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📉 Dhanda The Great 📈

📉 Dhanda The Great 📈

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I don't think this war is going to end here. With the way the current situation is developing, we may soon see even worse unfold across the Middle East.

📌 DTG Market Bias 🟨 Gold: Neutral while between 4,020–4,050 ➡️ S&P 500: Neutral below 7,500 ➡️ Nasdaq: Neutral ahead of the Fed and major earnings ➡️ Dow Jones: Neutral 🌍 Risk Sentiment: Cautious / Neutral ⚠️ Main Events Today: 🇬🇧 UK Mortgage & Credit Data — 9:30 AM UK 🇺🇸 Federal Reserve Rate Decision — 7:00 PM UK 🇺🇸 FOMC Press Conference — 7:30 PM UK

🎯 Trader-Focused Outlook Today's Theme: FOMC Takes Centre Stage 🟢 Bullish Scenario Fed leaves rates unchanged. Guidance is less hawkish than markets expect. Gold breaks above 4,050. S&P 500 reclaims 7,500. Nasdaq clears 25,850–26,000. 🔴 Bearish Scenario Fed signals a stronger likelihood of a September hike or surprises with a rate increase. US dollar and Treasury yields strengthen. Gold breaks below 4,020, targeting 4,000. S&P 500 loses 7,450. Nasdaq breaks below 25,500. Trading Plan The highest-probability strategy is to avoid chasing moves before the Fed announcement. Expect the largest volatility between 7:00 PM and 8:30 PM UK, when the rate decision and press conference are released. Watch for confirmation after the initial spike rather than reacting to the first headline.

🌍 Risk Sentiment Current Mood: 🟡 Cautious / Neutral Positive drivers: Markets still expect the Fed to leave rates unchanged. Corporate earnings remain broadly supportive. Inflation has moderated from recent highs. Risks: Around a one-in-three market-implied chance of a surprise rate hike. Hawkish guidance for September. Elevated Treasury yields. Renewed geopolitical tensions could quickly shift sentiment.

🏛 Stock Market Outlook Today's market is almost entirely centred on monetary policy and earnings. Main Themes Federal Reserve rate decision. Forward guidance for September. Major technology earnings, including Microsoft and Meta, after the US market closes. AI spending outlook and capital expenditure remain key talking points for investors. Sectors to Watch 🟢 Financials 🟢 Software & Cloud 🟢 AI Infrastructure 🟡 Industrials 🔴 Rate-sensitive growth stocks if the Fed sounds more hawkish

🟨 Gold — XAUUSD Overnight Moves Gold traded quietly overnight as investors waited for tonight's Fed decision. Spot Gold: around $4,029/oz August Gold Futures: around $4,028/oz The stronger US dollar and higher Treasury yields continue to limit upside, while geopolitical risks remain supportive underneath the market. Key Levels Support 4,020 4,000 3,980 3,950 Resistance 4,050 4,080 4,100 4,145 Likely Direction Neutral ahead of the Fed Today's move is likely to be dictated by the FOMC outcome. Bullish scenario Hold above 4,020 Break 4,050 Targets: 4,080 → 4,100 → 4,145 Bearish scenario Break below 4,020 Targets: 4,000 → 3,980 → 3,950 Expect volatility to increase significantly from 7:00 PM UK onwards.

🌅 DTG Morning Market Briefing Wednesday, 29 July 2026 — UK 🗓 Today's Economic Calendar — Verified Today is one of the most important trading days of the month, with the Federal Reserve interest rate decision taking centre stage. 🇬🇧 United Kingdom (UK Time) 🕤 9:30 AM Mortgage Approvals Consumer Credit M4 Money Supply 🇺🇸 United States (UK Time) 🕕 7:00 PM ⭐⭐⭐ Federal Reserve Interest Rate Decision 🕡 7:30 PM ⭐⭐⭐ FOMC Press Conference Markets broadly expect the Fed to hold rates steady, but traders will be focused on the statement, economic outlook and Chair Kevin Warsh's comments for clues on whether a September rate hike is becoming more likely.

Citadel Securities expects the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates this week — a surprise move strengthening Chairman Kevin Warsh’s credibility in the battle with inflation. More here: https://bloom.bg/4yKU7LB

🎯 Trader-Focused Outlook Today's Theme: Markets Pause Before the Fed 🟢 Bullish Scenario Gold holds 4,040 and reclaims 4,080. Consumer Confidence disappoints slightly, easing pressure on Treasury yields. S&P 500 reclaims 7,500. Nasdaq recovers as chip stocks stabilise. 🔴 Bearish Scenario Gold breaks below 4,040, exposing 4,020 / 4,000. Consumer Confidence beats expectations, strengthening the US dollar. Treasury yields rise ahead of the Fed. Technology remains under pressure, keeping the Nasdaq below 25,800. 📌 DTG Market Bias 🟨 Gold: Neutral to bearish below 4,080 ➡️ S&P 500: Neutral below 7,500 ➡️ Nasdaq: Neutral to bearish while semiconductor weakness persists 📈 Dow Jones: Neutral to bullish 🌍 Risk Sentiment: Cautiously neutral ⚠️ Main Events Today: US Consumer Confidence and Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index – 3:00 PM UK

🌍 Risk Sentiment Current Mood: 🟡 Cautiously Neutral Positive drivers: Oil prices remain well below last week's highs after the US–Iran pause. Earnings expectations remain constructive. Investors continue to rotate into selected large-cap sectors. Risks: Stronger US dollar weighing on Gold. Fed uncertainty ahead of Wednesday's decision. Ongoing geopolitical risks. Semiconductor sector weakness limiting broader market momentum.

