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/CIG/ presents viewers a controversial blend of ultraright genopolitics with geopolitics. This includes an exposé on current news, history and social matters along with the public enlightenment gained from völkisch aesthetics. Feel free to contact us
Показати більше📈 Аналітичний огляд Telegram-каналу /CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global
Канал /CIG/ Telegram | Counter Intelligence Global (@cig_telegram) у мовному сегменті Англійська є активним учасником. На даний момент спільнота об'єднує 114 819 підписників, посідаючи 490 місце в категорії Політика та 187 місце у регіоні США.
📊 Показники аудиторії та динаміка
З моменту свого створення невідомо, проект продемонстрував стрімке зростання, зібравши аудиторію у 114 819 підписників.
За останніми даними від 15 жовтня, 2026, канал демонструє стабільну активність. Хоча за останні 30 днів спостерігається зміна кількості учасників на -689, а за останні 24 години на -71, загальне охоплення залишається високим.
- Статус верифікації: Не верифікований
- Рівень залученості (ER): Середній показник залученості аудиторії становить 5.23%. Протягом перших 24 годин після публікації контент зазвичай збирає 4.73% реакцій від загальної кількості підписників.
- Охоплення публікацій: В середньому кожен допис отримує 6 012 переглядів. Протягом першої доби публікація в середньому набирає 5 433 переглядів.
- Реакції та взаємодія: Аудиторія активно підтримує контент: середня кількість реакцій на один пост – 0.
- Тематичні інтереси: Контент зосереджений навколо ключових тем, таких як u.s, iran, attack, kuwait, bridge.
📝 Опис та контентна політика
Автор описує ресурс як майданчик для висловлення суб'єктивної думки:
“/CIG/ presents viewers a controversial blend of ultraright genopolitics with geopolitics. This includes an exposé on current news, history and social matters along with the public enlightenment gained from völkisch aesthetics.
Feel free to contact ...”
Завдяки високій частоті оновлень (останні дані отримано 16 жовтня, 2026), канал підтримує актуальність та високий рівень охоплення публікацій. Аналітика показує, що аудиторія активно взаємодіє з контентом, що робить його важливою точкою впливу в категорії Політика.
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🗳 🇫🇷 ☪️ Marine Le Pen says if she is elected French Muslims shouldn’t consider leaving, because she welcomes all people.
📎 AF Post
| 2 | 🇮🇱🔍📲 Adblockers are more important than ever: Israeli firm used online ads to run vast spy operation, researchers say
Israeli digital advertising agency Discover-Tech spied on internet users through a sprawling network of online ads that it used to track targets and help hack their devices, two research groups said on Thursday.
Its services gave Israel's Candiru — a spyware company blacklisted by the US government — as well as other Israeli surveillance firms access to advertising platforms run by Google, Comcast, Russia's Yandex and others, according to separate, opens new tab reports, opens new tab from Canadian cyber watchdog group Citizen Lab and New York advertising security firm Confiant.
The reports show how the online advertising business, long a subject of privacy concerns, can also serve as a channel for sweeping espionage campaigns.
"The way online advertising works today is a systemic security threat," Wolfie Christl, a senior researcher at Citizen Lab, told Reuters. "For states, the private sector, civil society and everyone else alike."
Discover-Tech's online ads — often for ordinary products such as phones or earbuds — reached more than 120,000 websites and 75,000 apps through its various partnerships, Citizen Lab said.
Users who visited sites or used apps with the malicious ads could be identified and tracked by Discover-Tech, which would sometimes also try to extract phone numbers from some smartphone users, the researchers said. Ads only needed to load on a website for the spying to occur.
Some ads would be used to help plant spyware from Candiru on users' devices, both research groups said, though Confiant said that ads it tied to Candiru were a tiny fraction of Discover-Tech's overall volume.
Confiant cofounder Jerome Dangu said Discover-Tech was pumping out at least 10 million ads per day all around the world and that data-sharing arrangements — called cookie matching — allowed it to track people even beyond the reach of its advertisements.
