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Посты канала
🌍 Global Cues…… Risk-On Watch! 📈
🇺🇸 US #Treasury #Yields steady, but could cool off as #JGB yields are already easing.
💵 #DXY at 101.84 (-0.09%) — slight relief.
🥇 #Gold at $4,199 (+1.03%)
Upside momentum above $4,268.
🥈 #Silver at $60.32 (+1.52%)
Upside triggers above $62 and $63.80.
📈 Could #RISKON trades make a comeback?
Cooling yields, a softer dollar and a strong rebound in metals could support risk appetite.
🇮🇳 Indian markets need to capitalise on improving global cues.
Watch the breakout levels. Confirmation is key. 🎯
| 2 | And as we head into the weekend… 👀
What could trigger a relief rally? 🇮🇳📈
1️⃣ US–IRAN 🇺🇸🇮🇷
Both sides have indicated negotiations through mediators. Any meaningful breakthrough could ease #CrudeOil prices and improve global risk sentiment.
2️⃣ Market-related reforms 💰
Could we see some relief on the capital-market tax front? Any positive announcement could lift sentiment.
⚠️ But remember: Rumours on both fronts have circulated earlier too.
Until something concrete emerges, it's all speculation.
Hope for positive surprises, but let actual developments confirm the story. 🎯
#Nifty #Sensex #IndianMarkets | 202 |
| 3 | Global Cues…… TDT-1 🌍📈
Want to focus ONLY on positives today! 😀😀
🛢️ #CrudeOil slightly lower, though the US Gulf hurricane and #Hormuz supply risks offer support.
📉 #BondYields easing slightly.
🇺🇸 US yields steady: 30Y 5.61% | 10Y 5.229%
🇯🇵 #JGB yields lower.
🇺🇸 US markets closed mixed amid profit booking in #AI stocks.
📈 #DowFut +101 pts
🌏 Asia mixed, but beaten-down EMs are bouncing:
🇭🇰 #HangSeng +1.01%
🇵🇭 #PSEiComposite +1.68%
🇮🇩 #IDXComposite +0.24%
🇮🇳 Indian Markets: A ray of hope!
Global cues look supportive and could help the heavily OVERSOLD indices recover.
🎯 Playing for a sharp short-covering rally.
#GiftNifty +80 pts — a strong close would be welcome!
Hope for the best, but let price action confirm. 📊 | 186 |
| 4 | 🚨 #RBI POLICY
#RBI hikes #RepoRate by 25 bps to 5.50%.
As expected by many market participants.
Now the focus shifts to RBI guidance and its stance on inflation, growth & liquidity. | 238 |
| 5 | 🌍 Global cues......TDT-1
#Bond #Yields rising relentlessly. #JGB 30Y hits fresh ATH.
🇯🇵 Japan: 10Y 3.12% | 30Y 4.240%
🇺🇸 US: 30Y 5.677% | 10Y 5.321% — fresh multi-year highs
💵 #DXY 101.92, near multi-week high
💴 #USDJPY 157.99 — Yen steady
🛢️ #CrudeOil lower
#WTI $89.65 | #Brent $100.61
Spread ~$11
📈 Equities slightly better
#Nasdaq hits fresh ATH amid #Anthropic IPO optimism
#DowFut +0.17% | #NasdaqFut +0.08%
Asia:
#Nikkei +0.57% | #Kospi -0.97% | #Taiwan +0.07%
EMs:
#HangSeng +0.77% | #IDXComposite +0.99% | #PSEiComposite -0.54%
⚠️ Key watch: Rising global yields + strong dollar remain a headwind for EMs, including #India. | 260 |
| 6 | 🇮🇳 Indian Markets
The bullish view from 23,800–24,000 has turned loss-making in the short run as markets continue to take out multiple support zones.
#Nifty below 22,800 — technically oversold, while valuation also looks relatively stretched to the downside with PE around 19.5.
Now the market is trying to find a support/bottom.
Key question: What should investors & traders do?
