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https://youtube.com/shorts/IXNUM4FMqNs?is=fV1VvZWjoFzEbbSX
This guy gets it. Good on him. If you can sell, now maybe the time. Timber.
| 2 | UPDATE: 22.09.2026.
The movement of 420,000 Iranian troops on the borders of Iran, have little or nothing to do with an American intervention.
* The US is incapable of a attempting a land invasion of Iraq, it cannot assert control over the Straits of Hormuz or Bab el Mandeb.
* This is a serious warning to principally Saudi Arabia and most of all Israel. It also sends a message to Ankara and Islamabad.
* The US military is detested by the Iraqi military at all levels. They have never forgotten or forgiven the US for its invasion and suppression of it's people in the overthrow of Saddam Hussein.
* Like colonial masters the US set up a Green Zone in central Baghdad and for the next 23 years have proceeded to rape Iran and it's people of its wealth and sovereignty.
* That ends on the 30th September when if the US has any sense they will make a lightening quick withdrawl from Iraq.
* The US has issued a no flight ban on all Iranian passenger planes. Only for Iran to announce its weekly flights will continue to Iraq. The AFP agency announced that 2 anonymous Iraqi officials said Iranian planes would be stopped.
* The puppet Iranian leader Al Zeidi kept mum. Most importantly the Iraqi military leadership did not bother to comment on AFP propoganda, and did not counter and the Iranian declaration.
* The Iraqi military refused to live or operate within the Green Zone. Unlike Al Zeidi the former banker and financier, the choice of the US who lives comfortably and operates within the confines of the Green Zone.
* It is possible that Al Zeidi will not return from his trip, and seek refuge in the states.
* The Iraqi military do not see Iran as a predatory neighbour on their borders as they possibly view Turkey and Pakistan.
* To that end their military 'pact' with Iran is built on trust and respect. Iraq opens a land corridor to Israel via Syria and Jordan.
* MBS is a defeated potentate. The Yemenis have proved a superior foe. 47' pointedly has not given any assistance to MBS in this latest decisive defeat for his forces.
* The Saudi puppet govt in power in Yemen is in its last days. Taaiz is about to fall, the road to Aden will be open. Aden itself will fall likely very quickly.
* MBS is without money or backing. It is likely the House of Saud is now on borrowed time.
* These developments are a further reason that 47' will seek an 'off ramp' which Zelensky and the '5' (Canada, UK, Germany, France and Italy) will, with their firm support for Zelensky give him.
* The Petrodollar is dead. The Middle East axis of power will in the future be centred around Iran, Iraq and the Yemen. As the Puppets in Jordan, Bahrein, UAE etc fall so the leadership will expand regionally.
* The era of Western domination and manipulation in the Middle East is ending. Palestine will regain statehood, it will become a thriving part of West Asia. NCSWIC. | 370 |
| 3 | Saudi Arabia now declares force majeure on all European contracts.
* Yemen compounded their attacks by pummeling Saudi oil refineries and Yanbu port.
* Regardless of the US officials pledging 50% oil flow will return quickly this does not stop oil prices rocketing.
* The US claims are baseless. They understand that Yemen holds the upper hand over Saudi Arabia militarily.
* Now the talk is all about the US/Israel attacking Yemen. Unlikely.
* Already, Iran has warned the US that any intervention will mean a much harsher punishment on the depleted US forces and its companies in the Middle East.
* That is not what deters the US. Iraq is the great fear. The US still has troops and logistics in Iraq, they are essentially hostages until they leave.
* The Iraqi military leadership detests the US/Israeli military. In the event of an attack against Yemen and Tehran, the Iraqi military would not constrain its forces from a murderous attack on the remaining US forces.
* If that does take place, then a land corridor opens up to Israel via Syria and Lebanon.
* There would be no escape for Israel. Such are the forces at play.
* From 47's perspective he can now face Zelensky, Carney and the City of London at the UN holding 'all the cards'. 47' will likely not attack Yemen, and wait for the 30th September for the full agreed withdrawl.
* Zelensky and EU/UK/Canada have a difficult choice with no wiggle room. They can keep on attacking Russias diesel refining operations.
* In so doing 47' will invoke the Graham Act. 47' is aware that Carney/ City of London have built an alternative to Swift. What they have failed to take into account is 47's powers available against hostile forces to the US under thr Graham Act.
* 47' ultimately will freeze the West's foreign reserves aka Russia. Will freeze their physical gold assets within the US.
