Slips.n.Tips

🙏 AFL LONG SHOT 🙏 I keep getting DMs asking for these so will keep providing. As always, go light. On 0.25u for me taking advantage of the promo. These guys are more than capable. https://click.dabble.com.au/gnUM/ndea2qrx

🌐🏉 AFL 🏉🌐 AFL - BLUES V BULLDOGS Carlton look pretty cooked right now being 0-2, can’t hit a target inside 50 to save their lives. To make matters worse they just lost McKay for who knows how long…. They blew a 41-point lead against Richmond, then got spanked by Hawthorn. Curnow went missing too so he has to step up and his match up and history vs the dogs is elite so love him for a goal here as They should be relying on him, win or lose. They’re struggling and if they don’t pull something out soon the season’s going to be over real quick. The Dogs, on the other hand, have actually looked alright even with a few key players out, can easily see them winning as they have a couple of big names back in defence and they had Carlton’s number lately and should be licking their lips with the Blues looking like this, hard to see how they lose this one so 1u in the money line also looks good Darcy is also looking primed and ready for a big multiple scoring game. Got 4 last week and looked amazing, should have plenty of confidence and if jags a few I can see him coming out red hot and getting one early. Love him in this game. Bramble looks good as I wanted to take his full line at 16.5 but it felt sharp. 15+ feels much better, his had 21 or more Ds in each of his last 3 night games at Marvel and before last week he cleared this in 10 straight and got 15 last meetings v Carlton. I project he ends right around there again Gotta bounce back from yesterday. Let’s see.

🌐🏉 NRL 🏉🌐 After hitting the reverse sweep yesterday im desperate for a win, more for my ego as I want to feel confident that my reads are right… This should be a good game and as its still the early rounds I cant confidently pick a winner, anything can happen in these early stages. The question is how legit are the roosters? They have won a few games to open up the year but overall I still don’t really trust this team but its good news that some key forwards are returning for them which will help and they are at home. Roosters have won the last 11 games vs the Titans and the Titans have a massive out in Kini who looks to be out for the rest of the season which is huge for them, his been great at fullback and this should only mean they take a hit offensively. They still have so much strike and ill always say the same thing about the Titans, they are a pure offence team. They will happily allow teams to score 20+ points but their way of winning is by simply scoring more and being an offensive threat rather then a defence team with defensive structures, Kini being out blows. The last five meetings between these teams have averaged 60.4 points but there is some rain that will mean a potentially sloppy game. If it turns into a back and forth grind, roosters having the history and confidence + Nat Butcher and Lindsay Collins returning is huge for them and could make them the better team on the day so I like their over and Tups at these odds is always a must include in any game. When they win he usually scores and I like their chances. Campbell and young both also look good for a try here, especially with Kini out, young carries this more but love the value of both and can see both going over, stays are through the roof and both have one job and that is to score. For the long shot I don’t expect these to hit ever but love the David Fifita/roosters backflip narrative, could explode and score as a fuck you to them. Rest are much more safer so Fifita is the hard leg in this but I love his chances. 0.25 u for the dabble promo as per usual

🪜 SNT LADDER - DAY 1 🪜 Really want to climb this fkn thing so keeping it nice and simple with these 4 plays and only sticking to this one ladder for the two games on tonight Reasons in the second photo https://share.sportsbet.com.au/2Qv44mHf

🎯 AFL - LONG SHOT 🎯 As always, go light. Unofficial play win or lose 0.25u taking advantage of the promo https://click.dabble.com.au/gnUM/r3tad953

🌐🏉 AFL 🏉🌐 3 plays - 1u on each and 0.4u on the mutli combination live on my feed Bombers will want to win after the shit start to the season that they have had however I just can’t back them here especially with the amount of goalscorers and midfielders that I’m loving for port, the bombers have some debutants as well so we could see if that bites them in the ass in some crucial moments. Respect them enough to give port the small margin, but I don’t respect them enough to say that they will win. All players hit rates are absolutely insane and off the charts and Essendon have allowed their opposition to score the first six goals in 9/10 matches dating back to last year. I think they can put points up but Port should be too classy for them tonight in a close one With the way that both teams are playing right now, I can’t help but feel like I just have to take more overs then unders and these players look to be in great spots. Essendon have started off this season horribly and are allowing the most points early on so hopefully we get a high-scoring game that is back-and-forth between each team. That is what I’m predicting. Let’s see