👨💼 Investors:
Corrections can offer opportunities to accumulate selectively.
At the index level, Indian markets have delivered little progress over the last ~2 years, while corporate earnings are improving, credit growth remains strong and economic indicators have largely stayed resilient.
If these trends continue, a stronger turnaround remains possible.
📊 Traders:
Short-term trend remains down, but the market is entering a potential reversal zone.
Wait for confirmation:
#Nifty 23,580–23,622 → bullish confirmation zone.
Key Levels
#Nifty: 22,700–22,750 support
Intraday hurdles: 22,890–22,911
#BankNifty 54,471.65
Support: 54,000–54,100
Hurdles: 54,900–55,150
Trend reversal: above 56,900
#NiftyIT 28,086.50
Support: 27,680–27,800
Hurdles: 28,380–28,550
Overall:
I have maintained a bullish view from 23,500–24,000. After the sharp correction, risk/reward has become more favorable, but volatility remains high.
At the same time, the potential upside from a confirmed reversal appears sizeable.
Patience + confirmation + risk management remain key.
#markets | 351 |
| 7 | 🌍 Global Cues…… TDT-2
⚠️ RISK-OFF across global markets as rate-hike fears continue to dent sentiment.
🪙 #Commodities:
#Gold & #Silver witnessed their biggest intraday fall in recent times.
🥇 #Gold $4168
Below key support $4180–4240.
Needs to regain this zone for meaningful recovery.
Next support: $4110
🥈 #Silver $61.11
Support around $60.
Needs to clear $63–64 for uptrend to resume.
📊 Technically, both appear to be in W-2 (EW counts) and should find support around current levels.
🔄 Trend reversal:
Gold > $4440
Silver > $65
🟠 #Copper $14,460
Still holding above support — clear out-performer.
📉 #Equities: Lower across the globe.
🇺🇸 #DowFut -0.19%
#NasdaqFut -0.37%
Despite the recent fall, US markets remain near ATHs.
🌏 Asia: Mostly lower, but some indices showing early signs of rebound.
#Nikkei -1.19%
#Kospi -0.65%
#Taiwan -0.36%
👀 Watch for possible turnaround:
#HangSeng -0.81%
#PSEiComposite +0.03%
#IDXComposite -1.65%
🇮🇳 After yesterday’s sharp sell-off, #GiftNifty is signaling a flat opening for Indian markets.
Key question: Can global markets stabilize after the recent risk-off move? | 251 |
| 8 | 🌍 Global Cues…… TDT-1
🇺🇸🇮🇷 US–Iran: Deadlock continues over a deal to reopen #Hormuz.
Iranian FM Abbas Araghchi says Tehran expects a US response “hopefully” by Tuesday as mediation continues.
🛢️ #CrudeOil: Some correction
#Brent $99.46
📈 #Bond #Yields: No relief — moving higher
30Y: 5.552%
10Y: 5.245%
💵 #Dollar: Steady
#DXY 100.93
Overall: No meaningful relief from the data yet.
#Geopolitical uncertainties continue to drive market sentiment. | 214 |
| 9 | 🌍 Global cues........TDT-1
#UNGA in focus 🇺🇳
Iranian FM #Araghchi has arrived in New York. With #Trump also in New York, scope for diplomatic discussions on the #USIran front remains in focus. Qatar is also pushing for a possible short-term agreement.
🇺🇦🇷🇺 On #RussiaUkraine, fresh diplomatic efforts continue, although no breakthrough has been confirmed yet.
📉 US 10Y: 4.927%
💵 DXY: 100.08
💴 USDJPY: 157.40
🇺🇸 US markets closed with strong gains — #SP500 & #Nasdaq remain close to life highs.
🌏 Asian markets mostly GREEN.
🛢️ #CrudeOil steady after Monday's sharp decline.
#Brent ~$101.31
Net-net: Global cues remain broadly supportive for RISK-ON trades.
Geopolitical headlines remain the key swing factor. | 325 |
| 10 | 📊 NIFTY 23,400 | MORNING VIEW
💻 IT stocks may support today as ADRs show strength.