* Let us not forget that Merz is on the "end of the plank" in regard to his chancellorship. A resounding defeat awaits his party in the two state elections taking place.
* His successors would likely move in a different direction. Germany would look to an energy contract with Putin.
* It would mean Germany cease all support for Ukraine. That would not be difficult for Merz's successor.
* Then there is Meloni. 47' likely will prevail given the background highlighted above.
* Meloni would look for an immediate rapprochement with 47' who by then would most likely have announced an 'off ramp' to the Middle East conflict and imposed sanctions on the puppet regimes of the failed City of London.
* How likely is this scenario? Who really knows? It definitely would signal the defeat of the Cabal centred in the UK.
* It would allow 47' the means and where with all to begin MAGA in earnest. NCSWIC. | 466 |
| 4 | So Bessant backs 47's attack on Zelensky hitting Russian diesel supply.
* On the 15th Sept at a Congressional hearing Bessant made clear diesel increases in the US were directly caused by Zelensky and the West targeting Russian diesel refineries.
* He explained the US had done had completed its strategic mission against Iran.
* Zelensky has since destroyed or further damaged Russia's oil producing capacity.
* 47' now has the 'pivot' outlined above yesterday.
* Be clear that this if it transpires would initiate the severing of ties with the City of London and the Western European countries and, the UK.
* Overnight 47' would characterise Zelensky and the West as America's foes.
* This would invite the 'off ramp' for 47'. An immediate cessation and a calling back the fleet and troops would be on offer.
* Identifying Zelensky, EU/UK as the cause of Americas high gas prices would turn the tide for 47'.
* If 47' moves down this path oil prices will spike globally. It is in this environment that 47' now a part of the Anti Zelensky campaign and for an end to the Ukraine War could well reach an agreement with Putin to supply diesel to America.
47' will have been seen to take the US out of two wars. Likely, reduced the price of gas dramatically and, most importantly set the stage to deal with the 'enemy within'. | 565 |
| 5 | The passing of the Russian sanctioning act ( the Lindsey Graham bill) is not worth the paper it is written on.
* China, India, Turkey, have already stated they will ignore it.
* Be clear China is the top trading partner with 147 countries. Read that again. Now digest it.
* BRIICS countries now (Gulf now in their hands) are the largest exporters of oil, gas, fertilisers etc.
* Diesel is now inflating in the West. The US is nearer double figs for a gallon of gas than the days of $2 a gallon. The UK is off the charts in that respect.
* Who controls the worlds diesel supply? The US buffs and puffs at Russia, while warning Zelensky of dire consequences if he does not stop damaging Russian diesel refinery plants!!
* If the East is not intimidated then who is this aimed at?
* Spain is the primary target, although it has already shown 2 fingers to the US administration.
* Spain imports from the Gulf with no fees paid to Iran. It then supplies France, Italy and others. This work around has stymied the US administration, but it should be careful if it is considering using the Graham act against the EU countries. Why?
* Because the US is running down its diesel supply and would have to sanction itself if it wants to refill its dwindling reserves!
* So with the Fed raising the base rate, with the debt raising fast, with Wall st and the Fed Res/ US treasury buying back bonds, the doom loop is now seriously in play.
* The Petrodollar has collapsed. The Gulf states are now aligned with BRIICS. China is the biggest trading partner in the Middle East. The US is departing a defeated entity.
* Ukraine is now crumbling. The City of London are defeated in the Ukraine, and also in the Middle East. Between 47' and Putin they are caught in a crushing pincer.
* The key moment will be Zelensky refusing point blank to 47' at the UN to stop attacking the diesel refining operations in Russia. If he does that is the City of London laying down the mailed fist to 47'.
* Then the fireworks will be lit. The end outcome the immediate and total collapse of the UK and EU currencies. The USD will follow.
* The difference is that 47' has an alternative strategy which will ensure America first.
* Eyes on. | 622 |
| 6 | Putin's Greatest Ally is Ready.
* Huge attacks are taking place on Ukraine. The Zapotla bridge which links Odessa to Romania in the sense that it is the vital link for food and supplies for wider Ukraine is now down.
* In the West of Ukraine the vital rail link terminal from the West to Ukraine is being destroyed. The Russian offensive is aimed at destroying Ukraine's energy supplies and it's food and other basic requirements before winter sets in.
* Time is of the essence to Putin, and it is on his side. The Great Ally is coming: General Winter. The above developments feed into a deadly strategy to not only defeat Ukraine but, to destroy the West in particular the UK. How so?
