Technical My Tips

📊 GBPUSD falls for the fourth consecutive day The British pound (GBP) declined for the fourth straight day, driven by a stronger U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) after Donald Trump's election victory on 6 November. GBPUSD has dropped about 2.7% since then but seems to find support around 1.27000. 👉 Possible effects for traders Implementation of the higher trade tariffs and stricter immigration policies by the new administration is expected to drive inflation higher. Thus, the Federal Reserve (Fed) may have to reconsider its plans for future rate cuts. The anticipated rise in government spending is also pushing up U.S. Treasury yields, supporting the U.S. dollar's value. According to Edison Research forecasts, Trump's party is expected to retain control of both chambers of Congress, granting him significant influence to advance his agenda. While trends don't persist indefinitely, a stronger U.S. dollar will likely continue to exert downward pressure on GBPUSD. GBPUSD has been trading sideways during Asian and early European sessions. Attention now turns to the upcoming U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) release today at 1:30 p.m. UTC. It's a leading indicator of consumer price inflation, accounting for most overall inflation. Thus, higher-than-expected PPI numbers could be bearish for GBPUSD, while weaker data may trigger a slight upward correction. ➡️Sign Up Now ➡️ https://tlt.ink/octa Partner Code ➡️ 3788810

USDCAD, 30-minute timeframe chart USDCAD formed a bearish Three Black Crows pattern 👉Level explanation USDCAD has been under buying pressure within the last day. Now, the price displays a bearish Three Black Crows pattern. 👉Possible scenario The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 1.39950. Set your stop loss at 1.40200 above the previous high ($1.79 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 1.39700 ($1.79 profit for 0.01 lot). The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1. The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period. ➡️Sign Up Now ➡️ https://tlt.ink/octa Partner Code ➡️ 3788810

BTCUSD, 15-minute timeframe char BTCUSD broke the resistance level of 90,600.00 👉Level explanation BTCUSD has been under buying pressure within the last couple of hours. 👉Possible scenario The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Buy order at 90,900.00. Set your stop loss at 88,900.00 below the previous low ($20.00 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 93,400.00 ($25.00 profit for 0.01 lot). The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1.25. The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period. ➡️Sign Up Now ➡️ https://tlt.ink/octa Partner Code ➡️ 3788810

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📊 U.S. inflation report could influence gold prices Gold (XAU) has been in a downward trend for the past three days. On Tuesday, XAUUSD declined by 0.8%, continuing a significant correction. The support level at $2,600 remains relatively stable, helping to limit the losses. 👉 Possible effects for traders The recent drop in gold prices is due to the strengthening U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which gained bullish momentum following Donald Trump's victory. Markets anticipate that the Trump administration's policies could delay the timing of interest rate cuts in the U.S., prompting a shift in investments away from gold exchange-traded funds (ETFs) towards other assets. Investors closely monitor Trump's initial actions and cabinet selections for insights into his stance on tax cuts, trade tariffs, and immigration policies. Today, all eyes are on the release of U.S. consumer inflation data, which could significantly impact the DXY and broader financial markets. This week also includes key updates on producer inflation, speeches from Federal Reserve (Fed) officials, and U.S. retail sales figures. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari has already commented on the potential impact of upcoming inflation data, noting that 'if inflation surprises to the upside between now and December, that might give us pause.' The CME FedWatch Tool recently showed that the probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut at the December 2024 meeting has fallen from 65% towards 58%. Gold remains in a wait-and-see mode ahead of the U.S. inflation report today at 1:30 p.m. UTC. XAUUSD may break below the $2,600 support level if inflation is higher than expected, potentially declining towards $2,580 or lower. Conversely, weaker data may push gold towards $2,630 or higher. ➡️Sign Up Now ➡️ https://bit.ly/attocta