"Very likely hundreds of millions of people would have been touched by Discover-Tech," Dangu said.
Citizen Lab said a powerful form of Candiru spyware delivered through Discover-Tech's ads had been used to compromise 45 Windows devices at the Qatari broadcaster Al Jazeera between 2024 and 2025, something it said it was able to confirm because the media group had shared its network logs with the group.
Dangu of Confiant said that the malicious ads had been shown to users in "hundreds of networks in sensitive categories," including the Pentagon, the International Atomic Energy Agency, and the International Criminal Court. He also said that some regions, like the Palestinian territories, were particularly saturated by the Israeli firm's ads.
"You go to almost any site in Palestine — any site — you find a Discover-Tech ad. It gives them a very complete visibility on the digital activities of an entire country," he said.
Citizen Lab also said it had similar evidence showing the malicious ads were shown to people in the United Nations, NATO, the European Commission, and more than a dozen national governments. Other networks the ads appeared in included chip-related firms such as Nvidia, Sandisk, Broadcom, and Micron as well as several media organizations in Mexico, Israel, and Europe that were not identified.
🔗 https://citizenlab.ca/research/how-discover-tech-turned-targeted-ads-into-a-pipeline-for-spyware/
📎 https://www.reuters.com/legal/litigation/israeli-firm-used-online-ads-run-vast-spy-operation-researchers-say-2026-10-15/ | 1 487 |
| 3 | Немає тексту... | 2 234 |
| 4 | 🇮🇩🚫⛽️ Fuel crisis hits Indonesia’s Bali, triggers long lines in gas stations for days
Long lines of vehicles snaked outside gas stations across Indonesia’s resort island of Bali this week after fuel deliveries were disrupted by a combination of technical problems, bad weather and surging demand, officials said Wednesday.
On the tourism-dependent island, motorcycles and cars waited outside stations and spilled onto nearby roads as motorists scrambled for fuel. The lines have been reported since Sunday.
Officials stressed that the shortages were caused by domestic distribution problems rather than a lack of fuel supplies or turmoil in global energy markets.
“This is purely a distribution issue,” said Laode Sulaeman, director-general of oil and gas at the Energy and Mineral Resources Ministry. “A fuel tanker was delayed, but it has now arrived and 24-hour deliveries have been underway since yesterday.”
Sulaeman said that a tanker carrying fuel to Bali suffered an anchor problem while preparing to unload cargo, delaying deliveries to the island’s main fuel terminals. Rough seas and bad weather also slowed shipments to the Sanggaran terminal in Denpasar and the Manggis terminal in eastern Bali.
The disruption was compounded by strong demand for government-subsidized Pertalite gasoline, which is significantly cheaper than nonsubsidized fuel. Panic-buying by motorists worried about shortages further strained supplies at some stations.
At several gas stations, attendants posted signs reading, “Sorry, no fuel available,” while drivers and motorcyclists waited outside closed facilities for new deliveries. The shortages have frustrated residents and business owners on the resort island, where transportation is critical for daily life and tourism.
🔗 https://apnews.com/article/indonesia-bali-fuel-shortage-long-lines-487f05c7fcf8f458fbf2d1177e374d81 | 2 209 |
| 5 |  🇾🇪⚔️🇸🇦 Yemen's Ansarallah shot down another Saudi-operated "Wing Loong-2" UCAV last night, over Ma'rib. (Statement)
Since September 6th, they shot down:
1 x F-15SA
1 x Akıncı
3 x CH-4
7 x Wing Loong-2
2 x Karayel
And the Typhoon's fate is unknown.
🔗 MenchOSINT | 2 740 |
| 6 |  🇮🇷⚔️🚢 An Oil tanker was struck in the Gulf of Oman.
IRGC says the oil tanker was involved in illegal activity, switched its AIS off and was attempting to pass through the "restricted area in the Gulf of Oman".