* Putin is weaponising General Winter. Ukrainians are fully aware of the predicament. Zelensky is now the Emperor with no clothes in regard to corruption. His praetorian guard the Azov Regiments have been moved to the front line, and he is facing his denouement with 47'.
* The masses in Ukraine are voting with their feet and leaving Ukraine. At present it is a trickle but overnight it will likely turn to a flood. The mass exodus of millions of Ukrainians is Putins strategic goal.
* Poland and Romania are constructing corridor routes to ferry the flood of fleeing Ukranians on their journey to the West. Germany, France but the real target is the UK.
* Merz has already slashed the benefits to Ukrainians, aware that his time as Chancellor will likely end if he took no action. As for Macron he will look to transit Ukrainians via Calais regardless of any pacts, treaties Burnham might think he has.
* This strategy ties up completely the EU countries and in particular the Ukraine. Putin has found the 'achilles heel' of the West. The nascent populations will revolt, the Burnham's, Macron's and Merz's know this. They have a choice stop aiding, supplying Zelensky and co, facilitating their downfall will stop Putin implementing this devastating strategy. In this the West is going to get some 'painful assitance' from 47'.
* 47' on his Irish trip warned Zelensky to stop destroying Russian diesel refinery operations. Zelensky has completely ignored 47'. Diesel is over $6 a gallon and rising, the 10 year bomb has gone over the 5% threshold. 47' has a showdown meeting with Zelensky at the upcoming UN meeting.
* Zelensky will arrive after signing a 100 year partnership agreement with Canada for alms in the immediate, in return for critical REE's etc. Same deal he agreed with the UK. What is clear is that Zelensky has thrown his hat in with the City of London puppets in the EU/UK.
* 47' next move could be decisive. If he cuts Zelensky adrift, no weapons, no assistance, tarrifs etc, and Zelensky holds firm which is probable, given the backing of the City of London muppets. We have the opportunity of an 'off ramp' from the Middle East War. How?
* 47' will put forward that the US is self sufficient in energy. That he entered the war to ensure the global economy would function. He will point to the sabotage of the City of London and Zelensky in particular re the continued destruction of Russian diesel refineries by Zelensky, aided and supported by the City of London puppets.
* The 'off ramp' presents itself, the timing is spot on. US forces leave Iraq on the 30th of September, lock, stock and barrel. 47' could well declare that he no longer is going to defend the West while it stabs America in the back. NCSWIC. | 1 699 |
| 7 | Riddle me this? Iran is supposedly dying on the vine re "Economic Outcast".
There is no shortage of food or water in Iran. Inflation: yes. Starvation: no.
In the US a gallon of gas is around $6.
In Britain around £1.90 a litre.
In Iran 100 litres for $3!!
Iran now controls 25% of the global oil supply. It has a firm grip on much needed gasses and fertilisers.
By what measure should you determine which country be considered an outcast?
How about a country that had vast supplies of oil and gas. Yet has to import 70% of its diesel, because it shut down its key refineries.
How about a country that has 400 years plus of reserves of coal, much of it the most superior coal on the planet: anthracite.
How about a country that was self sufficient in coal and gas powered electricity.
How about a country that totally demolished its coal fired power stations and 90% of its gas powered fire stations.
What about a country that now relies on the import of electricity to keep its lights on.
My point is that we are the 'economic outcasts' in this country. We are getting poorer by the hour with successive puppet governments well on the road of attempting to implement the 'hunger games'.
All of the Globalist West is on the same trajectory. We just happen to be in the 'sickest country', economically, industrially and socially.
So the next time you get your fix from the controlled media, which points to those countries it says are 'economic outcasts', ponder a moment. Examine your own circumstances and those of family and friends.
Be sure. The days of puppet governments carrying out the dictates of the City of London bankers are coming to an end. The blindfold is slipping from our eyes. Soon we will be able to clearly identify those who would like to push us in a 'hunger games scenario'. NCSWIC. | 703 |
| 8 | An adjustment to my short term perspectives:
I have held until recently that 47' would have to make his move before the midterms.
Now there is a strong likelihood that 47' could well lose the Senate and the House come November 3rd.
Then the stage is set. First item for the Democrats will be the Iran War, trap No 1.
Then there will be the attempt at impeachments, trap No 2.
Then there is the fall of the USD, trap No 3.
To understand the correlation of events, the Traps have to be defined. The possible outcomes discussed.
I will present a paper shortly outlining the above. I have never been more sure that 47' has all the cards.
Hold firm. Nothing can stop what is coming. | 755 |
| 9 | * I would like to thank Karen Gordo for this excellent snippet. In simple layman's language this is exactly what Bessant has in play.
