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Немає даних24 години
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https://twitter.com/JohnB_Schneider/status/1593416172191580160
After seeing the video posted by @UAWeapons of a 🇷🇺 Lancet hitting a 5N63S radar, I figured that this deserved some more attention.
Hard to answer the decoy question on the spot, but this is definitely a 🇷🇺 5N63S radar struck by a 🇷🇺 Lancet loitering drone.
A short 🧵
1/
Donetsk - Zaporizhzhia
There were no reports of RU attacks on this section which is unusual. I suspect RuAF are preparing for an attacking with the coming dry weather. I believe we might see some large scale attempt by Russia to advance in the areas marked by magenta arrows.
Bakhmut
Increased intensity in this area today after a calmer period. The Russian attempts to assault head on in to Bakhmut is complete madness in my opinion. There was a video released yesterday with about 25-30 dead Russians at the Bakhmut approach.
Siversk
RuAF stepped up the activity in this area, I believe this is to interfere with a protentional AFU attack on Kreminna from the south. Russian key position here is Verkhn'okam'yanka, which provides plant of cover and vantage points with open downhill terrain to the west.
Svatove
AFU main focus seems to be north and south around
Novoselivs'ke and Ploshchanka. The progress is slow at best at this point. With reinforcements arriving for both sides, it's not unlikely we will be at a stand still for a longer period of time.
Shellings reported by the UA general staff for the last 24 hours. Nothing out of the ordinary.
https://twitter.com/Seveerity/status/1592902186199285760
Purportedly Ukrainian produced heavy drones being shown here, looks like these will be able to put some serious munitions on russian positions.
https://twitter.com/Mortis_Banned/status/1593233872095174656
Есть также фото из Снежного, направления на след на этих двух фото пересекаются к западу от Первомайского.
Суд приводит показания свидетеля, который был в поле южнее Снежного и слышал гусеничную технику, далее видел пуск ракеты и сбитие, а затем «Бук» без одной ракеты.
https://twitter.com/Mortis_Banned/status/1593233326403637250
Суд упоминает, что у следствия есть оригиналы снимков следа ракеты «Бука» над Торезом, фотографии не были отредактированы, местность соответствует пуску из района Первомайского, время совпадает с местом крушения MH17.
https://twitter.com/LuhanskOblast/status/1592918400829124609
Сьогодні у #Білокуракино на ж/д вигрузилася колона гаубіц.
Колона цієї техніки поїхала після розвантаження поїхала
у бік #Шовкунівка - #Демянівка -. ( Район #Сватово).
https://twitter.com/ChristopherJM/status/1592966202955075586
Responding to Zelensky’s remarks tonight, a NATO country diplomat told me: “This is getting ridiculous. The Ukrainians are destroying [our] confidence in them. Nobody is blaming Ukraine and they are openly lying. This is more destructive than the missile.” https://www.ft.com/content/d417ea8f-62ee-4bb8-966b-a85a98fc6b3a
Repost from Труха⚡️Україна
Обесточены значительные части электросетей во Львове, Ровно, Харькове, Житомире.
В Киеве аварийные отключения. Часть Львова и Харькова – без электроенергии. Житомир – полностью без света.
https://twitter.com/Faytuks/status/1592593288196149249
BRAKING: Hungary's prime minister Orban convenes a defense council meeting due to the "shutdown of the Friendship oil pipeline and the missile strike in Poland", the Prime Minister's press chief says
https://www.origo.hu/itthon/20221115-orban-viktor-vedelmi-tanacs.html
This is supported by the fortifications mapped by @COUPSURE. Most of the fortifications aren't directly next to the river but are pulled a bit back from the shore to where the ground rises slightly from the river lowlands.
The same applies to the area around Kakhovka. 3/
https://twitter.com/NatashaBertrand/status/1592486075301339137
Scoop: The US has intelligence that suggests Russia delayed formally announcing its withdrawal from Kherson in part to avoid giving the Biden administration a political “win” ahead of the midterm elections. Biden hinted at this last week. https://www.cnn.com/2022/11/15/politics/us-intelligence-russia-withdrawal-midterm-election/index.html
Senior Russian officials discussed the midterms as a factor during deliberations about the withdrawal announcement, & waiting until after Americans had cast their votes was considered a "pre-planned condition.” With @KatieBoLillis @ZcohenCNN https://www.cnn.com/2022/11/15/politics/us-intelligence-russia-withdrawal-midterm-election/index.html
https://twitter.com/seungminkim/status/1592745092112347136
WASHINGTON (AP) — US officials: Initial findings suggest missile that hit Poland was fired by Ukrainian forces at incoming Russian missile.
https://twitter.com/CITeam_ru/status/1314299888088346624
Упавшая сегодня в Дагестане ракета опознана как ракета «земля-воздух» из семейства С-300. Опознавший её пользователь твиттера @ain92ru предполагает, что она вероятно была выпущена комплексами С-300ПМУ-2 Азербайджана.
For comparison - the end seal of the 48N6DM SAM's rocket motor. As you can see, it is nearly identical to the fragment found in Poland.
Of course, the whole incident appears to be a tragic accident.
Although other missile types (48N6-series and possibly others) also use a very similar design, these aren't available to Ukrainian forces.
It's important to note here that this ID is only of this fragment; we can't be sure if nothing else landed or precisely how this happened.
https://twitter.com/UAWeapons/status/1592629251161075712
So what crashed in the village of Przewodów, Poland today?
With the cooperation of @blueboy1969 we analyzed the available photos of fragments and came to a clear conclusion that they belong to the 48D6 motor of the 5V55-series missile of the S-300 AD system- a Ukrainian one.
