Oceania Elects Official

New Zealand, Curia poll: Mount Albert electorate White (Labour-Centre-left): 33% (-1) Lee (National-Centre-right): 32% (-2) Menéndez March (Green-Green): 14% (-10) Wong (Opportunity-Centre): 10% (+7) Eden-Whaitiri (NZ-First-*): 5% (new) Price (ACT-Libertarian): 3% (-1) +/- vs. 2023 result Fieldwork: 21-28 September 2026 Sample size: 500 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

New Zealand, Horizon Research poll: Māori roll voters Green (Green): 31% (+22) Labour (Centre-left): 30% (-14) Māori (Indigenous): 18% (-12) Opportunity (Centre): 7% (+6) National (Centre-right): 4% (-1) ACT (Libertarian): 3% (+2) NZ First (*): 2% (-3) TTTP (*): 1% (new) +/- vs. 2023 result Fieldwork: 08-18 September 2026 Sample size: 607 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

New Zealand, Curia poll: Te Tai Hauāuru electorate Ngarewa-Packer (Māori-Indigenous): 46% (-18) Katene (Labour-Centre-left): 34% (+6) Raukawa (National-Centre-right): 13% (+7) +/- vs. 2023 result Fieldwork: 14-24 September 2026 Sample size: 500 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

New Zealand, Curia poll: Te Tai Tonga electorate Ramsden (Labour-Centre-left): 36% (-2) Murch (Māori-Indigenous): 20% (-28) Te Morenga (Green-Green): 19% (new) Ferris (Independent-*): 18% (n.a.) +/- vs. 2023 result Fieldwork: 14-24 September 2026 Sample size: 500 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

Australia, Roy Morgan poll: Two-Party Preferred, ALP v ONP ALP (Centre-left): 53.5% (-0.5) ONP (Right): 46.5% (+0.5) +/- vs. 14-20 September 2026 Fieldwork: 14-27 September 2026 Sample size: 2,569 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, Roy Morgan poll: Two-Party Preferred, ALP v L/NP ALP (Centre-left): 52.5% (-0.5) L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 47.5% (+0.5) +/- vs. 14-20 September 2026 Fieldwork: 14-27 September 2026 Sample size: 2,569 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, Roy Morgan poll: ALP (Centre-left): 26% (+1) ONP (Right): 25.5% L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 22.5% (+1) GRN (Green): 14.5% (-1) +/- vs. 14-20 September 2026 Fieldwork: 14-27 September 2026 Sample size: 2,569 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia: Senator Larissa Waters (GRN, Green) has announced she is standing down as Australian Greens leader after 15 months, citing worsening health conditions She will take medical leave before returning as a Queensland senator ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia #Australia #auspol

New Zealand: The Green Party (Green) is on 16% in the latest Verian poll, its highest showing in an opinion poll since May 2017. ➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand #NewZealand #nzpol

New Zealand, Verian poll: Preferred prime minister Luxon (National-Centre-right): 19% (+2) Hipkins (Labour-Centre-left): 14% (-1) Swarbrick (Green-Green): 8% (+2) Peters (NZ-First-*): 7% Seymour (ACT-Libertarian): 7% (+2) Stanford (National-Centre-right): 2% McAnulty (Labour-Centre-left): 2% Davidson (Green-Green): 1% (+1) Willis (National-Centre-right): 1% Bishop (National-Centre-right): 1% Ardern (Labour-Centre-left): 1% (+1) Mitchell (National-Centre-left): 0% Maipi-Clarke (Māori-Indigenous): 0% (-1) Sepuloni (Labour-Centre-left): 0% Waititi (Māori-Indigenous): 0% Jones (NZ-First-*): 0% Twyford (Labour-Centre-left): 0% Wong (Opportunity-Centre): 0% (-1) Key (National-Centre-right): 0% +/- vs. 08-11 August 2026 Fieldwork: 23-27 September 2026 Sample size: 1,004

New Zealand, Verian poll: Seat projection National (Centre-right): 34 (-2) Labour (Centre-left): 34 (-4) Green (Green): 19 (+4) ACT (Libertarian): 14 (+3) NZ First (*): 11 (+1) Opportunity (Centre): 7 (-2) Māori (Indigenous): 1 (-4) +/- vs. 08-11 August 2026 Fieldwork: 23-27 September 2026 Sample size: 1,004 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

New Zealand, Verian poll: National (Centre-right): 28% (-1) Labour (Centre-left): 28% (-2) Green (Green): 16% (+4) ACT (Libertarian): 11% (+2) NZ First (*): 9% (+1) Opportunity (Centre): 6% (-2) Māori (Indigenous): 1% Outdoors (Green): 0% CPNZ (Conservative): 0% Vision NZ (Right): 0% ALCP (*): 0% (-1) AJPANZ (Green): 0% WRP (*): 0% (-1) +/- vs. 08-11 August 2026 Fieldwork: 23-27 September 2026 Sample size: 1,004 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

Australia, YouGov poll: Two-Party Preferred, ALP v L/NP ALP (Centre-left): 52% L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 48% +/- vs. 01-08 September 2026 Fieldwork: 15-21 September 2026 Sample size: 1,471 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, YouGov poll: ONP (Right): 27% (-3) ALP (Centre-left): 26% L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 21% (+3) GRN (Green): 14% (+2) CSA (Liberal): 1% (-1) +/- vs. 01-08 September 2026 Fieldwork: 15-21 September 2026 Sample size: 1,471 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

New Zealand, Curia poll: West Coast-Tasman electorate Milne (National-Centre-right): 36% (+3) Paterson (Labour-Centre-left): 33% Cleine (NZ-First-*): 15% (+11) Hocking (ACT-Libertarian): 7% (+1) Beaumont (Green-Green): 6% (-1) Uddstrom (Opportunity-Centre): 4% (n.a.) Grey (Outdoors-Green): 2% (-2) +/- vs. 2023 result Fieldwork: 10-17 September 2026 Sample size: 400 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/new-zealand

Australia, Roy Morgan poll: Two-Party Preferred, ALP v ONP ALP (Centre-left): 54% (-1) ONP (Right): 46% +/- vs. 07-13 September 2026 Fieldwork: 14-20 September 2026 Sample size: 1,561 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, Roy Morgan poll: Two-Party Preferred, ALP v L/NP ALP (Centre-left): 53% (-2) L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 47% (+2) +/- vs. 07-13 September 2026 Fieldwork: 14-20 September 2026 Sample size: 1,561 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, Roy Morgan poll: ONP (Right): 25.5% (+0.5) ALP (Centre-left): 25% L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 21.5% GRN (Green): 15.5% (-0.5) +/- vs. 07-13 September 2026 Fieldwork: 14-20 September 2026 Sample size: 1,561 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, RedBridge Group and Accent Research poll: Victoria, Two-Party Preferred L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 56% (-1) ALP (Centre-left): 44% (+1) +/- vs. 28 July - 1 August 2026 Fieldwork: 01-14 September 2026 Sample size: 2,371 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia

Australia, RedBridge Group and Accent Research poll: Victoria regional election L/NP (Centre-right|Conservative): 29% (-1) ONP (Right): 25% (+3) ALP (Centre-left): 24% (+1) GRN (Green): 15% (+1) +/- vs. 28 July - 1 August 2026 Fieldwork: 01-14 September 2026 Sample size: 2,371 ➤ oceaniaelects.com/australia