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📈 Market Update: Trade Tensions Escalate as Investors Await Nvidia Earnings 🌎 U.S.-Canada Trade War Deepens Trade relations between the U.S. and Canada deteriorated further after both countries imposed 50% tariffs on a wide range of imports following the collapse of trade negotiations. Key Developments - Canada announced retaliatory tariffs on more than US$20 billion worth of U.S. goods. - New Canadian tariffs include U.S. steel, aluminum, dairy, seafood, appliances, wood products and apparel. - President Trump threatened to raise tariffs on Canadian autos, auto parts, trucks and steel to 50% from January 2027. Investor Focus - Steel & Aluminum Sector: Higher tariffs could increase volatility for North American steel and metals producers. - Automotive Sector: Additional tariffs on vehicles and auto parts may raise supply chain costs across the North American auto industry. ———— 🇮🇷 U.S. Launches Economic Offensive Against Iran Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent unveiled what he described as an "economic D-Day" campaign aimed at isolating Iran from the global financial system. Key Developments - Countries and businesses facilitating Iranian trade face potential exclusion from the U.S. dollar system. - The U.S. is pressuring global financial institutions to cease activities linked to Iran. - Iran is working with Oman on efforts to restore shipping routes through the Strait of Hormuz. Investor Focus - Energy Markets: Developments surrounding the Strait of Hormuz remain critical for global oil supply and energy price stability. ———— 🇨🇳 China Expands Alternative Payment Infrastructure As Washington increases sanctions pressure, China continues developing alternatives to the dollar-dominated financial system. Key Developments - China's Cross-Border Interbank Payment System (CIPS) continues to grow. - Beijing is seeking greater flexibility in international trade settlements while maintaining access to the global financial system. Investor Focus - No immediate listed stock impact, but investors should monitor long-term developments in global payment systems and reserve currency diversification. ———— 📊 U.S. Markets Mixed Ahead of Key Catalysts U.S. equities traded cautiously as investors positioned ahead of several major market events. Key Events This Week - Nvidia earnings release. - U.S. PCE inflation report. - Federal Reserve Chairman Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech. Investor Focus - Nvidia (NVDA): Results and guidance are expected to influence sentiment across the AI and semiconductor sectors. - Advanced Micro Devices (AMD): +4.9% - Micron Technology (MU): +2.5% - Semiconductor stocks rebounded ahead of Nvidia's earnings announcement. ———— 🤖 AI Infrastructure Remains In Focus Competition for AI talent and infrastructure continues to intensify. Key Developments - OpenAI's Head of Data Centers Chris Malone has departed, adding to a series of executive exits. - Investors continue to monitor AI infrastructure spending trends and data center expansion plans. Investor Focus - Nvidia (NVDA): Investors are looking for updates on AI inference demand and integration of Groq technology following Nvidia's acquisition. - AI infrastructure spending remains a key driver for semiconductor demand. ———— ₿ Bitcoin Extends Strong Recovery Bitcoin climbed above US$80,000 for the first time since May. Key Developments - Bitcoin rallied more than 20% over the past week. - Spot Bitcoin ETF inflows and improving risk sentiment have supported the move. Investor Focus - Positive momentum continues across the cryptocurrency market as institutional participation improves. ———— 🥇 Gold Hits Three-Month High Gold continued its strong rally amid a softer U.S. dollar and Treasury buyback expectations. Key Developments - Gold has gained more than 15% this month. - Treasury bond buyback plans have helped stabilize bond markets and support precious metals demand. Investor Focus - Gold remains a preferred hedge amid geopolitical uncertainty, trade tensions and evolving monetary policy expectations.

