Spencer Li (Synapse Trading)

Monthly Market Wrap (May 2026) The month of May 2026 will be remembered as the moment two structural forces — the AI earnings supercycle and the Iran war's de-escalation — combined to produce one of the most dramatic equity rallies in a generation. The S&P 500 closed out nine consecutive weekly gains, its longest winning streak since December 2023, powered almost entirely by a technology sector that reported blended earnings growth of 28.6% against a backdrop of rising inflation, a new Federal Reserve chair, and a geopolitical environment that remained fragile even as it improved. The rally was real, the earnings were genuine, and the narrowness of the leadership was a warning. Markets are entering June with record index levels, a tentative Iran peace deal, and a macro setup that will punish any complacency. Read full blog post: https://synapsetrading.com/?p=49875

Our recent trades are on fire! 🔥💪🏻💰 Results log: https://synapsetrading.com/trade-log-results/ Join our signals: https://synapsetrading.com/daily-trading-signals/

Took profit on CRWD (42% profit!) and rotated into semicon and memory chips, and a few days later they are up 20%+! 🔥💪🏻💰

Final reminder for the last few spots before we close registration tomorrow! 🔥💪🏻💰

Monthly Market Wrap (March 2026) While the month of March was characterized by the initial shock of open hostilities between the United States and Iran, leading to the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, April witnessed a profound decoupling of financial assets from geopolitical volatility. This period was marked by the S&P 500 delivering a 10.5% monthly return, a rare occurrence documented only 13 times in the last half-century, as investors looked past the immediate fog of war to capitalize on the accelerating artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure build-out. The narrative of the month was one of structural economic resilience, where robust corporate earnings and productivity-enhancing business investment countered the headwinds of double-digit energy inflation and a hawkish shift in global monetary expectations. Read full blog post: https://synapsetrading.com/?p=49865

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Trade Log Update: Closed and took profit on quite a few trades, and also opened a few new positions. Some of the new positions like LIT, LITE, MO are already up 7-9% in just a few days. Swing trading is about capturing 10-20% swings over 1-2 weeks, with minimal risk and effort. And once in a while you get a huge winner that goes up more than 50%.

What you get with the TMP Intake: - 15-Minute System: Strategies designed for busy professionals. If you have 15 minutes a day, you have enough time to trade. - The Hybrid Engine: Access to our proprietary screener scanning 1,000+ assets (US Equities, ETFs, Commodities, and Crypto) every second. - Lifetime Mentoring: Unlimited re-sits of our 2-day live training and lifetime access to our insider community. ⚠️ LIMITED SLOTS AVAILABLE To maintain quality, each intake is strictly limited to 15 new applicants. Questions? Drop us a message on Telegram @iamrecneps or WhatsApp +65-8897-1204. Additional Information & Links: Program information: https://synapsetrading.com/the-synapse-program Trade Log & Results: https://synapsetrading.com/trade-log-results/ Trading Signals Explained: https://synapsetrading.com/daily-trading-signals Testimonials & feedback: https://synapsetrading.com/testimonials/ Registration form & dates: https://forms.gle/eDxj7t52VXgYRXLn6 Special promo link (SGD 3280): https://buy.stripe.com/4gw5nsfkk4vmd4k28Q

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Update on our current open positions! 🔥💪🏻💰

Monthly Market Wrap (March 2026) The global financial landscape in March 2026 underwent a structural transformation, as a period of relative economic resilience was abruptly superseded by a regime of heightened geopolitical volatility and supply-side inflationary impulses. At the core of this transition was the escalation of hostilities between the United States, Israel, and Iran, which culminated in the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz—a maritime chokepoint responsible for the transit of approximately one-fifth of the world’s petroleum and liquefied natural gas (LNG). This disruption introduced a stagflationary shock that effectively dismantled the "soft landing" consensus that had prevailed since the start of the year, leading to the worst monthly performance for the S&P 500 since September 2022. Read full blog post: https://synapsetrading.com/?p=49816

Monthly Market Wrap (February 2026) The month of February 2026 represents a seminal inflection point in American monetary history, defined by a shift from the cautious, data-dependent stance of the Jerome Powell era toward a more disciplined, rules-based doctrine following the nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Chair of the Federal Reserve. This transition occurred against a backdrop of complex economic signals, where the lagging effects of a 2025 government shutdown collided with robust January labor data, creating a paradox of cooling growth and stubborn inflation. The “Warsh Shock,” as dubbed by market participants, triggered a violent repricing across all major asset classes, as investors recalibrated expectations for a central bank that would prioritize currency stability and balance sheet reduction over asset price support. Read full blog post: https://synapsetrading.com/?p=49812

Monthly Market Wrap (January 2026) January 2026 will be recorded in financial history as a month of profound regime change, a period where the tectonic plates of geopolitics, monetary policy, and market structure shifted simultaneously, generating extreme volatility and forcing a re-evaluation of risk premiums across every major asset class. The month began with a decisive reassertion of American hard power in the Western Hemisphere and concluded with a dramatic reshaping of the Federal Reserve’s leadership trajectory, events that collectively dismantled the “soft landing” consensus that had prevailed entering the year. Read full blog post: https://synapsetrading.com/?p=49808

Monthly Market Wrap (December 2025) December 2025 marked the conclusion of a tumultuous yet resilient year for global financial markets, characterized by a complex interplay of monetary easing, geopolitical escalation, and the persistent dominance of the artificial intelligence investment theme. The month served as a microcosm of the broader 2025 narrative: equities grinded higher despite structural economic cracks, while safe-haven assets—specifically gold—reached historic valuations amid renewed global instability. Read full blog post: https://synapsetrading.com/?p=49803

NFP Analysis The Government Drag is Real: The shocking -105,000 job loss in October was largely driven by a reduction of ~162,000 federal government jobs (deferred buyouts/shrinking initiatives). This confirms that fiscal austerity is now a headwind for the economy. removing a buffer that had previously supported job numbers. Private Sector is Stalling: If you strip out the "noise" of government firing, the private sector is in a "low-hire, low-fire" mode. Businesses aren't laying people off en masse yet, but they have stopped hiring. The Unemployment Trend is Dangerous: The jump to 4.6% unemployment is significant. In labor economics, once the unemployment rate starts drifting up by 0.5% or more from its cycle low (which was ~3.4%), it historically does not stop until it hits a recessionary peak. We are perilously close to triggering recession indicators like the "Sahm Rule." Inflation is Dead: Wage growth collapsing to +0.1% MoM is the final nail in the coffin for wage-spiral inflation. This gives the Fed "green light" permission to slash rates without worrying about reigniting price hikes. What This Means Going Forward This report cements the path for 2026. The Fed is no longer fighting inflation; they are now fighting to prevent a recession. Expect them to cut rates at the January meeting and potentially signal a steeper path of cuts throughout the first half of 2026.

Latest NFP Report

Monthly Market Wrap (September 2025) November 2025 marked a pivotal month across financial markets, characterized by a sharp pivot in macro expectations, a widening of equity market leadership, and breakout moves in crypto and precious metals. The dominant theme was the market’s conviction that the global monetary tightening cycle is effectively over. Read full blog post: https://synapsetrading.com/?p=49799

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Thankfully we dodged the bullet. 🙏🏻