🔗 MenchOsint (@MenchOsint) | 2 640 |
| 7 |  🇱🇺🇨🇻 Ana Correia da Veiga becomes Luxembourg's first African/black MP
Born in Luxembourg to immigrant parents from Cape Verde, Correia da Veiga has been politically active in Luxembourg since 2013 serving as a city councillor in the Luxembourg City's municipal council representing the far-left Déi Lénk (The Left) Party which formed as a merger between the former Communist Party of Luxembourg and the New Left.
The last parliamentary elections in the country were held in 2023 and Déi Lénk won a meager two seats. The party has a policy of rotating MPs so the previous holders stepped down and allowed Ana Correia da Veiga to become Luxembourg's first African MP.
Déi Lénk put Veiga at the top of the list during the 2024 Europarliamentary elections but the party didn't win any seats.
Besides advocating for traditional leftist issues like social justice and [lack of] housing, Déi Lénk also advocates for the abolition of the Luxembourgish monarchy and the transition to a republic.
🔗 https://today.rtl.lu/news/luxembourg/the-lefts-ana-correia-da-veiga-makes-history-in-luxembourg-parliament-1545005969 | 2 877 |
| 8 |  🇺🇸🇲🇲 US holds more secret talks with Myanmar's military-backed rulers in Tokyo, sources say
Earlier talks in Myanmar's capital Naypyitaw in mid-September focused on securing the release of an American businessman and shutting down scam centers that target Americans, but could pave the way for broader discussions, including on Myanmar’s rare-earth mineral deposits, Reuters previously reported.
It was not immediately clear exactly what the two sides discussed at last week's talks, disclosed to Reuters by three people with knowledge of the engagement. The people, including one US official, all requested anonymity because of the sensitivity of the meeting.
US Assistant Secretary of State for Intelligence and Research Michael Vance again led the Tokyo talks, which involved more than a dozen US officials, one of the people said. Reuters could not establish who represented Myanmar.
Last month's meeting in Naypyitaw between Vance and Myanmar's coup leader-turned-president, Min Aung Hlaing, provided an opening for broader discussions, people familiar with those talks previously told Reuters. The quick return to the negotiating table in Tokyo suggests both sides are keen to keep the dialogue going.
A major focus of the US push is securing Myanmar's help in shutting down scam hubs that run romance and other frauds and have swindled Americans out of billions of dollars, the people said.
Researchers say many scam operations are based in areas controlled by army-backed militia, with some proceeds flowing to the military, raising doubts about whether Myanmar's leaders are serious about enforcement. Myanmar's military-backed government has said it is participating in a multinational effort to curb scam centres.
US officials have also discussed access to Myanmar's large deposits of heavy rare earths, which are used in products ranging from electric vehicles to wind turbines. US officials acknowledge significant obstacles: the deposits are largely located in territory controlled by ethnic armed groups fighting the military, while China, the main buyer of Myanmar rare earths, could balk at any US role.
The US last week lifted sanctions on the daughter of a Myanmar businessman accused of supporting the country's military, saying the move was part of a new approach to the country.
🔗 https://www.reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/us-holds-more-secret-talks-with-myanmars-military-backed-rulers-tokyo-sources-2026-10-16/ | 3 149 |
| 9 |  🇪🇹🏆🇪🇹 Ethiopia appoints a new regional government in the Tigray Region and schedules elections within six months if the security situation doesn't degrade further
The Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF) led an offensive last month against Abiy's government, reigniting a war that killed hundreds of thousands between 2020-22.
Renewed conflict has led to the severing of ties between Ethiopia and Eritrea. Addis Ababa accuses Asmara of backing the rebels, which Eritrea denies.
In addition to Eritrea, Ethiopia's government has accused Egypt and Sudan of supporting the rebel alliance. They have denied the allegations.
The Ethiopian Army (ENDF) has captured every major urban center in Tigray facing little to no resistance from the TPLF which appears to have withdrawn into neighbouring Eritrea and Sudan. The likelihood of a border conflict between Ethiopia, Eritrea and Sudan is very high.
