Backcom.io Global

🔥🔥🔥 BOJ SET TO HIKE RATES — CARRY TRADE FACES RENEWED RISK

🇯🇵 The BoJ is expected to raise rates by 25 bps to 1.25% this week — the highest level in roughly 31 years. 🇬🇧 Meanwhile, the BoE is expected to hold rates at 3.75%, even though UK inflation remains above target.

⚡️ If the JPY strengthens quickly, positions built on borrowing cheap Yen to buy stocks, crypto, and other higher-yielding assets may be forced to unwind. The faster the BoJ hikes, the more closely markets will need to watch the risk of a carry trade unwind. @BackcomGlobal

🔥🔥🔥 TRUMP SET TO HOLD URGENT MEETING WITH GULF LEADERS ON IRAN 🇺🇸 President Donald Trump is expected to meet with Gulf leaders on Tuesday next week (Sep 22) on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly in New York. 👉 Key topics:

🖤 Discuss developments in the conflict with Iran 🖤 Coordinate positions between the U.S. and Gulf states Discuss strategy for the post-war period 🚨 This is not yet a direct U.S.–Iran negotiation, but it is a notable diplomatic signal as regional tensions remain high.

📈 Markets are gaining fresh hope for a diplomatic path out of the Iran tensions. @BackcomGlobal

🔥🔥🔥 TRUMP WANTS U.S. INTEREST RATES AT 1% JUST HOURS AFTER THE FED HIKED 🇺🇸 Just a few hours after the Fed raised rates by 25 bps to 3.75%–4.00%, President Trump immediately called for:

U.S. interest rates should be cut to 1% or lower — and they should come down quickly.

🇺🇸 The White House wants sharply lower interest rates, while the Fed is continuing to tighten monetary policy. @BackcomGlobal

💰 BTC HOLDS AROUND $76K AFTER THE FED — MARKET NOW AWAITS THE NEXT RATE HIKE 🟢 Bitcoin is holding around $76,000–$76,500 after the Fed raised interest rates by 25 bps. 👉 The reaction has been relatively calm because the hike had been almost fully priced in beforehand. 🦅 What investors are focused on now is no longer “Will the Fed hike?”, but rather: 🖤 How many additional rate hikes will the Fed deliver? 🖤 How long will rates remain elevated? 🖤 Will inflation cool enough for the Fed to stop tightening? 📈 The market is currently pricing in around a 90% chance that the Fed will hike at least one more time before year-end. This hike was already reflected in prices — BTC’s next move will depend much more on the Fed’s policy path from here. @BackcomGlbal

🏙 SUMMARY OF FED CHAIR KEVIN WARSH’S REMARKS 🔴 Main message: The Fed remains highly hawkish.

🖤 The U.S. economy is strengthening, the labor market is near full employment, and current financial conditions are not truly restrictive. 🖤 Inflation remains too high and has stayed elevated for too long → the Fed continues to prioritize bringing inflation back to 2%. 🖤 Warsh said the summer data has not provided enough evidence that inflation has clearly improved. 🖤 He continues to withhold his individual rate projections from the Dot Plot, arguing that the tool is not useful for his approach to policymaking. 🖤 When asked about President Trump’s reaction to the Fed’s rate hike, Warsh declined to comment and stressed that the Fed must “stay in our lane.”

The Fed does not yet see interest rates as choking the economy, while inflation remains elevated → the door to further rate hikes remains open. @BackcomGlobal

🔥🔥🔥 FED OFFICIALLY HIKES INTEREST RATES! 🇺🇸 The Fed raised rates by 25 bps, bringing the target range to 3.75%–4.00% — in line with market expectations. 🔴 This marks the first rate hike since July 2023, ending more than three years without an increase. 🔴 The Fed emphasized that inflation remains elevated and said the move is aimed at bringing inflation back toward the 2% target more quickly. The Fed has officially returned to a tightening cycle. @BackcomGlobal

🔥 89% OF ECONOMISTS EXPECT BOJ TO HIKE RATES TO 1.25% 🔴 89% of economists expect the Bank of Japan to raise its policy rate from 1% to 1.25% this Friday. 🖤 This would mark Japan’s highest policy rate in roughly 30 years. 🖤 If it happens, the Fed and BoJ would tighten policy back-to-back in the same week. 🇯🇵 Japan’s interest rates are returning to “normal” territory after three decades — Carry Trade and crypto will be hard-pressed to stay unaffected. @BackcomGlobal

IRAN WAR HAS COST THE PENTAGON $38.1 BILLION 🏦 The U.S. Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimates that the war with Iran has cost the Pentagon $38.1 billion as of August 1. 🖤 Each additional month of fighting could cost another $2–3 billion. 🖤 The rising cost comes ahead of the U.S. midterm elections. 🇺🇸 The longer the conflict drags on, the bigger the bill gets — not only through oil and inflation, but also through the defense budget. @BackcomGlobal

🔥🔥🔥18:00 UTC ON SEP 16: FED TO ANNOUNCE SEPTEMBER RATE DECISION ⭐ The Fed will announce its interest rate decision at 18:00 UTC on September 16. 🟣 The probability of a rate hike remains above 90%. 📈 Markets will also closely watch the economic projections and accompanying policy message. CLARITY just failed — now it’s the Fed’s turn. A volatile night looks hard to avoid. @BackcomGlobal

