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https://twitter.com/amitabhvatsya/status/1763125802801971407?s=19 Sadhan On latest Buzzing Recycling Stock
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A growth stock which never stopped growing ! This 3 year old video never ages just like ACE !
8X so far !!!https://youtu.be/SW_nkp2xL6E?si=vBPq46IOTaFMIwgw
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CRISIL webinar on Renewables*
*Summary*
➡️ 108GWH solar, wind, and storage capacity to be added by FY28, 75% net addition in the next 4 years from renewable energy.
➡️ INR 5trn of debt funding is expected to be required for the overall capacity addition.
➡️ Developer receivable has been improved by 70 days which helps in increasing the net debt to EBITDA to 6.8.
➡️ 80% of energy growth is coming from the solar segment.
*Key highlights*
*Future Growth*
➡️ 108GWH solar, wind, and storage capacity to be added by FY28, 75% net addition in the next 4 years from renewable energy.
➡️ All RE addition is expected to be added from Solar and wind.
➡️ 75 % of the net addition of power will be from renewable power.
➡️ Rising renewable capacity, Govt focus, and auction pace to pave the way for 8 GW storage capex by FY28.
➡️ Government is focusing on ramping the activities, 90 GWH capacity has been auctioned in the last 9 months.
➡️ Annual auction transition of 50GWh, to build a capacity of 10GWH per annual in the next 5 years.
➡️ New transmission line building to coincide with the energy growth.
➡️ Healthy pipeline 65GWH solar and wind as of Dec’23 which is to be activated in the next 2 years.
➡️ 80% of energy growth is coming from the solar segment.
*Solar*
➡️ Global model prices are the impact of the higher growth.
➡️ 25% fallen in FY23 under Mono-perc module price,
➡️ Manufacturing takes time to come up,
➡️ Duties have been introduced on the imported models.
➡️ Many are building the module manufacturing is expected to grow to 88gwh by Mar’26.
➡️ Additional capabilities of 14GW are expected to be enlisted and available in FY25.
➡️ The module is manufactured to support solar expansion.
➡️ Solar remains the preferred mode of capacity addition with tariffs in ranges of Rs 2.5-2.6 to give lucrative returns.
*Wind*
➡️ contribute 10% to the overall energy generation in the last 4 years
➡️ Wind capacity to double in the next 4 years driven by high-capacity utilization.
➡️ Debt of Wind manufacturers has come down INR 1000cr in FY23 from INR~14000cr in FY20.
➡️ Govt policy pushed storage infrastructure,
➡️ Grant issue up to 40% of the cost of the battery, and many other benefits will help in 8GWH capacity addition till FY28
*Storage*
➡️ Storage tariff stood in the range of INR 7.5 to 9 per unit,
➡️ Risk for the developer has been declined.
➡️ Aug 22, the LPS scheme implemented which resulted in the better receivable has been improved as Maharashtra's receivable days have been declined to 150 from 350 days.
➡️ Two technologies of the Pumped hydro and battery storage based on LIthum Ion.
*Financial Performance*
➡️ Edita and profitability remain in the expected range.
➡️ Net debt to EBITDA is expected to come down 6.8 in FY24E from 7.6 in FY22.
➡️ Solar tariff is expected to range from 2.5 to 2.6.
➡️ Developers Receivable has been improved by 70 days which helps in increasing the net debt to EBITDA to 6.8.
➡️ The receivables of developers are to come down in the next few years and the discoms are making timely payments.
➡️ The leverage is down due to timely payments and capex reduction,. The capex is to be maintained.
➡️ LPS and increasing share of central off-takers reduced receivables by 70 days since March 2022
*Others*
➡️ 50% of the global energy growth is from renewable energy
➡️ In FY23 renewable bidding was stood at 15GWh which increased to 50GWH in FY24.
➡️ In the next 2/3 years expected to commission renewables growth opportunity
➡️ 1.8GWH capacity addition was done in the Jan’24, in FY24 ~14GWH of capacity addition to be done through solar.
➡️ 30Gwh through solar and wind 4/5GWH capacity addition is expected in FY25.
➡️ The financial performance of many players have been improved.
➡️ The sources of the funding for renewable has been enveloped Through increasing the bank participation.
➡️ INR 5trn of debt funding is expected to be required for the 108GWH capacity addition.
➡️ FDR and RTC tenders, have a significant amount of merchant tender,
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https://twitter.com/amitabhvatsya/status/1759806640490987888?s=19 Best of Thermax Q3 FY24 Concall
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Shilchar was an Alpha Accelerator ( May 2023 ) & Advait is an Multibagger Project ( Sep 2023) . Both investment strategies are under Sadhan Membership https://learn.amitabhvatsya.com/learn/Sadhan-Practitioner-Membership
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JAKEDA Invites Bids for Grid-Connected Solar Projects: Solarizing 4,000 Agricultural Pumps in Jammu and Kashmir - SolarQuarter
https://solarquarter.com/2024/02/14/jakeda-invites-bids-for-grid-connected-solar-projects-solarizing-4000-agricultural-pumps-in-jammu-and-kashmir/
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