Choice Commodity Research
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Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk:Sell CRUDEOIL|17AUG26 CE 7800.00 in Commodity @ 110.20 SL 150.20 TGT 0.10
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk:Buy SILVERMIC|31AUG26 in Commodity @ 238616.00 SL 236908.00 TGT 242032.00
Sumeet Bagadia's Desk: Book Full Profit in CRUDEOIL strategy
Approx. Profit of Rs. 6960 at cmp.
Weekly CFTC Speculative Positioning
WTI Crude: Speculative net longs rose 4,034 contracts to 105,860, signalling stronger bullish positioning.
🔥 Natural Gas: Speculative net shorts declined 18,848 contracts to 70,241, indicating reduced bearish exposure.
🥇 Gold: Speculative net longs increased 9,470 contracts to 141,868, reflecting improved bullish sentiment.
🥈 Silver: Net longs fell 755 contracts to 10,312, showing slightly weaker positioning.
🟠 Copper: Speculative net longs climbed 3,085 contracts to 80,880, highlighting stronger bullish conviction.
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Dollar Update
The dollar index fell to around 99.5, extending its third straight decline as weak US data reduced Fed hike expectations. Markets now see a 67% chance of a September hold, while investors await FOMC minutes and Jackson Hole guidance.
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Rupee Update
The Indian rupee weakened to around 95.49 per dollar, hitting two-week lows after the RBI advanced the FCNR(B) forex swap deadline. Elevated oil prices, strong importer hedging and concerns over future dollar inflows pressured sentiment despite a softer dollar and stronger forex reserves.
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Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk : Book Full Profit @ 238900.00...Buy in Commodity SILVERMIC|31AUG26 @ 236517.00 SL 234750.00 TGT 240051.00
Global Market Heatmap
Global markets were mixed, with the Nasdaq 100 (+0.28%) and S&P 500 (+0.06%) edging higher, while the Dow Jones (-0.14%) and Russell 2000 (-0.08%) declined.
Crude oil strengthened, with WTI at $82.64 and Brent at $89.01, while natural gas fell 2.63%.
Metals were broadly positive, led by copper (+1.59%), silver (+0.92%) and gold (+0.26%).
The US dollar eased 0.13%, while the euro, yen and pound gained modestly.
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk : Exit @ 4.55...Buy in Commodity NATURALGAS|24AUG26 CE 270.00 @ 5.30 SL 4.00 TGT 7.90
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk : Book Profit @ 348.70...Buy in Commodity ALUMINIUM|31AUG26 @ 348.30 SL 347.20 TGT 350.50
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk:Buy NATURALGAS|24AUG26 CE 270.00 in Commodity @ 5.30 SL 4.00 TGT 7.90
*US Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment*
Actual : 51.0
Forecast : 54.7
Prev.: 55.2
Impact: Positive for Bullion
US Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations
Actual : 4.3%
Prev.: 4.2%
Impact : Negative for Bullion
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk : Book Part Profit @ 237800.00...Buy in Commodity SILVERMIC|31AUG26 @ 236517.00 SL 234750.00 TGT 240051.00
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk:Buy ALUMINIUM|31AUG26 in Commodity @ 348.30 SL 347.20 TGT 350.50
*US Core Retail Sales m/m*
Actual : -0.3%
Forecast : 0.2%
Prev.: 0.2%
Impact: Positive for Bullion
*US Retail Sales m/m*
Actual : -0.6%
Forecast : 0.1%
Prev.: 0.2%
Impact: Positive for Bullion
Sumeet Bagadia’s Desk : Book Full Profit @ 237120.00...Buy in Commodity SILVERMIC|31AUG26 @ 234540.00 SL 232721.00 TGT 238178.00
