financial landscape is changing right before our eyes 🌍

What will bring the market down this time? 🦠 #important People are the most valuable resource of any company - layoffs happen as a last resort. Especially in the technology sector. Therefore, among all economic indicators, unemployment is the last to grow. Only after an increase in unemployment can you see a drop in Sp500 on the chart. There is no fall yet, how can that be?! 🤡 I suggest you have a little patience and wait until the end of September. Last time, the trigger for the most powerful increase in unemployment in history was Covid. Thanks to the “printing press,” the situation was suppressed for several years, but here we are again at a fatal fork in the road ↔️ In recent weeks, intimidation has begun about an increase in the number of infections 🦠 Apparently, in 2 years the matrix could not come up with anything smarter than re-selling the same infection under a new sauce. And now it is important to look at how central banks will behave. I see only 2 options: 1️⃣ World Central Banks will immediately begin QE “printing money”, spit on inflation in order to once again save consumers from unemployment. In this case, the market will begin a new strong rise in inflation and a strong upward revaluation of risky assets. I estimate this scenario at ~30%. 2️⃣ Basic scenario that the Fed and the ECB will hesitate with the “printing press”, but very carefully hint that if something happens, “everything will be fine.” And against this background, the market can really grow from the current ones. But you need to accept the fact that a sale can suddenly begin from 01.20-03.20 during lockdowns. This option is the most likely. Of course, it is difficult to trade in such a limbo, but if scenario 2 really comes true, then you can make very good money on this. I will let you know when you can confidently go short without the risk of liquidation, so keep the channel at the top of your feed and recommend turning on notifications. A very volatile time is beginning 😤

Personal recommendation how get maximum profit in trading 🌪️ In crypto world, one of the main postulates is diversification. And not only for crypto assets, but also for exchanges. For the last 2 months I have been closely studying one exchange, it passed all my checks, so I can confidently recommend it to you. I am absolutely confident in the success of this exchange. Where such confidence? 🧐 The BingX exchange does not even require KYC! Soon you will hear about this exchange everywhere, the team is aggressively entering the market, in the next year it will enter the TOP-3 in terms of derivatives volumes (currently TOP-8 with a turnover of $11 billion/day). 📌 A few more interesting facts: - on the market since 2018; - proof of reverse through audit from Mazars (soon on Nansen); - licenses for foreign exchange and cryptocurrency activities; - the best crypto broker 2022 according to TradingView; - minimum commissions on futures; ❗️ And the most interesting thing: trading on futures with commodities, indices, stocks and currency pairs 🔥 🎁 In the meantime, take a welcome bonus of $40 with 5x leverage for the first 100 registered via a personal affiliate link with favorable conditions: https://bingx.com/invite/XLQBBK * the first 100 users will receive the bonus. * any user can receive the bonus without a deposit. * crediting vouchers up to $100 within a week after registration using the link from the post. *KYC is not required. You should definitely create an account on this exchange, since such personal promotions and bonuses are given only to partners who register using an affiliate link. And now for 1 minute registration you will receive a free bonus of $40 with x5 leverage! 🤫 There are no problems with P2P for every country on this exchange. If you are actively trading crypto, sooner or later you will still register on this exchange, why not do it on the most favorable terms? ✅ Register and get a $40 bonus

Rising number of corporate bankruptcies in the US ☠️ It's been nearly six months since Silicon Valley Bank collapsed in March, sending its parent company SVB Financial Group into bankruptcy a week later. Many expected a wave of bank failures to follow, but this has since been avoided. Everything worked out, didn't it?🤨 Let's remember history. On March 16, 2008, 85-year-old investment bank Bear Stearns narrowly avoided bankruptcy by selling its company to J.P. Morgan Chase at the shockingly low price of $2 per share. ℹ️ The same thing happened on March 11, 2023, when the private bank UBS absorbed one of the largest banks in Switzerland, Credit Suisse. 6 months after the situation with Bear Stearns, on September 15, 2008, the largest US bank, Lehman Brothers, went bankrupt. Many films have been made about this story. And it was from mid-September that US indices began to plummet, and from that moment a grandiose crisis began. From September 2008 to December 2008, the Sp500 index fell -42%. Just think about this number 😳 Yes, the market is growing. There is ~6% left until the historical high on Sp500. I don't quite understand why so many people are afraid to miss out on such a small profit with such a huge risk. After all, since 2008, problems in the economy have worsened significantly. Cracks have begun to appear as a result of the recent downgrade by Moody's of 10 small and medium-sized banks. Across the broader corporate landscape, bankruptcies have begun to rise. The graph shows the rise in corporate bankruptcies in 2023 based on S&P Global data. I wait big bankruptcy after few week in September 🍂

Speculative bet on falling markets 📉 There is an alarming situation on markets. Macro indicators signal that a huge recession is ahead and that need to keep cash, because there is in FED no talk of a rate reversal yet. Stock and crypto markets have already begun to fear this event, however, on the Sp500 “fear and greed” index, it is still in the neutral zone (47). The fall is likely to be impulsive, so you can try to earn through options on Ethereum (the second most liquid cryptocurrency). In the case of a forecast with a rapid fall, the option can increase by hundreds of%. Buying a PUT option ETH-29sep2023. 🎯 Strike: 1600 PUT ❇️ Price: $45.7 💼 Volume per trade: up to 10-15% of the speculative portfolio. 📊 Recommend trading on the Bybit exchange (link with a referral bonus up to $100): https://www.bybit.com/invite?ref=WK8KNR

What will you choose? 🧐 The post with the exposure of the Russian market will be postponed until tomorrow, I did not have time to paint it properly. I understand perfectly well that everyone has a different attitude towards crypto. Someone thinks that this is a pyramid, someone considers X, and there are those who consider it a good option to save money - investments in the Russian market. But more on that tomorrow :) The picture attached to the post shows the return on investment for 10 years if they are not sold 📈 🥇 1st place: BTC goes by a wide margin with a result of +31088% over 10 years! 🥈 2nd place: The S&P 500 index with the largest US companies has gained +165% over the same period. 🥉 3rd place: Gold has delivered a modest +48% return over 10 years and is barely outperforming inflation over the years. 🔰Conclusion: Bitcoin showed the highest profitability, because it is a relatively young technology and, by capitalization, is not yet in the top 5 assets in the world. Gold is the oldest investment asset in the world and its capitalization is over $10 trillion, so it is extremely difficult for it to grow at a fast pace.