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📌 Your roadmap in the crypto world 📊 Analyses, insights, and completely personal perspectives 🔒 Inspired by opportunities and security in investing 🌐 Toward a bright future in financial markets Admin : t.me/Alex_ApexMind
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| 4 | #وطنیی | 2 |
| 5 | #وطنیی | 24 |
| 6 | A big collaboration with XT is coming🙌 | 1 220 |
| 7 | The bear market is like this: after a strong downward move, it fluctuates up and down several times, even breaks a few minor resistance levels, and its candlestick patterns turn bullish. Because you have a mental bias expecting the market to recover, you get your hopes up and might even open a position. Then, it makes another strong new downward move, sweeping away all your analyses and positions!
And this story repeats until the bear market bottom... | 1 438 |
| 8 |  Bitcoin's monthly candle also closed last night
And it started December stormily!!!
85k | 1 425 |
| 9 |  Since some people asked, I'm posting this here:
All these green candles you've seen this week still haven't even managed to cover the body of last week's candle!
We haven't had any specific change in the downward trend so far | 1 388 |
| 10 | Bitcoin ETFs are an interesting phenomenon.
With their launch in 2025, liquidity flow into the crypto market—especially Bitcoin—became easier and faster.
However, no one anticipated that this development would also have a downside: during times of fear, it accelerates capital outflows as well! | 1 372 |
| 11 | Look, friends, in my opinion, given the heavy trends that have been broken, I currently see a low probability that 80k will be the market bottom.
On the other hand, next week marks the official end of the QT (Quantitative Tightening) policy, and probably some time after that, the expansionary QE (Quantitative Easing) policy will begin, which is inherently good for the markets. We also have that story about Trump's stimulus checks, interest rate cuts, and other matters...
So, currently, the strongest scenario for me is that we will have a deep correction, but one shorter than the previous ones.
Right now, the most important area to look at on the chart for re-entry, in my view, is the 60-67 thousand range.
It's an area that represents a 50% retracement from the top, has long-term clusters on the chart, and in summary, good reasons can be imagined for a reversal from that zone.
But it comes with conditions - that we receive reversal signals from the chart, and only then can we consider re-entering.
What I've said is currently at the scenario level, and we don't have sufficient confirmation for it yet.
If we approach that area over time, it can be examined more closely and precisely.
I mentioned this now so you keep it in the back of your mind for later... | 1 366 |
| 12 |  The market is stuck at a good level.
If today's NFP data comes in strong, it could complete its pullback to 100k… | 1 357 |
| 13 |  #Bitcoin Cycle Timing | 1 357 |
| 14 |  The weekly candle has closed.
The first weekly candle below $100,000 after 26 weeks (6 months)!! | 1 361 |
| 15 |  ... | 1 353 |
| 16 |  ⚡️ Summary of Ray Dalio's recent article:
Ray Dalio says the world, especially the US, is approaching the end of a "big debt cycle"—a cycle where countries gradually borrow more and more, print money, and eventually reach a point where everything becomes artificially overheated, like a bubble on top of a bubble.
You should know that the Federal Reserve recently announced it plans to shift from QT (quantitative tightening) to QE (quantitative easing)—meaning it will start printing money and buying bonds again. They're calling it a "technical measure," but Dalio says whatever you call it, it essentially means they're injecting liquidity into a market that's already overly optimistic.
🔻 What’s the current situation?
Everything is mixed up:
· Governments are deeply in debt
· Politicians don’t dare raise taxes or cut spending
· Wars are becoming a serious topic, leading to more spending
· Technologies like AI are absorbing huge amounts of capital
As a result, governments are printing money out of thin air to cover all these expenses.
🔔 But what’s different this time?
In the past, when the Fed implemented QE, the economy was in recession, markets had fallen, and inflation was low.
But now, it’s the exact opposite:
The stock market is at all-time highs, unemployment is low, inflation is above target, and everyone is intoxicated with liquidity.
In other words, they’re pouring money into a bubble.
As Dalio puts it: this time it’s "stimulating the economy during a bubble," not "stimulating during a crisis."
🕯 What are the consequences?
When the central bank creates money and buys bonds:
· Real interest rates fall
· Stock, crypto, and gold prices rise
· The gap between the rich and poor widens
· Sooner or later, inflation reignites
On the surface, everything seems rosy, but in reality, you’re climbing onto an even bigger bubble.
📊 Dalio’s point:
The Fed is pouring gasoline on an already fiery market.
These decisions aren’t for "market stability"; they’re essentially printing money to fund government debt.
As he says, it’s a dangerous gamble on AI growth and capitalism—a gamble paid for by future generations.
‼️ To summarize, Dalio says we’ve entered the final phase of the bubble. The Fed is playing the role of both firefighter and gas station attendant.
Right now, everyone is happy, but this is usually where stories end.
Dalio is warning that this round of money printing isn’t like previous ones.
This time, QE is happening in the middle of a hot, bubble-filled market.
That’s why, in the short term, markets will likely rally again—especially tech stocks, crypto, and gold.
But in the medium term, this growth will lead to renewed inflation and pressure on interest rates.
In other words, the next crash may stem from this very growth.
It’s entirely possible that the next few months may seem sweet, but the sweeter it gets, the more painful the eventual burst will be | 1 363 |
| 17 |  What I'm seeing suggests the chart pattern indicates we might test the flag's upper boundary again soon, around 120-121.
There's a DP (Decision Point) zone there, and it's too early to make a call now. But if it successfully breaks through, we can start thinking about new highs again.
As for below the flag—we've already discussed that—we should be prepared for stop-losses to trigger | 1 365 |
| 18 |  Selling gold to bring into crypto? 😊 | 1 362 |
| 19 |  Digital Gold
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| 20 |  Well, unfortunately, the reaction to the channel bottom was insufficient.
If the price closes around these levels tonight, it will head toward the $98,000 - $100,000 range...
In that case,the shadow from a few days ago will also be completely filled
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