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🅰🔠🔡🆎
➡💲➡ USDJPY continues to rise. But will the rally hold?
USDJPY surged on Tuesday. Can the yen regain strength, or will the dollar continue its climb? Find the full breakdown below 💙
🪙 Key takeaways
• Events. USDJPY extended its rally to near 155.700. The growth came from concerns over Japan's fiscal policy 😲 The Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor suggested rate hikes could happen soon. Japanese Prime Minister disagreed, urging the BoJ to support the economy with low interest rates.
• Possible outcome. The market now expects the BoJ to slow rate hikes, which could weaken the yen and support USDJPY. Also, strong U.S. data could push the pair higher, while weaker numbers would likely slow the rally 📊
🪙 Tip for traders
Watch the upcoming U.S. economic data, particularly the FOMC minutes and nonfarm payroll. These reports could significantly impact USDJPY, potentially strengthening or weakening the dollar 💲
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Monthly Market Recap
- Fed officials remain divided on Dec rate cut with only around 45% market probability now priced in versus near-certainty weeks earlier, keeping the US dollar strong.
- Better-than-expected Eurozone economic data continue to support the case for the ECB to maintain rates, supporting the euro.
- The BoE's recent communications remain divided, and the upcoming Autumn Budget continues to weigh on the pound.
- Political pressure undermines BoJ decisions as Japan's GDP decline supports the case for PM Takaichi's fiscal expansion, pressuring the yen.
Price Range (low-high)
- Volatility of gold-dollar (XAUUSD) slowed to less than 500 USD per troy ounce, down from over 696 USD last month.
- Euro-dollar (EURUSD) also experienced a more muted movement, moving about 200 pips from nearly 280 pips last month.
- Pound-dollar (GBPUSD) broadened the volatility, moving over 430 pips, which increased from 288 pips.
- US dollar-yen (USDJPY) maintained a wide range of fluctuation of over 500 pips despite falling from over 660 pips.
Disclaimers: This is not investment advice. Past performance is not an indication of future results. Your capital is at risk, please trade responsibly.
Trading is risky. Excess volatility increases risks further. Be cautious. As with all major economic releases, there could be significant price volatility with this type of announcement. Volatility may work against you as well as for you.
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AI giant Nvidia will report its Q3 earnings on Wednesday amid renewed doubts about excess valuations for AI stocks. With expectations set high, there is a high risk of disappointment.
Retailers will also be in the spotlight, with the earnings results by Home Depot, Target, and Walmart acting as gauge for consumer spending in the absence of official government data.
Stay ahead of the markets. Get more earnings insights here:
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