🔗 https://www.reuters.com/world/africa/ethiopias-abiy-names-new-tigray-government-wants-polls-six-months-2026-10-16/ | 3 104 |
| 10 |  🇪🇹🇪🇷 - The situation in Zalambessa, Adigrat direction, along the Ethiopia-Eritrea border, has become incredibly tense over the past few hours.
Eritrea's military, EDF, is positioned in the northern outskirts of the town, as well as areas north of the town.
Ethiopian forces, ENDF, have set up checkpoints south of the town preventing anyone from evacuating towards Fadi or Adigrat.
The town itself is uncontrolled by either side. Locals report looting, closure of most shops, and most essential food has run out.
Map key:
Red: Ethiopian National Defense Forces,
Green: Tigray Defense Forces,
Purple: Eritrean Defense Forces on Ethiopian territory.
Rerum Novarum’s proprietary maps are now available at MINIMAP.TECHNOLOGY | 2 601 |
| 11 | 🇾🇪🇮🇷🇨🇳 Yemen's Ansarallah is now developing their own advanced ballistic missiles using components imported from China – WSJ
Ansarallah obtained specialized components to build a version of Iran's Kheibar Shekan precision-guided ballistic missile, which has a range of up to 1,930 km. This would put targets across Saudi Arabia and Israel within its range.
This could allow Ansarallah to build long-range missiles inside Yemen instead of relying on complete missiles supplied by Iran.
Over the past decade, IRGC has helped turn Ansarallah into one of the most capable military forces in the region. Iran has provided Ansarallah with weapons, training and technical support, helping it develop increasingly advanced missile and drone capabilities.
📝 Policy Tensor: The whole China angle is a bit amusing. Is there anyone making anything without Chinese components anymore? Can the US make Tomahawks without Chinese components??
🔗 https://archive.ph/3lJLD | 3 231 |
| 12 | 🤖 Banks are pulling back as AI's massive debt pile disconnects from economic reality
Wall Street appears to be hitting its limit on AI, and financiers are starting to say the quiet part out loud: All of this AI spending doesn't look like it can pay off, at least not for everyone.
The gap between what it costs to build AI infrastructure and what companies are actually paying to use it is widening. Wall Street's anxiety is surging as the debt piling up to fund data centers and chips looks increasingly disconnected from economic reality.
A massive gap is opening up between AI infrastructure spending and expected returns.
While AI providers are projected to spend $7 trillion on infrastructure through 2030, research from Gartner forecasts they will generate no more than $3.6 trillion in related revenue over that same period.
More than $4 trillion in AI infrastructure spending could be at risk of write-downs by the end of 2032 if companies maintain their current investment pace.
Gartner also predicts that more than 80% of specialized AI cloud providers, known as neoclouds, will cease operating independently by 2030.
CoreWeave, one of the largest neoclouds with among the closest ties to Nvidia — the AI boom's financial and spiritual foundation — has faced a multi-day selloff of its stock and debt.
Yields pushed above 15% and its stock tumbled 15.5% before rebounding after Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang spoke up on the company's behalf.
Sources on Wall Street used to tell Axios that as long as the AI buildout was paid for in cash, there was nothing to worry about. But today, a third of the capex being spent on AI is coming from debt, and capital markets are showing signs of severe fatigue.
It's getting harder to secure financing. Global AI-related debt issuance plunged to $23 billion in September 2026, down sharply from $113 billion in June, per the Financial Times.
Banks are actively pulling back to avoid concentration risk, with JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon confirming his bank is tightening up on credit.
Infrastructure projects and providers are struggling: approximately $18 billion in bank loans for an Oracle data center campus recently slid into stressed territory, while Nvidia-backed AI cloud provider Firmus shelved an IPO that sought a valuation north of $30 billion.
The constant spending relies on the belief that compute demand will never falter — a belief that has structural cracks.
