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Архів дописів
The Percolator:
The Sunday Brew #184
Samuel empreendedor:
28 de junho de 2026
Darkfost / @Darkfost_Coc:
R to @Darkfost_Coc: 📊Jobless claims
They are needed depending on inflation, but not too many.
Too many would increase recession risk, which is not the case today.
Unemployment ➡️ Lower purchasing power ➡️ Lower consumption ➡️ Lower inflation.
Weekly initial claims : 215k – Previous 227k – Expected 225k ✅
Continuing claims : 1821k – Previous 1800k – Expected 1815k ✅ (chart)
👉 Given that GDP has demonstrated a degree of resilience, we can hope that rising unemployment will help curb consump...
Darkfost / @Darkfost_Coc:
R to @Darkfost_Coc: 📊 Durable Goods Orders
These are orders for durable goods across sectors such as transportation, defense, aviation, and beyond.
This index can have a significant impact on GDP figures, which is why it is worth monitoring closely.
Durable Goods Orders MoM : -4.5%, Previous 8.5%, Forecast 4% ✅
👉 These are again lagging data points.
It may seem paradoxical to view these figures as a positive, but given that GDP proved solid in Q1, a decline in durable goods orders is not...
Darkfost / @Darkfost_Coc:
R to @Darkfost_Coc: 📊 GDP Growth Rate
This is THE headline figure for a country's economic output.
Financial markets use this measure to anticipate economic cycles and adjust their investment strategies.
Q1 final : 2.1%, Previous 0.5%, Forecast 1.6% ✅
👉 These figures are highly significant as they restore visibility we had lost in Q4 due to the government shutdown.
At a time when we are dealing with sticky inflation, it was critical that economic growth held up.
These numbers slightly ea...
