Drops Bot: Tracking & Trading

​🔻 S&P 500 dropped 1.2% after Kevin Warsh’s first meeting - the worst market reaction to a new Fed chief’s debut since 1994. Fed held rates at 3.75% as expected. Inflation is still far above target. The 2% goal has been missed for five straight years.

🔹 Polymarket Events: • 0 cuts in 2026 — 80% • July no change — 81% • 4.0% by end-2026 — 36% • Fed cut by October Meeting — 22%

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🔵 IPO Probabilities This Year Current Polymarket odds: 77% - Anthropic 64% - Discord 46% - OpenAI 37% - Kraken 🟢 Sam Altman told staff OpenAI expects to go public “within the next year.” 🟤 Anthropic says its confidential IPO filing gives it the option to go public after SEC review, but the final offering depends on market conditions and other factors. 👇 Track all related IPO markets in one click:

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🇺🇸🇮🇷 Peace deal, oil shock, Hormuz reopening. Trump says the U.S.-Iran deal is complete, with the Strait of Hormuz expected to reopen after a memorandum is signed in Switzerland on Friday. 💡What’s inside: • War pause across all fronts • Pakistan as the key mediator • 60 days of follow-up negotiations • Sanctions relief and frozen assets on the table

🔵 The Most Watched Traders on Polymarket by Profile Views. The result is not just a whale list. It is a map of who the market keeps refreshing: crypto degens, sports sharps, political specialists, market makers, and viral accounts that became signals themselves. 👀 Inside the article, you’ll also find a one-click setup button to track these traders in Drops Bot👀

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Iranian media says the U.S.–Iran memorandum is moving forward, with major sections nearly finalized, though Tehran says the deal still requires final sign-off. 🕊 The biggest moves on Polymarket:

• Permanent peace deal — +41% • Nuclear deal — +30% • Hormuz normalizes — +20%

➕ Add the Preset and track every headline in real time.

👀 The Major Upcoming Unlocks Get token unlock notifications by adding coins to DropsBot:

➕ ZRO $20.9M (9.8% of M.Cap) ➕ GWEI $8M (2.2% of M.Cap) ➕ H $68M (15.7% of M.Cap) ➕ SAHARA $19.8M (47% of M.Cap) ➕ OPN $3.12M (20% of M.Cap)

Always fresh info on vesting schedules: 👉 Token Unlocks and Vesting Schedules

​⚡️ Fed hike odds in 2026 jumped to 55% on Polymarket. Stronger jobs, sticky inflation, oil pressure, tariffs, and Wall Street pushing rate-cut calls into 2027.

🔹 Polymarket Events: • Fed rate hike in 2026? — 55% • How many cuts in 2026? 0 cuts — 80% • Fed Decision in July: no change — 94% • End-2026 Fed rate: 4.0% — 32% • Fed rate hike by October meeting — 56

🔵 willo2 says he got cooked for almost $500K on Polymarket. He wasn’t wrong about the event. Strategy sold before the deadline, but the SEC filing came after it. This is not the first time Polymarket got stuck between facts, wording, and oracle logic. 🧶 Top Polymarket resolution controversies by market volume: 👇

• $269M US Forces “Enter Iran?” Was a brief mission enough to count as “entering” Iran? Outcome: YES • $242M Zelensky Suitgate What counts as a “suit”? Media said one thing, the market ruled another. Outcome: NO • $7M Ukraine x Trump Minerals Deal Рынок зарезолвился YES, хотя официального соглашения тогда не было. Outcome: YES • $2.25M Titan Submarine Found? Did debris count as the submarine being “found”? Outcome: YES • $2.1M Barron Trump / $DJT Memecoin The dispute: Was Barron Trump involved in or behind DJT? The ruling became controversial and later handling was challenged. Final status: NO / later fixed for YES holders • $133K Trump–Xi Call Trump said the call happened. The market wanted stronger public confirmation. Resolved: NO

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​🦠 Pandemic odds moved higher in May. Hantavirus cases tied to the cruise outbreak reached Spain, the U.S. moved to block Ebola import risk with stricter travel measures, and Brazil is investigating a suspected Ebola case.