Reflection AI co-founder Ioannis Antonoglou told Semafor that businesses may need "a decade or two decades" to fundamentally redesign their operations around AI.
That's 10 to 20 years of companies slowly adopting the technology that's being built (expensively) today.
This creates a mismatch: Data centers and chips require enormous investment today, but the returns that could justify that spend will take years to materialize.
🔗 https://finance.yahoo.com/technology/ai/articles/banks-pulling-back-ais-massive-090010718.html | 3 214 |
| 13 | Some of the Russian Geran-5 jet-drones used to target western Ukraine today were recorded flying at speeds of 700-800 km/h, indicating Russia may have upgraded them or is using a new type of drone-missile.
The Geran-5 previously had a max speed of 600 km/h. An increase to 800 km/h would effectively put it on par with some of Russia's air-launched cruise missiles. | 2 757 |
| 14 | 🇮🇩 Indonesian stocks plunge 11% as MSCI proposes emerging market downgrade
The index provider is weighing reclassifying the country from emerging market to standalone status, potentially forcing funds tracking MSCI's emerging market indexes to sell their Indonesian holdings.
Indonesian shares lost about 11% on Friday. This was the largest single-day fall in 28 years, as the country's stock market status came under scrutiny from one of the world's largest stock market index providers, threatening outflows from global investment funds.
MSCI said that following investors' concerns, Indonesia's continued emerging-market status was "no longer appropriate". The index provider is launching a consultation on a proposal to classify Indonesia as a "Standalone Market", which would leave the country outside MSCI's main global market groupings.
MSCI classifies markets as developed, emerging, frontier or standalone.
The proposed reclassification would move Southeast Asia's biggest economy out of the emerging market category, bypassing frontier market status, and put it in the same category as Jamaica, Panama and Palestine.
This could result in global funds tracking MSCI's emerging market index having to sell their Indonesian holdings.
The index provider said in a statement that "market participants had raised significant concerns regarding the investability of the Indonesian equity market". These include a lack of clarity in shareholding structures and suspected coordinated trading.
The index provider had already raised the possibility of downgrading the country's status in January. Following that, authorities in Jakarta said in April they had completed reforms, hoping to avoid the downgrade.
MSCI noted that although Indonesian authorities have announced reforms, sufficient progress has not been made and "significant concerns remain around market dysfunction".
"MSCI expects to proceed with the proposed reclassification unless the consultation identifies clear evidence of material improvements in market governance and functioning to warrant reconsideration."
MSCI will announce its final decision by the end of June 2027.
According to Bloomberg, this comes as a hit to investors' confidence at a time when global funds have already pulled a net $4.9bn from the country's stock market so far this year – leaving the country on track for the worst year ever. Jakarta's benchmark index has fallen approximately 39% since January, dragging down the local currency; the rupiah has lost about 8%. That's even as Bank Indonesia reiterated its commitment to maintaining rupiah stability.
🔗 https://finance.yahoo.com/markets/stocks/articles/indonesian-stocks-plunge-11-msci-081331488.html | 3 009 |
| 15 | 🤖 Anthropic secured highest junk credit rating in June
Kroll Bond Rating Agency’s judgment sets up AI lab for investment-grade status
The Claude maker received an issuer rating of double B plus from KBRA in June, the highest speculative-grade score, in the run-up to securing a $35bn chip financing led by Apollo, according to documents seen by the FT.
The rating action, which has not previously been reported, shows Anthropic is close to achieving the investment-grade status that would allow the start-up to lower its borrowing costs and tap a wider pool of institutional investors including life insurance companies and pension funds.
Bankers for Anthropic and rival OpenAI have lobbied the largest rating agencies to grant the AI labs investment-grade ratings once they go public. Investors expect the initial public offering this year to hit a valuation of more than $2tn.
Anthropic expects to spend more than $500bn on computing resources and infrastructure over the next decade. That effort — which is crucial to the continuation of an investment boom that has powered the growth of US equity markets — will hinge in large part on its credit rating once public.