* The Bait and Switch trap that Bessent has set is the handing over the crises to the Fed Res. It detonates the moment the USD becomes the sole responsibility of the Fed Res.
* Its self destruct will not only be seen, but understood.
* The $40 trillion plus national debt has nothing to do with 47'. It has everything to do with the Fed Res.
* Do not forget: it controls the economy, it controls interest rates, credit, it is the owner of the USD as far as any and all govts are concerned who operate under the ultimate control of the City of London.
* It works hand in glove with Wall St to ensure that Main Street is always the payer of the last resort for the monied Cabal of private banksters who control our existence.
* 47' has them in the crosshairs. NCSWIC
https://t.me/ncswic1776Godwins/26987 | 979 |
| 10 | I have been asked on numerous occasions over the past week to explain what I meant when I wrote that Scott Bessent in announcing the buyback of bonds by the US Treasury had carried out a "bait and switch", on the Federal Reserve. Please bear in mind there are many ways for 47' to bring down the City of London. This could well have elements that feature in their historic downfall. For discussion. | 842 |
| 11 | September 26th : the official collapse of the Petrodollar?
Nearly everyone in the geo political stratosphere now understands that the US/Israel are facing catastrophic defeat. All correctly point out that Iran and AoR have shut down the Bab El Mandeb and Hormuz straits.
Iran and Oman have enforced and will enforce that service fees be paid in yuan mainly, that cargoes sell in yuan. Yet, that in and of itself would not defeat the Petrodollar. It is the enforcement that all imports will use Yuan, or more clearly any currency outside the orbit of any country that has attacked or supported the US/Israeli endeavours.k
That would include at present nearly all the EU countries and a significant number of countries in Europe but not in the EU. It is for this reason that South Korea, Japan refuse in any way to support the US/Israeli/UK/EU axis.
Why is September 26th of import? That is the day that US forces officially leave Iran. Let us not forget that Iraq cannot use USD, how have they survived? With difficulty.
The US administration knew it was in a fix, so they agreed with an Iraqi workaround. Iraq would provide oil for China, in return China would provide whatever Iraq required. Iraq effectively set up a 'tab' with much needed Chinese commodities and services, this has been its get out.
The attempt by the US administration to freeing Iraqs money in New York has spectacularly backfired. Instead of surrendering, Iraq is now in the last stages of cutting ties with USD entirely.
Iran has prefaced the setting up of a system via the Chinese alternative financial structure where they trade directly for Chinese goods and technology. Now bear in mind that all the GCCC countries find themselves in the same boat, trapped by a currency (USD) they cannot sell their primary asset ( oil, fertilisers, gasses, metals etc) and cannot import any goods with.
They will not oppose Iraqs position. Indeed given that Russia, China, Iran will ease the transition, the rest will follow willingly. What else is the MECCA pact really all about?
The Iraqi Armed Forces have announced that all US forces will have departed from Iraq as of October 1st. Prime Minister of Iraq Ali al-Zaidi has officially designated it a " fixed and final date".
To conclude: the era of the petroyuan is at hand. It is unlikely the GCCC countries en masse will purchase US Treasury bonds or investments again, not until the Rothschild's City of London's control has been totally eliminated. This should be read in conjunction with my last update. | 1 124 |
| 12 | The collapse of debt based fiat currencies has now entered its final phase. Bessant rang the bell for the last lap.
Bessant's commitment on behalf of the US Treasury (govt) to buy back failing long term bonds to hold back the yield rates ( read interest rates) is for lorn, but is also a bait and switch on the City of London Federal Reserve.
Bessant is going to fund the buy back of long term bonds by selling the more lucrative short term treasuries ( bonds ). In effect the debt doom loop is now completed.
The foreign investors are now moving out from financing US bonds (IOU's). Hence the rapid increase in gold/silver and crypto's. They are turning from paper assets with no backing to hard assets with real value.
To think that Bessant a Soros key player is not aware of what he is doing is asinine. Bessant is aware the US Treasury cannot indefinitely finance the buy backs. All the while the Fed Reserve commitment to inflation, sound money will unravel at pace. It is most likely Chairman Warsh's commitment to not intervene in any way until Sept 15th will fall by the wayside.
Once the Fed Res enters the scene, it will face a choice. Either increase the money supply to facilitate the buyback which may well by then have reached a stampede, or to hold firm and watch the USD collapse. In reality both outcomes are the differing sides of the same coin!