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Curated Headlines for 26 August 2026 South China Morning Post WuXi Biologics posts 4.3% rise in first-half profit, defying biotech headwinds https://www.scmp.com/business/china-business/article/3365237/wuxi-biologics-posts-43-rise-first-half-profit-defying-biotech-headwinds?module=top_story&pgtype=subsection How full equity buyouts could help China’s cooling bubble tea sector turn a new leaf https://www.scmp.com/business/china-business/article/3364392/how-full-equity-buyouts-could-help-chinas-cooling-bubble-tea-sector-turn-new-leaf?module=top_story&pgtype=subsection The Business Times US rates need to rise soon absent evidence of ongoing drop in inflation: Fed’s Collins The current policy rate, in the 3.5% to 3.75% range, has been on hold since December https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/banking-finance/us-rates-need-rise-soon-absent-evidence-ongoing-drop-inflation-feds-collins Oil settles down more than 3%; investors shrug off US sanctions on Iran Iran has vowed to retaliate, expresses confidence partners would resist US pressure campaign https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/energy-commodities/oil-settles-down-more-3-investors-shrug-us-sanctions-iran The Wall Street Journal Anthropic Expected to Tell Investors It Sees Over $30 Trillion in Potential Revenue The AI startup is likely to top SpaceX’s eye-popping potential revenue estimate https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/anthropic-expected-to-tell-investors-it-sees-over-30-trillion-in-potential-revenue-a611efea?mod=hp_listb_pos4   Canada Hits Back at U.S. With Tariffs Targeting Midterm Hot Spots The new levies affect $20 billion of U.S. imports, often from states where President Trump’s Republican allies are vulnerable in congressional elections https://www.wsj.com/world/americas/canada-targets-u-s-metals-foods-motorcycles-in-retaliatory-tariff-package-f677222b?mod=hp_lead_pos1
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📈 Market Update | 25 August 2026 🌍 U.S. Intensifies Economic Pressure on Iran The Trump administration has launched what Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent described as an "economic D-Day" campaign against Iran. 🔹 The U.S. plans to target Iran's global financial network and impose penalties on countries and entities that continue doing business with Tehran. 🔹 Any institution found facilitating money laundering or financial transactions for Iran could face exclusion from the U.S. dollar system. ———— 🇺🇸🇨🇦 U.S.-Canada Trade Tensions Escalate Trade negotiations between the U.S. and Canada have broken down. 🔹 President Trump threatened to increase tariffs on Canadian autos, auto parts, trucks, and steel to 50% starting January 2027. 🔹 Both Washington and Ottawa have blamed each other for the collapse of negotiations. 🔹 Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney indicated retaliatory measures remain on the table. ———— 📉 Stocks Retreat Ahead of Key Catalysts U.S. equities ended mixed as investors reduced risk ahead of several major events this week. Index Performance S&P 500 -0.28% Nasdaq Composite -0.76% Dow Jones +0.26% Technology shares led declines, particularly semiconductor stocks. Investors are closely watching: 📊 July PCE Inflation Report (Wednesday) 🤖 Nvidia Earnings (Wednesday) 🏦 Fed Chair Kevin Warsh at Jackson Hole (Friday) These events could significantly influence expectations for interest rates and AI-related investments. ———— 💰 Treasury Market Remains Under Pressure Long-term Treasury yields continue climbing despite recent Treasury buyback initiatives. 🔹 10-Year Treasury Yield: ~4.73% 🔹 30-Year Treasury Yield: ~5.27% Treasury Secretary Bessent is reportedly considering utilizing the Treasury General Account (TGA), which holds nearly US$1 trillion, to potentially support expanded bond buybacks and help stabilize long-term yields. ———— 🤖 AI Infrastructure Theme Remains In Focus Nvidia announced that the first computing systems utilizing technology from its US$20 billion Groq acquisition are expected to become operational later this year. 🔹 The development highlights growing demand for low-latency AI inference infrastructure. 🔹 Investors will be watching Nvidia's earnings guidance for signs of monetization from its Groq acquisition and broader AI deployment trends. Key Theme: The AI investment cycle remains intact, but valuations and future growth expectations will be heavily scrutinized this earnings season. ₿ Bitcoin Surges Above US$80,000 Bitcoin has climbed back above the US$80,000 level for the first time since May, extending a powerful rally that has seen the cryptocurrency surge more than 20% in just three trading days, marking its strongest three-day advance since 2023. 🔹 Strong inflows into spot Bitcoin ETFs have helped drive demand. 🔹 Improving investor risk appetite has also supported the broader cryptocurrency market. 🔹 The recent decline in Treasury yields and expectations for more accommodative financial conditions have boosted interest in risk assets, including digital currencies. Market Impact: The sharp rebound signals renewed investor confidence in cryptocurrencies and could support continued momentum across digital asset-related stocks and ETFs. ———— 🥇 Gold Hits Three-Month High Gold prices have surged to their highest level in over three months, benefiting from a weaker U.S. dollar and growing demand for defensive assets. 🔹 The precious metal has gained more than 15% so far in August. 🔹 Treasury buyback plans have helped ease concerns over rapidly rising bond yields, providing additional support for gold prices. 🔹 Ongoing geopolitical tensions involving Iran, alongside escalating trade disputes between the U.S. and Canada, have reinforced safe-haven demand. Market Impact: Gold's strong performance highlights investor demand for portfolio protection amid rising geopolitical risks, fiscal concerns, and uncertainty surrounding the outlook for interest rates.
