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Obama on Bitcoin: “Everybody’s walking around with a Swiss bank account in their pocket.”
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HISTORY: 🟠 This is what the 1st #Bitcoin website looked like when the price was $0, exactly 16 years ago
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🇫🇷 French news declares: "#Bitcoin has become a safe haven, just like gold." 🙌
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NEW: 🇺🇸 A race is going on in the United States to see which State can get the more Bitcoin 🔥
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💡 What's happening?
The Bitcoin market is favourable for growth, but key hurdles remain. Here's what's shaping the landscape:
🔹 Czech National Bank explores BTC investments.
🔹 Norges Bank boosts Bitcoin exposure.
🔹 The SEC advances a Bitcoin & Ethereum ETF proposal.
📊 Market outlook
BTCUSD remains range-bound between $90,000 and $108,000. While a bullish breakout isn't off the table, institutional adoption will be a key driver. If Bitcoin breaks $108,000, analysts see a high probability of a push toward $120,000.
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📊 Gold rises due to approaching deadline for trade tariffs decision
The gold (XAU) price increased by more than 1% and reached a new all-time high on Thursday as safe-haven demand increased due to U.S. trade tariff threats.
👉 Possible effects for traders
'We are seeing keener uncertainty and anxiety about the Trump administration's new policies on trade and foreign policy ... fresh technical buying coming in as prices are trending higher now in both gold and silver', said Jim Wyckoff, a senior market analyst at Kitco Metals. Shortly after taking office, U.S. President Donald Trump threatened to impose 25% import tariffs on Canada and Mexico and a 10% duty on Chinese goods on 1 February. The deadline is tomorrow, and White House spokeswoman Karoline Leavitt recently confirmed that the president still plans to go ahead with the tariffs. Together, these three countries account for over $2.1 trillion in annual U.S. imports and exports, so tariffs can seriously destabilise global trade and fuel more inflation.
Gold tends to rally during economic uncertainty, inflationary pressures, or when traditional financial markets experience significant volatility. Investors seek a safe haven asset that historically retains its value over time, fleeing to gold. 'Gold is shining as a safe haven asset, with investors seeking shelter to weather the storm of unpredictability', said Susannah Streeter, a head of money and markets at Hargreaves Lansdown.
XAUUSD was relatively flat during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, the main focus is on the U.S. macroeconomic statistics. The U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index report will come out at 1:30 p.m. UTC. The market expects a 0.2% monthly rise in core PCE Price Index and a 2.8% annual increase. If the figures come out higher than expected, XAUUSD may drop slightly. With lower-than-expected numbers, XAUUSD will probably rally sharply. Key levels to watch are support at $2,784 and resistance at $2,810.
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5 927
📊 Dovish ECB monetary policy pressures euro
The euro (EUR) lost 0.29% against the U.S. dollar (USD) during a very volatile trading session on Thursday as the European Central Bank (ECB) cut interest rates and kept the door open to further policy easing.
👉 Possible effects for traders
As expected, the ECB lowered its base interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) yesterday and signalled that more cuts are likely. An accompanying statement revealed that policymakers were increasingly concerned about the region's sluggish economic performance and the risk of a potential recession, even if inflationary pressures remain. The ECB's shift in focus indicates a delicate balancing act, attempting to stimulate economic activity without completely abandoning its mandate to maintain price stability.
Meanwhile, the eurozone's Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate was unchanged in Q4, falling short of expectations of a 0.1% expansion as two straight years of contraction in Germany's GDP weighed on the whole bloc. With the economy stagnating due to an industrial recession and weak consumption, the ECB is seen sticking to its easing path even after the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) recently kept its rate unchanged and hinted at a pause in the rate-cutting cycle. Thus, the fundamental pressure on EURUSD remains bearish, especially in light of U.S. trade tariff threats.
EURUSD was falling during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, the main focus is on German and U.S. macroeconomic statistics. Germany will publish its Consumer Price Index (CPI) report at around 1:00 p.m. UTC, while the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) report will come out at 1:30 p.m. UTC. Both reports may influence interest rate expectations and investors' sentiment, likely provoking sharp price movements in EURUSD. The market expects a 0.2% rise in monthly core U.S. PCE and a 2.8% annual increase. If the figures come out higher than expected, EURUSD may drop slightly. Otherwise, EURUSD will probably rally sharply. Key levels to watch are support at 1.03610 and the resistance at 1.04100.
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5 927
📊 BTC increases fuelled by rising institutional interest
Bitcoin (BTC) price rose 0.96% on Thursday as the European Central Bank (ECB) cut borrowing costs, while U.S. trade tariff threats fueled investors' interest in alternative assets.
👉 Possible effects for traders
A less restrictive or looser monetary policy typically leads to increased liquidity in financial markets and a decline in the value of fiat currencies, creating a favourable environment for Bitcoin. Therefore, yesterday's ECB decision made Bitcoin a bit more attractive to investors seeking higher returns. However, ECB President Christine Lagarde stated that the central bank won't consider including Bitcoin in its reserves. Lagarde reiterated the bank's dedication to ensuring its reserves' stability and security while expressing reservations about Bitcoin's inherent volatility and security risks. She emphasised that these characteristics make Bitcoin unsuitable for the bank's reserve management strategy, prioritising reliability and predictability in safeguarding value.
Meanwhile, other eurozone countries take a different approach. The Czech National Bank has greenlit a plan to explore diversifying its reserves by considering new investment assets, including Bitcoin. Norges Bank Investment Management—the world's largest sovereign wealth fund—made significant investments in companies associated with Bitcoin. Meanwhile, The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission has taken the first step towards approving Bitwise Asset Management's proposed exchange-traded fund (ETF) that would track price movements of Bitcoin and Ethereum. The decision might attract additional capital from retail investors into the crypto sphere.
BTCUSD was relatively flat during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis will publish its Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index report at 1:30 p.m. UTC. The market expects a 0.2% rise in monthly core PCE and a 2.8% annual increase. If the figures are higher than expected, BTCUSD may drop slightly. Lwer-than-expected numbers may cause a rally in BTCUSD. However, given that Bitcoin is already trading near an all-time high, a strong rally is relatively less likely. Key levels to watch are resistance at $106,400 and support at $104,000.
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5 927
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