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Got Fat Choi airdrop (btw check it - it’s printer’s mascot) as one of top $BELIEF holders on @tryfomo (best trading app rn) To give it back, I’ll give $500 worth of tokens to random person who sign up via my ref & deposit at least $1 fomo.family/r/nobrainflip https://x.com/nobrainflip/status/2046394004049207737

I spent 2+ days writing this article - dozens of hours of research, and I’ve been thinking about this idea for much longer. After digging through a ton of historical data, I came to a clear conclusion on when and how to buy and hold BTC. I’m confident this will change how you look at BTC and how you approach accumulating it. If you found it useful, and want me to post more deep research like this - please support it with maximum engagement https://x.com/nobrainflip/status/2045479126958555294

The reaction to $RAVE says a lot about this timeline. People will happily ignore daily scams, insider unloads, and memecoin holders getting farmed over and over again every single day. But when something goes vertical in public and shorts get punished, suddenly everyone becomes a morality expert. I'm not saying that this pump is good or bad, but let’s be serious: if a token already did 10x in a day and you still decide to open a short, acting like another 2x is impossible, that’s on you. At least here the game is visible. Way more honest than buying random memecoins or alts where devs/insiders/VCs/cabal who got in at insanely low mc are just dumping on you from the start. Funny how everyone hates the pump if they’re not profiting from it. Wake up, crypto is zero-sum, if you profit somebody else loses, there's no win-win. I was one of the only people on this platform even mentioning $RAVE before the big move, because these kinds of runs happen on Aster all the time. But not gonna pretend I held the whole thing to current levels, it's impossible (still ate very well, hope you too) and will buy back later... https://x.com/nobrainflip/status/2043742971837694393

Memecoins are the clearest bet for the next 1-2 months. Most of them are already down so much that the downside is ~20%. The upside is 5-15x. Sounds stupid right now, I know. That’s usually how the best trades look before they happen. https://x.com/nobrainflip/status/2042348019673149857

High chance we’ve formed a bottom for the next 1-2 months If that’s true, the best thing to buy here is memes, cause they have the biggest upside: ~12:1 R/R I grabbed a bit of #USELESS (only $30m mc vs $200m Fartcoin). Also like $PUMP, $BONK, $CHILLGUY You can track my positions here: https://fomo.family/r/nobrainflip

one of the most interesting parts of this cycle was that the top actually came exactly where a significant part of ct was constantly looking for top signals so for the real bottom to be in, we might have to wait for that same significant part of ct to start looking for bottom signals again https://x.com/hantengri/status/2041149128369971684?s=46

I still think $BTC goes higher first - maybe even back to <$90k - before we see the real move down to <$45k. Sentiment is already too bearish here. Everyone expects lower, and even worse - everyone is ready to buy lower. That’s not how real bottoms work. At a real bottom, people either have no money left or no desire to buy. So I think sentiment needs to be reset first. Most likely with a squeeze higher that brings hope back, gets people bullish again, and then a real dump that takes both the hope and the last remaining liquidity with it. After that, only 2 types of people will be left, just like last cycle: - those who would still buy, but have no money left - those who no longer believe in crypto at all (they are the ones who will buy my bags at 200k)

$BTC 69k -> 78k -> 42k -> 240k https://x.com/nobrainflip/status/2041168372071571952

This chart is all you need to understand current crypto sentiment. It tracks the entire crypto market excluding $BTC and $ETH. If this were an index and you bought it in November 2021, you’d be -40% today. Now add the fact that since then, a ton of NEW coins were created. Total number of coins in 2021: <4k Total number of coins in 2026: >20k ~ In other words, if you bought one of every coin outside BTC and ETH back in 2021, you’d likely be sitting on a ~90% loss today. https://x.com/nobrainflip/status/2039439557687419244

🚨 US forces could enter Iran within the next 2 days The odds spiked from 8% to 44% just an hour ago in a matter of minutes, and have now dropped back to 14% Still looks a lot like insider trading... Market: https://polymarket.com/event/us-forces-enter-iran-by/?r=cyclop TWEET

If March closes red, it will mark 6 straight red months for $BTC. That has happened only once in Bitcoin history. The last time it did, the next 5 months were all green and BTC moved 300%+ from $3.4k to $11k. https://x.com/nobrainflip/status/2037877996795617468

Got ~$350 in 2 weeks from $80k in GRVT trading vault. That’s ~16% APY with ~12.7 Sharpe (which insanely good)) If your stables are doing nothing, this is probably the best r/r rn (+10% via my link: https://grvt.io/?ref=JKGO577 (yes, it's ref, but im just sharing what I’m using) https://x.com/nobrainflip/status/2036843180470010194

BTC/gold is +36% in 3 weeks since the US-Iran war began. When the system gets questioned, so do the old “safe” assets: S&P depends on the US Gold already priced the fear Real estate can be destroyed Next BTC run won’t start with adoption - It’ll start with distrust in system. https://x.com/nobrainflip/status/2036199943292047820

Posted the same thing at the pico-top - so far it’s playing out perfectly.