🔽 Trump's policies and German election uncertainty pressure the euro The euro lost 0.29% against the U.S. dollar on Tuesday as the greenback continued to rise on expectations that Donald Trump's policies would accelerate U.S. inflation. 👉 Possible effects for traders It's still an extension of the post-election moves; the economic calendar has been relatively light, although it's picking up later in the week. For now, the market is focusing on the implications of a second Trump term, particularly policies that would be positive for the U.S. dollar, such as potential higher tariffs,' said Vassili Serebriakov, an FX strategist at UBS in New York. Proposed deportations of immigrants and increased import tariffs are expected to drive inflation in the U.S., giving the Federal Reserve (Fed) less room to reduce interest rates. According to Decision Desk HQ, the Republican Party has secured a majority in the U.S. House of Representatives. Trump's party will control both chambers of Congress, enabling the president-elect to advance his policy agenda. Trump has warned that European countries will 'pay a big price' for not purchasing enough American exports. The euro is also facing additional downward pressure from political uncertainty. Germany, the eurozone's largest economy, will hold elections on 23 February after Chancellor Olaf Scholz's governing coalition collapsed due to disagreements over spending and borrowing plans. Fundamentally, investors now anticipate that the European Central Bank (ECB) is more likely to cut rates in the near term than the U.S. central bank. The likelihood of an additional 25-basis-point rate cut before year-end is currently 70% for the ECB and 63% for the Fed. EURUSD was falling during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, the market will focus primarily on the U.S. inflation report due at 1:30 p.m. UTC. However, several Fed officials' speeches will come out throughout the day and may trigger some volatility in all USD pairs. The market expects a 0.3% rise in monthly core Consumer Price Index (CPI) and a 3.3% annual increase. If CPI numbers exceed the expected, EURUSD may drop slightly, probably towards 1.05910. If the data shows that inflation is slowing, EURUSD will likely rise sharply, possibly towards 1.06600. ➡️Sign Up Now ➡️ https://bit.ly/attocta

📊 AUDUSD stays low ahead of the U.S. CPI report AUDUSD fell by 0.62% on Tuesday as the U.S. dollar (USD) strengthened, driven by 'Trump trades'. These trades reflect traders' bets that Trump's inflationary policies may limit the Federal Reserve's (Fed) ability to lower interest rates. 👉 Possible effects for traders The U.S. dollar has been rising since Republican candidate Donald Trump won the presidential election, reaching its highest levels since May. Investors expect Trump's proposed policies, including tax cuts and import tariffs, to fuel inflation. With Republicans gaining more control in Congress, Trump will likely have more opportunities to implement his plans. This can also lead to interest rates staying higher for longer as markets anticipate a slowdown in rate cuts by the Fed. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the likelihood of a 25-basis-point rate cut in December has dropped towards 60%, down from 84% last month. ‘Focus is likely to shift back to inflation and Fed policy later this week, but it remains uncertain if that will trigger an unwinding of Trump trades,’ said Charu Chanana, Chief Investment Strategist at Saxo Bank. With markets already pricing in Trump's policies as inflationary, the market may be 'more sensitive' to hotter-than-expected CPI data. The core CPI is projected to increase by 0.3% in October. AUDUSD traded sideways during the Asian and early European sessions as traders await the U.S. CPI report at 1:30 p.m. UTC today, which is the most important economic event of the week. A higher-than-expected CPI figure may drive AUDUSD to new local lows, while weaker data could lead to an upward correction. Additionally, Fed Chair Jerome Powell will speak, followed by the release of Producer Price Index (PPI) data and retail sales figures on Thursday and Friday, respectively. All the data may affect AUDUSD. ➡️Sign Up Now ➡️ https://bit.ly/attocta

EURUSD, 15-minute timeframe char EURUSD broke the support level of 1.06120 👉Level explanation EURUSD has been under selling pressure within the last couple of hours. 👉Possible scenario The best way to use this opportunity is to place a Sell order at 1.06050. Set your stop loss at 1.06300 above the previous high ($2.50 loss for 0.01 lot) and take profit at 1.05800 ($2.50 profit for 0.01 lot). The risk-reward ratio for this order is 1:1. The upcoming news will not influence your orders within the mentioned period. ➡️Sign Up Now ➡️ https://bit.ly/attocta

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🔽Gold continues to fall Gold (XAU) declined by over 2.4% yesterday, settling near the $2,600 support level. Experts believe this correction could lead to a further decrease. 👉 Possible effects for traders Traders expect the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) to soften its stance on interest rates, given that Donald Trump's policies may drive economic growth and inflation. The decline in gold prices paused around $2,600 as investors worry that the new President's protectionist policies could impact the global economy, increasing demand for safe-haven assets like gold. However, growth prospects for gold remain limited due to the continued strengthening of the U.S. dollar (USD). Traders are also cautious ahead of the upcoming U.S. Consumer Inflation report and remarks from key Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members. Meanwhile, the U.S. dollar hit new highs after Trump's election victory, prompting significant gold sales on Monday. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari noted that the Fed would need more evidence of inflation reaching its 2% target before considering further rate cuts. Traders are waiting for statements from FOMC members, including Fed Chair Jerome Powell, who may offer insights on the future direction of interest rates. According to the CME Group FedWatch Tool, there is a 65% chance of a 25-basis-point (bps) rate cut at the next Fed meeting. In the short term, XAUUSD may continue its decline, potentially breaking below the $2,600 support level and reaching $2,575. Investors are currently closing their positions in gold in favour of riskier assets. ➡️Sign Up Now ➡️ https://bit.ly/attocta