KBRA is a smaller rating agency compared with Moody’s, S&P and Fitch, which will ultimately determine Anthropic’s post-IPO credit status.
KBRA’s rating came despite Anthropic’s limited financial disclosures. The report was based on select financial information Anthropic provided, including revenue, adjusted operating income and annualised run-rate revenue in the first quarter of 2026, as well as an internal forecast for second-quarter results, according to the documents.
However, Anthropic’s disclosure to KBRA excluded several important financial metrics, including free cash flow and earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortisation. Credit rating analysts had to come up with their own estimates based on assumptions, the documents show.
Given the limited information, KBRA produced a “risk score” to assess Anthropic’s creditworthiness rather than the traditional full financial models.
About $4.4bn of junior debt within the $35bn June financing package exposes lenders directly to Anthropic’s credit risk, while the remainder was secured by a guarantee from chipmaker Broadcom.
The junior debt received a double B plus rating with stable outlook from KBRA based on its assessment of the AI company’s finances. The debt was sold with a yield of about 8.5 per cent, the FT reported at the time, while the senior debt carried an interest rate of 5.75 per cent.
Anthropic told investors at a pre-IPO presentation on Wednesday that its revenue rose nearly 50 per cent to $16.8bn in the third quarter and that it had been profitable on an adjusted basis for two consecutive quarters.
However, its growth rate has slowed from the blistering pace it set earlier in the year and the latest financials came in lower than the most bullish investor predictions from the summer.
At the time of the rating decision, Anthropic estimated $10.9bn in second-quarter revenue, but the figure came in higher at $11.5bn, according to people familiar with the matter.
🔗 https://unwall.app/www.ft.com/content/5a310aee-f555-4266-874c-b1b4db20186d?syn-25a6b1a6=1 | 3 492 |
| 16 |  🇨🇴 🇮🇱 🇵🇸 Colombia announces its withdrawal from the Hague Group, the bloc of countries formed to hold Israel accountable over Gaza, stepping down as both a member and co-chair.
Foreign Minister Omar Bula said Colombia rejects the group's approach, calling it "a group created to isolate and attack Israel."
Colombia was one of the bloc's founding members in January 2025, and Bolivia and Honduras have also left.
📎 Clash Report | 5 690 |
| 17 | 📝 🇮🇷 🇸🇦 Iran’s missiles and drones have hit Gulf infrastructure sites at least 135 times, causing cascading failures that governments have often concealed.
Iran has targeted infrastructure across the Gulf Arab countries – in Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Iraq, Qatar, Kuwait, Oman and Bahrain. In all, the Islamic Republic has launched at least 135 drone and missile attacks on at least 84 infrastructure sites in the Gulf since the US and Israel launched a bombing campaign against Iran on February 28, Reuters found.
The attacks have spread fear across the Gulf, sent oil prices soaring and helped Iran blunt months of American military pressure. Coupled with the Islamic Republic’s blockade on the Strait of Hormuz, the ability to launch precision attacks creates an enduring threat to its Gulf Arab neighbors and gives Iran huge sway over the global economy and leverage in its peace negotiations with the US.
Ryan Stevens, a former US Marine Corps special operations airstrike coordinator who reviewed Reuters’ findings, said Iran’s strikes showed “precision, targeting expertise, and patience.”
Some places suffered periods of near-daily bombardment and face billions of dollars in repairs and lost revenue. Others, like one of the world’s largest aluminum smelters in Abu Dhabi, were devastated in a single day. Some of the attacks were carried out by the Iran-backed Houthis in Yemen and the Iraqi Shiite militias controlled from Tehran.
Among those hit the most was the Fujairah port, whose location just south of Hormuz allowed the UAE to bypass Iran’s blockade. The port served as a life raft for global trade by easing the most severe disruption to oil supplies in decades.
In all, Reuters found that Iranian drones and missiles have struck Fujairah at least 19 times since the war began on February 28, crippling critical pieces of its operations.