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Curated Headlines for 25 August 2026 South China Morning Post EV maker Xpeng set to challenge Tesla in embodied AI after robotics unit raises US$900m https://www.scmp.com/business/china-evs/article/3365096/ev-maker-xpeng-set-challenge-tesla-embodied-ai-after-robotics-unit-raises-us900m?module=top_story&pgtype=subsection Can China’s flash memory giant YMTC smash Shanghai Star Market IPO records? https://www.scmp.com/tech/big-tech/article/3365017/can-chinas-flash-memory-giant-ymtc-smash-shanghai-star-market-ipo-records?module=top_story&pgtype=subsection Shein seeks to raise up to US$1.76 billion in Hong Kong initial public offering https://www.scmp.com/business/markets/article/3365001/shein-seeks-raise-us176-billion-hong-kong-initial-public-offering?module=top_story&pgtype=subsection   The Business Times Oil dips as traders weigh US economic pressure on Iran This follows the US’ announcement of a campaign to isolate Iran from the global economy https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/energy-commodities/oil-dips-traders-weigh-us-economic-pressure-iran US widens Iran sanctions but holds back toughest measures; tells trading partners to cut ties China says sanctions do not help, vows to protect its interests https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/international/global/us-widens-iran-sanctions-holds-back-toughest-measures-tells-trading-partners-cut-ties Barron’s Bessent Faces an Uphill Battle to Lower Bond Yields Through Treasury Buybacks https://www.barrons.com/articles/bessent-faces-an-uphill-battle-to-lower-bond-yields-through-treasury-buybacks-07fc1e1a?mod=hp_minor_pos22&_gl=1
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HAPPENING TODAY Dear Valued Clients, You are cordially invited to attend our following Webinar: Corporate Insights by Keppel REIT Webinar Detail Date: Tue 25 Aug 2026 Time: 12pm –1pm Register:https://poems-sg.zoom.us/webinar/register/5617844632909/WN_nRaAOnRcRBiXHRJE6u1p7A#/registration
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HAPPENING TODAY Dear Valued Clients, You are cordially invited to attend our following Webinar: Corporate Insights by Keppel
HAPPENING TODAY Dear Valued Clients, You are cordially invited to attend our following Webinar: Corporate Insights by Keppel REIT Webinar Detail Date: Tue 25 Aug 2026 Time: 12pm –1pm Register:https://poems-sg.zoom.us/webinar/register/5617844632909/WN_nRaAOnRcRBiXHRJE6u1p7A#/registration
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📊 Market Briefing | 24 August 2026 🇺🇸🇨🇦 U.S.-Canada Trade Talks Collapse Trade relations between the U.S. and Canada deteriorated sharply over the weekend after negotiations broke down. ⚠️ Key Developments: • The U.S. imposed 50% tariffs on selected Canadian imports. • Canada announced retaliatory tariffs on U.S. goods effective September 8. • Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney pledged a "dollar-for-dollar" response. • President Trump criticized Canada for seeking the benefits of U.S. economic access without making concessions. 💡 Investor Takeaway: The breakdown raises concerns over North American trade flows and could create volatility in sectors exposed to cross-border supply chains, including industrials, autos, agriculture, and manufacturing. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🌍 U.S. Intensifies Economic Pressure on Iran The Trump administration is preparing what Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent described as the most significant financial offensive ever launched against a geopolitical adversary. 🔹 Expected Measures: • Expanded sanctions targeting Iran's economy. • Increased pressure on countries conducting business with Tehran. • Potential restrictions on banking, trade, shipping, and energy-related transactions. 🔹 Bessent reiterated that countries will effectively have to choose between access to the U.S. economy or maintaining business ties with Iran. 🇮🇷 Iran has condemned the move, calling it an attempt to impose U.S. authority beyond its borders. 💡 Investor Takeaway: Markets remain focused on the potential impact on global energy supplies and whether sanctions can replace further military escalation in the Middle East. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🛢️ Oil Market Remains a Key Risk While no major supply disruption has occurred, investors continue to monitor developments surrounding Iran and the Strait of Hormuz. ⚠️ Why It Matters: • Approximately one-fifth of global oil supply passes through the region. • Any escalation could further support elevated crude prices. • Higher energy prices may complicate inflation trends globally. 💡 Investor Takeaway: Energy stocks could remain supported, but sustained oil price increases may pressure consumer spending and corporate margins. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📉 Treasury Yields Resume Their Climb Bond markets remain unconvinced that Treasury buyback programs will be sufficient to contain long-term borrowing costs. 📈 Latest Yield Levels: • 30-Year Treasury Yield: 5.27% • 10-Year Treasury Yield: 4.73% The move erased much of the rally seen after the Treasury Department announced expanded bond repurchase operations last week. 💡 Investor Takeaway: Higher yields continue to challenge equity valuations, particularly for growth and technology stocks, while increasing borrowing costs across the economy. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 📊 Stocks Face Pressure From Rising Rates U.S. equity futures traded lower as investors reacted to the renewed rise in Treasury yields. Market Sentiment: • Higher yields reduce the attractiveness of risk assets. • Investors remain concerned about the growing U.S. fiscal deficit. • Markets continue to debate whether bond yields have further room to rise. 💡 Investor Takeaway: The bond market remains one of the most important drivers of global equity performance heading into September. ━━━━━━━━━━━━━━ 🤖 Anthropic IPO Highlights AI Investment Boom AI startup Anthropic is moving closer to a public listing, which could become one of the most closely watched IPOs in recent years. 🔹 Investor Focus Areas: • Competition from OpenAI and other AI developers. • Margin pressure from open-source AI models. • Sustainability of massive AI infrastructure spending. • Regulatory scrutiny and growing public opposition to large data center projects. ⚠️ Emerging Risk: Public resistance to AI-related power consumption and data center construction is becoming a growing issue across several U.S. states. 💡 Investor Takeaway: While AI remains one of the strongest structural growth themes, investors are increasingly evaluating execution risks, infrastructure costs, and regulatory challenges.