🏦 HDFCBank: Strong Friday short-covering + positive news flow.
If HDFC Bank rallies, indices could get a meaningful lift.
🔹 RIL / ITC near crucial supports → bounce possible.
📈 Deeply OVERSOLD zone — chances of an upside recovery look higher.
⚠️ Headwinds: Crude oil 🔥 | Possible Fed rate hike
🎯 Key levels
Nifty: 23,580–23,622
BankNifty: 56,900–57,400
NiftyIT: 29,600
Break & sustain above these → further up-move likely. 🚀 | 428 |
| 11 | 🌍 GLOBAL CUES — TDT-2
🇺🇸 US Markets: Lower
#AI & #Chip stocks corrected on growth concerns.
Dow Fut: -0.19% | Nasdaq: +0.04%
🌏 Asia: Mixed
Nikkei +0.77%
Kospi +0.13%
Hang Seng -0.48%
🪙 #Commodities: Flat amid higher #yields & rate-hike fears
#Gold $4,352 | #Silver $64 | #Copper +0.13%
⚡ Volatility likely.
Metals at key support zones → bounce possible. 📈 | 347 |
| 12 | 🌍 #GLOBAL CUES — TDT-1
⚠️ #Geopolitical uncertainty persists, keeping Gulf crude supplies under pressure. Positive statements are emerging, but markets want to see real action.
🛢️ #Brent: ~$107/bbl
💵 DXY: 99.30
#Dollar steady ahead of the FOMC.
🚨 US #Bond Yields remain the BIG concern
30-Y: 5.365%
10-Y: 5.009%
#Crude + #Yields = key risks for risk assets. | 283 |
| 13 | 🌏 GLOBAL CUES | TDT-1
⚠️ Geopolitical tensions = short-term uncertainty
📉 US/Japan yields slightly lower
🇨🇳 China trade data — strong
💵 #DXY 98.80
🟡 #Gold $4,483 (+0.70%)
🥈 #Silver $67.66 (+1.40%)
🔶 #Copper fresh LME highs | COMEX +1.22%
🇺🇸 Futures: Dow -0.59% | Nasdaq +0.41%
🌏 ASIA
🇯🇵 Nikkei +0.22% | 🇰🇷 Kospi +2.17%
🇹🇼 Taiwan +0.09% | 🇭🇰 Hang Seng -0.64%
🇮🇩 IDX +0.69% | 🇵🇭 PSEi +0.59%
🇮🇳 GIFT Nifty: No meaningful buying interest → cautious/gap-down opening signal.
Overall: Mixed global cues, strong commodities, softer dollar — but geopolitics remains the key risk. | 260 |
| 14 | Global cues........TDT-3
Global #EquityMarkets remain strong:
🇺🇸 US closed with gains of over 1% across major indices.
#DowFut +0.02%
#NasdaqFut +0.17%
Asia mostly higher:
#Nikkei +0.93%
#Kospi +1.16%
#Taiwan +0.72%
Better placed for a strong rally:
#HangSeng +2.14% 🔥
#IDXComposite +0.08%
#PSEiComposite +0.20%
#GiftNifty slightly positive.
For the last few sessions, #GiftNifty has been more aligned with #HangSeng...
So, if that trend continues, a strong rally in Indian indices looks possible today. 🤞
#Nifty #BankNifty #Markets | 322 |
| 15 | Global cues........TDT-2
#Metals make a strong comeback as a weaker #Dollar and cooling #BondYields support bullish momentum.
#Gold $4519
Resistance: $4545 → $4610
#Silver $67.37
Resistance: $68.20 → $69.80
#Copper — Sideways
Wait & watch mode today. Some profit booking cannot be ruled out ahead of the US Jobs data.
#commodities #metals #employment #data #jobs #FED | 240 |
| 16 | Global cues.........TDT-1
#Geopolitical front remains open-ended. No major positive or negative development overnight.