🟨 Gold (XAUUSD) Overnight Moves Gold traded lower during the Asian session as the US dollar strengthened to a near one-month high ahead of the Federal Reserve meeting. Reuters reported spot gold around $4,045/oz and US gold futures near $4,045, with traders expecting the Fed to leave rates unchanged while looking closely at its guidance. Key Levels Support 4,040 4,020 4,000 3,950 Resistance 4,080 4,100 4,150 4,200 Likely Direction Neutral to bearish while below 4,080. Holding 4,040 may encourage buyers to attempt a recovery toward 4,080. A break below 4,040 could expose 4,020 and the key 4,000 psychological level. A dovish Fed tone tomorrow would improve the outlook for Gold, while a more hawkish message could extend downside pressure.

🌅 DTG Morning Market Briefing Tuesday, 28 July 2026 — UK 🗓 Today's Economic Calendar — Verified Today's calendar is moderately important, with several US releases that could influence the US dollar, Treasury yields and equity markets ahead of tomorrow's Federal Reserve interest rate decision. 🇺🇸 Key Events (UK Time) 🕑 2:00 PM – S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Index 🕑 2:00 PM – FHFA House Price Index 🕒 3:00 PM – ⭐ US Consumer Confidence (July) 🕒 3:00 PM – Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index Markets will also continue positioning ahead of Wednesday's FOMC rate decision and press conference, the week's biggest macro event.

🌍 Risk Sentiment Current Mood: 🟢 Moderately Risk-On Positive drivers: Oil prices down more than 4%. Gold strengthening. US dollar softer. Equity futures higher ahead of earnings. Risks: Federal Reserve decision on Wednesday. Any renewed US–Iran escalation. Elevated volatility around Big Tech earnings. Durable Goods data influencing rate expectations today. 🎯 Trader-Focused Outlook Today's Theme: Relief Rally Before the Fed 🟢 Bullish Scenario Gold holds 4,100 and breaks 4,120. S&P 500 remains above 7,470 and targets 7,520. Nasdaq clears 25,900. Durable Goods data is soft enough to avoid pushing Treasury yields sharply higher. 🔴 Bearish Scenario Gold loses 4,100, exposing 4,080 / 4,050. Durable Goods significantly beats expectations, strengthening the US dollar. Treasury yields rise ahead of Wednesday's Fed meeting. Equity futures surrender overnight gains. 📌 DTG Market Bias 🟨 Gold: Bullish above 4,100 📈 S&P 500: Neutral to bullish above 7,470 📈 Nasdaq: Bullish above 25,700 ➡️ Dow Jones: Neutral to bullish 🌍 Risk Sentiment: Moderately Risk-On ⚠️ Main Events Today: US Durable Goods Orders & Core Durable Goods Orders – 1:30 PM UK

🏛 Stock Market Outlook Markets begin one of the busiest weeks of the year with three major themes: Federal Reserve policy decision (Wednesday). Mega-cap technology earnings (Microsoft, Apple, Amazon and Meta). Oil-price volatility following developments in the Middle East. Today's improvement in sentiment is being driven by falling oil prices and hopes that lower energy costs could reduce inflation pressure. However, any renewed geopolitical escalation could quickly reverse that optimism. Sectors to Watch 🟢 AI & Mega-Cap Technology 🟢 Communication Services 🟢 Consumer Technology 🟡 Financials 🟡 Energy (watch oil-price volatility)

🟨 Gold (XAUUSD) Overnight Moves Gold has started the week strongly after reports of a pause in US–Iran hostilities triggered a sharp fall in oil prices and a weaker US dollar. Spot Gold rose above $4,110, while US gold futures traded around $4,112 during the Asian session. Lower oil prices have eased immediate inflation concerns, improving sentiment toward Gold ahead of Wednesday's Fed decision. Key Levels Support 4,100 4,080 4,050 4,020 Resistance 4,120 4,145 4,180 4,200 Likely Direction Bullish while above 4,100. Holding 4,100 keeps buyers in control. A break above 4,120 could open the way toward 4,145–4,180. A move back below 4,100 would shift attention to 4,080 and 4,050.

Get ready for #Monday
Get ready for #Monday

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📊 36th Weekly Performance Update This week closed with a +0.56% return, with 31 trades closed. Despite heightened geopolitical tensions and increased market volatility, the currency pairs traded by the strategy remained relatively quiet, resulting in fewer trading opportunities. We head into the weekend with 7 trades still open. ⚠️ CFD trading involves significant risk. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always trade responsibly.

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