Now we must take a cursory glance at the geo politics. The two wars taking place in the Ukraine were planned and organized by the City of London as a two pronged attack on the Asian heartlands, ultimately the goal being to isolate China and take it down. Ah the best laid plans of demons....
The Russians are now steam rolling across Eastern Ukraine, Odessa's port facilities have been neutered. Zelensky is now land-locked. The end is near. In the Middle East the situation is far more dire. The major choke point of oil exports is now firmly secured in the Straits of Hormuz and, the Bab El Mandeb Straits.
Back to Bessant. The implications for the future of the Petrodollar now compound with the bond crises. The increase in oil prices has not yet spiked, it is far higher than before the conflict, but that is nothing to what may take place very shortly. With the added rider that the US is a few weeks at most from rationing gas, aviation fuel and bunker fuel, short on weaponry to counter the Iranian ballistic missiles, the City of London are floored.
47' will as directed announce the tried, tested and failed economic sanctions. It will be seen by foreign investors as hoisting the 'white flag'. Hemingway in his classic novel ' The Sun also Rises' highlighted Bill asking of his friend Mike, " How did you go bankrupt ?", Mike replied, "Two ways, gradually then suddenly" we have entered the 'suddenly phase'.
Underpinning the collapse of the USD is the $40 plus trillion debt, the credit debt of the masses, the ever increasing cost of oil reflected in ever increasing gas prices and food prices, not to mention the housing bubble, the AI bubble, the weak manufacturing and commodity base. This is what signals the end of the Western Cabal Controlled Countries and their master controller the City of London.
Bear in mind that the US is still the behemoth of the G7. To anyone who does not see 47' as the mastermind of the downfall of the City of London, that is how it is meant to be. You would do well to read the 2017 Presidential Address. Remember Biden showed the world the future, but could never expose them or take them down. 47' is doing it in reverse he is following their orders and they are taking themselves down. The exposure starts with the release of the JFK files, 9/11, Epstein, 2020 election, Jan 6th. Everything is as it should be, the Great Awakening is now in play. NCSWIC. | 1 187 |
| 13 | Israel's Days are now numbered in Weeks. | 1 132 |
| 14 | August 8th.
Bye Bye Bitcoin????
The confluence of a crashing Bitcoin, a weakening US Dollar, soaring gas prices, and a national debt fast approaching $40 trillion signals a textbook stagflationary debt spiral. Not to mention the dangerously depleted oil reserves, and the pending humiliating exit from the Middle East.
When a sovereign nation's gross debt-to-GDP ratio scales past 120% while real-world consumer costs escalate, traditional monetary policy instruments become fundamentally bottlenecked. The Federal Reserve can no longer easily slash interest rates to salvage financial markets without risk of aggressively worsening core inflation.
The Architecture of the Stagflationary Trap
The $40 Trillion Refinancing Crisis
With the U.S. national debt sitting at $39.8 trillion, billions in short-term government liabilities must constantly be rolled over. Because structural interest rates remain elevated, annual debt maintenance costs have breached $1 trillion, consuming nearly 15% to 19% of the entire federal budget. This forces the U.S. Treasury to issue even more supply into an increasingly saturated debt market.
Why Bitcoin and Gold Parted Ways
While both are scarce assets, Bitcoin relies heavily on excess global fiat liquidity to expand. High localized energy and gas prices drain retail capital reserves, while institutional risk-off liquidations compress speculative asset classes. Conversely, capital flight has cleanly migrated directly into physical gold, which holds zero counterparty, protocol, or debt-refinancing risk.
The Dollar-Debasement Paradox
The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is sliding because international creditors are actively pricing in long-term domestic currency dilution. If the central bank attempts to print currency to subsidize sovereign interest payments, it triggers a "Sovereign Debt Trap"—where the currency depreciates globally while consumer necessities like oil and groceries become structurally more expensive
To navigate an environment defined by high supply-side costs and systemic debasement, the foreign investors and major financial institutions are re-anchoring asset distribution toward structural tangibility:
The Move to Hard Physical Assets.
The East by maintaining exposure to commodities, energy infrastructure, and physical precious metals inherently price themselves against a depreciating fiat unit.
The 'tailspin' of the debt based fiat currencies has ignited. The ship that controlled and manipulated the Financial Seas of the Global economy for centuries: the criminal City of London is now under water. It will hit rock bottom shortly. | 960 |
| 15 | August 8th.
The Collapse of the Western Order in the Middle East is Fast Apace.