“They are targeting our infrastructure,” said Al Jaber, who is also the UAE minister of industry and advanced technology. “But what they're really targeting is our way of life.”
That same year, a secret US Central Intelligence Agency assessment found Iran was likely to respond to perceived threats with attacks on energy infrastructure in Kuwait, Bahrain, Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the UAE. That assessment, released in 2019, found that “even a few attacks against well-chosen targets could do considerable damage to Gulf oil facilities.”
US officials believe Iran may have received intelligence from Russia and China. In addition, Iran relies upon networks of informants with access to sensitive sites to pass along photos and location information, according to three officials familiar with the issue – one from Iran and two in the Gulf.
Oil and gas exports function as a system – from wells that extract, to pipelines that transport across hundreds of kilometers, to refineries that process, to ports where ships can load cargo bound for global markets.
In Saudi Arabia, the Gulf’s largest petrostate, this web offers an almost inexhaustible number of targets – a weakness that has been flagged repeatedly over decades, including in the 1983 CIA report. The kingdom produces around 10% of the world’s crude as well as natural gas and petrochemicals.
Nearly all of Saudi Arabia’s oil exports flow through two main ports. The largest share typically flows through its Ras Tanura port on the Gulf. But the kingdom can also export oil from the large King Fahd Industrial Port in Yanbu, the largest on the Red Sea coast.
When the war started, Yanbu and the East-West Pipeline leading to it became a critical outlet for Saudi oil to avoid Hormuz. Most ships that sail from the Red Sea port must instead pass Houthi-controlled territory in Yemen and the narrow Bab al-Mandeb Strait.
In March and April, more than 1,000 kilometers from the Iranian border, drones hit Yanbu at least twice, according to two industry sources familiar with the operations.
The Iranians hit Saudi Aramco Mobil Refinery Limited's Yanbu Refinery with a drone on March 19, limiting production to about 70% of capacity until April 9, said Hillary Stevenson, vice president of energy intelligence at IIR Energy. Scorch marks appeared in a satellite image of Yanbu from around that date, but Reuters could not determine what precisely was hit at the refinery.
https://www.reuters.com/investigates/special-report/iran-crisis-infrastructure-attacks/ | 5 959 |
| 18 | 📝 🇨🇦 🇨🇦 Fortress Laurentia: Is Canada East the Future? | Fortissax
What if Canada lost its Western provinces—whether by U.S. annexation or secession?
What if Toronto was a free city-state?
If B.C., Alberta, Saskatchewan, and Manitoba joined the U.S.,or were annexed tomorrow what remains of Canada would be:
⚜️ Quebec
🍁 Ontario (minus Toronto)
☘️ Avalon (NB, NS, PEI, NL)
Toronto is already a world apart from the rest of Canada. It’s a city where:
▪️ 57% of the population is foreign
▪️ European-origin Canadians are a minority
▪️ Liberal-globalist politics dominate
By excluding Toronto, Laurentia would retain a strong Anglo-French identity, making up the territory of the four original provinces features on the very first Canadian Red Ensign.
Demographics of the new state (~15.5M people):
▪️ ~90% Ethnic Canadian
▪️ ~55-60% French Canadian (Quebec + Acadians)
▪️ ~35-40% Anglo-Canadian (Ontario + Avalon)
Economically, Laurentia would be viable with a GDP of ~$1T CAD—comparable to Sweden or the Netherlands.
It’s key industries would be:
⚡️ Quebec’s hydroelectricity & industry
🏭 Ontario’s agriculture, manufacturing & finance
🌊 Avalon’s fisheries, shipping & offshore oil
Laurentia would inherit ~45% of Canada’s economy, with a GDP of ~$1T CAD and federal revenue of ~$205B-$230B. With a smaller government and no equalization payments to the West, its budget would be leaner, more efficient, and focused on national interests.