🌐🏉 NRL 🏉🌐 First game of the footy for the weekend and this should be a good one! I’m expecting a lot of wet weather footy this weekend and this game should not be affected by that as the forecast is looking pretty good and dry which should hopefully mean a high scoring game I am fully aware that Nathan and Dyllan are not playing for Penrith and I still think they are too good of a team to lose three in a row, even looking at the Player versus Player match up on each team I’ve got Penrith clearing the bunnies most times. I like the line here on TAB as it was the best I could find and I think a 13+ win is not crazy to say, the history is there as Penrith have won 9 of their last 10 games against the bunnies so they should be confident coming into this match even without their superstar Tago stood out to me even though there are a few other players I have live in my premium group to go over, Tago is looking like he will be matched up versus Tass Who I think is a defensive liability and a mismatch, love the odds we’re getting so just like all of the straight plays here I am throwing one unit on it and also have 0.4u on the multis combined at 5.50x on my sb feed. The try scorers in the first half all look elite and in great spots as I’ve targeted edges that I think a weak for these teams. If it is a high-scoring game like I think it will be then we could see a lot of of the players on the edges go over as that’s how these teams play and match up against each other. Long shot is there and that’s business as usual as it’s more for fun and not officially tracked, I like to take advantage of the Dabble promo as it is cashback if one leg is wrong AFL next and more in SNT+.

In hopes for a sweep 🤞🏻🤞🏻🤞🏻🤞🏻🤞🏻 https://click.dabble.com.au/gnUM/w6fjl2i6

🌐 NBA - SNT 1U PLAYS 🌐 Last 2 added plays, wizards game tips off soon for AJ! I think he gets some elite usage and minutes now that I can see final team lists he is starting at small forward Lopez a play we been running all season. Minimum odds here for me and on TAB. No Giannis system play

🌐 NBA 🌐 All 1u plays as per usual! Morning gang, am rolling with these for the 1u plays. Avoided the early game so there is time. All lines are live and available everywhere. Will most likely have more action coming and will start looking into the Footy tonight properly too!

🌐🏀 NBA 🏀🌐 Good morning everyone! Quick rundown, got 1u on Miles which tips off in 15 mins! He should absolutely thrive in this game in the one on one play that the magic usually do as well as score in the interior paint OKC multi 0.25 u as I want to take advantage of the Dabble Promo! Live on my Dabble profile And for the Knicks game I just like these lines so I’m throwing 0.55u on this play! Big day loading!

🌐🏀 NBA 🏀🌐 All 6 plays im running so far for a unit! Got 7 Best bets also live in SNT+ so it’s safe to say I love this. No write up for these sorry gang. But you guys know I’m hot and today we did well going 3-1 and overall this season are 330-232 on the 1u plays 🔥 Let’s have ourselves a day! More action in the early am if anything else nice pops up

🎯 NBA LONG SHOT 🎯 As always expect the worse and hope for the best with these. I can totally see these guys getting there so worthy a cheeky shot. 0.2u Go light. It’s live on my SB feed

🌐 SNT 1U PLAYS 🌐 Didn’t want to take this play originally as he is the shortest dude on the court and it is not his job to grab boards… but fuck it, for a unit I’ll bite, hit rate is literally perfect…. Cleared this in 6 games straight avg 5.4 Cleared this also in 4 straight vs the Wizards who rank dead LAST in rebounds against And his cleared this in 4 straight away games.

🌐 SNT - NBA 🌐 Cheeky 1.25 on this as I love the cash back promo from dabble. Hate when books do bonus bets back, cash back is elite. Love Booker in this game thanks to Lopez drop coverage, his our hardest leg. It’s the later game too so plenty of time. https://click.dabble.com.au/gnUM/dzt7d1ao

🌐 NBA - SNT 1U PLAYS 🌐 Reasons below - Pelicans - Easy pick to explain and I rarely take regular-season money lines but as we are progressing past the halfway point of the regular season I’m starting to do it more and when the play-off start I do it all the time because that’s simply when NBA players and basketball teams start actually trying. For this game, I just like the pelicans at home and I don’t actually think they are a bad team with Zion at home, they have been elite and Philadelphia are on a back to back and after looking into their players lines I think we see a lot of unders for them so that was my main motivation Grimes - Even with PJ Washington back, Naji’s been crashing the boards hard, pulling down 8, 9, and 11 rebounds in his last three games alongside PJ, with 11 rebound chances per game. Without Lively and Gafford, and playing 30+ minutes, he’s averaging 8.7 boards on nearly 13 chances. Even with Kai Jones starting at the five, Naji’s stayed aggressive. PJ, on the other hand, has been less active on the glass since Jones joined the lineup. Now they face the Nets, a slow-paced team that forces tough shots which is perfect for a rebounding spot. Since March 7th, every team to face Brooklyn has grabbed 40+ boards. Hali - Love his PA line also as an elite pivot. Has had a DD in 10 games straight and got 23/13 vs the TWolves the other week. Can see a similar type of game from him and should step up. -   📊 SNT Free NBA Tips: 327-231 (1 unit) 📊 SNT+ NBA POTD Tips: 382-284 (2 units - recommended) 📊 Total NBA record: 709-515 so far this season