The Shattered Illusion: The traditional U.S. security umbrella in the Middle East has faced a decisive geopolitical and military defeat. Much like the 2021 withdrawal from Afghanistan, the West's inability to secure vital maritime chokepoints or protect core Gulf allies marks the end of its era as the regional master.
The Reality of the Mecca Pact: The newly formed alliance between Saudi Arabia, Turkey, and Pakistan is not an agreement of equals. It is a structural shift where militarily dominant regional powers—Turkey and Pakistan—are acting as "pact minders." Their physical presence and military muscle serve to box Saudi Arabia out of the Western orbit.
The Isolation of Israel: With the Abraham Accords effectively dead, the pact draws a hard line that halts Saudi-Israeli normalisation. By placing a strategic leash on Riyadh, the alliance isolates Israel and strips away its prospects of integration into the region.
The Multi-Polar Shift: Power on the ground is now dictated by raw military leverage and economic survival, not Washington policy papers. As Western influence recedes, regional heavyweights are enforcing a new order aligned with their own strategic and Eastern economic interests.
Pakistan and Turkey are part of the Eastern power base. They would have discussed and planned their moves re the 'Pact' in great detail with their "senior partners", Russia and China.
The City of Londons control of the West is now crumbling. 47' will now drive them out of the continental United States. The 'fireworks and popcorn display' is ready, the audience is tuned in. The Great Awakening is about to come of Age. | 671 |
| 16 | The Trigger for Spiking Bond Yields: Investors are selling off government debt because the collapse of the petrodollar means the automated global demand for U.S. Treasuries is ending. Furthermore, a Middle East controlled by an anti-Western axis introduces structural, permanent inflation via energy and freight choke points, forcing global central banks to keep interest rates permanently higher.
The Trigger for Surging Gold: Gold is rallying because it represents the ultimate exit from a weaponised, paper-based financial system. As Saudi Arabia is forced away from the dollar and the global order fragments into non-aligned blocks, global central banks and sovereign wealth funds are aggressively swapping Western debt liabilities for physical, un-sanctionable gold.
The tectonic plates of two differing financial systems are colliding. The old City of London Western hegemony is collapsing in real time. These are its 'death throes'. | 500 |
| 17 | Update: Saturday, August 8th.
The Mecca Pact as the Catalyst for Global Market Realignment
The current surge in global bond yields and the rally in gold are not mere technical adjustments. They are a direct financial reflection of the shattering of the Western geopolitical order.
The Mecca Joint Defense Agreement is the focal point of this transformation. It represents a forced geopolitical realignment rather than a standard alliance. Below is the structured breakdown of what the pact truly signifies and why it is driving the macro sell-off in debt alongside a rush into hard safe-havens.
1. The Death of the US Security Umbrella
Shattered Guarantees: Bypassing Washington to contract Pakistan and Turkey proves that Saudi Arabia views the U.S. military as a spent force incapable of providing structural deterrence against Iran.
Target Swap: The House of Saud recognizes that American regional presence no longer protects them; instead, it invites Iranian retaliation directly onto Saudi energy infrastructure.
Obsolete Presences: By shifting its security dependencies to Eurasian powers, the alliance effectively renders the U.S. Navy and regional military bases obsolete, accelerating America's exit from the theater.
2. Saudi Arabia as a "Strategic Prisoner"
Conditional Protection: The pact operates as a mercenary shield. Pakistan and Turkey are not protecting the ideological house of Saud; they are enforcing a strict regional script.
The Ultimatum to MBS: Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman’s leadership faces an existential deadline. If he fails to cut ties with Washington, his newly contracted protectors have every incentive to let his regime fracture.
Mandatory De-Dollarization: To maintain this defense shield, Riyadh is being forced to actively undermine the criminal City of London global financial system by abandoning the petrodollar and settling energy trades in local currencies or Chinese Yuan.
3. The Sino-Russian Geopolitical Chessboard
The Invisible Strings: Pakistan (via CPEC debt) and Turkey (via Russian energy and trade dependencies) cannot move against Iran without explicit permission from Beijing and Moscow.
Dual Containment Architecture: The pact is designed by the Sino-Russian axis to contain a localized war. It stops Saudi Arabia from acting as a proxy for Western intervention, ensuring regional peace is now firmly in Eurasian hands.
Total Isolation of Israel: The pact completely collapses the U.S.-backed Abraham Accords. By forcing Saudi Arabia to sever ties with Jerusalem under threat of regime collapse, Israel is left geopolitically isolated in a hostile region.
