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پستهای کانال
| 2 | ❗️September Signals for US Stocks
For DOW, the start of September this year was its worst since the 2008 global financial crisis. Some experts call it a “sign.”
Others note that SP500 and Nasdaq have not fallen since September began. Historically, September is the weakest month for US stocks, with selling ideally peaking mid-month before a strong Q4.
This year, a “Trump-pump” ahead of the November midterm elections could boost Q4. With the Iran fiasco and other failures, stocks and crypto could give Trump one of his easiest and most visible pre-election victories | 1 591 |
| 3 | Discipline is boring.
Boring makes you rich. | 2 183 |
| 4 | 🇺🇸Fed Decision Nears
Next week, the Fed's rate decision will determine whether the bullish trend continues into the midterms. The market is cooling and waiting for Wednesday.
Polymarket gives an 80% chance of a hike. Goldman Sachs shifted from a hold to a hike forecast. The hike is already almost fully priced in.
What happens to risk assets if Trump's appointee, Warsh, does not hike 1.5 months before the midterms? Next week should be interesting. | 1 677 |
| 5 | 🇺🇸US Bonds Lose Safe-Haven Bid
The classic rule of buying US Treasuries during war has stopped working. The US Treasury announced a tripling of long-term bond buybacks to $6 billion, and yields rose on the news.
The 10-year Treasury yield moved above 4.85% for the first time since November 2023, up 15 basis points from before the announcement. Yields are now up 100 basis points since the ongoing war with Iran began.
The 10-year yield will exceed 5% as early as next week, bringing an unpleasant surprise for US consumers, homebuyers and borrowers | 1 511 |
| 6 | The curse of discipline is that everyday looks the same.
The curse of indiscipline is that every year looks the same. | 2 844 |
| 7 | Trading is really simple, you just need to:
1. Stop trying to get rich this month.
2. Accept that randomness exists.
3. Define one setup.
4. Delete the other five.
5. Risk less than you want to.
6. Cut size in half.
7. Then cut it again.
8. Stop watching PnL during the trade.
9. Decide risk before entry.
10. Never move a stop further away.
11. Know your win rate.
12. Know your average risk-reward.
13. Know your max historical drawdown.
14. Be emotionally prepared for double that drawdown. 15. Stop trading when tired.
16. Stop trading when emotional.
17. Stop trading after revenge impulses.
18. Stop trading to feel productive.
19. Stop trading boredom.
20. Learn to sit on your hands.
21. Learn to miss moves without emotional reaction.
22. Accept that you will never catch every move.
23. Accept that FOMO is self-sabotage.
24. Stop increasing size after a win streak.
25. Stop increasing size after a loss streak.
26. Journal emotional state, not just entries.
27. Identify your tilt pattern.
28. Identify your self-sabotage trigger.
29. Remove the trigger.
30. Build a daily routine.
31. Sleep properly.
32. Train your body.
33. Control caffeine intake.
34. Breathe before entries.
35. Separate self-worth from PnL.
36. Detach from needing to be right.
37. Accept losing trades calmly.
38. Let winners run to plan.
39. Stop micromanaging trades.
40. Backtest at least 200 samples.
41. Forward test small.
42. Prove consistency before scaling.
43. Increase size slowly.
44. Never scale emotionally.
45. Track R, not dollars.
46. Focus on process, not outcome.
47. Measure execution accuracy.
48. Grade yourself weekly.
49. Eliminate one mistake at a time.
50. Avoid strategy hopping.
51. Avoid indicator addiction.
52. Avoid over-optimization.
53. Avoid copying random traders.
54. Build conviction through data.
55. Trade one session.
56. Trade one instrument.
57. Master one timeframe.
58. Understand volatility conditions.
59. Define when not to trade.
60. Define invalidation clearly.
61. Accept missed profits.
62. Respect maximum daily loss.
63. Stop trading after hitting daily max loss.
64. Stop trading after emotional spikes.
65. Review screenshots daily.
66. Review losing trades deeper than winners.
67. Identify if you cut winners early.
68. Identify if you hold losers too long.
69. Fix asymmetry.
70. Protect capital aggressively.
71. Treat capital as inventory.
72. Understand position sizing math.
73. Respect compounding.
74. Avoid all-in mentality.
75. Avoid “this is the one” thinking.
76. Trade like a statistician.
77. Build tolerance for drawdowns.
78. Accept flat months.
79. Accept slow growth.
80. Accept boredom.
81. Build patience intentionally.
82. Train focus daily.
83. Reduce dopamine addiction.
84. Avoid constant comparison.
85. Stop looking for holy grails.
86. Accept you are the main variable.
87. Accept your psychology matters more than entries. 88. Accept uncertainty permanently.
89. Protect downside first.
90. Scale only after consistency.
91. Never trade to recover.
92. Never trade to prove.
93. Never trade to escape.
94. Trade to execute, nothing more.
95. Stay small until stable.
96. Prioritize survival over speed.
97. Build emotional stability before size.
98. Respect your system even when bored.
99. Think in years, not days.
100. Stay in the game long enough to let probability work. | 2 213 |
| 8 | 📉Burry Trade Turns Both Ways
The popular narrative was simple: long what Michael Burry shorts and print profits. Today showed it works both ways.
Lululemon shares fell to their lowest since 2018, down 20% on yesterday’s report. The company makes socks, but it is Burry’s largest long position.
The stock is now about 60% below his entry. | 1 393 |
| 9 | 🪙Nakamoto Shares Collapse
Shares of Nakamoto, the Bitcoin company backed by Trump supporter David Bailey, have fallen 99% from their all-time high.
The businessman raised about $760 million for the company last year, but its shares plunged after a merger and stock-market debut in May 2025. The drop effectively destroyed its model of issuing new shares to buy cryptocurrency.
Nakamoto is now shifting strategy toward share buybacks and assets capable of generating stable cash flow | 1 775 |
| 10 | Trading is so fckng hard because life teaches you that losing is bad.
But in trading, a loss isn’t a failure if you followed your rules.
You can do everything right and still lose.
Learning to detach your ego from the outcome is the entire career | 2 010 |
| 11 | Trading isn’t a side hustle.
It’s a war against your your emotions and your need to be right.
If you’re not ready for total mental discipline, go sell T-shirts instead | 2 870 |
| 12 | 🔴AI Risk Beyond Unemployment
Researchers mathematically concluded that artificial intelligence could lead to a tragedy worse than mass unemployment.
The main risk is the gradual destruction of people’s ability to perform work well. Automation of basic tasks saves company budgets but also breaks the training pipeline for deep expertise.
Within a generation, there may be no specialists left to oversee algorithmic errors and preserve intellectual independence | 2 646 |
| 13 | One system.
One trade a day.
Accept the outcome, win or lose.
Do it 90 days without breaking once.
Welcome to profitability. | 3 163 |
| 14 | “The best traders don’t try to predict every move - they manage risk and execute their edge consistently. Your job isn’t to be right on every trade; it’s to follow your plan with discipline. In the long run, consistency beats certainty every time.”
Mark Douglas | 2 261 |
| 15 | Michael Saylor, Bitcoin’s largest institutional holder, likely sold at the cycle bottom for the second cycle in a row.
Save these indicators | 1 945 |
| 16 | Did You Use Online Resources for Study? | 1 |
| 17 | . | 1 |
| 18 | . | 1 |
| 19 | . | 1 |
| 20 | . | 1 |
