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🇬🇧 Nigel Farage: "Whether we are churchgoers or not everything in our country and culture is based on Judeo-Christian values" 🔶️ "You're welcome to come from anywhere in the world, from any religion, if you share our values we can live together happily and in peace" 📎 Lee Harris

🇺🇸 Democrats begin to consider Harris at the top of their ticket | Washington Post ⬛️ Several party leaders suggest that if Biden steps aside, Harris would have to be his replacement. 🔶 A CNN poll released Tuesday found that voters favor former president Donald Trump over Biden by six percentage points, 49 percent to 43 percent, similar to results from before the debate. But Harris performs better, trailing Trump 47 percent to 45 percent, a gap that falls within the margin of error. 🔶 Choosing a new nominee outside the current ticket would raise questions about the status of the delegates whom Biden and Harris have won — and the nearly quarter-billion dollars in their campaign coffers, money that cannot easily or perhaps even legally be handed to someone else. 🔶 Multiple Democrats who have said they would get behind Harris, however, point to her post-debate interview when she had to balance a defense of Biden and the shaky debate performance millions of viewers saw. “That was a thankless job she had to do, and she did a very, very good job,” one senior House Democratic aide said. 🔶 Some Democratic strategists think Harris presidential ticket would have a form of an Obama effect - where black and minority voting participation rates increase as a result of having a candidate of color on the top of the ballot. 🔶 Governor Gretchen Whitmer of Michigan would not run for president this year and would be “all in” for Harris, according to a person close to the Michigan governor. Newsom has also hinted that he would back Harris, a fellow Californian. California lawmakers say they don’t believe he’d run this year.

“I don’t know that Gretchen Whitmer going into Philadelphia is going to help turnout. I think Kamala Harris does,” said Mike Trujillo, a Democratic strategist and former aide to Hillary Clinton. “I don’t know if Gavin Newsom goes into Raleigh, North Carolina, or Charlotte, North Carolina, that he’s going to be able to turn out African Americans that are the base of the party. I think Kamala Harris can do that.”

🔶 Harris has so far refused to engage in any of the public strategizing. Since the debate, she has been Biden’s defender in chief, telling any camera in sight that voters should look at Biden’s "successful 3½ years in office," not his 90 minutes of struggling in a debate. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/07/03/harris-replace-biden-democratic-ticket/ https://archive.is/dPP0Z

🇺🇸 Democrats begin to consider Harris at the top of their ticket | Washington Post ⬛️ Several party leaders suggest that if Biden steps aside, Harris would have to be his replacement. 🔶 A CNN poll released Tuesday found that voters favor former president Donald Trump over Biden by six percentage points, 49 percent to 43 percent, similar to results from before the debate. But Harris performs better, trailing Trump 47 percent to 45 percent, a gap that falls within the margin of error. 🔶 Choosing a new nominee outside the current ticket would raise questions about the status of the delegates whom Biden and Harris have won — and the nearly quarter-billion dollars in their campaign coffers, money that cannot easily or perhaps even legally be handed to someone else. 🔶 Multiple Democrats who have said they would get behind Harris, however, point to her post-debate interview when she had to balance a defense of Biden and the shaky debate performance millions of viewers saw. “That was a thankless job she had to do, and she did a very, very good job,” one senior House Democratic aide said. 🔶 Some Democratic strategists think Harris presidential ticket would have a form of an Obama effect - where black and minority voting participation rates increase as a result of having a candidate of color on the top of the ballot. 🔶 Governor Gretchen Whitmer of Michigan would not run for president this year and would be “all in” for Harris, according to a person close to the Michigan governor. Newsom has also hinted that he would back Harris, a fellow Californian. California lawmakers say they don’t believe he’d run this year.

“I don’t know that Gretchen Whitmer going into Philadelphia is going to help turnout. I think Kamala Harris does,” said Mike Trujillo, a Democratic strategist and former aide to Hillary Clinton. “I don’t know if Gavin Newsom goes into Raleigh, North Carolina, or Charlotte, North Carolina, that he’s going to be able to turn out African Americans that are the base of the party. I think Kamala Harris can do that.”