Every $BTC bear market duration is always the same: ~365 days. Every crash % keeps compressing: 91 -> 84 -> 77. You know what this means, right? https://x.com/nobrainflip/status/2035413769791160353

Ok, now is time to remind that: In crypto, price drives the narrative - not the other way around. Right now is a perfect confirmation of that. Don’t try to look for catalysts- they always exist, both bullish and bearish. When everything feels bad, people forget the good ones - and vice versa. Remember when we were at 125, did circumstances change since then? Nope, they even became better to be true. When the entire feed is whining, the moment we pump everyone will turn bullish - not the other way around. Pump -> sentiment, not sentiment -> pump. That’s how this market works. So you need to understand this: price going down or up does not change your coins, they are the same projects, especially btc/eth/sol, as they don’t have revenue, they are not businesses, so there’s only the one reason they pump or dump - sentiment. When stocks fall, it can be because a company’s revenue is dropping, and the price adjusts to that revenue. But Bitcoin has no revenue - and gold has no revenue. They are purely speculative assets. Nothing about them changes when the price goes up. If a company’s earnings grow, its stock pumps - logical, right? But when Bitcoin or gold pumps, does anything actually change? No. It’s the same thing, and you still hold exactly the same amount. Society just revalued it for some reason. Which means the price is driven entirely by sentiment. If sentiment is bullish - “Bitcoin is the future of the world” - then obviously it rises. When it falls, sentiment must have flipped the other way, because that’s the only real driver. So be happy when you see more people saying crypto is a scam and going to zero - they are the ones creating the opportunity for us to buy at a discount. So sell when everyone is screaming that crypto is a future, and buy when everyone is screaming that he is leaving crypto and it’s dying. That’s the same “coins”, nothing changed, just price became lower. Simple as that.

Bought a small bag of holding BTC ~$81K. My bet is simple: Gold and silver have been treated like “safe savings” - but after this kind of volatility, that trust gets questioned long-term. If the only reason you hold an asset is “it’s the hedge”, and the hedge starts swinging like a risk asset, people rotate out. BTC is still the cleanest beta to fiat debasement: - fixed supply, same role as gold - literally built for “opt out of fiat” - and unlike most other assets, it still doesn’t feel like it has a massive fear premium priced in Yes, $80K sounds high if you’re anchoring to a hypothetical cycle low (for me that range is still roughly $40K-$60K). But stop looking at BTC in USD only. Look at BTC vs gold. Look at BTC vs EUR. Flip the base currency and you’ll see why starting buying here makes sense.

SPOT SILVER HEADS FOR WORST DAILY PERFORMANCE ON RECORD, DOWN 34% SPOT GOLD ON TRACK FOR WORST DAILY PERFORMANCE SINCE 1983, DOWN 12%

My timeline is full of “buy anything: gold/stocks, sell dollars.” Now, imagine gold is ur base currency Gold is up ~+100% in 2 years That means USD is -50% vs gold But CPI over same 2 years is only ~+5.7% If u were paid in gold, wouldn’t u start swapping some back into USD? Just sentiment around fiat that’s why everything is pumping - not on fundamentals, but on fear. Gold didn’t suddenly become more valuable. Companies didn’t suddenly start earning more. Prices just rerated - higher multiples, worse P/E - because people are paying up to not hold fiat. A big chunk of every move is just people paying a premium to be in anything other than USD. The “anti-fiat” trade is now baked into prices everywhere, and you need to realize that, cause as I see, 99% ppl - don't. Everyone can spot fear/greed in assets - crypto, stocks, real estate. When everyone screams “DON’T BUY”, that’s usually fear - and fear is where you buy. But nobody applies that to USD, because we price everything in dollars. Flip the lens. Right now “sell dollars, buy anything” is the consensus. So buying USD here is basically buying the fear trade.

The 2026 Playbook: how to make not 2x, but 100x on crypto this year. Big article that will change how you look on the market: https://x.com/nobrainflip/status/2013617784647778701