Some discussions/statements hint at possible negotiations between:
#Russia–#Ukraine
#US–#Iran
#Bond #Yields cooled off globally, but remain at dangerous levels. Borrowing costs are still elevated, with US mortgage rates near multi-year highs.
#CrudeOil remains firm:
#Brent $95.95
#Dollar weakens:
#DXY 98.96
#USDJPY rebounds slightly from yesterday's lows.
Focus now on #BoJ — markets increasingly expect a 25 bps rate hike in the next meeting.
:: Overall trend I expect:
Further correction in #BondYields and #CrudeOil → easing borrowing costs → Positive for #EquityMarkets. 🤞
⚠️ US Monthly Jobs data today will be the key directional trigger for global markets.
#Nifty #Markets #Fed #Dollar | 218 |
| 17 | Global Cues | TDT-3 🌍📈
Global Equity #Indices mostly higher today.
🇺🇸 US Markets: Closed ~0.5% higher
#DowFut +0.11%
#NasdaqFut +0.15%
🌏 Asia mostly GREEN — gains remain moderate:
#Nikkei +0.34%
#Kospi +1.49%
#Taiwan +0.17%
#HangSeng -0.03% (off day's high)
#IDXComposite +0.76%
#PSEiComposite -0.16% (off day's low)
🇮🇳 #GiftNifty slightly positive — but will it sustain the gains? 🤔
🎯 Key Levels:
#Nifty — Close above 24,260 needed for bullish momentum.
#BankNifty — Looks relatively better placed, with focus on large-cap names.
Overall: Positive start, but key breakout levels still need to be reclaimed. | 201 |
| 18 | Global Cues | TDT-2 🌍
#Metals holding key supports. As mentioned earlier, yesterday's close was important — and the positive close across metals is encouraging.
🥇 #Gold $4473
Support held: $4368-$4400
Buying zone: $4400-$4450
Resistance: $4530-$4600
🟢 Bullish | Buy on dips
🥈 #Silver $66.51
Holding support: $65-$66
Breakout above $67.40 → $72+++
🟢 Bullish | Likely Outperformer
🔶 #Copper — Flat, holding supports
Breakout above $14,700 #LME could end consolidation.
Key supports: $13,850-$13,880-$14,190
🛢️ #CrudeOil | Brent $95.52
Resistance: $97-$100
Breakdown only below $93.60
Net-Net: With RISK-ON trades returning, #Metals could move higher.
🎯 Focus now on US Monthly Jobs Data this Friday. | 186 |
| 19 | Global Cues | TDT-1 🌍
No major fresh triggers from the geopolitical front overnight. Situation remains tense, but no major escalation — neutral for markets today.
🇺🇸 US economic data triggers some $ selling
#DXY 99.44 ▼0.11%
📉 #BondYields ticking lower, but still elevated:
• US 30-Y: 5.247% ▼0.40%
• US 10-Y: 4.772% ▼0.46%
Global markets remain at MAKE OR BREAK levels.
The positive: Indices & Metals are holding key supports.
Net-net: Focus remains on #Yields, US economic data & geopolitical developments.
🟢 View: CAUTIOUSLY BULLISH | 172 |
| 20 | 🌍 Global Cues..........TDT
Amid heightened #Geopolitical tensions and rising #BondYields, markets are at an important juncture.
Will supports hold? 🤔
👉 Wait & Watch — with close focus on Bond Yields.
🇺🇸 US 10-Y: 4.81%
⚠️ Needs to break below 4.59% for meaningful relief. Recent bond selling has pushed yields close to 4.8%, while geopolitical tensions and higher oil prices are adding to inflation concerns.
📌 Today's CLOSE will be more important than the opening.
Prices need to hold their respective support zones.
🟡 Supports
#Gold → $4368–$4400
#Silver → $64–$65
#Copper → $13,850–$14,000
🔴 Key Resistance
#Brent → $97–$100
#DXY → 99.80–100.10
⚠️ Bond Yields + Crude + DXY = Key triggers to watch.
Rest will follow...... 👀 | 272 |