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Curated Headlines for 24 August 2026 South China Morning Post After gaining EV dominance, Chinese carmakers shift goal to take on full-hybrid behemoths https://www.scmp.com/business/china-business/article/3364906/after-gaining-ev-dominance-chinese-carmakers-shift-goal-take-full-hybrid-behemoths?module=top_story&pgtype=subsection Tesla forced to recall record 3 million cars in China over door-handle issue https://www.scmp.com/business/china-evs/article/3364887/tesla-forced-recall-record-3-million-cars-china-over-door-handle-issue?module=top_story&pgtype=subsection Shein pushes back Hong Kong debut to September amid delayed investor orders: sources https://www.scmp.com/business/companies/article/3364702/shein-pushes-back-hong-kong-debut-september-amid-delayed-investor-orders-sources?module=top_story&pgtype=subsection Hesai rides on lidar growth as smart cars gain ground despite China’s struggling market https://www.scmp.com/business/china-evs/article/3364636/hesai-rides-lidar-growth-smart-cars-gain-ground-despite-chinas-struggling-market?module=top_story&pgtype=subsection The Business Times Oil falls 1% ahead of US announcement to impose further sanctions on Iran https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/energy-commodities/oil-falls-1-ahead-us-announcement-impose-further-sanctions-iran The Wall Street Journal Nvidia Is Spending $6 Billion to Build a Powerful U.S. Alternative to Chinese AI A sweeping agreement with startup Poolside aims to build an open AI ecosystem in the U.S. to compete with Chinese heavyweights and American AI giants https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/nvidia-is-spending-6-billion-to-build-a-powerful-u-s-alternative-to-chinese-ai-c51c38cc?mod=hp_lead_pos1 Barron’s Nvidia, Fed Confab, Inflation, GDP, and More to Watch This Week https://www.barrons.com/articles/nvidia-fed-confab-inflation-gdp-and-more-to-watch-this-week-15bd2070?mod=hp_minor_pos23&_gl=1
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https://www.youtube.com/live/w46_crLhDHc?is=C3wuceUG_0gQTu9z
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Join Us for theYouTube Session of CGS FullGoal Singapore Next 50 ETF where CGSI share more about the new ETF. Final sharing session before IOP ends on 25 August! Starting at 12pm today https://www.youtube.com/live/w46_crLhDHc?is=C3wuceUG_0gQTu9z
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Curated Headlines for 21 August 2026 South China Morning Post Chinese insurance giant Ping An’s profit climbs 36% on policy sales, investment gains Earnings beat analysts’ estimates, with performance mainly driven by increase of new life policies and investment gains https://www.scmp.com/business/banking-finance/article/3364710/chinese-insurance-giant-ping-ans-profit-climbs-36-policy-sales-investment-gains?module=top_story&pgtype=subsection Alibaba’s AI cloud growth surge drives earnings despite soaring tech spending Tech giant posts fastest growth in cloud and AI revenue in 22 quarters, says huge AI computing investments will pay off within three years https://www.scmp.com/tech/big-tech/article/3364705/alibabas-ai-cloud-growth-surge-drives-earnings-despite-soaring-tech-spending?module=top_story&pgtype=subsection The Wall Street Journal Walmart Shares Slump on Weakest Sales Growth in Over Six Years E-commerce, membership and advertising drive retailer’s growth https://www.wsj.com/business/earnings/warlmart-earnings-q2-2026-wmt-stock-122b69ee?mod=lead_feature_below_a_pos1 The Business Times Gold wavers as bond yields rebound, oil jump fuels US inflation worries Bessent says he is prepared to expand the efforts to buy back costlier debt https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/energy-commodities/gold-wavers-bond-yields-rebound-oil-jump-fuels-us-inflation-worries Anthropic expects to match or top SpaceX’s record IPO size The Claude developer prepares to file publicly for its potential mega-IPO as soon as the end of August https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/anthropic-expects-match-or-top-spacexs-record-ipo-size Barron’s Chipotle and Yum! Look Like Bargains After Food-Safety Selloff https://www.barrons.com/articles/chipotle-yum-taco-bell-stock-food-safety-selloff-f89f08e5?mod=hp_minor_pos22&_gl=1
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🇯🇵 Japan Exports & Economic Growth - Export Expansion: Japan’s exports surged 23.2% YoY in July, beating Reuters expectations of 19.9%. - Semiconductor Demand: Driven by the global AI boom, chip equipment shipments jumped 49.1% by value. - Key Trading Partners: Exports to China rose 25.8%, while shipments to the U.S. increased 22%. - Volume vs. Value FX Impact: Actual export volume only grew 5.2%, meaning revenue gains were heavily aided by a weaker Yen and higher selling prices. - Import Burden: Imports jumped 27.8%, driven by an 87.8% surge in petroleum import costs due to global energy disruptions, widening trade pressures. - Market Reaction: The benchmark Nikkei 225 index picked up +0.64% following the release, with the Yen sliding to 158.35 per USD. 