DEXLaboratory Trading Journal
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Just my notes and degen plays I do not wish to post right away via Twitter.
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+1
$NEAR retested that $2 well and up we go with rest of the market
$TAO has to break $320 to break out of this consolidation band
Wouldn't it be nice and easy to get few larger liquid bets during next few months and ride them out at first wave when bulls come back into control? Goal would be x4 at least on each before rotating.
$NEAR $HYPE $TAO $ZEC could be the ones, but it feels rather too easy to execute
Would need to see $HYPE around $40; $NEAR around $1.2; $TAO around $150; $ZEC around $250 to get more before any serious take off.
Well, one can dream for such easy and obvious outcomes.
It's not about being bearish or bullish, but preserving capital during bear markets and we're at its 3rd stage, which tends to last quite a bit time-wise too.
Right now most of the heavily pushed tokens via narratives have made lower highs, or well basically formed bearish structures, so even if they go higher, that's fine, but I am not risking tons of money betting on that - it's not asymmetrical.
I'm already exposed as it is with my giga $TAO bag, which in hindsight could've been much lower knowing we're entering the bear, but mistakes were made.
$NEAR
From PA perspective we might revisit lower levels again before a larger upside
I'm eyeballing 1.85-1.40 to DCA if that happens. My Spot swing has been cut in half for now.
Mitigating risks since I have less time to watch stuff for next few days.
Will be interested in $HYPE again in these regions, probably larger sized position.
Rotated $HYPE to $NEAR instead. Broke even on $HYPE, in profit on $NEAR
$NEAR holding strong against the $BTC again in relative strength, but $HYPE not so much anymore.
ZEC hitting first resistance area, if I had the balls to bid the yellow line, would've been nice, but it is what it is
A lot of people are calling we will not get past the 64K stage either, so expect resistance near these levels too
+1
There we go.
Now expect major resistance at 69-73K$ levels since it flipped back into Supply Zone.
We could retest the 60K-ish levels in up to 2 weeks if there is no more fuel.
We are in 3rd stage of Bear Market.
+1
$NEAR $HYPE
Marked some key levels I'm watching, higher ones = taking profits most likely, securing in break-even at the very least
Lower ones = checking whats happening globally and sentiment wise, then re-assessing
Looks like almost zero reaction, Trump wants them to cool off too, will see on Monday
Holding an average EP on $NEAR @ $1.91
It's slightly smaller size than initial bag.
Adding more $HYPE - avg EP @ 55.70
Swinging.
Simple expectations for remainder of the year:
• We find a low this month or we have already found it and enter last stage of the bear market
• We carry on till around Sept/Oct and there we should see a final downside momentum play out (doesnt mean low will be taken out, but its possible)
• In the meantime we are likely to see prices creeping up or go sideways, with obviously some plays outperforming others, capital rotating, more people realising losses
• After Sept/Oct last downside momentum marking end of the bear, we are likely to enter accumulation zone and resume uptrend - that's usually when most of participants will still think its perma-bear mode
Happened last time also, I can only speak from personal 5 year experience and crypto leaders/quants experience that I've consumed and continue to consume throughout this time.
The lower we go and you have dry powder to deploy, the better the gains.
We should really get to levels where people are hard quitting or realising hard lossess, thinking theres no way back from this.
If you think this market is done, it means you cannot see larger picture at slightest. Greedy trading people want to make more money, they will spill over their gains where they see largest asymmetry to get the most out of it, in the most liquid way possible.
Largest caps are that place, especially if they can leverage it too both ways. That's why when the "cycle" begins, it's the large caps that tend to fire off first and then it's gamble money that spills over to mid and low caps for high return asymmetrical bets.
That's just my 5 cents, happy to hear your thoughts too.
$TAO at good scooping levels still
If we get another market-wide leg down, sure we can break below 180$, in this case I am just holding and staking
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