⚽️ WORLD CUP QUALIFIERS ⚽️ Just the one play from me and it’s a triple up 3x multi for 0.9 units Didn’t want to force anything here and I’m just playing my favourite markets that I found for this Slate of games on the morning These are some pretty ugly games and it’s very hard to find good value considering some teams should go out there and destroy the other teams, could be a bunch of goalscorers or could be a bunch of players that get weird minutes and rotations, I didn’t want to rely on any specific players here and just wanted to focus on the teams performing themselves If you want just a flip 2X multi you could take the England play on its own, I’m projecting them to win 5–0 or 4–0 and whenever it’s a super high scoring game where one team dominates it’s pretty hard to also get that many corners because there should be a lot of shots going in and a lot of shots on target. Obviously the under is a bit stressful but considering the weak defence that Latvia will have occurrences England netting a lot of goals and usually that means less corners naturally. The other two legs are very self-explanatory and quite safe as they are highly expected to do well so I threw them in to get the 3X value and I’ll be shocked if one of those legs loses. For me the underground corners and over three goals is the main juice here but with my prediction it makes sense in my eyes so let’s see. NBA next

🌐 SNT 1U PLAYS - NBA 🌐 If you have not seen me run this play before then you are new (hello and welcome 🙋‍♂️) If you’re not new. Let’s run it back team… I think we are on our 10th turn of this play! PORTLAND IS THE SNT TEAM OF 2025 🫡 run it But in all seriousness with Brown ruled out and Tatum still up in the air, Boston’s focus clearly isn’t on this game, they’re locked into the playoffs and starting to rest key guys. Historically, they haven’t been great on the road against the spread in these kinds of spots. Portland is treating every game like it counts, and the numbers back it up. I don’t bring the Ferrari out every day.. only when the time is right and looks like the time is right   -   📊 SNT Free NBA Tips: 321-255 (1 unit) 📊 SNT+ NBA POTD Tips: 368-274 (2 units - recommended) 📊 Total NBA record: 689-529 so far this season

🌐 SNT 1U PLAYS - NBA 🌐 Here’s my thoughts on each play - Melo - honestly these odds are great and even though I posted this earlier this afternoon the line is still available with some decent odds on some books It’s actually a simple read, I don’t like his scoring vs the heat, coach spol ALWAYS blitz ball handlers and the main dudes on each team, forcing other guys to beat them. Expecting Melo to have a hard time scoring wise and his team mates to feast off him. Davion Mitchell and Wiggs are elite defenders and they should give him a hard time. Instead of taking his points line under I felt this was better and the odds are so good. Over in 6/10 games avg 13 per game 7 straight vs Miami!!! Love our chances MPJ - scary taking his under as Jokic isn’t playing but I don’t like this game for him and his averages actually go down without Jokic! Rockets are not a good match up for him so I was automatically drawn to fading him. Would’ve predicted his line was set to 15.5 or 16.5 so loved this. In general his under this in 7/10 games avg 16 and vs the rockets last time he only got 8 points with barely any field goal attempts. It’s like they were built to stop him. Will be surprised if he goes over and AG and Jamal could play (GTD) so that would help this a lot. Either way I don’t love the match up  Melo - honestly these odds are great and even though I posted this earlier this afternoon the line is still available with some decent odds on some books It’s actually a simple read, I don’t like his scoring vs the heat, coach spol ALWAYS blitz ball handlers and the main dudes on each team, forcing other guys to beat them. Expecting Melo to have a hard time scoring wise and his team mates to feast off him. Davion Mitchell and Wiggs are elite defenders and they should give him a hard time. Instead of taking his points line under I felt this was better and the odds are so good. Over in 6/10 games avg 13 per game 7 straight vs Miami!!! Love our chances MPJ - scary taking his under as Jokic isn’t playing but I don’t like this game for him and his averages actually go down without Jokic! Rockets are not a good match up for him so I was automatically drawn to fading him. Would’ve predicted his line was set to 15.5 or 16.5 so loved this. In general his under this in 7/10 games avg 16 and vs the rockets last time he only got 8 points with barely any field goal attempts. It’s like they were built to stop him. Will be surprised if he goes over and AG and Jamal could play (GTD) so that would help this a lot. Either way I don’t love the match up -   📊 SNT Free NBA Tips: 321-255 (1 unit) 📊 SNT+ NBA POTD Tips: 368-274 (2 units - recommended) 📊 Total NBA record: 689-529 so far this season

⚽️ UEFA NATIONS LEAGUE ⚽️ Alright gang took some time off from the NBA to cook these up There are so many games on to choose from, but I wanted to focus on the matches where I could either see a really close result or both teams with a bunch of talent scoring goals, and these look to be the best match ups on the slate All teams have plenty of motivation and this is the second leg so there’s some aggregate goals to consider and who needs what to qualify, which I have considered for each one Looked at history and statistics based on euros and nation league stats for these teams and hit rates are all there. They just make sense to me too Keeping it nice and simple and throwing one unit on each single play, and 0.3u on the multi at 6x on b365