🇺🇸 US Treasury Debt Buybacks & Market Response - Doubling Buybacks: The U.S. Treasury announced it will at least double its debt buybacks from $2B to at least $4B to stabilize long-term fixed-income markets. - Targeting Long Duration: Interventions focus on 10-to-20-year and 20-to-30-year Treasuries, which suffered a prolonged buyers' strike. The operations run from Sept 9 to Nov 4. - Yields Plunge & Futures Spike: Benchmark 10-year yields fell 5.7 bps to 4.647%, while 30-year yields dropped 9 bps to 5.196%, providing relief to equity futures. - Structural Reality: Economists note this is a maturity rearrangement rather than net debt reduction, leaving core deficit pressures and heavy AI debt issuance unaddressed. - Inflation Concerns: Analysts warn suppressing yields could complicate the Fed’s 2% inflation target, acting as a form of short-term Yield Curve Control. 📱 Memory Chip Shortage & Smartphone Market Dynamics - Price Surge: Global memory chip prices have quadrupled since Sept 2025, driven by capacity shifts toward AI and data centers. - Death of Budget Phones: Sub-$150 smartphones are fading out in India; new entry-level launches are projected to rise to $200–$250 (+40% price hikes). - Chinese Brands Under Pressure: Entry-level shipment declines hit budget players hard in Q2—Realme (-14.2%), Vivo (-13.9%), Xiaomi (-10%), and Oppo (-8.5%). - Premium Players Gain Share: Apple (+0.7%) and Samsung (+0.4%) held firm. Samsung benefited from in-house memory supplies, while Apple’s iPhone 17 topped shipments across early 2026.
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📈 Market Morning Brief | 20 Aug 2026 ———— 🏦 Treasury Buybacks Drive Bond Rally - The U.S. Treasury announced plans to significantly increase buybacks of longer-dated government bonds (10–30 years), raising the size of operations from US$2 billion to at least US$4 billion per transaction over the next two months. Key Market Impact: ✅ Bond prices rose sharply ✅ 30-year Treasury yield fell 9 basis points to ~5.19% ✅ 10-year Treasury yield declined to ~4.64% ✅ Lower yields provided support for equities and risk assets - The move helped stabilize financial markets after recent weakness and eased concerns surrounding rising borrowing costs. ———— 📊 Wall Street Recovers - All three major U.S. indices snapped a three-day losing streak as falling bond yields improved investor sentiment. - Lower yields particularly benefited growth and technology stocks, which are more sensitive to interest rate expectations. ———— ₿ Crypto Surges on Yield Decline The drop in Treasury yields sparked a strong rally across digital assets. Cryptocurrency Performance: 🚀 Bitcoin: +7% 🚀 Ethereum: +18% Investors rotated back into higher-risk assets as bond yields retreated and liquidity conditions improved. ———— ⚠️ U.S. National Debt Tops US$40 Trillion - The U.S. government's gross national debt has surpassed the US$40 trillion mark for the first time, highlighting mounting fiscal challenges. Key Debt Statistics: 💰 Total Debt: > US$40 trillion 📉 FY2026 Budget Deficit: Nearly US$1.8 trillion 📊 July Budget Deficit: US$432.3 billion 💸 Interest Expense YTD: Nearly US$1.2 trillion - Interest costs are now one of the largest federal expenditures, behind only Social Security and Medicare. ———— 🏛️ Trump Renews Pressure on the Fed - President Donald Trump criticized Federal Reserve policy, arguing that U.S. interest rates remain "artificially high." - Trump suggested the U.S. should be paying substantially lower borrowing costs and renewed calls for lower rates as government interest expenses continue to rise. Why It Matters: 📌 Lower rates would reduce federal interest payments 📌 Could support economic growth and risk assets 📌 Raises questions about future Fed independence and policy direction ———— 🌍 U.S. Escalates Economic Pressure on Iran - The White House announced plans for what Trump described as the "most crushing economic operation ever taken against any country." Proposed Measures: 🚢 Crackdown on oil smuggling networks 💱 Restrictions on currency swap arrangements 🏦 Tighter controls on cash transfers and exchange houses 📄 Targeting ship registries and front companies helping Iran evade sanctions - The announcement comes amid ongoing tensions surrounding the Strait of Hormuz and continued uncertainty over Middle East stability. Market Watch: 🛢️ Any escalation could further tighten global energy supplies and keep oil prices elevated. ———— 🤖 AI Infrastructure Spending Continues to Accelerate Nvidia Commits Up to US$105 Billion Financing Package - Nvidia unveiled financing support for a massive new OpenAI data center campus in Ohio. Project Highlights: ⚡ Initial capacity: 4.25 gigawatts ⚡ Expansion option: Additional 3.75 gigawatts ⚡ Total financing support: Up to US$105 billion ⚡ Capacity expected to come online from 2028 - The initiative underscores continued demand for AI infrastructure despite concerns surrounding the pace and sustainability of industry spending. Investment Theme: 💡 AI remains one of the strongest capital expenditure cycles globally, supporting demand across semiconductors, networking equipment, power infrastructure and data center construction. ———— 🧬 Breakthrough Cancer Vaccine Sends Pharma Stocks Soaring - Moderna and Merck reported encouraging late-stage trial results for their personalized cancer vaccine used alongside Merck's blockbuster therapy Keytruda. Trial Results: ✅ Improved recurrence-free survival in melanoma patients ✅ Reduced spread of cancer compared with Keytruda alone Market Reaction: 🚀 Moderna: +177% 🚀 Merck: +12% - The results mark a potentially significant advancement in personalized cancer treatment and immunotherapy.
