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/11. If we enter the category of unconfirmed rumors, then we can talk about:
Two Mi-8s, one Su-35 and one Su-34 in total. But it is best to give a little time for this very vague event to finally clear up.
/12. Both Mi-8s fell over Klintsy. Su-34 and Su-35 crashed near the 🇺🇦 border near Starodub. Interception plan was deployed throughout the southwestern part of the Bryansk region. - Russian media.
PS: Why do you need an “interception plan”? Haven't you intercepted enough already?
/10. Crew of Su-34, which crashed in the village of Istrovka, died. Pilot and navigator were unable to eject. Their remains have already been found, the crash site cordoned off.
P.S: interestingly it’s not near the places where the crash sites were reported previously. (Post №4) https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1657351801216065536/photo/1
/7. Now officially.
>Su-34 crashed in the Bryansk region, according to emergency services.
>As a result of the crash of the Mi-8 in the Bryansk region, two people died.
Russian media https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1657342039963361282/photo/1
/3. Russian emergency services said that the helicopter crashed due to an engine fire. 🗿🗿🗿🗿🗿🗿🗿 https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1657327139450937346 https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1657327139450937346/video/1
/2. The helicopter was shot down by air defense https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1657324464034422786 https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1657324464034422786/video/1
https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1657322374474215424
The helicopter reportedly crashed in Klintsy, Bryansk region, Russia. Before the fall, it reportedly circled over the city for a long time, then there was an explosion and after that it collapsed on a house in the private sector. https://twitter.com/i/web/status/1657322374474215424 https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1657322374474215424/video/1
/4. An unexpected turn of events. “According to preliminary data, we are talking about the fall of 2 helicopters at once. 1 of them fell in Klintsy themselves, another 1 near the village of Suretsky . - Russian media https://twitter.com/bayraktar_1love/status/1657328952808013825/photo/1
If the Ukrainians are able to cross the canal near the supply line, the spearhead lurking in the forest will most likely fall, as the Russians are forced to either retreat or face encirclement. This would mean the last potential threat to the road T0504 would be eliminated. 3/ https://twitter.com/emilkastehelmi/status/1657421524444368897/photo/1
In the Klischiivka area, things are starting to get difficult for the Russians. They still most likely hold parts of the forest southwest of Ivanivske, but the ability to supply it is getting continuously weaker. It is unclear if they have any presence left west of the canal. 2/
https://twitter.com/emilkastehelmi/status/1657421519172128768
Ukrainian counterattacks in the Bakhmut area have continued, and geolocated footage confirms that gains have been made. Ukraine has unblocked the Khromove road and is continuing forward. In the south, Russians have been pushed further from Ivanivske. 1/ 🪖 https://twitter.com/emilkastehelmi/status/1657421519172128768/photo/1
https://twitter.com/auto_glam/status/1656630964762681346
T-55 with double cope cage is doing something. (hiding?) https://twitter.com/auto_glam/status/1656630964762681346/photo/1
https://twitter.com/emilkastehelmi/status/1656768748823379971
Ukraine has begun a series of local counterattacks in the Bakhmut area. First they pushed Russians to the canal in the south, and now they're attacking Russian positions near Bohdanivka and Khromove road. 1/ https://twitter.com/emilkastehelmi/status/1656768748823379971/photo/1
Покадровый разбор направляющей для ракет РСЗО HIMARS
15/ Finally before Tokmak, there is a second robust reserve line 6-7km behind Solodka Balka. Tokmak is also surrounded by circular AT-ditch and multiple separate strongpoints. Village of Ocheretuvate is also being fortified for all-around defense.
16/ But that’s enough for today. You can find more about the Russian fortifications on our map at: https://www.scribblemaps.com/maps/view/The-War-in-Ukraine/091194
(From the sidebar click “Russian defence lines”)
17/ Finally we would like to thank @wihurinrahasto for funding our research and enabling us to purchase commercial satellite imagery. This analysis would not have been possible without them. This thread will be followed by tactical-operational analysis at later date.
@wihurinrahasto @threadreaderapp unroll
15/ Finally before Tokmak, there is a second robust reserve line 6-7km behind Solodka Balka. Tokmak is also surrounded by circular AT-ditch and multiple separate strongpoints. Village of Ocheretuvate is also being fortified for all-around defense. https://twitter.com/Inkvisiit/status/1655584432911163392/photo/1
14/ 14-15: as can be seen from this sentinel image, the Russian trench lines and fortifications continue on both sides of Solodka Balka strongpoint with multiple fallback positions and reserve trenches. Russians can deploy multiple battalions of infantry along this defensive belt https://twitter.com/Inkvisiit/status/1655584429715193856/photo/1
13/ Notice the large number of dugouts and vehicle firing positions being constructed. These positions have been completed since then. Trenches in the sample pictures 13a and 13b are roughly 3km in width and could serve as battalion strongpoint.
12/ 13: Around Solodka Balka, 11km behind the RuFLOT, a multilayered main defensive line is being constructed. It comprises of AT-ditches, dragons teeth obstacles, minefields, and multiple consecutive trench lines at average depth of 2-3km. https://twitter.com/Inkvisiit/status/1655584424128307209/photo/1
