TRibUlE _ bUReaU 🎙

This Vanyok managed to say goodbye to life This Vanyok managed to say goodbye to life

The orcs who got ashore were finished off with drones

Meanwhile in Madrid. Imagine a European city in 1944 that is not under Hitler's occupation. And Germans with swastikas walk along the main streets. They glorify the Führer and the Reich. Oh, how Europe has lived for a thousand years without this tolerance. Apparently, she lived badly. And now he lives very well. The last days are their own.

It is no longer "relevant" to destroy the Kerch Bridge... Today we are surprised to learn a new trend from one OSINT group, allegedly, the Kerch Bridge has lost its significance, since it has not been used for almost a year without the delivery of military equipment and, in general, military components... Civilian cargo and passenger transportation continue, but military cargo does not. Nothing but surprise at such false information from OSINTers, who should be slightly higher than the average consumer of information in terms of analytics. The transportation of equipment, ammunition and other logistics of the ROV along the railway line of the Kerch Bridge continued and continues. Trains with this component and local monitoring channels, such as Crimean Wind, ARK and others, regularly arrive in Kerch, constantly recording and reporting on this process. In addition, the transportation of tanks with oil products is fuel and lubricants for ROV. Passenger cars are the transportation of personnel. Both the railway line and the road line continue to be actively used, and Crimea can play the role of a transit, logistics hub, which cannot be replaced by any road through Mariupol and Berdyansk. And not a single new logistics line will be able to fully provide 24/7 non-stop support for the southern group of the ROV, numbering almost 200 thousand bodies. And therefore, extremely strange conclusions, taking into account, literally, far-fetched narrative, that "there is no need to attack the Kerch Bridge." Are you serious 😟 or did you have nothing to get drunk with?

As of early May 2024, the shortage of equipment in the Russian troops is: tanks – 50%; ACVs – 70%; barrel artillery – 40%; MLRS – 80%. That is, the appearance of at least another 30 thousand people in the combat zone every month will require the regular staffing of these units with equipment, which is already in short supply. In this way, the infantry component will grow, finally turning the Russian army into marching battalions. Russia has every opportunity to mobilize up to 500,000 people by the end of the year. Of course, it will be impossible to fully train such a number at least in accordance with basic requirements, and the units themselves will be fully provided with all the necessary equipment. In fact, the Russian command will solve problems in the database zone in Ukraine mainly with an infantry component, trying to dominate by a quantitative indicator. This aspect should be taken into account, since the mass of infantry also has an advantage. And leveling it, or rather, increasing the rate of effective destruction of manpower, will become an equally burning topic in the near future. The tools for increasing this indicator are well known – cluster munitions of all types (and not only). But here the question arises about the timeliness and mass supply of these tools to Ukraine from international partners. The main thing is that it should not be the case that the speed and mass supply of human resources to the ROV exceeded the speed and supply of tools to Ukraine for the annihilation of this resource.

Russia is preparing an intensified mobilization, but the occupiers have problems with staffing After Putin's inauguration on May 7, Russia is expected to begin the process of enhanced mobilization. By the end of 2024, the Russian command plans to mobilize 500 thousand people, which is quite realistic. But is it realistic to provide such a number and fully equip it with equipment for the effective performance of combat missions? Let's find out. For the first time in all of 2023 and since the beginning of 2024, the contingent of Russian occupation troops in the war zone in Ukraine has decreased. So, if at the beginning of March it was more than 465 thousand, at the beginning of April - 475 thousand, then as of the beginning of May - 460 thousand. Since the beginning of this year, the Russian totalitarian regime has been able to afford to mobilize between 25,000 and 30,000 people every month. This amount, taking into account the average RAM losses per month of 25-28 thousand, made it possible both to compensate for losses in the database zone and to accumulate a little additional resource - in the range of +10-15%. But as soon as there was a need to form new units, for example, an army corps, this lack of manpower immediately affected the number in the combat zone. In this regard, mobilization in Russia is becoming inevitable and inevitable, and the number of mobilized in 2024 may reach 500 thousand. And this is a very realistic figure if within a few months Russia mobilizes not 25-30 thousand people, but 50-60 thousand. And this number will not overload the entire mobilization system as in 2022, when during the so-called partial mobilization, 100 thousand per month were attracted and the entire mobilization system was literally bursting at the seams. But speaking of such an influx of human resources, the question arises as to what this mass will look like, how well it will be trained and equipped, provided and staffed. Quality of the resource. First of all, it is worth noting that the command of the Russian occupation forces will not aim to form professional units from the mobilized, and most of them will not undergo the required three-month basic training. I am more than sure that the average mobilized of the new wave will be in the DB zone within two weeks and their main role will be a meat plug at the front. And only 15-20% of all mobilized units will be formed on a semi-professional basis, with their subsequent introduction into Ukraine. That is, for the command of the ROV in the near future, it will become a priority to throw the positions of the Defense Forces of Ukraine in such a quantity of manpower as to compensate not so much for losses as for the lack of equipment at the front. And here, as they say, is the most interesting part. Standard equipment. The Russian military-industrial complex does not have time to fully meet the needs of the Russian army to receive equipment to compensate for losses and at the same time to fully equip units.

La Repubblica's red lines are too much... "Yellow" Another unnamed source, whom we should all trust, told another Western publication, La Repubblica, about some "red lines", if violated, NATO will enter the war between Russia and Ukraine. These "red lines" were either the involvement of the Belarusian army in the war on the Russian side, or Russia's attack on the Baltic countries, Poland or Moldova. And it seems to sound interesting, to some extent, optimistic, but on the other hand, absolutely meaningless information, at the level of "zilch". Well, first of all, the Belarusian army has not joined the Russian army in the war against Ukraine for the third year in a row, and it would be strange to see this tandem in action right now. Not at the beginning of the full-scale invasion, when the myth of the second army in the world excited the minds of world "experts", who boldly write out the timing of the fall of Kyiv in 3 days, in 96 hours, in a month, etc. Secondly... The real sensation was that in the event of an attack on the Baltic states and Poland, NATO would enter the war. No, really, it's an unexpected twist worthy of the deepest analytics from La Repubblica. I would never have thought that such a thing could happen. And finally, Moldova. The risks of a military invasion of Moldova are not as great as the risks of socio-political destabilization with the widespread use of hybrid methods. Especially on the eve of, during and after the presidential election. And if it is a hybrid coup, under the guise of civil protest, it will be interesting to see how the archaic and bureaucratic NATO will intervene in the situation in a country that is not a member of the alliance. In fact, appreciate the importance of these "red lines" from La Repubblica...

Another creation of the Russian Kulibins... In this case, in addition to piling up all sorts of rubbish on the top of the T-72 tank, the geniuses of the rembat bothered to install an anti-mine trawl. At first glance, this further increased the tank's survivability, because you never know, there was a TM-62 mine lying somewhere in the field... Nevertheless, the tank, which had lost its original appearance, was left with uncovered sides, which is the best thing for a professional ATGM operator. Although, a pile of boxes and chain-link is also not a panacea for tandem cumulative. The main thing is that it is there and the hands growing from the right place guide it. As for the rest, I repeat, no one has cancelled the set of countermeasures, it is bad that little attention has been paid to them, unlike individual components. Meanwhile, there will be more and more tanks-hangars, different and the most bizarre, every day... It takes a million mines.