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Curated Headlines for 20 August 2026 South China Morning Post Hong Kong tech stocks decline as US bond rout, Iran war stalemate dent sentiment https://www.scmp.com/business/china-business/article/3364498/hong-kong-stocks-decline-rising-bond-yields-and-stalemate-iran-war-dent-sentiment?module=top_story&pgtype=subsection Chinese robotaxi firms see eased regulatory bottleneck in Europe as deployment picks up https://www.scmp.com/business/china-business/article/3364522/chinese-robotaxi-firms-see-eased-regulatory-bottleneck-europe-deployment-picks?module=top_story&pgtype=subsection The Business Times US debt crosses US$40 trillion threshold after doubling under Trump and Biden The federal government’s IOU has now more than doubled in less than a decade https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/international/global/us-debt-crosses-us40-trillion-threshold-after-doubling-under-trump-and-biden?ref=home-top-stories-6 China drove global electric truck, bus sales above half a million in 2025 The country accounts for nearly 90% of global electric truck and bus sales that year https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/transport-logistics/china-drove-global-electric-truck-bus-sales-above-half-million-2025 The Wall Street Journal Moderna Shares More Than Double on Success of mRNA Cancer Vaccine Results from a Merck-Moderna partnership validate years of research into a new approach to cancer treatment https://www.wsj.com/health/pharma/moderna-merck-vaccine-succeeds-in-preventing-melanoma-from-returning-540e9e18?mod=hp_lead_pos5 Fed Minutes Reveal Broader Support for Rate Increases Many officials thought higher rates would likely be needed if inflation doesn’t come down https://www.wsj.com/economy/central-banking/fed-minutes-show-rising-concern-over-inflation-bea12df8?mod=hp_major_pos1
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📣 You’re Invited: Singapore’s Next 50: Unlocking Systematic Alpha (Webinar) Following the overwhelming response to our first
📣 You’re Invited: Singapore’s Next 50: Unlocking Systematic Alpha (Webinar) Following the overwhelming response to our first session, we’re back with another opportunity to explore the growth potential beyond Singapore’s traditional blue-chip names with the CGS Fullgoal Singapore Next 50 Active ETF. Join Mr Chia Tse Chern, Group Head of Investment at CGS International Securities, as he shares insights on how a systematic multi-factor strategy identifies potential winners among Singapore’s Next 50 stocks while managing risk. 📅 22 Aug 2026 (Sat) ⏰ 11.30am – 12.30pm 📍 Zoom Register now! https://poems-sg.zoom.us/webinar/register/3617865026792/WN_r3Ph7_5RRnCnoxJLZdEWLg#/registration 🎁 Plus, invest in the CGS Fullgoal Singapore Next 50 Active ETF during its IOP period (6–25 Aug) to enjoy up to S$500 Cash Credits. *T&Cs apply. 👉 Learn more: https://www.poems.com.sg/cgs-etf-iop/ Don’t miss this opportunity to discover what could be next for Singapore equities!
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📣 You’re Invited: Singapore’s Next 50: Unlocking Systematic Alpha (Webinar) Following the overwhelming response to our first session, we’re back with another opportunity to explore the growth potential beyond Singapore’s traditional blue-chip names with the CGS Fullgoal Singapore Next 50 Active ETF. Join Mr Chia Tse Chern, Group Head of Investment at CGS International Securities, as he shares insights on how a systematic multi-factor strategy identifies potential winners among Singapore’s Next 50 stocks while managing risk. 📅 22 Aug 2026 (Sat) ⏰ 11.30am – 12.30pm 📍 Zoom Register now! https://poems-sg.zoom.us/webinar/register/3617865026792/WN_r3Ph7_5RRnCnoxJLZdEWLg#/registration 🎁 Plus, invest in the CGS Fullgoal Singapore Next 50 Active ETF during its IOP period (6–25 Aug) to enjoy up to S$500 Cash Credits. *T&Cs apply. 👉 Learn more: https://www.poems.com.sg/cgs-etf-iop/ Don’t miss this opportunity to discover what could be next for Singapore equities!