🔽EURUSD remains under pressure as Trump's policies threaten the eurozone economy The euro (EUR) fell by 0.6%, reaching a fresh six-month low against the U.S. dollar (USD) on Monday. Investors continued to favour the greenback over the euro following the Republican victory in the U.S. presidential and congressional elections. 👉 Possible effects for traders The U.S. dollar is expected to benefit from the incoming Trump administration. Indeed, planned mass deportations of illegal immigrants may put upward pressure on U.S. wages, while the introduction of new tariffs could drive up import costs. If these policies accelerate nationwide inflation, the Federal Reserve (Fed) may be forced to adopt a tighter monetary policy, keeping high interest rates longer. This would widen the interest rate differential between the eurozone and the U.S., exerting downward pressure on EURUSD. Additionally, broad-based tariffs of 10–20% on all U.S. imports could harm the eurozone economy. These policies may prompt the European Central Bank (ECB) to cut rates more aggressively, widening the interest rate gap even further. However, it's unclear whether Trump's plans will have a lasting inflationary effect. For now, their impact on U.S. monetary policy is minimal, meaning the recent decline in EURUSD is largely driven by forward-looking expectations. Thus, EURUSD bears should be cautious as the pair may experience a sharp rebound. EURUSD continued to decline during the Asian and early European trading sessions. Today, the macroeconomic calendar is relatively quiet, though EUR pairs might experience additional volatility due to Germany's ZEW Economic Sentiment Index report at 10:00 a.m. UTC. A stronger-than-expected figure could trigger a slight recovery above 1.06770, while weaker data might extend the decline towards 1.06200. ➡️Sign Up Now ➡️ https://bit.ly/attocta

🔽 Japanese yen declines as DXY strengthens USDJPY rose by 0.71% on Monday as the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) reached its highest level in over four months, with 'Trump Trades' continuing to dominate financial markets. 👉 Possible effects for traders Expectations of a second term for President Trump, alongside a potential Republican takeover of Congress, have driven optimism for regulatory rollbacks and tax cuts, which could boost economic growth and potentially increase inflation. This scenario could limit the Federal Reserve's (Fed) ability to reduce interest rates further. Also, Trump's plans to raise tariffs on key trading partners, particularly China and the eurozone, along with tighter immigration policies, have added to concerns over inflationary pressures. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) recently had its October monetary policy meeting, where policymakers disagreed on the timing of future rate adjustments. Some officials voiced worries over the economic uncertainties and increased market volatility, especially given the yen's significant depreciation. Despite these concerns, the BOJ maintained its projection to raise the benchmark interest rate towards 1% in the second half of 2025. In response to the yen's weakness, Finance Minister Katsu Kato signalled that the Japanese government might take 'appropriate measures' to address foreign exchange volatility. USDJPY was moving sideways during the Asian and early European hours. Two key economic releases this week could impact the pair's movement. The Japanese Producer Price Index is due at 11:50 p.m. UTC today. Stronger-than-expected figures may trigger a correction in USDJPY, while weaker data could support the pair. The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report will come out tomorrow at 1:30 p.m. UTC. A higher-than-expected number could push USDJPY to new highs, while softer data may trigger a downward correction. ➡️Sign Up Now ➡️ https://bit.ly/attocta

🔽 Japanese yen declines as DXY strengthens USDJPY rose by 0.71% on Monday as the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) reached its highest level in over four months, with 'Trump Trades' continuing to dominate financial markets. 👉 Possible effects for traders Expectations of a second term for President Trump, alongside a potential Republican takeover of Congress, have driven optimism for regulatory rollbacks and tax cuts, which could boost economic growth and potentially increase inflation. This scenario could limit the Federal Reserve's (Fed) ability to reduce interest rates further. Also, Trump's plans to raise tariffs on key trading partners, particularly China and the eurozone, along with tighter immigration policies, have added to concerns over inflationary pressures. Meanwhile, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) recently had its October monetary policy meeting, where policymakers disagreed on the timing of future rate adjustments. Some officials voiced worries over the economic uncertainties and increased market volatility, especially given the yen's significant depreciation. Despite these concerns, the BOJ maintained its projection to raise the benchmark interest rate towards 1% in the second half of 2025. In response to the yen's weakness, Finance Minister Katsu Kato signalled that the Japanese government might take 'appropriate measures' to address foreign exchange volatility. USDJPY was moving sideways during the Asian and early European hours. Two key economic releases this week could impact the pair's movement. The Japanese Producer Price Index is due at 11:50 p.m. UTC today. Stronger-than-expected figures may trigger a correction in USDJPY, while weaker data could support the pair. The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report will come out tomorrow at 1:30 p.m. UTC. A higher-than-expected number could push USDJPY to new highs, while softer data may trigger a downward correction. ➡️Sign Up Now ➡️ https://bit.ly/attocta