MCL

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📊 WEEK-END UPDATE Another strong week for us. Our current equity is around $6,600, while the balance remains around $8,500. We are still carrying approximately 22% drawdown, but the risk remains managed and, most importantly, our current positions remain strong. Last weekend, we closed the week with equity around $3,850. Today, equity is around $6,600, meaning we have achieved approximately +71% growth in equity over the past week. 🚀 🎯 Our next target: $10,000 We are targeting $10,000 within the next two weeks. Once the current drawdown is recovered and our open positions move in our expected direction, we believe reaching this target becomes significantly easier. The priority remains the same: Manage risk → recover drawdown → protect capital → continue compounding. We are not interested in taking unnecessary risks just to accelerate the process. The current market environment remains highly volatile, and we will continue adjusting our exposure according to market conditions. 🌍 Market Outlook Coming Next We will publish another post with a brief overview of the current macroeconomic and geopolitical situation, including our expectations for gold, oil, equities, currencies and Bitcoin. Stay tuned. 📈

🇺🇸 NFP — Today’s Key Market Scenarios Today’s U.S. Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) could be one of the most important catalysts for gold and Treasury yields in the short term. The market is currently expecting around 55–56K new jobs, with unemployment expected to remain around 4.1%. From our perspective, there are two main scenarios: 🟢 Scenario 1 — Very Weak NFP NFP < 55K + Unemployment ≥ 4.1% This would be the scenario most likely to put additional pressure on yields and reduce expectations for further Fed tightening. A weaker labor market would increase the probability that policymakers remain cautious on rates, potentially pushing Treasury yields lower and creating a stronger environment for gold. Probability: ~50% Expected Gold range: $4,500–$4,600 This is the scenario we consider most supportive for our bullish gold view. 🔴 Scenario 2 — NFP ≥ 55K + Unemployment unchanged If payrolls come in at or above 55K while unemployment remains at 4.1%, the market could interpret the labor market as sufficiently resilient. That could keep Treasury yields elevated and maintain pressure on gold through the higher-yield environment. Expected Gold range: $4,350–$4,450 🎯 What We Are Watching The reaction in Treasury yields will be just as important as the NFP headline itself. Gold has already benefited from the recent decline in yields and a weaker dollar ahead of today's report. Therefore, our key sequence is: NFP → Fed expectations → Treasury yields → USD → Gold For us, the most important signal today will not simply be whether NFP beats or misses expectations, but whether the data is weak enough to create a sustained decline in yields. We will remain cautious around the release because volatility can be extreme, and we prefer controlled exposure rather than taking unnecessary risk during the first reaction.

Macro & Geopolitical Roadmap — September Outlook Here is a quick roadmap of what we currently see regarding the major macroeconomic changes and geopolitical risks shaping the markets. There are three main assets currently drawing the attention of U.S. Treasury officials and policymakers: 1. U.S. Treasury Yields U.S. Treasury yields are currently at elevated levels, reaching highs not seen since January 2025 and October 2023. This remains one of the key concerns for U.S. policymakers, as persistently high yields increase borrowing costs and create additional pressure on the economy. This is one of the reasons policymakers are increasingly focused on measures such as the Treasury buyback program, which began yesterday. If we see a meaningful decline in Treasury yields, this could provide a strong supportive environment for gold, particularly as lower yields reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets. 2. Japanese Yen The Japanese Yen reached around 160 against the U.S. dollar on September 1, before recovering toward the 155 area following intervention-related actions over the last two days. For now, the Yen appears relatively settled. We don't currently see a strong risk/reward opportunity to establish either a major long or short position. 3. Oil Oil remains the biggest unresolved issue. Prices are still elevated relative to the levels U.S. policymakers would ideally like to see. Prolonged high oil prices create additional inflationary pressure and, if sustained, could become a significant threat to global economic growth. We have been strongly short on oil since last week. The position remains a losing trade at the moment, but our expectation is that it could become significantly profitable sooner rather than later if oil prices begin to normalize and the macroeconomic environment does not deteriorate further. Our Current Market Positioning Given the elevated volatility and geopolitical risks, we have decided to remain relatively cautious for the moment. We were strong buyers of gold throughout the last three weeks, but given the current volatility, we are temporarily staying away from aggressive exposure and focusing only on smaller positions with tightly managed risk. Our current view: Gold: Bullish, but trading with reduced exposure due to volatility. JPY: Relatively neutral for now; no attractive opportunity to buy or sell aggressively. Oil: Bearish. We remain positioned for a potential decline. Equities: We expect a strong September and see significant upside potential. Bitcoin: Bullish. Our September Base Case Our current macro view is: Equities ↑ | Gold ↑ | Oil ↓ | BTC ↑ We expect an exceptional September across risk assets, provided geopolitical tensions do not escalate significantly and financial conditions begin to ease. As always, our positioning can change quickly if the underlying macroeconomic or geopolitical picture changes. Risk management remains the priority, especially during periods of elevated volatility.

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📊 Thursday Update — Strong Progress Continues Our last reported equity was around $5,700, and it has now increased to approximately $6,200. Meanwhile, our balance has reached $8,400, and we remain on track toward our short-term target of $10,000, which could potentially be reached by mid-next week, depending on market conditions. ⚠️ Current Drawdown & Risk Management We are currently around 25% drawdown, but the risk remains actively managed. We also have a very strong market view, which we will share with you in more detail later. Please keep in mind that, if necessary for risk-management purposes, we may partially or completely close some or all of our current positions at a loss at any time. Protecting the account and managing risk will always take priority over maintaining individual positions. 🚨 IMPORTANT — Copy Trading Settings For now, DO NOT use the copy-trading option that allows old positions to be opened when you start to copy. We recommend copying without the option to open old positions until we notify to do it. We will update you once we believe the setting should be changed. Make sure that when you follow us your account is activated to receive our signals. 💰 Capital Management We strongly recommend having at least $1,000 in your copy-trading account. As we grow our capital, you should grow yours accordingly to maintain appropriate position sizing and risk management. We are continuing to manage the account carefully while targeting the next milestone: 🎯 $10,000 — Next Short-Term Target Stay disciplined. The market can change quickly, and risk management remains our highest priority.

📈 Weekly Performance Update It has been a very challenging week, and we would like to thank everyone who kept their faith in our strategy and trading approach. This week, our drawdown exceeded the previous maximum of 63%, reaching approximately 70% before the recovery began. Despite this, we managed to generate around 80% growth for the week, demonstrating the strong relationship between risk and return. 📊 Current Statistics • Starting Balance (last week): $2,000 • Current Balance: $7,600 • Current Equity: $5,700 • No withdrawals have been made so far We currently have positions in drawdown, with equity approximately 25% below the peak balance level. If these positions recover as expected, we estimate the account could reach at least $8,000, representing approximately 300% growth from last week’s starting balance. Our risk has now returned to a more normal and controlled level. We remain focused on disciplined risk management and adapting to market conditions. 🎯 Next Milestones • Short-term target: $10,000 • Long-term objective: $100,000 by next year Thank you again for your trust, patience, and continued support throughout this journey. The road has not been easy, but we remain committed to executing our plan with discipline and consistency.