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📊 ASIA MARKET UPDATE: HORMUZ UNCERTAINTY KEEPS OIL ELEVATED AS GEOPOLITICAL RISKS PERSIST Asian markets face a cautious session as uncertainty over the Strait of Hormuz remains elevated despite President Donald Trump saying the key oil chokepoint is “open and operating.” 🛢️ STRAIT OF HORMUZ: OPEN ON PAPER, BUT TRAFFIC TELLS A DIFFERENT STORY 🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump said Tuesday that the Strait of Hormuz remains open, while ruling out fresh negotiations with Tehran. However, actual shipping activity suggests significant disruption: 🚢 Ship crossings have fallen sharply to a five-day average of just 10 vessels, the lowest level since May, according to Kpler data. ⚠️ A cargo ship was also attacked while exiting the strait through Omani territorial waters, with one crew member killed. 📌 Key takeaway: While the waterway may technically remain navigable, commercial shipping activity remains severely constrained. This keeps the risk premium in crude oil elevated. ———— 🛢️ OIL: SUPPLY RISKS KEEP PRICES ABOVE US$90 Markets remain skeptical that the Hormuz situation has normalized. 🔺 Brent: remains above US$91/bbl 🔺 WTI: +0.52% → US$85.38/bbl in early Asian trading The latest shipping attack reinforces concerns that even vessels using alternative routes remain exposed to geopolitical risks. 💡 Why investors should care The Strait of Hormuz normally handles a significant portion of global oil flows. If shipping disruptions persist: ➡️ Higher transportation and insurance costs ➡️ Tighter global oil supply ➡️ Higher inflation expectations ➡️ Greater pressure on central banks to keep rates elevated ➡️ Potential margin pressure for oil-consuming industries 📈 MARKET FOCUS: OIL VS. AI Investors continue to balance two major forces: 🛢️ Geopolitical inflation shock vs. 🤖 AI-driven earnings and investment boom The longer oil remains above US$90, the greater the risk that the market begins pricing in a more persistent inflationary environment. At the same time, strong AI infrastructure spending continues to support technology and semiconductor valuations. 🔎 Key sectors to watch 🛢️ Energy: Potential beneficiary of higher crude prices ✈️ Airlines: Vulnerable to rising fuel costs 🚢 Shipping: Higher freight, insurance and disruption risks 🏭 Industrials: Potential margin pressure from energy costs 💻 Technology: Supported by AI spending but vulnerable to higher rates 🔬 Semiconductors: AI demand remains strong, but valuations remain sensitive to yields
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Curated Headlines for 19 August 2026 South China Morning Post Xiaomi ‘in no rush’ to turn vast AI spending into profits despite earnings slump https://www.scmp.com/business/china-evs/article/3364458/xiaomi-no-rush-turn-vast-ai-spending-profits-despite-earnings-slump?module=top_story&pgtype=section China’s ‘national team’ ditches Kweichow Moutai, adding to valuation woes https://www.scmp.com/business/china-business/article/3364299/chinas-national-team-ditches-kweichow-moutai-move-adds-valuation-woes?module=top_story&pgtype=section The Business Times US securities regulator proposes long-awaited crypto rules The proposal would allow a one-time exemption for crypto companies to issue up to US$5 million in crypto tokens during a four-year period https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/banking-finance/us-securities-regulator-proposes-long-awaited-crypto-rules Oil closes at three-week high as hopes of US-Iran peace deal fade Both brent crude and US WTI crude contracts closed at their highest since Jul 24 https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/energy-commodities/oil-closes-three-week-high-hopes-us-iran-peace-deal-fade The Wall Street Journal OpenAI’s Second-Quarter Sales Show Tepid Growth Compared With Anthropic The ChatGPT-maker’s revenue disappointed some investors, although the company told them its growth accelerated in the third quarter https://www.wsj.com/tech/ai/openais-second-quarter-sales-show-tepid-growth-compared-with-anthropic-5cb42998?mod=hp_lead_pos2 Bonds Are Getting Hammered, and Wall Street Says the Rout Won’t End Anytime Soon With yields on 30-year U.S. Treasurys at 19-year highs, investors predict a new era in the bond market. And it looks a lot like 2007. https://www.wsj.com/finance/investing/bonds-are-getting-hammered-and-wall-street-says-the-rout-wont-end-anytime-soon-895e0ad8