🔶 Harris has so far refused to engage in any of the public strategizing. Since the debate, she has been Biden’s defender in chief, telling any camera in sight that voters should look at Biden’s "successful 3½ years in office," not his 90 minutes of struggling in a debate. https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/07/03/harris-replace-biden-democratic-ticket/ https://archive.is/dPP0Z

🇺🇸 Leaked Trump video claims Biden dropped out and Kamala will be the Democratic Nominee 🔶️ In new candid vid Trump states as fact that Biden is "quitting the race" after debate—"I got him out"—and calls him an "old broken-down pile of crap." Trump says he'd prefer to run against Kamala Harris, calls her "pathetic."

Trump: "She's so bad. She's so pathetic. She's just so f**king bad." "How did I do with the debate the other night? I kicked that old, broken down pile of cr*p. He's quitting the race." "I got him out the race, and that means we have Kamala. I think she's going to be better. She's so bad. She's so pathetic. She's just so f**king bad." "Can you imagine [Biden] with dealing with Putin and the president of China, who's a fierce person? He's a fierce man. Very tough guy."

https://www.thedailybeast.com/donald-trump-caught-on-video-claiming-broken-down-joe-biden-has-quit-its-kamala

🇮🇷 🇮🇱 Today the IDF killed the commander of Hezbollah's Aziz Division, the unit responsible for the western part of Southern Lebanon. 🔶️ Hezbollah’s Aziz unit is one of three regional divisions in southern Lebanon. 🔶️ On June 12th, the IDF killed the commander of the Nasr Division, the unit responsible for the eastern part of Southern Lebanon. 🔶️ The Aziz & Nasr Divisions are Lebanon's first line of defense against Israel. 🔶️ The second dense zone is protected by the third regional division, the Badr unit, which is responsible for the area between the Litani River and Sidon. 📎 Gaza war unit tracking.

🇷🇺 🎈 Russian company develops anti-drone technology using airships 🔶️ The Barrier drone defense system, created in Russia, consists of a “floating” net attached to aerostats. 🔶️ The company "First Airship", which applied the know-how, specializes in the construction of cargo airships. Its engineers decided to use aircraft to create protection against drones. RIA Novosti quoted the words of the general director of JSC Polina Albek. 🔶️ "The maximum load on a balloon reaches 30 kilograms. We produce the balloons for "Barrier" ourselves, and the nets at specialized enterprises ," she explained. 🔶️ The designers used information about the defensive mechanisms of the First World War, when airships hung with chains served as reliable means of air defense. 🔶️ It is reported that the Barrier has already been tested at the proving ground and the company has received preliminary orders for the system. https://yamal-media.ru/news/v-rossii-pojavilas-tehnologija-zaschity-ot-dronov-pri-pomoschi-dirizhablej

@PatriotFrontUpdates » 🇺🇸🇪🇸 Activists, as representatives of the organization in Europe, visited the Valley of The Fallen. The monumental site is north of Madrid and was constructed by Francisco Franco in the years succeeding Spain's civil war in an act to reunify the nation. Members met with Spanish nationalists and exchanged positive dialogue. Gifts of literature and other materials were given. View the organization's recent efforts in 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿England, 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿Scotland, 🇳🇱The Netherlands, 🇩🇰Denmark, 🇸🇪Sweden, 🇫🇷France, 🇩🇪Germany and 🇳🇴Norway. 🇺🇸 Submit your application today: patriotfront.us/join

🇮🇷 🇮🇱 What an Israel-Hizbullah war would look like | Shashank Joshi 🔶️ "Hezbollah proved to be a highly dedicated and professional fighting force, armed with some of the most advanced weapon systems in the world. There can be no doubt that the IDF greatly underestimated its opponent." 🔶️ "Clearly, Hezbollah has mastered the art of light infantry/ATGM tactics against heavy mechanized forces. Hezbollah also deserves high marks for its innovative use of sophisticated ambushes and the clever use of both direct and indirect fires" 🔶️ Then there's the more recent period. Here, Eran Ortal critiques the IDF's airpower-centric strategy & relative neglect of ground forces. "We have made huge tactical improvements but failed to make more profound adjustments to our theories and capabilities" 🔶️ This, by Brig-Gen Meir Finkel for the IDF's Dado Center, is another view of a Lebanon war (in Hebrew). He argues that if Israel killed 3,000 Hizbullah fighters and wounded 12,000, it would remove half of the group's strength and essentially destroy it. 🔶️ Finkel: "it would be correct to compare Hezbollah not to Hamas or the PLO...but to the Syrian commandos in [1982]—a well-trained & well-equipped force that fought well in the mountainous and built-up terrain". Also compares to Jordanian commandos in 1967. 🔶️ Finkel suggests that, in a month-long campaign followed by weeks of clearance operations, just 600-800 Israeli troops would die, with another 200-400 Israeli civilian casualties. This to me sounds wildly implausible & out of kilter with other estimates. 📎 Shashank Joshi