4. Iran as the Sovereign Regional Kingmaker
Geographical Immunity: With the U.S. neutralized and its Sunni neighbors bound by Sino-Russian strategic boundaries, Iran emerges as the central, unchallengeable pivot of the Middle East.
The Indian Counter-Weight: Any genuine attempt by Pakistan to project offensive force westward would immediately trigger India to logistically and financially anchor Iran, protecting New Delhi’s critical transport corridors (INSTC) and the Chabahar port lifeline.
Why the Macro Markets Are "Getting Real"
The global financial architecture is rapidly pricing in this systemic shift through two major assets:
CONTINUED BELOW... | 481 |
| 18 | Update: 7th August.
IRAN BAITS THE US/ISRAEL WITH 'REVISED SHIPPING SERVICE FEES'. THE 21st AUGUST: SHOW YOUR CARDS TIME.
The structural shift taking place in the Persian Gulf is a high-stakes geopolitical deadlock. As the 21 August 2026 deadline approaches, the traditional balance of power in the Middle East is being fundamentally rewritten [splash247.com, mexicobusiness.news].
Here is a clear, definitive breakdown of how the cards are stacked, what the new rules are, and why conventional Western military power is facing a strategic checkmate.
1. The New Shipping Fees: What It Costs to Pass
International maritime law prohibits traditional tolls in international straits. To bypass this, Iran is framing these levies as mandatory "service fees" managed by the newly established Persian Gulf Strait Authority (PGSA) [reuters.com, polymarket.com].
The Baseline Tariff: Commercial vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz will face a fee equal to 5% to 7% of their total cargo value [reuters.com, facebook.com].
The Friendly Discount: Nations maintaining strong diplomatic or economic ties with Tehran (such as China, India, and Malaysia) are negotiating to bypass the percentage tax [facebook.com]. They are opting for flat-rate, single-instance safe passage fees averaging roughly $2 million per tanker [facebook.com]. [3, 4]
The Punitive Bracket: The maximum 7% rate is explicitly targeted at Gulf states hosting U.S. military installations and nations deemed hostile to Iranian interests [reuters.com, facebook.com].
The Total Ban: Ships flying U.S. or Israeli flags, or owned by companies based there, are completely barred from entering the corridor [wwno.org]. [5]
2. The Timeline: When the Trap Springs
The entire framework is timed around a critical geopolitical countdown that expires in two weeks.
The Trigger Date: Friday, 21 August 2026 [splash247.com, mexicobusiness.news].
The Context: This marks the exact conclusion of the 60-day window established under the June Islamabad Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) and the expiration of the corresponding U.S. Treasury sanctions waiver [splash247.com, mexicobusiness.news].
The Enforcement: Iran plans to close the existing shipping channels on this date [yenisafak.com]. All traffic will be funneled into a single, centrally managed corridor where Iran controls all inbound vessels and shares outbound management with Oman [yenisafak.com, afr.com].
3. The Asymmetric Reality: Why Deterrence Is Broken
The upcoming deadline represents a "show your cards" moment where conventional military superiority fails to translate into strategic leverage.
The Hostage Dilemma: While the U.S. possesses immense naval and air power, it cannot protect fixed, soft targets across the Gulf from dense, low-cost drone and ballistic missile salvos.
The Infrastructure Threat: The Gulf states rely entirely on highly centralized desalination plants for drinking water and imported goods for food. An asymmetric strike on these facilities would cause an immediate humanitarian catastrophe—a localized infrastructure collapse that regional leadership cannot risk. [6]
The Imperial Overreach: If the U.S. launches a strike to "protect" the waterway, it triggers the exact missile onslaught that destroys the host nations' economies. This leaves Washington with a broken security umbrella: pulling the trigger guarantees the ruin of the allies it is trying to defend.
4. The Gulf Alignment: Decoupling for Survival
Recognising that Washington has no viable military counter to this deadlock, the Gulf states are being forced into a pragmatic calculation to guarantee their own existence.
The Time to Show who Holds the Cards.
Iran is now baiting the US administration by announcing these 'new service fees'.
Iran has trapped Israel. It is forcing the US out of the Middle East. Israel becomes totally vulnerable. Hence Bibi's only hope is for a Middle East conflagration that will end in a nightmare defeat for the US.
A lot can transpire till the 21st of August. | 432 |
| 19 | Phase 3: The Internal Counter-Pivot — Turning on Israel
Faced with a legislative rebellion at home—including a heavily contested Congressional push to halt military action against Iran—the Trump administration’s survival mechanism requires a complete disruption of the globalist status quo.