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📊 MARKET UPDATE: MIDDLE EAST TENSIONS RETURN AS OIL JUMPS; AI DATA-CENTER SPENDING ACCELERATES Markets are starting Tuesday on a cautious footing as the U.S.-Iran conflict enters its sixth month, with hopes of a near-term diplomatic breakthrough fading and concerns growing over a renewed escalation. 🌍 MIDDLE EAST: CEASEFIRE RISKS RENEWED CONFLICT 🇺🇸🇮🇷 The temporary U.S.-Iran truce expired Monday, with neither Washington nor Tehran signaling plans to extend it. President Donald Trump threatened further military action and warned Oman against interfering with U.S. objectives, while Iranian officials reportedly said Tehran could shift from a defensive posture to an offensive one if diplomacy fails. ⚠️ The key risk for markets remains the Strait of Hormuz, through which a significant share of global oil shipments normally passes. 🛢️ OIL: SUPPLY RISK RETURNS Crude prices reacted immediately to the escalation: 🔺 Brent: +2.7% → US$90.87/bbl 🔺 WTI: +2.6% → US$84.50/bbl Oil prices were also higher in early Asian trading. 📌 Market implication: A sustained disruption around the Strait of Hormuz could keep energy prices elevated, adding pressure to inflation and potentially complicating expectations for global interest-rate cuts. 📉 WALL STREET: RISK SENTIMENT SOFTENS U.S. equities moved lower as geopolitical risks returned: 🔻 S&P 500: -0.50% 🔻 Nasdaq Composite: -0.32% 🔻 Dow Jones: -0.51% Asian markets opened mixed on Tuesday. Investors are increasingly balancing two competing forces: ➡️ Rising geopolitical and inflation risks ➡️ Strong structural demand for AI and technology infrastructure ———————————————————————— 🤖 AI & DATA CENTERS: NVIDIA EXPANDS FINANCING ROLE Nvidia is taking a bigger role in financing the global AI infrastructure buildout. 💰 The chipmaker will provide up to US$105 billion in financing for a new AI data center project for OpenAI in Ohio. 🏗️ The initial phase will support approximately 4.25GW of computing capacity, with an option to expand by another 3.75GW. 📅 Capacity is expected to come online in phases from 2028. 💡 Why it matters The deal highlights how AI infrastructure investment is evolving beyond simply selling GPUs. Nvidia is increasingly becoming part of the financing ecosystem supporting hyperscalers, AI labs and data-center developers. ⚠️ However, the growing use of vendor-backed or circular financing structures is also raising questions over how much of the AI investment boom is ultimately being funded by the same companies benefiting from it. ———————————————————————— ⚖️ META: LEGAL RISKS MOVE INTO FOCUS Meta is facing a major lawsuit in California alleging that its platforms encouraged addictive behavior among teenagers and children. ⚠️ Lawyers have warned of potentially “astronomical” financial consequences if Meta ultimately loses. The case is being viewed by some industry observers as a potential “Big Tobacco moment” for social media. 📌 Investor takeaway: Beyond advertising growth and AI spending, regulatory and litigation risks remain an important valuation consideration for major social-media platforms. ———————————————————————— 🌏 ASIA MARKET WATCH Asian investors will be watching closely for: 🇯🇵 Japan: Yen movements and the potential for further currency intervention remain important for exporters, importers and regional FX markets. 🇰🇷 South Korea: Semiconductor and technology stocks remain highly sensitive to developments in the AI infrastructure investment cycle. 🌏 Regional markets: Higher oil prices could create a mixed environment for Asia — benefiting energy producers while increasing costs and inflation risks for major oil-importing economies.
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Curated Headlines for 18 August 2026 South China Morning Post China’s pharma contractors rally as US supply chain pressures face industry resistance https://www.scmp.com/business/companies/article/3364303/chinas-pharma-contractors-rally-us-supply-chain-pressures-face-industry-resistance?module=top_story&pgtype=subsection Ingenic launches IPO, joining wave of mainland China chipmakers raising funds in Hong Kong https://www.scmp.com/tech/tech-trends/article/3364263/ingenic-launches-ipo-join-wave-mainland-china-chipmakers-raising-funds-hong-kong?module=top_story&pgtype=subsection The Business Times Iran threatens to go on offensive in Strait of Hormuz if diplomacy with US fails Trump said on Aug 17 that Iran ‘should put up the white flag of surrender’ https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/international/global/iran-threatens-go-offensive-strait-hormuz-if-diplomacy-us-fails Anthropic’s revenue run rate tops US$65 billion: source Anthropic is projecting 2028 revenue of roughly US$190 billion to US$200 billion https://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/telcos-media-tech/anthropics-revenue-run-rate-tops-us65-billion-source The Wall Street Journal Investment Firm General Atlantic Is Eyeing an IPO Again The company manages around $130 billion and had filed to go public in 2023 https://www.wsj.com/finance/investment-firm-general-atlantic-is-eyeing-an-ipo-again-53d8ee7f?mod=lead_feature_below_a_pos3   30-Year Yield Rises to Highest Level Since 2007 as Oil and Treasury Supply Bite Bonds https://www.barrons.com/articles/30-year-treasury-yield-high-d97d62f8?mod=hp_minor_pos24&_gl=1
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