🇮🇷 🇮🇱 What an Israel-Hizbullah war would look like | Shashank Joshi 🔶️ Bigger, more intense & more destructive than in 2006, with Hizbullah both better prepared & better armed in terms of its ground forces & missile arsenal than the last time round. A few thoughts: 🔶️ Officials and experts point to four significant changes in Hizbullah's ground forces. In 2006 the biggest threat was anti-tank missiles. A new challenge will come from loitering munitions. 🔶️ Second, after 2006 Hizbullah's younger members, observing IRGC & IS in Syria, criticised older commanders & urged shift away from fixed defences to greater manoeuvre capability. One result was bigger emphasis on the Radwan force 🔶️ Third, Hizbullah's experience alongside Russian & Syrian air forces taught them importance of weight of firepower. And fourth, short-range firepower has become "very accurate", one officer told me, in part because of better integration with recon drones. 🔶️ Positions that the IDF once thought were well camouflaged have repeatedly been found & hit, the officer told me. “The only reason we don’t have huge casualties in the north is that our forces remain out of sight.” That would change in an offensive. 🔶️ Then there's long-range missiles. Hizbullah arsenal has grown almost tenfold since 2006, with more also precision guided. A recent private study assessed that it could manage as much as 3,000 strikes a day, 25 times the rate of 2006, for three weeks 🔶️ None of this is to suggest that the IDF has not also improved & adapted since 2006. That year the air force struck 100 targets a day; by 2021 it practiced hitting 3,000 a day. But it is also badly stretched between Gaza & West Bank, and probably needs time to rest & reconstitute. 🔶️ A recent CSIS does a good job of previewing what a war would look like. It makes the important point that Hizbullah's air defences have also improved, possibly curbing the IAF's flight time over Lebanon in recent years. 🔶️ This 2008 piece by Biddle and Friedman is good on the lessons of the 2006 war. "Hezbollah did some things well," they argue, "such as its use of cover and concealment, its preparation of fighting positions, its fire discipline and mortar marksmanship..." 🔶️ Hizbullah also had weaknesses in 2006, they note. "It fell far short of ... Western standards in controlling large-scale maneuver, integrating movement & indirect fire support, combining multiple combat arms, reacting flexibly...& small-arms marksmanship" 🔶️ In 2006 "Hezbollah effectively coordinated direct fires in support of its counterattacks, often from multiple directions. Barriers and overwatching ATGM positions were sometimes integrated with considerable skill over multikilometer distances" 🔶️ "Other things were done much less well. In particular, Hezbollah demonstrated no ability to control or coordinate the maneuver of large formations. Counterattacks, for example, never exceeded platoon strength, and many were considerably smaller" 🔶️ This study by usacac is also good. Israel "reliance on poorly understood and controversial Effects-Based Operations (EBO) & Systemic Operational Design warfighting theories, & nearly singular dependence on air power, were root causes of Israeli problems" 🔶️ "As with the IDF prior to the 2006 war, the US Army, at least for the last three years, has focused almost exclusively on irregular warfare. For the IDF, these operations seriously dulled ground maneuver combat skills, particularly among tank crewmen." 📎 Shashank Joshi

🇮🇷 🇮🇱 The next terrifying war: Israel v Hizbullah 🔶️ It would feature kamikaze drones, mass blackouts and the largest missile barrage in history https://www.economist.com/middle-east-and-africa/2024/07/02/the-next-terrifying-war-israel-v-hizbullah https://archive.ph/0vcbO