🔥🔥🔥 U.S. HOUSE REVIEWS NEW CRYPTO TAX BILL 🇺🇸 The U.S. House of Representatives is considering a new crypto tax package. 🖤 Miners and stakers would still be taxed as soon as they receive rewards, rather than being allowed to defer taxes until the assets are sold. 🖤 This remains the most controversial point in the draft. CLARITY just failed in the Senate, and now tax rules are tightening in the House — miners and stakers still face the reality that “receive tokens = pay taxes.” @BackcomGlobal

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🔥🔥🔥 WTI AT $105, 10Y YIELD AT 5% — IS A FED RATE HIKE ALMOST CERTAIN? 🖤 U.S. stocks are down. 🖤 WTI crude has surged to $105. 🖤 The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield has reached 5%. 🔴 The probability of a Fed rate hike has climbed to 94%. Hot oil + high yields = it becomes even harder for the Fed to “pause” — markets are already paying the price ahead of tonight’s meeting. @BackcomGlobal

🔥🔥🔥 BTC FALLS TO $75K AFTER CLARITY FAILS IN THE SENATE 🔴 The CLARITY Act failed to pass the Senate. 🖤 Bitcoin dropped to around $75,000. 🖤 Crypto-related stocks sank into the red. 📉 The market lost hopes for a clear regulatory framework for the industry anytime soon. 🪙 The door on CLARITY has closed ahead of the midterm elections — BTC is now having to absorb the regulatory setback even before the Fed meeting. @BackcomGlobal

JAPANESE YEN PARES GAINS AHEAD OF FED AND BOJ MEETINGS 🖤 The Japanese Yen has given back some of its earlier gains. 🖤 Markets are awaiting back-to-back interest rate decisions from the Fed and BoJ. 🖤 USD/JPY could see sharp volatility as the U.S.–Japan interest rate differential is reshaped. The Yen moved first — now it is pausing and waiting for the “two big players” to speak. @BackcomGlobal

FED RATE HIKE, CLARITY VOTE: IS BTC ABOUT TO GET PULLED IN BOTH DIRECTIONS? 💰 Bitcoin has just gone through a volatile week driven by inflation data. 🟡 Bigger turbulence may still be ahead. 👉 In the coming days, BTC will face two major catalysts at the same time: 🖤 Fed announces its interest rate decision and economic projections, reshaping liquidity expectations 🖤 CLARITY Act faces a Senate vote, a potentially crucial moment for the crypto industry A week packed with both monetary policy and regulation — either surprise could send BTC sharply in either direction. @BackcomGlobal

SAYLOR HOLDS CASH, TOM LEE HOLDS ETH 💰 Strategy once again made no BTC purchases or sales. 🖤 The company used around $140 million from its USD reserve fund to buy back STRC. 🔷 Bitmine accumulated another 27,180 ETH last week (around $68 million). 🖤 Bitmine is now only about 150,000 ETH away from its target of owning 5% of the total ETH supply. One is holding cash, the other is holding ETH — the two “treasury giants” are still moving in different directions. @BackcomGlobal

BRENT CRUDE BREAKS ABOVE $104 ON FRESH SUPPLY RISKS 🛢 Brent crude surged above $104 per barrel. 🖤 The rally is being driven by new threats to oil supply. 🖤 Ongoing tensions in the Middle East continue to keep the oil market on edge. Every new supply threat adds another push higher — $100 is no longer looking like a ceiling, but increasingly like a new psychological floor. @BackcomGlobal

FED RATE HIKE, CLARITY VOTE: IS BTC ABOUT TO GET PULLED IN BOTH DIRECTIONS? 💰 Bitcoin has just gone through a volatile week driven by inflation data. 🟡 Bigger turbulence may still be ahead. 👉 In the coming days, BTC will face two major catalysts at the same time: 🖤 Fed announces its interest rate decision and economic projections, reshaping liquidity expectations 🖤 CLARITY Act faces a Senate vote, a potentially crucial moment for the crypto industry A week packed with both monetary policy and regulation — either surprise could send BTC sharply in either direction. @BackcomGlobal

TRUMP: “IRAN WANTS A DEAL” — IRAN: “WHO SAID THAT?” 🏙 President Trump said Iran wants to reach an agreement soon. 🇺🇸 The U.S. is considering the possibility of joining negotiations. 🇮🇷 Iran continues to reject that claim. One side says “they want a deal,” the other says “no” — Hormuz and oil prices remain caught between the two conflicting statements. @BackcomGlobal

🗓 THIS WEEK’S EVENT CALENDAR 🖤 15 Sep: The CLARITY Act faces a key vote in the U.S. Senate 🖤 16 Sep, 18:00 UTC: The Fed announces its September interest rate decision - CME currently shows around an 86% probability of a rate hike 🖤 17 Sep, 11:00 UTC: The BoE (UK) is expected to hold rates unchanged 🖤 18 Sep, 03:00 UTC: The BoJ (Japan) is expected to raise rates by 0.25% A week of “3 central banks + 1 crypto bill” — volatility will be hard to avoid. @BackcomGlobal