🔹 Polymarket Events: 11% — New pandemic in 2026 6% — Hantavirus pandemic 10% — Ebola pandemic 6% — New Coronavirus pandemic 31% — Ebola case in the US by June 30

​🤖 AI Models Release Odds Skynet odds are still low. But never zero. 13% - OpenAI announces AGI before 2027

🔹 Polymarket Events: 77% — Claude Mythos by Jul 31 83% — GPT-6 by Dec 31 93% — GPT-5.6 by Jul 31 69% — Claude 5 by Sep 30 8% — Grok 5 by Jun 30 88% — Gemini reasoning flagship by Jun 30

​🏔 2026 ATH Outlook: Polymarket odds vs. DropsTab ATHs Polymarket says altseason isn’t here yet, but HYPE is already running ahead of the pack with 86% odds on its closest ATH. ➕ Tap any ticker to track them in DropsBot:

BTC • ETH • BNB • XRP • SOL • DOGE • HYPE • ZEC • LINK • SUI

Install preset and track ATH odds👇

🔓 Upcoming Unlocks Over 20% of Market Cap Get token unlock notifications by adding coins to 👀DropsBot:

➕ ESPORTS $33M (29% of M.Cap) ➕ HOME $19.9M (23% of M.Cap) ➕ HUMA $10.7M (26% of M.Cap) ➕ OPN $6.1M (25% of M.Cap)

Always fresh info on vesting schedules: 👉 Token Unlocks and Vesting Schedules

​🚀 HYPE hit $62 today 🎉 New all-time high

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Polymarket odds:

• 76% — HYPE hits $70 • 33% — HYPE > $100 • 51% — Hyperliquid airdrop • 32% — Binance listing • 15% — HYPE flips SOL (3.3x)

👇 One tap to track the full HYPE storyline.

​​🔵 Here's some of the sharpest Traders on Polymarket - their PnL, win rates, biggest positions, and trading style. ➕ Add them to Drops Bot in one click and get notified when they make a move.

​🕊🌎 The PeaceMaker preset just dropped Iran sent a revised peace proposal to the US. Trump says the clock is ticking. Ukraine talks are stuck. Syria wants a security agreement with Israel.

🎵 Polymarket Events: 64% — US x Iran permanent peace deal by end of 2026 59% — US x Iran nuclear deal before 2027 26% — Ukraine x Russia peace deal before 2027 12% — Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30 11% — Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30

🟠 Cerebras just pulled off the biggest U.S. IPO of 2026 so far. AI infrastructure chipmaker now trades at ~$70B market cap. $CBRS needs roughly: • ~83x to Nvidia • ~31x to Broadcom • ~11x to AMD • ~8.5x to Intel

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Meanwhile, trader Loracle ($34M total profit) holds the largest $CBRS short, with liquidation around $699. He is also holding one of the largest $HYPE short, currently down around ~$5M unrealized. 👀Track His Positions in DropsBot:

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⚡️ OpenAI vs Anthropic 🔵 Polymarket gives Anthropic an 87% chance to be valued higher than OpenAI in 2026. 69% Anthropic IPO first 60% OpenAI releases a social network

➕ 👀 Add this events in Drops Bot

🗞 Latest releases: OpenAI • ChatGPT Ads Manager - self-serve ad platform • GPT-Realtime-2 - next-gen voice model Anthropic • Dreaming - post-task agent memory • Multi-agent orchestration - agents delegating to agents • Outcomes - self-evaluation for agents Add Pre-IPO Price Alerts:

🟤 Anthropic $1.3B FDV 🟢 OpenAI $1.1B FDV

Also notable AI presets:

➕ AI Race Best model, AGI, Mythos, AI bubble ➕ Anthropic Preset Model race, IPO odds, Claude releases ➕ AI Beef Musk vs Altman lawsuit odds

👀 The Major Unlocks Coming in May Get token unlock notifications by adding coins to DropsBot:

➕ PYTH $123M (37% of M.Cap) ➕ ZRO $37.4M (9.8% of M.Cap) ➕ H $30.6M (7.2% of M.Cap) ➕ HUMA $10.5M (26% of M.Cap) ➕ GRASS $11.4M (5.4% of M.Cap)

Always fresh info on vesting schedules: 👉 Token Unlocks and Vesting Schedules

AI is everywhere. Now the alerts are too. 👇 Tap your favorite tickers to add price alerts instantly in 👀DropsBot:

🧵 AI / Chips / Compute ➕ NVDA · GOOGL · MSFT · AMZN ➕ TSM · META · ORCL · CRWV ➕ INTC · AMD · SKHX · MU · 🟤🟢 Pre-IPO ➕ OPENAI · ANTHROPIC · SPACEX · XAI · ANDURIL 🤖 Crypto AI: ➕ TAO · RENDER · WLD

🛢 Oil is ripping as the Strait remains mostly blocked, Trump keeps the pressure on Iran, and markets are now pricing the “what if WTI goes $120?” scenario. 👉 🔵 Track the Hormuz storyline:

• Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by end of may? 28% • WTI Crude hit $120 in May? 46% • Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? 17%

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➕ WTI 🛢 ➕ BRENT 🛢