Weaponized Disclosure: To channel widespread domestic anti-war and anti-Israeli public sentiment, the administration is positioned to authorize the unredacted release of the federal government’s most sensitive archives.
Dismantling the Financial Nexus: Rather than a chaotic leak, this disclosure is structured to expose the deep financial and intelligence ties connecting Washington elites, the banking powerhouses of the City of London, and Israeli state intelligence.
The Grand U-Turn: By framing the entire Middle Eastern war as a trap engineered by transnational financiers and foreign lobbyists to bleed American blood and treasure, 47' will in all probability execute a historic foreign policy U-turn. Capitalizing on the public outrage, the administration will then abruptly terminate the US-Israel strategic alliance, suspend military aid, and position the presidency as the sole force extricating America from a corrupt, globalist entanglement.
Strategic Conclusion.
The core takeaway of this alternative trajectory is that the Axis of Resistance does not need to defeat the United States in a conventional, symmetrical battlefield engagement to achieve its goals.
By sustaining a relentless war of attrition, enforcing an airtight maritime blockade, and exhausting Western missile stockpiles, they have successfully triggered a catastrophic systemic breakdown. The resulting political and intelligence fracture has positioned 47' for the war within the U.S. The Deep State is falling, the City of Londons control of the USD is collapsing.
47' is now blowing up the post-WWII geopolitical and financial order from the inside out. NCSWIC. | 569 |
| 20 | SPECIAL REPORT: The Grand Realignment — How Regional Attrition is Forcing an Internal Collapse of the Western Order
LONDON — 6 August 2026 — Trapped by mounting military setbacks abroad, a severe domestic political crisis, and an unprecedented fracturing of Western intelligence networks, 47' is most likely preparing a radical, scorched-earth political survival strategy.
Rather than doubling down on an increasingly un-winnable war against Iran and the Axis of Resistance (AoR), this channel has put this forward for many years suggesting a profound systemic counter-pivot is underway. Trapped between a tightening maritime siege and cratering poll numbers ahead of the crucial autumn midterms, 47' is now poised to weaponize the ultimate domestic distraction: the declassification of highly sensitive JFK files, 9/11, Epstein, and 2020 election archives. The ultimate target of this disclosure is nothing less than the systematic dismantling of the traditional US-Israel strategic alliance and the global financial networks that have dictated Western foreign policy for generations.
This report breaks down the alternative scenario currently playing out behind the official headlines, mapping how a tactical deadlock in the Persian Gulf is triggering an unprecedented global realignment.
Phase 1: The Narrative Collapse and Maritime Siege
The foundations of this realignment rest on a total breakdown of Western information control, sparked by the events of 4 August 2026 at Dubai’s Jebel Ali port.
The Jebel Ali Precedent: While the Trump administration has exerted immense pressure on the UAE to maintain the official narrative of an "isolated workshop fire," local reports, eyewitnesses, and alternative intelligence networks have shattered this cover story. Irrefutable open-source data indicates that seven precise aerial explosions successfully penetrated Western-supplied air defences, striking the crown jewel of Gulf capitalism.
Chokepoint Absolute Denial: Simultaneously, Iran and the Houthis have consolidated firm naval control over the Strait of Hormuz and the Bab al-Mandeb. By enforcing a strict blockade against Western-flagged vessels, they have effectively established a parallel shipping economy servicing non-Western blocs (such as BRICS nations), bypassing the maritime lifelines historically secured by the US Dollar.
Phase 2: Base Attrition and the Intelligence Fracture
The physical limits of American conventional power have forced the theatre war to expand, pushing Western alliances to a historic breaking point.
Retreat to Distant Sanctuaries: Having suffered severe infrastructure damage to forward-deployed bases across the immediate Middle East, the US military has been forced to launch heavy strategic bomber sorties from outside the region—relying on mainland Britain (RAF Fairford) and Diego Garcia.
The European Frontline: This shift has pulled European allies directly into the line of fire. Following British Prime Minister Andy Burnham’s decision to allow the US to use UK soil for these bombing runs, Tehran officially designated British bases as legitimate targets. The drone strike hitting the runway and an aircraft hangar at RAF Akrotiri in Cyprus has proven that European assets are now highly vulnerable.
The Five Eyes De-coupling: Recognizing that Washington’s unilateral escalation is dragging them into an asymmetric conflict they cannot contain, a massive rift has formed within NATO and the Five Eyes intelligence network. European partners have quietly halted fluid intelligence synchronization with US military command, refusing to validate or back Washington's assessments. | 451 |
