IT Tech Crypto
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Bitcoin, on-chain analysis, alerts, sentiment, and technical analysis. 🧠 Free of charge. ✅ 🚨 Opinions are my own and do not constitute financial advice.
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+324 години
+47 днів
+630 день
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2 514
$BTC rallied 3K. Spot CVD: +69M. Perp CVD: +1.99B. One of these is doing real work. The other is watching.
Futures led the entire move from 78K to 81K. Spot volume didn't confirm. ⤵️
CVD:
- Spot: +69.64M - passive
- Perp: +1.99B - aggressive, leverage-driven
Funding Rate: -0.0010% (negative - shorts paying longs)
Coinbase Premium: 0.00% - US buyers absent
Order Book Depth:
- Spot: -1.0K ask-side
- Perp: -4.9K ask-side dominant
Negative funding with perp CVD this size means longs are piling in while shorts technically get paid. That's an unstable setup. Ask-side depth on perps at -4.9K adds resistance overhead.
⚠️ No spot confirmation. No US demand. Futures-only rally at 81K is borrowed strength - not built.
Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2051663001569382857
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2 514
Long weekend done.
Mine started rough - highway pile-up. Nobody seriously hurt, but neck and back pain, car damaged, registration confiscated.
6 hours of procedures. Got to our destination at 4am.
Besides that - great weekend. Sun, Baltic, good memories. ☀️
Health is what matters. Everything else can be replaced.
How was your long weekend?
Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2051355951706612170
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2 514
No newsletter today - long weekend, taking a break.
Premium subscribers automatically get a 1-week extension.
See you next week. 🙏
Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2050922863025414198
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2 514
Security in crypto isn't a feature. It's a baseline.
Most traders never look back after signing up. What actually matters:
• Proof of Reserves - does your exchange publicly hold your funds?
• Custody - who controls your assets
• Monitoring - how fast they catch problems
• Support - hours matter in a crisis, not "5 business days."
Do this now:
• Enable 2FA + anti-phishing code
• Check if your exchange publishes PoR
• Review login history
Fees compound. 0.1% per trade across hundreds of positions adds up.
@MEXC:
• Spot: 0% maker / 0.05% taker
• Futures: 0% maker / 0.02% taker
• MX holders: another 50% off
• Regular 0-fee promos
vs.
Binance: 0.1% spot
Bybit: 0.1% spot
OKX: 0.08% spot
100+ trades/month on 10K positions? You save ~$300/month vs Binance on futures alone. Maker side: MEXC is 0%, everywhere else charges.
Not your keys, not your crypto. Spot stays on hardware. Exchange balances for active trading only. ⚠️
#ad
Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2049821644156441045
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2 514
Perps faded the entire rally from 74.9K to 78K. Spot bought every dip. This ends badly for one side.
CVD:
- Spot: +134.56M - rising, net buying off the 74.9K low
- Perp: -385.09M - deep negative, selling into every bounce
Funding Rate: +0.0005% - longs paying shorts, mild crowding, nothing extreme
Order Book Depth:
- Spot delta: +339 - bid-side dominant
- Perp delta: +675 - bids absorbing, but perp CVD keeps fading
Price swept 74.9K, bounced to 78K, now holding 76.2K. Spot accumulated throughout the whole move. Perps sold every peak.
When spot CVD climbs, and perp CVD dives, that's not distribution - that's a squeeze setup building. Spot longs above 76K are the match. Perp shorts are the fuel.
Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2049789704732827904
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2 514
78K short liq cluster just got swept. Longs are sitting ducks for the Fed decision.
✅ Shorts got liquidated
Will longs get hunted next during the Fed decision and Powell's presser today?
Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2049493142119035206
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2 514
Futures-led bounce into a Fed day. What could go wrong? ⚠️
$BTC spot demand still negative - 30-day sum at -38K BTC as of Apr 27.
- Spot demand (30d sum): -38K BTC - improving from Feb through (-250K) but still in the red
- Futures demand (30d sum): +185K BTC - carrying the entire recovery
- Total demand: +147K BTC - entirely futures-driven, zero spot contribution
Recovery since the Feb 2026 low (60K) has been 100% perp-led. Spot has not confirmed a single week of positive demand since January.
Futures flipping positive without spot is the same setup that preceded the Nov-Jan distribution. Traders are back. Buyers aren't.
Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2049364823205658877
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2 514
⚠️ Biggest short liq cluster in weeks sits at 77.4K. Fed decides tomorrow. Timing couldn't be worse.
🔴 Short liqs: 77.4K - single dominant spike, highest bar on the map
🟢 Long liqs: 76.3K -> 75K - stacked across Binance, Bybit, OKX, Hyperliquid
Cumulative short liqs: ~1.8K, curve accelerating above 77K
Cumulative long liqs: heavy left of price, dense below 75K
Fed rate decision + Powell presser tomorrow. One session, two catalysts.
Both clusters are within intraday range. Price can sweep longs, then rip through shorts - or flip the sequence.
⚠️ No clean directional setup. Both sides get hunted before this resolves.
Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2049055072890613928
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2 514
257M PLN ($71M) raised during the 9-day livestream.
Single person in his own small 1-room apartment - respect. 🫶
2 514
Big money bought Bitcoin at $75K this week.
By Sunday, they were already pulling back at $78K.
That's not bearish. That's just how informed players operate in a range - buy the dip, reduce at resistance.
The question is what happens next time price tests $76K.
Full breakdown in this week's report:
Link in the comments ⤵️
Read on X: https://x.com/IT_Tech_PL/status/2048432188384039079
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