With ~45% of Canada’s economy, Laurentia would take on ~$500B-$550B of national debt—resulting in a manageable ~50-55% debt-to-GDP ratio. Strong exports from hydro, manufacturing, and shipping would keep finances stable without Western subsidies.
With a GDP of ~$1T CAD, it would be:
▪️ Richer per capita than today’s Canada
▪️ More industrialized than most of Europe
▪️ Energy-independent, with massive hydro & offshore oil reserves
This would be a self-sufficient nation.
Without Alberta’s oil but with Quebec’s hydro and Atlantic offshore reserves, Laurentia would be energy-independent and export-driven. With a balanced budget, key trade routes, and a streamlined government, it would be economically stronger than post-national Canada.
Laurentia would keep all key trade routes. The St. Lawrence Seaway secures Atlantic access, while the Quebec-Windsor corridor keeps manufacturing tied to U.S. markets. With Montreal as a hub and ports in Halifax & Newfoundland, trade with Europe & the U.S. stays strong.
Laurentia could finally build high-speed rail along the Quebec-Windsor corridor, linking Montreal, Ottawa, and Laurentian Ontario. With Toronto gone, funding wouldn’t be drained by the GTA, and a smaller, denser population would make HSR viable for business & travel.
Politically, Quebec would dominate this new Canada—but not entirely.
The country could be structured as:
⚜️Quebec – The economic & cultural heart
☘️Avalon – A unified Maritime province
🍁Laurentian Ontario – Traditional Ontario, excluding Toronto.
Montreal would be the natural capital of Laurentia—bilingual, historic, and economically vital. As the new political and financial hub, it would balance Quebec and Anglo-Canada, replacing Ottawa as the seat of power while solidifying the nation’s Anglo-French identity.
Unlike Toronto or Western Canada, Laurentia would remain culturally, ethnically and historically rooted. Immigration would be low, assimilation would be mandatory, and Anglo-French cooperation would be essential.
Foreign policy would shift. Laurentia could:
▪️ Strengthen ties with Europe
▪️ Maintain trade with the U.S. but avoid dependency.
▪️ Take a neutral stance—much less Americanized, but still Western-aligned.
A North Atlantic power, retaining most of its capabilities.
Could it survive?
Absolutely. An ethnically, culturally homogenous, bilingual nation with strong industry & trade links could thrive. It would be:
▪️ More stable than today’s Canada
▪️ More cohesive without Toronto & Western demographics
▪️ A true successor to old Canada
The result: Laurentia, centered around Canadas’ historic core but without post-national disaster.
https://fortissax.substack.com/p/fortress-laurentia
📎 Fortissax | 4 986 |
| 19 |  🇾🇪⚔️🇸🇦📝 The defeat of the geopolitical West in Yemen will reconfigure West Asia no less than the US-Israeli defeat in the Iran war.
‘So the Saudi-Houthi war, while it is certainly endogenous to Saudi-Houthi relations, is also a proxy war between the two global coalitions. It is in part a contest between the war-making techniques and weapons at the disposal of the two sides. The outcome of this struggle will therefore have important consequences for the global balance of power. The side that prevails will emerge with much greater military prestige.’
‘We can therefore state with high confidence that the Saudis will eventually be forced to sue for peace and offer substantial concessions to the Houthis, up to and including recognizing them as the legitimate government of Yemen. This will be the second strategic defeat for the geopolitical West and a victory for the global insurgency against it.’
📝 Ryan Grim: Once the West recognizes that cheap drones and ballistic missiles — plus AI lowering the barrier of entry for their development — means that total victory and subjugation of smaller countries is no longer possible without unacceptably high costs, the result longterm *should* be a world at much more peace, where diplomacy actually matters as a means to keeping that peace
🔗 Policy Tensor | 4 712 |
| 20 |  Residents in multiple Melbourne suburbs have been left without water after a spate of South Africa-style copper water meter thefts.
https://www.noticer.news/melbourne-copper-water-meter-theft/
Follow: @NoticerNews | 4 715 |
